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Moderate Economic Growth for Africa in 2017, 2018—Report

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By Dipo Olowookere

A moderate economic growth recovery is projected in Africa for 2017-18, even as the global economy continues to be trapped in a prolonged period of slow growth, according to the United Nations World Economic Situation and Prospects (WESP) 2017 Report released today.

The report shows that world gross product grew by just 2.2 per cent in 2016, marking its slowest pace of expansion since the Great Recession of 2009. Global growth is projected to see a moderate improvement to 2.7 per cent in 2017 and 2.9 per cent in 2018, but this is more an indication of economic stabilization than a signal of a robust revival of global demand.

Against this backdrop, Africa is expected to see a recovery in growth, with GDP expanding by 3.2 per cent in 2017 and 3.8 per cent in 2018, up from 1.7 per cent in 2016. The projected increase in global commodity prices will ease fiscal and external pressures for commodity exporters, but a strong growth rebound in these countries appears unlikely. Several other countries, such as those in the East African Community and some Western African economies, enjoy a more favourable growth outlook.

Growth prospects in five African sub-regions

The report notes large differences in growth prospects among the five African subregions. East Africa is positioned to remain the fastest-growing subregion, with aggregate GDP projected to expand by about 6 per cent in 2017 and 2018, helped by the rapid expansion of domestic markets and strong spending on infrastructure.

West Africa is expected to see growth rebound from 0.1 per cent in 2016 to 3.1 per cent in 2017, as the projected increase in oil prices eases severe fiscal and external pressures in Nigeria. For several other West African countries, such as Cote d’Ivoire, Ghana and Senegal, the growth outlook remains strong, underpinned by large infrastructure investments and an improved domestic business climate.

Meanwhile, growth in North Africa is projected to accelerate from 2.6 per cent in 2016 to 3.5 per cent in 2017, contingent on a gradual improvement in the security situation.

The growth outlook for Southern Africa is relatively subdued, with economic activity projected to improve modestly to 1.8 per cent in 2017 and 2.6 per cent in 2018. While South Africa is expected to benefit from a moderate recovery in the agriculture and mining sector, political uncertainty may weigh on investor sentiments.

Growth in Central Africa is projected to strengthen from 2.4 per cent in 2016 to 3.4 per cent in 2017, as higher oil prices support export revenues and growth, particularly in Congo, Equatorial Guinea and Gabon. However, ongoing domestic political unrest will restrain economic activity in the Central African Republic and Gabon.

Inflation dynamics across the region

The report also takes note of marked differences in the inflation dynamics across the region. For the commodity-dependent economies, the weakening of domestic currencies fuelled imported inflation. The adverse impact of drought conditions and rising electricity tariffs added further upward pressure on inflation. In Angola, Mozambique and Nigeria, inflation reached multi-year highs. As high inflationary pressures are expected to persist in these economies, monetary policy stances will likely remain tight.

In contrast, inflation in the region’s net oil importers stabilised or slowed in 2016 and pressures are expected to remain subdued going forward. In several of these countries, including Botswana, Kenya and Morocco, central banks reduced policy rates in 2016 in a bid to stimulate growth.

Risks and policy challenges

The report cautions that there are significant risks to the global and the regional outlook. Among other issues, the report highlights the high degree of uncertainty in the international policy environment and elevated foreign currency-denominated debt levels as key downside risks that may derail global growth.

For Africa, the report identifies renewed weakness in commodity prices and a sharper-than-expected growth moderation in China as major risks. On the domestic side, an escalation of security concerns and political unrest could deter foreign investment and severely disrupt economic activity in some countries.

The report calls for a more balanced policy approach to not only restore robust growth in the medium term, but also to achieve greater progress on sustainable development. Given that commodity prices are projected to increase only modestly, the report also underscores the need for African economies to further strengthen policy measures to tackle domestic structural weaknesses, including measures to accelerate economic diversification, rebuild policy buffers and promote stronger job creation.

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

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Economy

Eni Targets Nigeria’s Deepwater Sector After OPL 245 Split

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Shell Eni OPL 245

By Adedapo Adesanya

Italian oil major, Eni, is positioning to embark on deepwater exploration investment in Nigeria after President Bola Tinubu met its chief executive Officer, Mr Claudio Descalzi, in Abuja to discuss the company’s deepwater expansion plans.

This follows the recent conversion of Oil Prospecting Licence 245 (OPL 245) into new development and exploration licenses.

Under an agreement with the Federal Government of Nigeria, OPL 245 has been converted into two Petroleum Mining Leases (PML 102 and 103) and two Petroleum Prospecting Leases (PPL 2011 and 2012), following a mutually agreed settlement of claims and the discontinuation of arbitration proceedings at the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID).

Nigerian Agip Exploration Limited will operate the licenses alongside partners Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited and Shell Nigeria Exploration and Production Company Limited (SNEPCO).

The conversion clears the path for the development of the Zabazaba and Etan deepwater fields under PML 102 and 103.

The Etan-Zabazaba project is estimated to contain approximately 500 MMbbl of reserves and is planned around a 150,000-bopd floating production, storage and offloading (FPSO) facility. Associated gas volumes of up to 200 MMscf/d at peak are expected to be exported to Nigeria LNG.

