Economy
Nigeria Improves Crude Oil Production to 1.186mbpd
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has confirmed that Nigeria increased its crude oil production by 171,000 barrels per day in November to 1.186mbpd, though about 700,000 barrels per day less than its quota for the month.
The oil cartel disclosed this in its Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR) for December, noting that considering direct oil production report from the country, Nigeria’s output increased by about 171,000 barrels per day last month to hit 1.186 million barrels per day.
The figure, the OPEC report indicated, was far less than Nigeria’s given 1.8 million barrels per day. This means that Nigeria is still producing below the 1.493 million barrels per day in 2020 and 2021 when it averaged 1.323 million barrels per day.
Nigeria’s production began to slump heavily in the first quarter of 2022, the report stated, when Nigeria drilled 1.3 million barrels per day on average. It further reduced to 1.133 million barrels in the second quarter and fell substantially to 999,000 barrels per day in quarter three of this year.
Nigeria has blamed oil theft and pipeline vandalism for its inability to meet its production allocation for about a year.
In terms of the general outlook, OPEC stated that Nigeria’s economy expanded by 2.3 per cent year-on-year in the third quarter of 2022, decelerating from the growth of 3.5 per cent year-on-year in Q2 2022.
The report explained that this marked the eighth consecutive quarter of growth, yet the slowest rate since the first quarter of 2021.
Moreover, it noted that economic conditions were challenged by the factors such as natural disasters that have hampered productivity in the country. Nigeria recently experienced massive flooding in at least one-third of its states.
Stating that the non-oil sector has been the key growth engine, OPEC stressed that this expanded at a slower pace of 4.3 per cent year-on-year in the third quarter compared with 4.8 per cent in 2Q22.
“The inflation rate accelerated to its highest level in 17 years in October as localised food and fuel shortages increased the headline inflation rate to 21.1 per cent y-o-y from 20.8 per cent y-o-y in September,” it added.
According to the report, OPEC oil production in November decreased by 744,000 barrels per day compared to October, which was 28.83 million barrels per day, with the members of the organisation fulfilling the oil agreement by 174 per cent.
“According to secondary sources, total OPEC-13 crude oil production averaged 28.83 million bpd in November 2022, lower by 744 bpd m-o-m.
“Crude oil output increased mainly in Nigeria and Angola, while production in Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait and Iraq declined,” the report said.
In the same vein, out of 13 OPEC countries which have obligations to limit production under the OPEC+ deal and were supposed to reduce oil production by 1.273 million barrels per day from the level of August, the total production reduction in November was 2.211 million barrels per day.
Economy
Uzoka-Anite Warns Against Inflation Risks from Oil, Gas Earnings Surge
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Minister of State for Finance and chairman of the Federation Account Allocation Committee (FAAC), Mrs Doris Uzoka-Anite, has cautioned that a projected surge in oil and gas revenues following President Bola Tinubu’s latest executive order could trigger inflationary pressures and exchange rate volatility if not carefully managed.
She said that the recent executive order mandating the direct remittance of certain oil sector revenues to the federation account would provide regulatory clarity and significantly strengthen revenues accruing to the federation account, but warned that sudden liquidity injections into the economy may complicate monetary policy coordination with the Central Bank of Nigeria and erode the real value of allocations to federal, state and local governments.
While addressing members of FAAC in Abuja, Mrs Uzoka-Anite commended President Tinubu on the order, describing the development as a structural fiscal correction aimed at restoring constitutional discipline to petroleum revenue management and enhancing distributable income across the three tiers of government.
She said that the revenue outlook was improving due to ongoing structural reforms introduced by the Federal Government.
According to her, the newly implemented tax reform measures are broadening the tax base, improving compliance and enhancing administrative efficiency.
“Also, the executive order signed by Mr President on February 13 is reinforcing revenue discipline in the oil and gas sector and reducing leakages,” she said.
The minister said that the order suspends the 30 per cent allocation to the Frontier Exploration Fund (FEF) and suspends the 30 per cent management fee on oil and gas profit payable to NNPC Limited.
She said that the order also directed that gas flare penalties be paid into the federation account, and mandated full remittance of petroleum revenues without unconstitutional deductions.
Mrs Uzoka-Anite said that the reform marks a shift from a retention-based oil revenue model to a gross remittance, federation-first model.
“The implications for FAAC are very significant; more oil and gas profit will now flow directly into the federation account.
“Gas flare penalties will become distributable revenue, and previously retained management fees will no longer reduce remittable inflows,” she said.
She said that the reforms were expected to result in higher monthly gross inflows into the federation account, and increased allocations to federal, state and local governments.
The minister said that a retrospective audit of the FFF, the Midstream and Downstream Gas Infrastructure, was due, and NNPC management fee deductions could lead to recoveries that may provide a one-off fiscal boost.
She welcomed the improved revenue outlook and cautioned against the risks associated with sudden liquidity injections.
“Experience shows that when revenues rise sharply and are distributed fully and immediately, large liquidity injections can increase inflationary pressures, complicate monetary management and reduce the real purchasing power of allocations,” she said.
