Economy
Nigeria Attracts $5.3bn Upstream Investments in 2025
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigeria has emerged as Sub-Saharan Africa’s leading upstream oil and gas investment destination in 2025, attracting $5.3 billion in capital, according to a report by industry intelligence firm, Wood Mackenzie.
The investment into the country happened despite an 18 per cent decline in upstream spending across the region, underscoring the impact of recent fiscal and regulatory reforms.
Wood Mackenzie disclosed that Nigeria retained the top spot for upstream capital inflows, even as investment activity slowed sharply across Africa.
Notably, only two Final Investment Decisions (FIDs) were recorded across Sub-Saharan Africa in 2025, with Nigeria securing one of them.
The FID was reached on the Shell–Sunlink HI Field (OML 144), a shallow-water non-associated gas project, following the introduction of Nigeria’s Non-Associated Gas (NAG) incentives in 2024.
The incentives restored the project’s commercial viability and unlocked critical gas feedstock for Nigeria LNG Limited (NLNG) which according to Wood Mackenzie signals a clear shift in investor confidence.
“Nigeria’s NAG incentives have materially improved gas economics, enabling projects that were previously marginal to reach FID,” the firm noted.
The latest investment milestone marks a sharp turnaround from previous years.
Between 2015 and 2023, Nigeria captured just 4 per cent of Africa’s sanctioned FIDs, securing $5 billion across six of 44 projects.
However, over the last two years, Nigeria has attracted 38 per cent of Africa’s sanctioned FIDs, accounting for $8 billion across five of eight projects continent-wide.
“This reversal highlights the impact of decisive reforms implemented over the past 24 months,” Wood Mackenzie said, adding that Nigeria now offers “among the most competitive deep-water fiscal terms globally and the most attractive gas terms in Africa,” it said.
Looking ahead, the firm expressed optimism that Nigeria will sustain the momentum into 2026. “With targeted incentives and a stable, investor-focused policy framework, we expect additional FIDs to be sanctioned,” it stated.
The resurgence positions Nigeria as a standout destination for upstream oil and gas investment at a time when capital discipline and policy uncertainty continue to weigh on much of Sub-Saharan Africa.
The Bola Tinubu administration has reiterated its commitment to boosting investment in the country’s energy sector, particularly in oil and gas. In May 2025, President Tinubu issued a new executive order (EO) to lower project costs, attract investment, and enhance revenues from oil and gas operations.
The new order builds on the administration’s 2024 presidential reform directives, which introduced enhanced fiscal terms, streamlined project timelines, and aligned local content policies with global best practices.
Economy
Subscription for FGN Savings Bonds Opens for March 2026 at 13.9%
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The Debt Management Office (DMO) has asked retail investors interested in investing in the FGN savings bonds to begin to talk to their financial advisers.
This is because subscription for the retail bonds for March 2026 has commenced and will close on Friday, March 6, according to a circular issued by the agency on Monday.
The debt office is selling two tenors of the debt instrument, with the shorter note maturing in two years’ time and the longer maturing a year later.
Details of the notice showed that the two-year paper is being offered at a coupon of 12.906 per cent, and the three-year paper at 13.906 per cent.
Both notes are sold at a unit price of N1,000, with a minimum subscription of N5,000 and in multiples of N1,000 thereafter, subject to a maximum subscription of N50 million. They can be purchased via approved stockbroking firms in Nigeria.
The FGN savings bond qualifies as a security in which trustees may invest under the Trustee Investment Act. It also serves as government securities within the meaning of the Company Income Tax Act (CITA) and the Personal Income Tax Act (PITA) for tax exemption for pension funds, amongst other investors.
It can be used as a liquid asset for liquidity ratio calculation for banks, and is listed on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited for trading at the secondary market.
The bond is backed by the full faith and credit of the Federal Government of Nigeria (FGN) and charged upon the general assets of the country.
Economy
Nigeria Splits OPL 245 into Four Blocks for Eni, Shell
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigeria has broken up the OPL 245 oil block into four new assets to be operated by Eni and Shell, potentially settling the future of the field at the centre of one of the oil industry’s biggest historic corruption trials.
According to Reuters, the agreement clears the way for the development of OPL 245, one of Nigeria’s biggest deepwater reserves that has remained untapped for almost three decades amid overlapping lawsuits in multiple countries.
The final contracts are expected to be signed starting Monday, the report said, citing a source familiar with the situation.
The Nigerian government had signalled for years that it was keen to find a solution that would bring the block into production. The source wished to remain anonymous as they are not authorised to comment on government policy before an official announcement.
Located in the Niger Delta’s deepwaters, the field has languished since its initial award in 1998 to Malabu Oil and Gas, a shadowy firm controlled by Mr Dan Etete, Nigeria’s oil minister at the time. The block is estimated to hold up to 9 billion barrels of oil equivalent in reserves—enough to rival Nigeria’s entire proven reserves if fully developed.
Mr Etete controversially awarded the lucrative licence to his own company for a nominal $20 million fee, sparking immediate controversy over conflicts of interest.
The saga escalated in 2011 when Malabu sold its rights to a Shell-Eni joint venture for $1.3 billion.
Italian and Nigerian prosecutors alleged that over $1 billion of that sum was siphoned off through bribes to politicians, middlemen, and Mr Etete himself, including hefty payments to then-President Goodluck Jonathan’s associates.
The two European energy giants and some of their former and current executives, including Eni CEO, Mr Claudio Descalzi, faced trial in Italy but all were acquitted in 2021, having denied all wrongdoing.
Shell and Eni have consistently denied wrongdoing, insisting the payments complied with due diligence.
The anti-graft agency, the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC), has pursued parallel probes, recovering over $200 million in frozen funds, but progress stalled amid political shifts.
Operations at the Nigerian oil block have been halted for more than a decade by a series of trials and competing legal claims.
In 2023, the federal government withdrew civil claims totalling $1.1 billion against Eni, ending the long battle.
Economy
Dangote Refinery, NNPC Raise Petrol Pump Price by N100
By Modupe Gbadeyanka
The price of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), otherwise known as petrol, has been increased by at least N100 per litre at the pump.
This followed the recent increase in the price of crude oil in the global market as a result of the bombardment of Iran by the United States and Israel over the weekend.
The air strikes killed the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mr Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and several others.
Iran has responded by firing missiles at US facilities in some Gulf countries, including Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrain, the UAE, and others.
Crude oil prices rose to about $80 per barrel on the market from about $70 per barrel before the Middle East crisis.
Oil marketers in Nigeria have responded to the tension and have raised the prices of petroleum products.
At most MRS Oil retail stations in Lagos, the new price notice showed an increase of about N100 per litre.
As of Monday, the price of PMS was N837 per litre, but on Tuesday morning, it had changed to N938 per litre, while at NNPC retail stations, it was N930 per litre instead of the previous N830 per litre.
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