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Naira May Fall as Dollar Rallies Amid US-Venezuela Tensions, US Data Focus

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naira value

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira is poised to weaken this week as the US Dollar rallies as investors ignore US-Venezuela tension and instead focused on a slate of US macroeconomic indicators due this week that could be crucial in steering Federal Reserve policy.

The indication of a weaker outcome for the Nigerian currency is seen as the American currency gained against a basket of currencies.

The greenback hit two-week highs against the Yen, Swiss Franc, and Canadian Dollar in the first full trading week of 2026.

The United States at the weekend, raided Venezuela and captured President Nicolas Maduro. US special operations forces seized the Venezuelan President and his wife, Cilia Flores, in a nighttime operation to bring him to the US to face a 2020 narco-terrorism indictment.

As of press time, the Dollar advanced 0.3 per cent to $1.1682 per Euro, after earlier touching its strongest level since December 10 at $1.1672.

It climbed as high as 157.295 on the Yen, 0.7951 on the Swiss Franc, and C$1.37771, all of which were the highest levels since December 22.

The American currency advanced 0.1 per cent to $1.3425 per British Pound, and added 0.3 per cent to $0.6670 versus the Aussie Dollar.

Traders currently expect two US rate cuts this year, according to calculations by LSEG based on futures.

Investors are also awaiting US President Donald Trump’s choice for the next Federal Reserve chair, as Jerome Powell’s term is set to end in May. US President Donald Trump has expressed his displeasure against Mr Powell and will be looking to replace him with a candidate that aligns with his policies.

President Trump has said he will announce his pick this month, and has said Powell’s successor will be “someone who believes in lower interest rates, by a lot.”

Meanwhile, the Naira last Friday closed the first session of 2026 positive against the US Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) as it gained N4.91 or 0.34 per cent to trade at N1,430.85/$1 compared to the previous rate of N1,435.76/$1.

Preliminary outlook shows that the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) reforms may help enhance efficiency and transparency in the FX market which will narrow the premium between the NAFEM and unofficial rates, and sustain exchange rate stability. In addition, improved domestic oil refining capacity is expected to reduce foreign exchange demand for fuel imports.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

Economy

Naira Slips to N1,343/$ at NAFEX

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Naira-Dollar exchange rate gap

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira sold at N1,343.64/$1 Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Friday, April 17, after shedding N1.34 or 0.10 per cent against the greenback from the previous day’s rate of N1,342.30/$1.

In the same vein, the Nigerian currency depreciated against the Pound Sterling in the same market window during the session by N5.03 to quote at N1,824.39/£1 versus the previous rate of N1,819.36/£1, and lost N10.05 against the Euro to sell at N1,591.14/€1 versus N1,581.09/€1.

At the GTBank FX desk, the exchange rate of the Naira to the Dollar remained unchanged at N1,355/$1, and it also maintained stability in the parallel market at N1,375/$1.

Interbank liquidity increased to N124.34 million from N74.255 million the previous day, data from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) showed.

Meanwhile, external reserves remain at $48.70 billion, down from the 2009 peak of $50 billion amidst uncertainties in the global commodities market.

Global oil prices dropped sharply on Friday after Iran signalled that the Strait of Hormuz would remain open to commercial shipping during a temporary ceasefire in the Middle East.

Crypt assets also gained on the news from Iran’s foreign minister, who declared the Strait of Hormuz open, drawing a positive response from President Donald Trump. The development helped ease worry around risky assets like crypto.

Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market was bullish, as traders weighed possible scenarios ahead of next week’s US-Iran cease-fire deadline.

Ethereum (ETH) appreciated by 3.2 per cent to $2,410.53, Bitcoin (BTC) jumped by 2.8 per cent to $77,124.22, Ripple (XRP) rose by 2.7 per cent to $1.47, Binance Coin (BNB) expanded by 2.5 per cent to $643.97, Dogecoin (DOGE) added 1.0 per cent to close at $0.0988, Cardano (ADA) improved by 0.9 per cent to $0.2578, Solana (SOL) soared by 0.4 per cent to $88.53, and TRON (TRX) gained 0.4 per cent to sell at $0.3275, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) traded flat at $1.00 apiece.

