Economy
Nigeria Meets Only 19% OPEC+ Cut Compliance
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigeria met only 19 percent of its promised reduction in line with the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) agreed cuts for the month of May 2020.
OPEC oil output hit the lowest in two decades in May as Saudi Arabia and other members started to deliver a record supply cut. OPEC and its allies in April agreed to cut supply by a record 9.7 million bpd from May 1 in order to lift slump in demand and prices caused by the coronavirus crisis.
In a survey carried out by Reuters over the weekend, it was discovered that Nigeria, alongside Iraq, did not fully comply with their share of the reduction.
On average, the 13-member OPEC pumped 24.8 million barrels per day in the month of May, compared with 30.71 million barrels per day in April.
In the month of May, they delivered 4.48 million barrels per day of the pledged reduction, equal to 74 percent compliance, the survey found.
May’s output was the lowest by OPEC since 2002, excluding membership changes since then, the survey records show.
Providing a breakdown, the biggest drop in supply came from Saudi Arabia, which pumped a record 11.7 million barrels in April. Saudi’s supply is expected to drop even further in June after it agreed to cut one million barrels per day
The United Arab Emirates and Kuwait also cut back sharply, sources in the survey said. Both had also pumped at record rates in April.
The sharp cuts in May, however, are watered down by the fact that several OPEC members, including Kuwait, the UAE, and Saudi Arabia, produced record-high volumes in April, which flooded the market in the face of a demand plunge.
For May, Iraq reached just 38 percent compliance with its promised cuts, continuing a trend it also had in 2019.
Venezuela and Iran reduced output in May, while Libyan supply was steady. All three were exempt from voluntary cuts because of US sanctions or internal issues limiting production.
Iran is seeing a drop in fuel use because of the coronavirus outbreak, compounding the impact of sanctions on supply. Venezuela, contending with both US sanctions and a long-term decline in output, posted another drop in exports.
Oil output in Libya has plunged since January 18 due to a blockade of ports and fields by groups loyal to eastern-based commander, Khalifa Haftar. Production averaged 100,000 barrels per day in May, the survey found.
Economy
Nigeria Exports 950,000 Barrels of Cawthorne Blend Crude
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited has marked a major milestone with the introduction and successful lifting of 950,000 barrels of Cawthorne Blend crude into the global market, a move aimed at boosting Nigeria’s production output and supporting its quota targets.
The feat was achieved through the FSO Cawthorne vessel, Nigeria’s first new crude oil terminal in 50 years, according to a statement by the Sahara Group on Monday, as the company said it welcomed the development.
It was recently reported that the country would introduce a new light sweet crude called Cawthorne in March. The launch of the new grade is part of Nigeria’s broader push to lift production, which has been constrained for years by crude oil theft, pipeline vandalism, and security challenges in the Niger Delta.
Cawthorne crude, which has an API gravity of 36.4, is similar in quality to Nigeria’s flagship Bonny Light, a grade widely valued by refiners for its high yields of gasoline and diesel.
The introduction of the grade could increase Nigeria’s crude and condensate supply from about 1.65 million barrels per day to roughly 1.7 million barrels per day for the rest of the year, depending on operational stability and market demand.
“Over the weekend, the first shipment of 950,000 barrels from FSO Cawthorne, Nigeria’s newest oil terminal, was initiated following its licensing and gazetting by the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC)”, the statement read in part.
FSO Cawthorne serves as a critical offshore production support asset, providing storage and offtake capabilities for crude produced from OML 18 and nearby producing assets.
On its part, Sahara Group, a global energy and infrastructure conglomerate, reiterated the strategic role of FSO Cawthorne in strengthening Nigeria’s energy security through its reliable production, storage, and evacuation infrastructure.
Sahara Group also recognised the advanced technologies deployed on FSO Cawthorne, noting that the facility incorporates cutting‑edge systems supported by artificial intelligence‑enabled monitoring and robust QHSE frameworks, enhancing operational efficiency, asset integrity, safety performance, and environmental stewardship.
Sahara commended NNPC for its leadership of Oil Mining Lease (OML) 18 and surrounding assets in the eastern Niger Delta, where Sahara Group is a joint operator and joint venture partner, noting that the company’s collaborative approach continues to drive continuous improvement and value delivery across Nigeria’s upstream sector.
Mr Tosin Etomi, Head, Commercial and Planning at Asharami Energy (a Sahara Group Upstream company), said the crude lifting from FSO Cawthorne represents a defining moment for the asset, the OML 18 partnership, and the wider oil and gas sector.
“The successful commencement of crude lifting from FSO Cawthorne is a significant milestone for the OML 18 partnership and a strong demonstration of what can be achieved through shared vision, technical discipline and committed collaboration,” Mr Etomi said.
Mr Etomi noted that the milestone aligns with Sahara Group’s broader upstream strategy, which is focused on building a resilient, scalable, and responsible production portfolio anchored on strong partnerships, asset optimisation, and long‑term value creation.
“The transition of FSO Cawthorne into active export is consistent with our upstream growth strategy, prioritising operational excellence, indigenous participation and infrastructure capable of sustainably supporting Nigeria’s production ambitions,” he said.
He noted that Sahara Group’s upstream portfolio includes a growing oilfield services division, which is redefining innovation, efficiency, and sustainability in the sector.