She said that excess aggregate demand, exchange rate pressure, asset price distortions and inflationary risks could arise if increased inflows were not carefully managed.
Mrs Uzoka-Anite said that to mitigate such risks, she proposed phased disbursement of one-off recoveries.
She suggested that retrospective recoveries be staggered rather than injected into the economy in bulk, with a portion temporarily warehoused in a stabilisation buffer.
She also recommended strengthening the excess crude and stabilisation buffer mechanism to channel part of incremental inflows into a fiscal stabilisation window.
“This could offset revenue shortfalls in weaker months and reduce procyclicality in spending.
According to her, enhanced coordination with the CBN would be pursued to align fiscal injections with liquidity management tools and support open market operations where necessary.
Mrs Uzoka-Anite urged states and federal Ministries, Departments and Agencies (MDAs) to prioritise capital expenditure over recurrent expenditure.
She called for investment in infrastructure, agriculture, energy and other productive sectors, and avoid unsustainable wage or consumption spikes.
“Productive spending expands supply capacity and mitigates inflation,” she said.
She also announced plans to introduce monthly revenue transparency dashboards, production-to-remittance reconciliation reporting, and clear reporting of incremental inflows arising from tax reforms and the executive order.
The junior finance minister said that the reforms presented an opportunity to deepen fiscal federalism, enhance distributable revenue, restore constitutional clarity and strengthen trust among tiers of government.
She also advised that increased revenue must not translate into fiscal complacency.
“We must resist the temptation to treat incremental inflows as permanent windfalls. We should reduce debt burdens, clear arrears responsibly, build buffers and invest in growth-enhancing sectors,” she said.
Economy
Dangote Refinery Shares to be Available to Public in Five Months
By Adedapo Adesanya
The chairman of Dangote Group, Mr Aliko Dangote, has said that within the next five months, Nigerians should be able to purchase shares of Dangote Petroleum and Refinery.
Mr Dangote made this revelation on Sunday during a tour of the facility by the chief executive of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited, Mr Bayo Ojulari, alongside members of the company’s executive management.
The $20 billion refinery is the largest single-train refinery in the world with 650,000 barrels per day refining capacity. There are efforts to boost the capacity to 1.4 million barrels per day soon.
Speaking with journalists, Mr Dangote said, “And the other issue is that they (NNPC) are holding 7.25 per cent of the shares that we have here, which is more than the shares Elon Musk has in Tesla. And they are holding that on behalf of Nigerians,” he said.
“So individually, Nigerians too will have an opportunity in the next, maybe a maximum of four to five months. There will actually be an opportunity to buy the shares.”
He added that shareholders will have the option to receive their dividends in either naira or dollars, as the refinery also earns in dollars.
Commenting on Mr Ojulari’s visit, the billionaire businessman said the NNPC, represented by Mr Ojulari and its management team, was not just a guest but a shareholder.
“Today is really our best day ever” at the facility. I know NNPC invested in us when we were not really sure whether the refinery would be successful.
“So that’s the kind of level of confidence. But right now, the relationship with the new set of people that we have at NNPC, I think the sky is the limit, and we will cooperate and also make sure that we work together to make sure that we make Nigerians proud.”
Speaking on prospects of partnership with NNPC in the upstream sector, he said, “We have block 71, 72, but we’re going to look much deeper”.
“Most likely, depending on our own discussions with them, we will partner with them, maybe in some of the upstream. They, too, will partner with us here because here is not just a refinery, it’s an industrial hub.
“And that’s why we’re doing linear alkaline benzene, which is a raw material for detergents, ” he added.
Economy
NGX Investigates Zichis Stocks After 859% Rise in One Month
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited has launched an investigation into trading activities on the shares of Zichis Agro-Allied Industries Plc.
A notice from Customs Street on Monday disclosed that this has led to the suspension of the company for now.
This development comes about a month after Zichis was listed on the domestic bourse and placed in the growth board of the NGX.
In the circular, it was disclosed that the suspension may be lifted after the conclusion of the findings, but for now, investors will not be able to trade the organisation’s securities on the NGX platform.
“The suspension of trading in Zichis shares shall be lifted upon the conclusion of an investigation into the trading activities on the company’s shares,” a part of the disclosure stated.
The bourse explained that it wielded the big stick on Zichis in compliance with Rule 7.0, Rules on Suspension of Trading in Listed Securities, Rulebook of The Exchange (Issuers’ Rules).
This part of the law states that, “Notwithstanding any of the foregoing provisions, the exchange may, in accordance with any of its rules, place the trading of any security on suspension.
“It may also do so if it is of the view that such suspension will be in the interest of the investing public and in accordance with the SEC Rules.”
In announcing the action on the firm, the NGX declared that, “The shares of Zichis Agro-Allied Industries Plc have been suspended from trading on the facilities of Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX), effective today, Monday, February 23, 2026.”
Business Post reports that last week, shares of Zichis appreciated by 60.74 per cent to N17.36. It joined the stock exchange at N1.81, indicating it has gained N15.55 or 859.12 per cent in one month.
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