Economy
Meristem Forecasts August 2023 Inflation at 25.37%
By Dipo Olowookere
Inflation in Nigeria for August 2023 should reach 25.37 per cent compared with the 24.08 per cent recorded in July 2023, analysts at Meristem Securities Limited have predicted.
In a research note obtained by Business Post, the investment firm said this 1.29 per cent surge in the average cost of goods and services would be influenced by the rise in the prices of food, premium motor spirit (PMS), “the lingering challenges in sourcing foreign exchange (FX) and depreciating exchange rate.”
Nigeria has faced a food crisis for some months due to the invasion of Ukraine by Russia in February 2022.
Despite being a major oil-producing country in Africa, the country, which prides itself as the largest economy on the continent, has struggled to improve its forex earnings despite the prices of crude oil rising.
In May 2023, President Bola Tinubu announced the removal of fuel subsidy, shooting the price of petrol in the country higher. This caused prices of goods and services to go red hot and have refused to cool down.
The liberalisation of the forex market has also not helped matters, and the gap between the official exchange rate and the others has continued to widen.
In the note released ahead of the disclosure of the inflation numbers for last month on Friday, September 15, by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), Meristem said the headline inflation is expected “to increase by 129 basis points to 25.37 per cent (on a year-on-year basis) versus 24.08 per cent in July 2023.”
It noted that despite the Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO) revealing that last month, the global food commodity price index fell by -2.11 per cent, it was not the same in Nigeria, as key food prices remained elevated in the period under review “based on our perception of market prices.”
“We anticipate a continued surge in the price of rice and oils, hinged on the partial ban on rice exports in India, which has had a substantial impact on global rice supply.
“We also expect that higher logistic costs and poor road networks in the country would further impact food prices.
“Thus, we expect food inflation to shoot up by 173bps to 28.71 per cent for August 2023,” a part of the note stated.
The firm further said the FX crisis and high energy costs would “drive up the prices of import dependent items like petroleum products, motor vehicles, clothing and fabrics etc., that typically impact the core index movement.”
Economy
Dangote Refinery Shares to be Available to Public in Five Months
By Adedapo Adesanya
The chairman of Dangote Group, Mr Aliko Dangote, has said that within the next five months, Nigerians should be able to purchase shares of Dangote Petroleum and Refinery.
Mr Dangote made this revelation on Sunday during a tour of the facility by the chief executive of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited, Mr Bayo Ojulari, alongside members of the company’s executive management.
The $20 billion refinery is the largest single-train refinery in the world with 650,000 barrels per day refining capacity. There are efforts to boost the capacity to 1.4 million barrels per day soon.
Speaking with journalists, Mr Dangote said, “And the other issue is that they (NNPC) are holding 7.25 per cent of the shares that we have here, which is more than the shares Elon Musk has in Tesla. And they are holding that on behalf of Nigerians,” he said.
“So individually, Nigerians too will have an opportunity in the next, maybe a maximum of four to five months. There will actually be an opportunity to buy the shares.”
He added that shareholders will have the option to receive their dividends in either naira or dollars, as the refinery also earns in dollars.
Commenting on Mr Ojulari’s visit, the billionaire businessman said the NNPC, represented by Mr Ojulari and its management team, was not just a guest but a shareholder.
“Today is really our best day ever” at the facility. I know NNPC invested in us when we were not really sure whether the refinery would be successful.
“So that’s the kind of level of confidence. But right now, the relationship with the new set of people that we have at NNPC, I think the sky is the limit, and we will cooperate and also make sure that we work together to make sure that we make Nigerians proud.”
Speaking on prospects of partnership with NNPC in the upstream sector, he said, “We have block 71, 72, but we’re going to look much deeper”.
“Most likely, depending on our own discussions with them, we will partner with them, maybe in some of the upstream. They, too, will partner with us here because here is not just a refinery, it’s an industrial hub.
“And that’s why we’re doing linear alkaline benzene, which is a raw material for detergents, ” he added.
Economy
NGX Investigates Zichis Stocks After 859% Rise in One Month
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited has launched an investigation into trading activities on the shares of Zichis Agro-Allied Industries Plc.
A notice from Customs Street on Monday disclosed that this has led to the suspension of the company for now.
This development comes about a month after Zichis was listed on the domestic bourse and placed in the growth board of the NGX.
In the circular, it was disclosed that the suspension may be lifted after the conclusion of the findings, but for now, investors will not be able to trade the organisation’s securities on the NGX platform.
“The suspension of trading in Zichis shares shall be lifted upon the conclusion of an investigation into the trading activities on the company’s shares,” a part of the disclosure stated.
The bourse explained that it wielded the big stick on Zichis in compliance with Rule 7.0, Rules on Suspension of Trading in Listed Securities, Rulebook of The Exchange (Issuers’ Rules).
This part of the law states that, “Notwithstanding any of the foregoing provisions, the exchange may, in accordance with any of its rules, place the trading of any security on suspension.
“It may also do so if it is of the view that such suspension will be in the interest of the investing public and in accordance with the SEC Rules.”
In announcing the action on the firm, the NGX declared that, “The shares of Zichis Agro-Allied Industries Plc have been suspended from trading on the facilities of Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX), effective today, Monday, February 23, 2026.”
Business Post reports that last week, shares of Zichis appreciated by 60.74 per cent to N17.36. It joined the stock exchange at N1.81, indicating it has gained N15.55 or 859.12 per cent in one month.
Economy
Nigeria Investment Fund, Japan Unveil $50m Innovation Fund for Startups
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Nigeria Investment Authority (NSIA) and Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) have finalised agreements to launch a $50 Sovereignmillion impact innovation fund aimed at strengthening the Nigerian start-up ecosystem.
The fund is expected to provide patient capital to pre-seed, seed, and early-stage startups addressing critical social challenges in sectors such as agriculture, healthcare, education, energy, waste and water management.
JICA will provide $14 million in grant support, while NSIA contributes up to $20 million to match the grant.
Structured as an onshore public fund, the initiative combines financial support with technical assistance to help startups refine products, scale operations, and expand into new markets.
The fund is expected to create jobs, improve livelihoods, and contribute to sustainable economic development across Nigeria.
Speaking at the agreement signing ceremony between NSIA and JICA at the Ministry of Budget and Economic Planning, Mr Aminu Umar-Sadiq, the chief executive of NSIA, said: “The Fund represents a transformative step for Nigeria’s startup ecosystem. By providing early-stage ventures in high-impact sectors with the capital and support they need to grow, we are enabling innovators to tackle some of Nigeria’s most pressing challenges. Our collaboration with JICA underscores our commitment to entrepreneurship, inclusive growth, and sustainable development.”
Preparations are underway to operationalise the Fund and develop a pipeline of high-impact startups ready for investment. NSIA remains committed to advancing socio-economic development through strategic partnerships that scale impact, expand innovative solutions, and unlock access to capital.
On his part, the Japanese Ambassador to Nigeria, Mr Suzuki Hideo, said, “The Government of Japan hopes this new project will take root in Nigeria and bear fruit swiftly.”
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