By Adedapo Adesanya
The new week saw prices of crude oil opening in the upward territory on Monday, November 23 as the eventuality of another coronavirus vaccination improved demand outlook for the commodity.
Rising to their strongest level since early September, the Brent crude gained 85 cents or 1.89 per cent to trade at $45.82 per barrel, while the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures moved up by 1.01 per cent or 43 cents to trade at $42.85 per barrel.
AstraZeneca Plc became the latest company to report a vaccine that protects most people from coronavirus. It was disclosed that vaccinations will hopefully start as soon as December 11 or 12.
It was reported that the vaccine stopped an average of 70 per cent of participants from falling ill. The effectiveness rose to 90 per cent for one of two regimens, using half a dose followed by a full one later, close to the high bar set by Pfizer Inc. and Moderna Inc.
Astra and Oxford officials said they’re preparing to submit the findings to regulators and don’t expect the different outcomes in the study to affect the process.
Despite the apparently lower efficacy than shots from Pfizer and Moderna, which each prevented by about 95 per cent of cases, the British vaccine has some advantages. Their shot can be kept at refrigerator temperatures, while those from Pfizer and Moderna require freezing for longer-term storage and transport. That would make Astra’s easier to deploy globally, particularly in lower and middle-income countries. It also comes at a lower cost.
Crude has now jumped around 20 per cent this month as pharmaceutical companies make rapid progress on vaccines. Optimism that relief from the pandemic is in sight has seen the market look past surging infections and more lockdown measures.
Equally lifting the market were expectations that the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies known as OPEC+ might extend a deal to restrain output.
The recent spike in coronavirus cases has been touted as a likely catalyst that will prompt the OPEC+ alliance to roll over the current 7.7 million barrels per day production cuts into 2021, instead of easing them by 2 million barrels per day from January.
The market is banking on an extension of the current OPEC+ cuts of three months through the end of the first quarter of 2021, and the group is reportedly also leaning toward such an extension. This is subject to a meeting set for next week Monday and Tuesday, (November 30 – December 1).
Another development that helped the market yesterday was the claims by Houthi rebels in Yemen in a statement that they struck a Saudi Arabia’s national oil company, Aramco fuel distribution centre in Jeddah on the kingdom’s west coast with a missile.
Although Aramco’s main oil facilities are in the east, a possible disruption to oil production can trigger price movement.
Dipo Olowookere