Economy
NACCIMA Laments Rise in Public Sector Borrowing from Local Banks
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Nigerian Association of Chambers of Commerce, Industry, Mines, and Agriculture (NACCIMA) has expressed concerns over the high rate of public sector borrowing from domestic banking institutions.
In a letter made public recently, the group called on both the Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Mr Wale Edun, and the Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Mr Olayemi Cardoso, to look into the government’s involvement in the banking sector.
It said this had resulted in a crowding-out effect, whereby private sector entities are currently “facing exorbitant barriers to accessing finance, which in turn stifles their capacity for growth and contribution to the national economy”.
The association further noted that over-subscription of government debt instruments, at rates that eclipse the 21 per cent mark for treasury bills and even loftier premiums for state bonds, was “reflective of an economic milieu in urgent need of recalibration and judicious policy intervention”.
NACCIMA pointed out that while it acknowledged the challenges inherited by the current administration, “We also believe that opportunities exist for Nigeria to explore new ways of addressing the challenges of the current global economic climate”.
It stated that the current inflationary impact on Nigerians’ economic stability and purchasing power called for robust and multifaceted policy responses.
The group commended the efforts of the Finance Ministry as well as the strides of the CBN to mitigate inflationary pressures but noted that “this must be underscored by a synergistic approach where monetary policy is buttressed by prudent fiscal mandates.”
“The CBN, in strategic alignment with the Ministry of Finance, must architect a cohesive blueprint to minimize the inflationary effect of monthly FAAC allocations and the insatiable borrowing appetite of the public sector.
“Such a regime would release significant capital within the banking system, thus enabling more optimal allocation of resources and extension of credit to private enterprises at more competitive rates for entrepreneurial innovation and investment,” it further stated.
NACCIMA recommended that the CBN consider multiple tools in addition to the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) and Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) to manage the inflationary effect arising from increased FAAC allocations, adding that zero coupon stabilisation bonds and vouchers could be issued for FAAC allocations instead of cash.
The association said public and private sector liquidity management should be addressed on a sectoral basis and called for the establishment of a robust forward pricing exchange rate mechanism to facilitate investment planning, stability and long-term economic prosperity.
It further recommended sectoral limits on public sector borrowing and bond issuance as well as public sector debt repayments from excess FAAC allocations to free up funds for the real sector.
It added that a public sector debt redemption programme will result in interest rate reduction as well as reduce aggregate borrowing costs for the government.
NACCIMA also called for the opening of a two-year window for corporate bond refinancing programme to enable refinancing of corporate borrowings at a lower rate.
It added that the customs duty exchange rate dilemma could be addressed by recognising Naira as the de facto national currency, stressing that customs duty should be charged as a percentage of the Naira value used to open a Form M.
Economy
Oil Market Dips Below $100 as Trump Signals De-escalation
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil prices fell in the later session of Monday after initially crossing the $100 per barrel mark as the escalating Iran war by the United States and Israel squeezed world energy supplies, boosted the Dollar, and dampened hopes of interest-rate cuts.
Earlier, Brent crude futures climbed to a high of $119.50 per barrel, and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $117.48 a barrel. However, it dropped later after US President Donald Trump suggested that the US conflict with Iran could soon wind down.
Data gathered by Business Post showed that the price of the Brent crude grade dropped 5.4 per cent to $87.68 per barrel, and the US WTI lost 7.4 per cent to trade at $84.21 a barrel.
President Trump is expected to review a set of options to tame oil prices, reflecting White House worries that the surge in oil prices will hurt US businesses and consumers ahead of the November midterm elections, when the ruling Republicans are hoping to retain control of Congress.
Reuters reported that the US is discussing with counterparts from the Group of Seven major economies a possible joint release of crude oil from strategic reserves. It also reported they are weighing other options, including restricting US exports, intervening in oil futures markets, waiving some federal taxes and lifting requirements under a US law called the Jones Act that domestic fuel must move only on US-flagged ships.
The Trump administration officials are also exercising diplomatic pressure on Gulf allies to help restore production and shipping of oil.
Market analysts have warned that Gulf producers are only able to sustain normal production for roughly 25 days if the Strait is completely blocked.
The expanding US-Israeli war with Iran led some major Middle Eastern oil producers to cut supplies due to fears of prolonged disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz chokepoint.
Oil-driven inflation fears and delayed rate-cut expectations likely strengthened US yields and the Dollar, outweighing safe-haven demand.
The recent 10-day conflict in Iran is beginning to ripple through the global aviation industry, threatening what had been a strong outlook for aircraft demand.
