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Naira Appreciates to N1,396 Per Dollar at Official FX Market

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FX Market Segments

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira appreciated further on the Dollar in the the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Thursday, January 29 by N3.49 or 0.25 per cent to N1,396.99/$1 from the previous session’s N1,400.48/$1.

This was supported by foreign portfolio inflows from a recent bond auction and relatively subdued Dollar demand.

Year old reforms in the FX market as well as structural reforms in the oil sector have eased fears and buoyed investments, boosting foreign capital inflows and stronger diaspora remittances.

Also, the weakening of the Dollar has lent support as the American currency hit a four-year low triggered by tariff uncertainty, policy volatility including threats to US Federal Reserve independence, and rising fiscal deficits.

It also improved its value against the Euro in the official FX market yesterday by N3.75 to quote at N1,671.78/€1 versus midweek’s rate of N1,675.53/€1, but lost N2.05 against the Pound Sterling to trade at N1,932.04/£1 versus Wednesday’s closing rate of N1,929.99/£1.

In the parallel market, it gained N10 against the US Dollar to settle at N1,470/$1 compared with the previous session’s exchange rate of N1,480/$1 but remained unchanged at N1,426/$1 at the GTBank forex desk.

Market traders expect the Naira to remain fairly stable and could strengthen further with a bond auction in the coming week.

Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market was weaker as traders reacted to reports that US President Donald Trump would nominate former Federal Reserve Board member, Mr Kevin Warsh, to replace current Federal Reserve Chair, Mr Jerome Powell. It is believed that Mr Warsh is bearish on crypto.

President Trump said late Thursday he would name his nominee on Friday morning, a day after lambasting Mr Powell and the US central bank for not choosing to reduce rates. The US Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged at its meeting on Wednesday.

Cardano (ADA) fell by 8.1 per cent to $0.3225, Ethereum (ETH) declined by 7.9 per cent to $2,718.16, Solana (SOL) slipped by 7.6 per cent to $113.90, Ripple (XRP) crashed by 7.3 per cent to $1.74, Litecoin (LTC) went down by 6.8 per cent to $63.55, Bitcoin (BTC) depreciated by 6.7 per cent to $82,292.42, Binance Coin (BNB) decreased by 6.6 per cent to $839.47, and Dogecoin (DOGE) retreated by 7.1 per cent to $0.1131, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) closed flat at $1.00 each.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

Economy

Dangote Plans New Refinery in Tanzania for East African Region

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Dangote monopoly Political Economy of Failure

By Adedapo Adesanya

African businessman, Mr Aliko Dangote, has announced plans to build a new oil refinery in Tanzania, as the war in Iran exposes the continent’s over-reliance on fuel imports from the Middle East.

The project will include a pipeline that links the Kenyan port city of Mombasa to the northeastern Tanzanian harbour of Tanga, where the facility will be situated, Kenyan President William Ruto said at an Africa Finance Corp summit in Nairobi on Thursday.

The refinery will process crude from countries, including the Democratic Republic of Congo and South Sudan, he said at the forum.

“We are discussing that we are going to have a joint refinery in Tanga to benefit all of us,” Mr Dangote said at the forum on Thursday. “My commitment today here is that we will lead the refinery. We’ll make sure that that refinery is built within the next four to five years.”

The plans to build the facility in Tanzania coincide with Mr Dangote’s $40-billion expansion of his industrial empire, aimed at more than doubling capacity at his 650,000 barrel-a-day plant in Lagos.

“I can give commitment to the two presidents that were here, if they will support the refinery, we’ll build the identical one that we have in Nigeria,” Mr Dangote said on a panel discussion that included President Ruto and Ugandan President Yoweri Museveni.

Kenyan President confirmed the ongoing discussions with the Nigerian billionaire, saying the proposed project.

“Aliko is telling us that the private sector and the government can discuss a refinery in Tanzania, a joint refinery to benefit all of us. The oil will take on board the oil from Kenya, DRC, and even Uganda. We just need to construct a pipeline from Tanga to Mombasa, and the finished product will come by the already built pipeline we have in Uganda,” he said.

He said countries should avoid pursuing individual gains and instead collaborate in shaping policies that benefit the East African market.

