Economy
LCCI Tasks FG to Adopt Prudent Fiscal Measures, Pro-Investment Tax Policy
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LCCI) has urged the Nigerian government to adopt prudent fiscal policy measures and investment-friendly tax policies that work in tandem with the efforts of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to tame inflation.
The President of LCCI, Mr Gabriel Idahosa, said this at the Chamber’s first quarter of 2024 news conference on Thursday in Lagos, as he warned that as headline inflation continued its upward trend, it was telling on the ability of businesses to operate in the country.
He said in the last quarter of 2023, inflation notched higher to 28.92 per cent in December 2023, compared to 26.72 per cent recorded in September 2023,
Mr Idahosa also made a case for the government to strengthen its support to critical sectors like agriculture, road infrastructure, power, energy, and other key sectors because increasing the monetary policy rate has proven to be insufficient in taming inflation.
Last year, the CBN increased interest rates by more than 700 basis points to 18.75 per cent.
Citing the report from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), he noted that the inflationary pressures were primarily attributed to food and non-alcoholic beverages; housing, water, electricity, gas, and other fuel; clothing and footwear; transport, furnishing, household equipment, and maintenance.
He, however, projected that should the government be able to address the main drivers of inflation including food and transportation in 2024, projecting that the transportation component of inflation was likely to come down.
“This is because we can see the efforts being made to put buses on the road that are more gas or electric. For instance, Borno now has a large fleet of these vehicles and some companies in Nigeria are embracing producing gas-powered buses.
“Should this trend from now month by month continue, there would be a decrease in the cost of public transportation.
“Given the fact that Dangote has started refining fuel, we do not expect to see a dramatic reduction in the price of oil but we expect some reduction as we won’t spend dollars taking crude out or bringing it back.
“What that means is that sometime in the year, you won’t see a further dramatic rise in inflation,” he said.
Mr Idahosa said that the global economy in 2023 proved more resilient than expected in the face of significant monetary tightening, continuing policy uncertainties, multiple shocks from conflicts, and climate change.
He, however, noted that domestically, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) reports in 2023 showed quarterly growth that indicated a weak and fragile economy.
The LCCI president projected that in emerging markets and developing economies, growth was projected to remain steady at about 3.9 per cent in 2024.
He, however, stated that growth was expected to remain divergent in the region due to an array of global and domestic currents.
Mr Idahosa recommended that the federal government urgently address the structure of the power sector particularly, with a focus on the transmission segment.
This, he said, was needed to attract private sector investment into electricity transmission to bring in relevant financial, technical, and management capacity.
“The Federal Government needs to step up efforts to address the security challenges that have negatively affected investment inflows and improve the security measures adopted in tackling the menace of oil theft and vandalism.
“On agriculture sector growth, we urge the federal government to improve security and intensify the implementation of the national agricultural extension policy with a focus on improved and relevant agricultural technologies.
“The cost of logistics has gone up due to the poor state of our roads and the inadequate connectivity amongst farms, factories, and markets.
“The LCCI commends the Federal Government for the recent effort to attract private investment into the infrastructure sector. We also expect improved implementation of the capital funding allocated to infrastructures in the 2024 budget.
“While the CBN embarks on monetary tightening to tame inflation, it should ensure that targeted concessionary credit to the private sector is sustained for Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSME),” he said.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange extended its stay in the south for the fourth consecutive session after it shed 1.18 per cent on Friday, March 13.
The unlisted securities market recorded a loss despite closing without a price decliner, and ending with two price gainers led by Geo Fluids Plc, which gained 1o Kobo to sell at N3.10 per share compared with the previous day’s N3.00 per share. Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc appreciated during the session by 2 Kobo to trade at 54 Kobo per unit versus Thursday’s closing price of 52 Kobo per unit.
When the market closed for the day, the market capitalisation lost N29.83 billion to close at N2.489 trillion compared with the N2.519 trillion it finished a day earlier, and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) crashed by 49.84 points to 4,160.46 points from 4,210.31 points.
Market activity improved yesterday, as the volume of transactions rose 179.5 per cent to 10.4 million units from 3.7 million units, but the value of trades declined by 68.4 per cent to N29.9 million from N95.0 million, while the number of deals weakened by 11.5 per cent to 46 deals from 52 deals.
Central Securities Clearing Systems (CSCS) Plc remained the most active stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 38.4 million units worth N2.4 billion, Okitipupa Plc followed with 6.4 million units traded at N1.1 billion, and FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc transacted 6.3 million units for N584.3 million.