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Economy

Brent, WTI Tumble Over 9% on Hormuz Reopening Signal

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil prices plunged by 9 per cent on Friday after Iran said passage for all ​commercial vessels through the Strait of Hormuz was open for the remaining ceasefire period.

Brent crude futures lost $9.01 or 9.07 per cent to trade at $90.38 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures depreciated by $10.48 or 11.45 per cent to finish at $83.85 a barrel.

Iran said Friday that the Strait of Hormuz is “completely open” for the remainder of the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire, bolstering hopes of a breakthrough in the weeks-long crisis over the crucial oil route.

Iran had maintained its blockade of the strait despite a two-week ceasefire with the US, which expires on Tuesday, and previously said it would not open the key waterway while Israel continued to strike Lebanon.

Business Post had reported that oil prices weakened to around $88 per barrel after Iranian Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi posted on X that “all commercial vessels” would be allowed to pass through the strait throughout the remainder of the ten-day ceasefire in Lebanon.

US President Donald Trump thanked Iran on Truth Social, but stressed that the US naval blockade of the regime’s ports would remain “in full force and effect” until a peace deal was completed. “This process should go very quickly in that most of the points are already negotiated,” he added.

A second round of truce talks between the US and Iran is expected to take place as oil tankers are beginning to test the waters at the Strait of Hormuz.

Despite the fact that all ships can sail through the Strait of Hormuz, this passage needs to be coordinated with Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC).

Market analysts noted that if these initial tankers make it through, flows will begin to partially normalise. However, a handful of vessels does not equal restored capacity. The backlog alone will take significant time to clear, and producers across the region are still dealing with disrupted output and logistics.

Prices had already fallen earlier in the Friday session as possible ​further talks between the US and Iran over the weekend and a 10-day ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel raised investors’ hopes that the war in the Middle East could be ‌nearing an ⁠end.

The American President also said on Friday that the US has banned Israel from further bombing in Lebanon, using a harsher tone than usual with the ​longtime US ally.

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Economy

Nigerian Exchange Extends Stock Trading Hours to 4:00 pm

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By Dipo Olowookere

The daily stock trading hours on the floor of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) have been expanded by an hour to 4.00 pm after extensive stakeholder engagement, ensuring alignment and operational readiness ahead of the go-live date.

A statement from the bourse on Friday said the extension was approved by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

Before now, trading activity on Customs Street resumed from 9.30 am to 2:30 pm, but from Monday, April 27, 2026, the resumption time would be 9.00 am, and the closing gong would be struck by 4.00 pm from Monday to Friday.

It was explained that this action was taken “to deepen market liquidity, enhance price discovery, and broaden investor access.”

The NGX has witnessed renewed investor interest due to increased awareness of equities lately, especially as the nation and the global community await the much-anticipated listing of Dangote Refinery shares later in the year, all things being equal.

The statement also noted that this extended trading window would provide greater flexibility for investors, improve responsiveness to market-moving information, and support broader participation across the market.

The development builds on the momentum of Nigeria’s recent reclassification to Frontier Market status by FTSE Russell, reinforcing NGX’s global positioning and enhancing its attractiveness to a broader pool of domestic and international investors.

It further stated that this reform reflects strong regulatory collaboration and underscores the SEC’s continued commitment to advancing market development initiatives. Alongside Nigeria’s Frontier Market reclassification, it signals a deliberate shift towards a more accessible, liquid, and globally competitive market.

With this development, NGX reinforces its position as a leading multi-asset exchange, deepening liquidity, improving market access, and supporting efficient capital formation within Nigeria’s financial markets.

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