The announcement on the oil refinery in Tanzania comes after the Nairobi Securities Exchange (NSE) Chief Executive Officer, Mr Frank Mwiti, said on April 12 that discussions had been held on how the NSE and other African exchanges could support what may become Africa’s largest initial public offering (IPO).

Dangote’s IPO is aimed at expanding Mr Dangote’s refinery business and is estimated at about $22 billion.

The planned offering is expected to float between 5 per cent and 10 per cent of the refinery’s equity. Analysts estimate the refinery’s valuation at between $40 billion and $50 billion.

The share sale targets up to $5 billion, which will make it the largest IPO ever conducted on an African stock exchange.

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Economy

Manufacturers Push for Transparency in Naira-for-Crude Pricing Policy

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Naira-for-Crude

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN) has urged the federal government to ensure total transparency in the domestic pricing matrix in line with the Naira-for-Crude policy.

Speaking in a new interview with a Nigerian newspaper, New Telegraph, the Director-General of the manufacturing body, Mr Segun Ajayi-Kadir, said that the government should ensure that local refineries received their full, unhindered daily crude quotas without bureaucratic bottlenecks.

The Naira-for-Crude policy introduced in October 2024 is a strategic initiative to boost local refining and reduce pressure on foreign exchange reserves. The policy directs the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) to sell crude oil to local refineries, notably the Dangote Petroleum Refinery, in Naira, with a focus on stabilising the local currency and reducing reliance on USD for energy imports.

“The federal government should mandate total transparency in the domestic pricing matrix and ensure that local refineries receive their full, unhindered daily crude quotas without bureaucratic bottlenecks.

“The true macroeconomic benefit of this policy must be allowed to materialise for the end consumer and the productive sector,” he told the paper.

According to Mr Ajayi-Kadir, while the implementation of crude oil sales in Naira to local refineries is a landmark structural victory, its current execution requires unmitigated optimisation.

His comments come on the back of recent worries by Dangote Refinery and other smaller refiners not getting enough crude feedstock to serve their structures. This has led to an increase in crude importation from other countries at a premium, which is in turn making fuels expensive.

Analysts note that most of Nigeria’s crude production is already tied to export contracts as the country sells a large share of its oil through long-term agreements with international oil companies via joint ventures. These contracts, often priced in Dollars, are hard to redirect even as local refiners need supply.

He also urged the government to accelerate the Presidential Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) initiative by heavily subsidising the conversion of commercial and industrial transport fleets as part of the effort to roll out alternative energy aggressively.

He said that logistics accounted for a massive chunk of consumer goods inflation, adding that shifting from Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) and diesel to abundant, locally sourced CNG was the ultimate inflation-buster.

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Economy

NASD Exchange Gains 0.88% as CSCS, FrieslandCampina Lead Advancers

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NASD securities exchange

By Adedapo Adesanya

Four price gainers extended kept the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange in the green territory by 0.88 per cent on Wednesday, April 22.

The advancers were led by Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc, which went up by N3.33 to close at N66.48 per share compared with the preceding day’s N63.15 per share. FrieslandCampina Wamco Plc added N1.79 to sell at N99.00 per unit versus N97.21 per unit, Afriland Properties Plc appreciated by 16 Kobo to N16.00 per share from N15.84 per share, and UBN Property Plc rose by 7 Kobo to N2.25 per unit from N2.18 per unit.

Consequently, the market capitalisation chalked up N12.99 billion to close at N2.375 trillion compared with Tuesday’s N2.354 trillion, and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) increased by 34.69 points to 3,969.96 points from 3,935.27 points.

At midweek, the value of securities traded by investors surged by 11,468.9 per cent to N21.5 million from N5.7 million, the volume of securities ballooned by 708.1 per cent to 49.5 million units from 185,420 units, and the number of deals soared by 21.7 per cent to 28 deals from 23 deals.

At the close of business, Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc was the most traded stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 3.4 billion units sold for N8.4 billion, trailed by CSCS Plc with 58.9 million units exchanged for N3.9 billion, and Okitipupa Plc with 27.8 million units traded for N1.9 billion.

GNI Plc also ended the trading session as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 3.4 billion units worth N8.4 billion, followed by Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units transacted for N415.7 million, and Infrastructure Guarantee Credit Plc with 400 million units valued at N1.2 billion.

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