Resourcery Plc ended the trading session as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 1.1 billion units valued at N415.6 million, trailed by Geo-Fluids Plc with 130.8 million units valued at N504.5 million, and CSCS Plc with 38.4 million units worth N2.4 billion.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira continued to claw back some gains against the Dollar in the different segments of the foreign exchange (FX) market, as its value was strengthened on Friday.
In the black market, it gained N10 against the United States Dollar yesterday to close at N1,400/$1 compared with the preceding day’s rate of N1,410/$1, and at the GTBank forex counter, it chalked up N6 to close at N1,385/$1, in contrast to the N1,391/$1 it was traded a day earlier.
Similarly, in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX), it appreciated against the greenback during the session by N5.28 or 0.38 per cent to quote at N1,366.23/$1 versus Thursday’s closing price of N1,371.51/$1.
It also improved its value against the Pound Sterling in the official market on Friday by N21.81 to settle at N1,812.99/£1 compared with the previous day’s N1,834.80/£1, and gained N13.86 against the Euro to sell at N1,568.03/€1 versus N1,581.89/€1.
Pressure eased further on the FX market as the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) continued interventionist operations this week, selling Dollars to banks to boost liquidity after a $500 million boost last week.
This was complemented by inflows from foreign investors, exporters and non-bank corporates, among others, while Nigeria’s gross external reserves remained above $50 billion, the highest since 2009.
The Governor of the apex bank, Mr Yemi Cardoso, also eased fears of a Naira devaluation, saying the country’s financial system has been strengthened by reforms.
Regardless, external pressure looms as the US Dollar strengthened globally due to its war with Iran, now ongoing for three weeks.
Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market was largely down as traders and investors continue to align with current realities.
The market is adapting to the conflict in real time. Early in the war, every headline produced an outsized reaction because nobody could price the tail risk. Now, traders have a framework where strikes happen, oil spikes and bitcoin dips only to recover again.
Cardano (ADA) depreciated by 3.8 per cent to $0.2623, Dogecoin (DOGE) lost 1.7 per cent to finish at $0.0948, Ripple (XRP) slumped 1.5 per cent to $1.39, Solana (SOL) dropped 1.4 per cent to sell for $87.33, Binance Coin (BNB) went down by 1.3 per cent to $653.58, Bitcoin (BTC) declined by 1.1 per cent to $70,670.63, and Ethereum (ETH) decreased by 0.9 per cent to $2,078.78.
However, TRON (TRX) appreciated by 1.7 per cent to $0.2941, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 apiece.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The price of the major crude oil grade, Brent crude oil, closed above $100 on Friday for the second consecutive session, as the Iran war heads toward its third week, with oil tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz still effectively at a standstill.
It gained 2.67 per cent or $2.68 during the trading day to close at $103.14 per barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil grade appreciated by 3.11 per cent or $2.98 to settle at $98.71 per barrel.
Brent futures were up about 10 per cent for the week following the 27 per cent rise seen last week, which marked the biggest weekly gain in oil prices since the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. WTI futures, which saw their best week since 1983 last week, ended the week more than 8 per cent higher.
US President Donald Trump said American forces launched a major bombing raid on Iran’s strategic Kharg Island, targeting military facilities on the key Persian Gulf outpost while warning Iran that its vital oil infrastructure could be destroyed if shipping in the Strait of Hormuz is disrupted.
The terminal accounts for roughly 90 per cent of Iranian crude shipments, loading millions of barrels per day onto tankers bound largely for Asian markets.
The US and Israel’s strikes in the conflict have largely targeted Iranian military and nuclear infrastructure. Oil facilities elsewhere in Iran have been hit, but Kharg’s massive storage tanks, jetties, and pipelines had remained untouched until the latest strike.
Iran’s new supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, vowed to keep fighting in a message delivered via state television.
There have been a number of attacks on foreign ships in or near the Strait, feeding into concerns that a prolonged war could translate to a global economic shock.
Prices are rising despite the US and its allies rolling out some measures to keep a lid on energy costs.
The International Energy Agency (IEA) has agreed to release 400 million stockpiled barrels, the largest such action in history.
The US has issued a 30-day waiver for India to purchase sanctioned oil from Russia. President Donald Trump is considering loosening rules under the Jones Act that require American ships to transport goods between domestic ports, including oil and gas, in an effort to lower costs.
Traders are continuing to monitor developments in the Middle East.
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