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Nigeria May Not Have Crude Oil in Next 50 Years, DPR Says

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By Adedapo Adesanya 

The Department of Petroleum Resources (DPR) has disclosed that Nigeria’s crude oil deposit could be exhausted in five decades from now.

This was contained in its latest Nigerian Oil and Gas Industry Annual Report, which noted that at current reserve depletion rate standing at 2.04 percent per annum, will cease in 2067.

The DPR then warned that this may be brought forward if oil is exploited at a greater rate as Nigeria may resort to a bigger oil production if its volatile economy faces a large scale crisis that upsets its current balance.

“The nation’s depletion rate and life index are 2.04 percent and 49.03 years respectively. These parameters lie within the long-term range.

“However, to achieve the aspiration of the Federal government of 4MMBOPD daily production and reserves of 40MMMB, there is the need for corresponding increase in reserves as production is increases, otherwise, the life index will fall from a sustainable long-term threshold to a less futuristic and sustainable medium to short term range,“ the document said.

The report further disclosed that the nation’s oil and condensate reserves was shared across various contract types namely Joint Venture, Production Sharing Contract, Sole Risk and Marginal Field.

Of this four, the Joint Venture, which is constituted by international oil exploration companies such as Mobil, Chevron and Total, is the highest production rate of nearly 41.64 percent. Interestingly, it has a low depletion rate in the neighbourhood of 1.8 percent and a high life index of 56.34 years.

The Production Sharing Contract, making up 36.08 percent of Nigeria’s total oil output, has the lowest life index of 32.15 years and the highest depletion rate currently 3.10 percent. This means that it poses the biggest threat to Nigeria’s oil future at its current production rate.

The Sole Risk, presently responsible for 20.14 percent of the national production, maintains the lowest depletion rate of 1.5 percent at the same time the highest life index of 65.49 years.

On its part, the Marginal Field contributes 2.14 percent to the nation’s production basket at a 2.7 percent depletion rate while maintaining a life index of 36.83 per cent.

Beyond the challenge that the depletion has on Nigeria’s revenue, it was revealed that oil will continue to face less demand as developed and emerging economies warm up for a large-scale migration from gasoline-powered cars to electric cars, shrinking need to buy the nation’s crude oil from some of Nigeria’s oil partners like the US, India, Brazil, Spain, France, and the Netherlands.

Currently, as the world move to alternative energy, patronage for electric cars is rising spurred in part by the massive campaign for the invention in the Western world and this means no large demand for oil.

Apart from the peerless benefit of offering renewable energy, electric cars easily promote the global massive campaign for environmental friendly initiatives and do not emit carbon which affects the environment.

Oil prices are also affected due to its volatility which faced a free-fall lately with Brent Crude (the international benchmark for Nigeria’s Bonny Light) tumbling from $70 per barrel to $57 a barrel since the year began following the spread of the coronavirus in China, one of Nigeria’s crude destinations.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

BudgIT Raises Alarm Over Poor Transparency in Nigeria’s Local Government Budgets

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Governance transparency platform, BudgIT, has expressed worry that only 10 states provided publicly accessible budget information for their Local Government Areas (LGAs).

The report, titled The Missing Tier: Mapping Local Government Budget Transparency in Nigeria, found that while six states offer partial or outdated disclosures, as many as 18 states do not publish any LGA budget data at all.

Despite the existence of these budgets at council secretariats nationwide, BudgIT noted that access remains largely restricted, particularly online.

“For most of Nigeria’s 774 local governments, those budgets are not publicly accessible online,” the report stated.

Among the states assessed, Ekiti emerged as the top performer, with a comprehensive system that includes detailed, up-to-date budget documentation for its councils.

Other states identified as making LGA budget information available include Ebonyi, Osun, Kebbi, Kogi, Enugu, Kaduna and Yobe.

However, the report cautioned that even among these states, data quality remains inconsistent, with several budgets either incomplete, outdated, or poorly structured.

BudgIT highlighted notable examples of improved accountability practices.

Ekiti State, for instance, publishes individual 2026 budgets for all its LGAs and LCDAs, accompanied by signed documents, consultation records, and standardised financial templates.

Cross River State also stood out for releasing individual council budgets, audited accounts, and quarterly performance reports.

Similarly, Borno State was commended for maintaining a consolidated 2025 budget alongside supporting financial documents, suggesting a structured and functional reporting system.

The report identified six states with limited transparency, providing only fragmented or outdated information.

Kano State, for example, publishes quarterly performance reports but lacks full-year approved budgets.

In Imo State, no LGA budgets were found, although a financial statement from the Accountant-General was available.

Ondo State reportedly released documents for only a portion of its LGAs, while Anambra published an appropriation law without detailed breakdowns. Ogun State, meanwhile, only provided data for 2024.

BudgIT further disclosed that a large number of states fail entirely to make LGA budgets public.