JP Morgan has warned that Iran’s oil production could be slashed in half and oil exports could virtually stall if the US-Israel seize Iran’s Kharg Island, worsening the ongoing global oil shock. The island is regarded as the backbone of Iran’s oil infrastructure, handling approximately 90 per cent of its crude exports.
Economy
Buying Pressure Inflates NGX Performance Indices by 0.12%
By Dipo Olowookere
The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited ended its first trading session of this week on a positive note after it improved by 0.12 per cent on Monday.
Buying pressure across key sectors of Customs Street influenced the growth achieved yesterday despite the global instability triggered by the war in Iran by the United States and Israel.
Energy stocks on the local bourse have continued to benefit from the crisis, which has raised the price of crude oil above $100 per barrel.
The energy index was up by 2.07 per cent during the session, and the consumer goods sector appreciated by 0.58 per cent, while the insurance and banking indices depreciated by 3.05 per cent and 0.99 per cent, respectively.
When the closing gong was struck on Monday, the All-Share Index (ASI) increased by 228.82 points to 197,196.97 points from 196,968.15 points, and the market capitalisation garnered N147 billion to settle at N126.584 trillion compared with last Friday’s N126.437 trillion.
The trio of Conoil, Legend Internet, and Omatek advanced by 10.00 per cent each to N185.90, N7.04, and N2.42 apiece, as NGX Group chalked up 9.97 per cent to trade at N166.00, and Oando appreciated by 9.96 per cent to N54.65.
Conversely, Aluminium Extrusion shrank by 10.00 per cent to N13.95, SCOA Nigeria declined by 9.90 per cent to N30.95, RT Briscoe lost 9.87 per cent to finish at N10.87, Sunu Assurances crashed by 9.81 per cent to N4.32, and Union Dicon lost 9.76 per cent to settle at N14.80.
The most active stock for the session was Fortis Global Insurance with 120.4 million units worth N174.1 million, Access Holdings exchanged 32.2 million units valued at N818.5 million, Chams traded 28.3 million units for N110.5 million, Zenith Bank transacted 25.3 million units worth N2.4 billion, and Japaul sold 21.6 million units valued at N82.1 million.
At the close of trades, market participants bought and sold 762.5 million shares for N31.2 billion in 86,488 deals during the session, in contrast to the 586.2 million shares valued at N30.6 billion traded in 62,699 deals in the preceding session, implying a spike in the trading volume, value, and number of deals by 30.08 per cent, 1.96 per cent, and 37.94 per cent apiece.
Economy
Naira Closes Flat at N1,393/$1 at Official Market
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira halted two consecutive weeks of depreciation in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Monday, March 9, by remaining unchanged at N1,393.26/$1.
However, against the Pound Sterling, it further depreciated by N3.07 yesterday to trade at N1,863.06/£1 compared with last Friday’s value of N1,859.99/£1, and lost 65 Kobo against the Euro to close at N1,612.14/€1 versus the preceding session’s rate of N1,611.49/€1.
In the black market, the Nigerian Naira crashed against the Dollar yesterday by N10 to quote at N1,415/$1 compared with the N1,405/$1 it was exchanged in the previous trading session, and at the GTBank FX desk, it weakened by N9 to sell for N1,419/$1 versus the previous value of N1,410/$1.
The Naira’s performance comes as rising demand for foreign payments is outpacing supply, heightening worries that the domestic currency is entering the threshold it hasn’t traded in over two months.
Despite this, there appears to be a rise in foreign exchange inflows into the country’s currency market, with data from Coronation Merchant Bank showing that in the past week, FX inflows into the market have strengthened. As of the end of last week, total FX inflows into the Nigerian market settled at $1.26 billion, representing an increase of 17.76 per cent compared with $1.07 billion recorded in the previous week.
In the cryptocurrency market, tensions that have spurred higher energy prices and reignited inflation fears, which could potentially delay Federal Reserve rate cuts, eased after US President Donald Trump said the war with Iran could be over soon. This led to crypto and equity markets adding to gains following the comments.
Solana (SOL) appreciated by 5.6 per cent to $86.05, Ethereum (ETH) expanded by 5.5 per cent to $2,024.18, Bitcoin (BTC) added 4.6 per cent to sell for $68,802.86, Binance Coin (BNB) gained 4.1 per cent to trade at $639.78, and Cardano (ADA) jumped 3.3 per cent to $0.2582.
Further, Dogecoin (DOGE) grew by 2.9 per cent to $0.0914, Litecoin (LTC) went up by 2.8 per cent to $54.10, and Ripple (XRP) improved by 2.4 per cent to $1.37, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) traded flat at $1.00 each.
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