Economy
Nigeria Helps OPEC to Ease January Oil Supply
By Adedapo Adesanya
An involuntary drop in Nigerian exports helped limit the amount of oil pumped by the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) in January, a Reuters survey shows.
Although the aggregate output rose to a seven-month high after the group and allies agreed to ease record supply curbs further, Africa’s largest producer was instrumental in capping the surge.
According to the survey, the 13-member cartel pumped 25.75 million barrels per day (bpd) in January, which is more than 160,000 barrels per day from December and a further increase from a three-decade low reached in June.
OPEC+, which groups OPEC and other producers led by Russia, agreed to pump more from January 1 and returns to output restraint again from February amid fears of a slow demand recovery.
The latest supply pact has helped oil to an 11-month high above $57 per barrel this year.
It was found that in the review period, the biggest supply increases came from Saudi Arabia and Iraq, the group’s top two producers, reflecting their higher quotas.
Iraq, which is a key laggard, is still making almost all of its pledged OPEC+ cuts, having struggled to do so in the past.
OPEC+ agreed to pump an extra 500,000 barrels per day in January, of which OPEC’s share is about 300,000 barrels per day, as world demand recovers to an extent from the coronavirus crisis.
The group has delivered just over half that amount, the survey found. As a result, the OPEC producers bound by the deal made 103 per cent of pledged cuts in January, up from 99 per cent achieved in December.
The third-largest gain in OPEC output came from Iran, which is exempt from OPEC cuts and hoping to raise exports this year if US sanctions are eased, the survey found.
Its exports have been rising since the fourth quarter, although they are still a fraction of the level in 2018 when former US President Donald Trump tightened sanctions.
Among the countries showing lower output, the biggest drop was in Nigeria after force a majeure was declared on exports of Qua Iboe, one of Nigeria’s largest production streams. Operator Exxon said on January 22 the force majeure was lifted.
Libya, also exempt from making cuts, is pumping slightly less after a brief blockade of some ports by guards.
Business Post had reported that recovery in the North African country last year had helped push OPEC output higher.
The Reuters survey aims to track supply to the market and is based on shipping data provided by external sources, Refinitiv Eikon flows data, information from tanker trackers such as Petro-Logistics and Kpler, and information provided by sources at oil companies, OPEC and consultants.
By Dipo Olowookere
Subscription for the July 2026 edition of the FGN savings bond is closing today, Friday, July 10.
The exercise started on Monday, July 6, with two tenures of two years and three years on offer to retail investors.
The retail bonds are sold by the federal government through the Debt Management Office (DMO) to raise funds for the country’s budget deficits.
The savings bond offers investors steady tax-free income. It is risk-free, backed by the Nigerian government, and listed on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited, allowing for secondary market trading and easy exit before maturity.
For the two-year FGN savings bond maturing on July 15, 2028, the debt office is offering it at a 14.716 per cent per annum interest rate, while the three-year FGN savings bond due July 15, 2029, is at 15.716 per cent per annum, with the interest on the investment being paid by the government every quarter.
Intending investors can purchase the debt instrument at a unit price of N1,000, subject to a minimum subscription of N5,000 and in multiples of N1,000 thereafter, subject to a maximum subscription of N50.0 million.
By Dipo Olowookere
The upward trend on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited continued on Thursday despite profit-taking in energy stocks by investors.
The local exchange further appreciated by 0.62 per cent yesterday, as market participants mopped up equities in the other key sectors, especially in the financial services.
The banking space rose by 1.33 per cent, the consumer goods counter expanded by 1.21 per cent, and the insurance index grew by 0.26 per cent, while the industrial goods segment closed flat, with the energy sector down by 0.19 per cent.
At the close of business, the All-Share Index (ASI) gained 1,498.75 points to finish at 243,958.73 points compared with the previous day’s 242,459.98 points, and the market capitalisation advanced by N962 billion to N156.548 trillion from N155.586 trillion.
The market breadth index remained positive, though the bears are giving the bulls a close marking. Customs Street ended the session with 28 price gainers and 26 price losers, representing strong investor sentiment.
International Breweries improved by 10.00 per cent to N12.10, First Holdco appreciated by 9.96 per cent to N69.55, Abbey Bank grew by 9.88 per cent to N8.90, Trans-Nationwide Express rose by 9.76 per cent to N3.26, and Honeywell Flour increased by 9.68 per cent to N17.00.
Conversely, Thomas Wyatt declined by 10.00 per cent to N2.70, Geregu Power shrank by 10.00 per cent to N825.70, McNichols moderated by 9.76 per cent to N5.55, UPDC slipped by 9.20 per cent to N3.95, and Neimeth contracted by 8.16 per cent to N9.00.
A total of 1.7 billion stocks valued at N112.0 billion were traded in 44,780 deals yesterday, in contrast to the 518.4 million stocks worth N22.8 billion traded in 48,495 deals on Wednesday, indicating a slip in the number of deals by 7.66 per cent, and a surge in the trading volume and value by 227.93 per cent and 391.23 per cent, respectively.
First Holdco was the busiest equity for the day, with a turnover of 1.3 billion units worth N85.6 billion. Zenith Bank exchanged 43.8 million units for N4.7 billion, Access Holdings transacted 41.0 million units valued at N1.0 billion, FCMB traded 17.7 million units worth N188.3 million, and Fidelity Bank sold 16.0 million units valued at N315.2 million.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Crude oil slid about 2 per cent on Thursday amid worries that rising inflation and other economic concerns could weigh on global oil demand despite fresh Middle East tensions.
Brent futures fell by $1.72 or 2.2 per cent to settle at $76.30 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude went down by $1.44 or 2.0 per cent to $72.08 per barrel.
Iranian armed forces launched attacks on US military infrastructure in Gulf states on Thursday following America’s strikes on its southern coastal and eastern provinces, further straining a three-week-old ceasefire agreement.
This adds to continued supply constraints as the US-Iran conflict has delayed the full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, where about 20 per cent of global oil supplies passed through the strait before the war.
On Thursday, only one tanker reportedly moved along the waterway, and it was a sanctioned Very Large Crude Carrier (VLCC) that passed along the Iran-controlled route along with an Iranian container ship.
According to Bloomberg, around 14 commodity-carrying vessels had traversed the Strait of Hormuz on Wednesday. In the past three weeks, following the ceasefire deal, the strait saw an average of 34 tanker crossings per day, peaking at 59 on June 24, data from Kpler showed.
Axios reported that the US Administration believes it has more room for escalation as millions of barrels of oil have managed to exit the Strait of Hormuz in recent weeks, easing concerns about oil price spikes.
Qatar, which has often mediated between the US and its adversaries, including Iran, condemned attacks on commercial shipping and called for a return to diplomacy. The foreign ministers of Turkey and Oman also stressed the need to avoid further military escalation in calls with their Iranian counterpart, Mr Abbas Araqchi.
Minutes of the US Federal Reserve’s June 16 to 17 meeting showed policymakers’ concerns about inflation mounted last month. When the US central bank boosts interest rates to keep inflation in check, it can reduce economic growth and cut oil demand.
In China, the world’s second-biggest economy behind the US, producer price inflation surged in June to its highest level in four years, piling pressure on manufacturers’ profit margins as weak domestic demand limited pricing power.