These include Abia, Adamawa, Akwa Ibom, Bauchi, Bayelsa, Benue, Delta, Edo, Gombe, Jigawa, Katsina, Lagos, Nasarawa, Niger, Oyo, Plateau, Rivers, Sokoto, Taraba, and Zamfara.

According to the organisation, the issue is not the absence of budget documents but the lack of public access to them.

“Yet for most of Nigeria’s 774 local governments, those budgets are not publicly accessible online,” the civic tech firm said.

BudgIT stressed that improving transparency at the local government level does not require complex reforms but rather a deliberate policy decision.

“Since state governments already publish their own budgets online, extending the same standard to local councils is neither complex nor costly; it is a matter of institutional choice,” the organisation said.

It added, “This choice is a critical one; Nigeria’s post-1999 experience with democracy has not had Local Governments with significant autonomy. Be that as it may, LGAs still have the opportunity to make public what they budget, what they spend and what they earn.”

Highlighting the benefits of openness, the report noted that transparency enables citizens to track public spending and hold officials accountable.

“Where they are withheld, accountability stops at the state level, leaving the tier closest to citizens financially opaque,” BudgIT said.

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Economy

NGX Regco Lifts Suspension on Zichis, Adjusts Share Price to N8.58

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By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The suspension earlier placed on trading in the shares of Zichis Agro-Allied Industries Plc has been lifted by the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Regulations Limited.

The regulatory subsidiary of NGX Group Plc placed an embargo on Zichis stocks after the price went up by nearly 900 per cent within one month of its listing on the NGX Limited in January 2026.

The action was taken to find out if there was any form of manipulation in the price movement of the new firm on Customs Street to protect market integrity.

Zichis was listed on the growth board of the bourse by introduction at a unit price of N1.81, but within a month, its share price rose to N17.36 per unit, indicating an 859.12 per cent surge.

In a notice to the investing community today, the Head of Issuer Regulation Department at NGX, Mr Godstime Iwenekhai, confirmed the lifting of the suspension on Zichis.

“Kindly refer to our market bulletin referenced NGXREG/IRD/MB23/26/02/23 and dated February 23, 2026, titled Notification of Suspension of Trading in the Shares of Zichis Agro-Allied Industries Plc, wherein trading license holders and the investing public were notified of the suspension of trading in the shares of Zichis Agro-Allied Industries Plc, pursuant to Rule 7.0: General, Rules on Suspension of Trading in Listed Securities, Rulebook of The Exchange, 2015 (Issuers’ Rules), as amended.

“Trading licence holders and the investing public are hereby informed that NGX Regulation Limited has concluded its investigation into the trading activities in the company’s shares and has implemented corrective measures to safeguard market integrity in line with its mandate to promote a fair, orderly and efficient market.

“Accordingly, the suspension placed on trading in the shares of Zichis Agro-Allied Industries Plc has been lifted, effective Monday, March 23, 2026,” the notice read.

Business Post reports that the share price of Zichis has been adjusted downward from N17.36 to N8.58 after the suspension was lifted.

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Economy

Dangote Refinery Exports 456,000 Tonnes of Fuel to Five African Countries

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By Adedapo Adesanya 

The Dangote Petroleum Refinery said it has strengthened Nigeria’s presence in the regional energy market with the successful sales of 12 cargoes, by traders, totalling 456,000 tonnes of refined petroleum products.

The shipments by traders, destined for countries such as Cote d’Ivoire, Cameroon, Tanzania, Ghana, and Togo, represent the refinery’s export of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) since achieving 650,000 barrels a day capacity in February, according to a statement by the Refinery.

The products were sold on a FOB (Free on Board) basis to the end international traders for deliveries to the above-identified countries of export.

This accomplishment, the Refinery noted, underscores its capability not only to meet but to exceed Nigeria’s domestic fuel demands.

“It also demonstrates the refinery’s growing role in supplying high-quality Euro 5 gasoline and diesel to West Africa — a region long underserved and historically regarded as a dumping ground for lower-quality fuels, and other regions which have become destinations of exports.

“By supplying neighbouring and other economies, the Dangote Refinery is expected to contribute to enhancing energy security in West, East, and Central Africa, reducing logistics and supply chain delays associated with long-distance fuel imports, lowering cost pressures on regional fuel markets through proximity sourcing, and as well as building stronger trade relations between Nigeria and key African economies”, the statement added.

The sale comes amid widening global worries about fuel supplies as the tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, which serves as the critical chokepoint for roughly 20 per cent of global oil and LNG trade, has slowed sharply amid escalating military activity in the Gulf.

The conflict in the region has sent oil prices above $113 per barrel in recent weeks and has made economies worry about inflationary worries.

President Bola Tinubu expressed concerns over the negative impact the crisis in the Middle East would have on the Nigerian economy, noting that efforts are being made to ensure the citizens, especially the vulnerable, are catered to by the government.

Western economies could release additional volumes of crude from storage should the need arise after it released 400 million barrels of crude from OECD reserves to cushion the blow to oil markets.

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