Eni, which has operated in Nigeria since 1962, also discussed its broader offshore portfolio, including interests in the Abo and Bonga fields and Nigeria LNG.

The company recently increased its stake in OML 118 to 15 per cent, reinforcing its position in Nigeria’s deepwater sector, where it currently produces approximately 55,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day on an equity basis.

Business Post reported earlier this week that Nigeria has broken up the OPL 245 oil block into four new assets to be operated by Eni and Shell, potentially settling the future of the field at the centre of one of the oil industry’s biggest historic corruption trials.

The agreement clears the way for the development of OPL 245, one of Nigeria’s biggest deepwater reserves that has remained untapped for almost three decades amid overlapping lawsuits in multiple countries.

The block is estimated to hold up to 9 billion barrels of oil equivalent in reserves, enough to rival Nigeria’s entire proven reserves if fully developed.

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Economy

Linking Macroeconomic Trends to Personal Financial Goals Vital—Delano

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Stanbic IBTC

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The Executive Director for Personal and Private Banking at Stanbic IBTC, Mr Olu Delano, has stressed the need to link macroeconomic trends to personal financial goals.

At the 2026 Regional Economic Outlook Series of Stanbic IBTC recently, he said, “Whether planning for retirement, funding education abroad, or expanding a business, improved stability creates opportunities. But those opportunities require careful structuring around foreign exchange dynamics, inflation trends, and interest rate movements.”

Business Post reports that the regional investor summit was designed to provide high-net-worth individuals, investors, business leaders, and senior executives with clarity in a rapidly evolving economic environment.

Hosted in Lagos, Abuja, and Port Harcourt, the series served as a strategic platform for translating Nigeria’s reform momentum into practical investment and business decisions.

It featured a keynote address by Professor Adedipe, whose insights set a strong analytical foundation for the conversations that followed. His presentation unpacked structural reforms, fiscal recalibration, and the direction of monetary policy, offering attendees a comprehensive perspective on Nigeria’s growth trajectory and the discipline required to sustain macroeconomic stability.

Across all three cities, Stanbic IBTC’s subject matter experts and industry professionals moved the discussion from macroeconomic signals to market strategy. Sessions were structured to bridge economic context with sector-specific opportunities, portfolio construction frameworks, and risk management considerations. The focus extended beyond understanding the environment to making informed, disciplined decisions within it.

A recurring theme throughout the summit was the evolving monetary policy cycle. Discussions examined the Central Bank of Nigeria’s tight stance in addressing inflationary pressures and stabilising the currency.

Participants also considered the potential implications of a gradual policy easing cycle, particularly for fixed income instruments, equity positioning, and broader asset allocation strategies. Emphasis was placed on timing, selectivity, and portfolio resilience.

Beyond markets, the conversations addressed the practical realities of wealth and business strategy. High net worth individuals gained clarity on diversification, currency exposure, and inflation management, while business leaders explored how improving macroeconomic stability can support capital allocation decisions and long-term expansion plans.

The chief executive of Stanbic IBTC Asset Management, Ms Busola Jejelowo, reflected on the quality of engagement across the regions.

She noted that the depth of questions and analytical rigour demonstrated a maturing investment culture and a growing appetite for data-driven strategies.

According to her, the series was not only about presenting forecasts, but about equipping clients with structured frameworks for navigating uncertainty.

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Economy

Coronation Registrars Processes N1.28trn Dividends for Stock Investors

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Coronation Registrars

By Adedapo Adesanya

Coronation Registrars Limited processed N1.28 trillion in dividends for the year 2025, representing over 40 per cent of the total dividends distributed on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited.

This information was revealed by the company in its 2025 performance scorecard, highlighting its continued role in supporting transparency, efficiency, and investor confidence within Nigeria’s capital market.

According to the company, the performance underscores its scale and the trust placed in it by leading publicly listed companies, which it helps in administering dividend processing. Other functionalities include managing shareholder records, corporate actions, and investor communications while ensuring compliance with regulations of the NGX and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

Coronation Registrars also recorded 34.8 per cent market share of the NGX by market capitalisation, while maintaining 64 per cent coverage of companies listed on the NGX Premium Board, reflecting strong partnerships with some of Nigeria’s largest and most influential issuers.

Operationally, the registrar facilitated 1.99 million buy and sell transactions in 2025, while managing 2.91 million shareholder accounts across its registrar’s portfolio.

The organisation also continued to address the longstanding issue of unclaimed dividends. In 2025, N3.67 billion in legacy unclaimed dividends was successfully returned to investors, helping reconnect shareholders with previously outstanding entitlements.

To further strengthen shareholder record accuracy and service efficiency, Coronation Registrars processed over 513,000 Know-Your-Customer (KYC) and shareholder account updates, including Clearing House Number (CHN) updates and record changes.

Commenting on the milestone, the Managing Director of Coronation Registrars Limited, Mr Seyi Owuturo, stated, “Our 2025 scorecard reflects the responsibility we carry as custodians of shareholder records and facilitators of dividend distribution for many of Nigeria’s leading companies. We remain committed to improving investor access, strengthening operational efficiency, and supporting the continued development of Nigeria’s capital market.”

Coronation Registrars said it remains focused on leveraging technology, operational excellence, and strong issuer partnerships to deliver reliable registry services while supporting the evolving needs of shareholders and listed companies.

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