“Our expanding oilfield services capabilities are integral to our upstream vision, enabling smarter operations, improved efficiencies, and responsible resource development,” Etomi said.
“Sustainable social impact interventions and community participation have been key drivers of our upstream success, and we remain committed to aligning our operations with the highest global environmental, social, and governance standards.”
Mr Etomi also commended host communities and key regulatory and operational institutions, including the NUPRC, the Nigerian Ports Authority (NPA), the Nigeria Customs Service, and the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA), for their support in ensuring seamless operations.
Economy
GCR Affirms Champion Breweries Ratings, Upgrades Outlook to Stable
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The national scale long-term rating of BBB+(NG) and the short-term issuer rating of A2(NG) assigned to Champion Breweries Plc have been affirmed by GCR Ratings.
The rating agency, in a statement, also disclosed that the brewery firm’s outlook on the ratings has been upgraded to stable from rating watch evolving.
The outlook was revised by GCR after the successful acquisition of the Bullet brand by Champion Breweries, while sustaining leverage metrics within those consistent with the current rating level despite the spike in debt.
The outlook reflects the expectation that Champion Breweries’ expanded business profile would support strong earnings growth and cash generation, which could offset the emerging strain on gearing and liquidity.
It was also noted that the affirmed ratings of Champion Breweries were underpinned by strong earnings quality and expected product and geographical diversification following the recent acquisition. These strengths are partly offset by the ramp-up of debt for working capital and partial funding of the acquisition, though gearing metrics remain modest.
Last month, Champion Breweries completed the acquisition of the Bullet brand from UK-incorporated Sun Mark International Limited through a special purpose vehicle (SPV), namely EnjoyBerv (Netherlands).
Under the shareholding agreement, Champion Breweries owns 80 per cent while Sun Mark retains a minority interest in the SPV.
The company’s product portfolio is, therefore, expanded from two limited-reach brands previously to a more diversified base with multiple offerings.
The Bullet brand’s multi-market presence across West and Central African markets, combined with its sizeable share of the regional ready-to-drink energy segment, further strengthens the assessment of the company’s competitive position.
However, the realisation of the expected synergy from the acquisition is dependent on the effective management of execution and integration risks, including supply chain management and the company’s ability to consolidate access to Bullet’s dominant markets.
Economy
Nigerian Manufacturers Seek Cover from Middle East War-Induced Risks
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN) is seeking protection from the federal government amid rising concerns over the impact of escalating Middle East tensions on Nigeria’s manufacturing sector, particularly risks linked to disrupted global shipping routes, volatile energy markets, and supply chain bottlenecks.
MAN noted, “Its vigilance regarding the escalating military tensions involving the United States, Israel, and Iran. These events have significant implications for the global macroeconomic landscape, which can indirectly impact Nigeria.”
The director-general of MAN, Mr Segun Ajayi-Kadir, expressed that this situation arises at a pivotal moment when Nigeria has seen its annual inflation rate positively ease to 15.10 per cent, and manufacturing capacity utilisation has begun to exceed the 60 per cent mark, saying, however, the current geopolitical turbulence poses challenges that require careful navigation to protect the economic progress achieved.
“Although these conflicts are occurring far from our shores, their economic consequences may directly influence the Nigerian economy.
“We are particularly attentive to issues surrounding global shipping disruptions, fluctuating energy markets, and potential supply chain bottlenecks that could challenge local production,” Ajayi-Kadir stated.
Mr Ajayi-Kadir further explained that the recent hostilities in the Middle East are reshaping the global energy and logistics environment.
“With critical disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, the global markets have become unsettled, reflected in rising Brent crude prices exceeding $84.50 per barrel, and increased global freight and war-risk insurance premiums as vessels seek safer routes,” he stated.
For Nigerian manufacturers, MAN DG added that the implications of these developments are immediate and significant, increasing production costs, saying that historically, disruptions in the U.S. and the Middle East have reverberated throughout the global economy, and Nigeria is no exception.
He noted that “while a rise in global oil prices could theoretically benefit Nigeria by bolstering foreign exchange reserves and contributing to the stability of the Naira, the current reality presents a complex challenge. Nigeria’s domestic crude production hovers around 1.3 to 1.4 million barrels per day due to ongoing structural challenges, limiting the ability to fully leverage potential gains.”
He disclosed that in terms of trade relations, the United States remains one of Nigeria’s most vital partners, stating that given the existing conflict, disruptions in this crucial trade relationship could lead to increased costs for global freight forwarding and longer lead times for imported raw materials, potentially resulting in imported inflation.
According to him, the manufacturing sector is poised to face a variety of immediate and complex challenges, including rising energy costs, which are particularly relevant given that manufacturers depend heavily on gas and diesel for effective operations.
“Additionally, increasing freight costs and longer shipping times are making it more expensive to procure raw materials. Furthermore, heightened costs for essential goods could diminish consumer purchasing power, presenting manufacturers with the challenge of rising production costs amid stagnant or declining sales.”
In identifying the sectors most likely to be affected, MAN emphasised that the impact of global conflicts is not uniformly distributed, adding that “while the entire real sector is likely to feel the pressure, specific groups such as the Chemical and Pharmaceuticals Sector and the Basic Metals, Iron, and Steel Sector may encounter unique challenges.
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