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Economy

Nigeria Missing in Top 10 Safest Countries for Foreign Investment List

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foreign direct investment

By Dipo Olowookere

A new report which listed the Top 10 Safest Countries for Foreign Investment has excluded Nigeria despite the efforts of the administration of President Bola Tinubu to make the country the preferred place to do business.

Since assuming office on May 29, 2023, Mr Tinubu has carried out some economic reforms aimed to attract investors to Nigeria, including the liberalisation of the foreign exchange (FX) market, removal of petrol subsidy, and streamlining the tax regime, among others.

In a recent study by Atmos, top 30 countries were identified based on economic stability, investment attractiveness, and political and economic stability.

In the outcome of the research made available to Business Post on Monday, it was stated that countries were evaluated using six metrics: economic stability rank, political stability score, global peace index, investment attractiveness, foreign direct investments (FDI), and GDP per capita. These metrics were ranked, with the top country receiving a score of 100.

“When evaluating investment potential, it’s clear that economic strength alone doesn’t paint the full picture.

“Political stability and a peaceful environment are equally essential in fostering a climate that attracts long-term investment. Investors are drawn to countries where risks are minimized and confidence in future growth is high, making these factors just as critical to a nation’s financial appeal,” the chief executive of Atmos, Mr Nick Cooke, stated.

Switzerland led the ranking as the lowest risk country to invest in, with a score of 100. It featured exceptional economic fundamentals and the highest GDP per capita among the top-ranked countries at nearly $100,000. Switzerland demonstrates balance across all metrics, ranking 2nd in economic stability while maintaining excellent political stability (1.07) and peace index scores (1.33).

Singapore followed in 2nd with a score of 90.21, standing out with the highest investment attractiveness (82.4) among the top three nations and exceptional foreign direct investment inflows of over $175 million, outperforming Switzerland in this metric. The city-state’s strategic position in Southeast Asia, combined with its second-place economic stability ranking, creates a powerful investment hub. Singapore’s global peace index of 1.3 is the best among all ranked countries, reflecting its excellent security environment.

The third of the list was Canada with a score of 89.53, demonstrating exceptional investment attractiveness (86.6) and solid political stability (0.82). Canada’s balanced approach to foreign investment has resulted in substantial foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows exceeding $47 million, positioning it as a reliable North American investment alternative. The country maintains strong economic fundamentals, offering a reasonable GDP per capita of $53,431.

Japan ranked 4th with a score of 88.77, featuring the highest investment attractiveness score (86.8) among all countries in the index. The Asian country has an excellent political stability (0.951) and a strong peace index rating (1.33), creating a secure environment for foreign capital. Despite having a lower GDP per capita than other top-five nations at $33,766, Japan’s economic resilience and technological innovation continue to attract nearly $20 million in foreign investments.

The 5th place was occupied by Germany with a score of 86.32. As Europe’s largest economy, Germany maintains excellent economic stability (ranked 3rd), following Switzerland and Singapore, and a strong investment attractiveness (84.6). With GDP per capita exceeding $54K and foreign direct investments approaching $20 million, Germany represents the centerpiece of European investment security.

Denmark is the 6th-lowest risk country to invest in, with a score of 84.38, featuring an impressive GDP per capita of $68,453 and excellent political stability (0.85). Denmark’s peace index of 1.3 places it among the safest nations globally, though its relatively modest FDI figures of $4.5 million reflect its smaller market size. The Nordic nations’ consistent economic policies and transparent business environment remain key strengths for investors seeking stability.

In the 7th, Australia scored 84.08, balancing strong political stability (0.921) with excellent investment attractiveness (81.9). Australia has attracted substantial foreign direct investments exceeding $32.5 million, second only to Singapore among the top ten countries. Australia has attracted $32.5 million in foreign investments, substantially higher than Denmark and second only to Singapore. It also offers a GDP per capita of $64,820 with a relatively stronger peace index (1.525) compared to several preceding countries.

Norway was in 8th with a score of 82.44. With the second-highest GDP per capita at $87,925, Norway only trails Switzerland in this metric. It maintains solid political stability (0.89) and investment attractiveness (78.8), though its economic stability rank (11th) is the lowest among the top ten countries. The Nordic nation has attracted over $10.7 million in foreign investments despite its relatively small market size.

The United Arab Emirates took the 9th position with a score of 80.71, claiming the top position in economic stability among all countries in the index. The UAE combines this economic strength with moderate political stability (0.681) and substantial foreign investments exceeding $22.3 million. At the same time, its relatively weaker peace index score (1.979) and lower investment attractiveness (59.6) compared to other top nations prevent a higher overall ranking.

The 10th spot was grabbed by New Zealand with a score of 76.96, featuring excellent peace index ratings (1.31) but faces challenges with its economic stability ranking (18th) and modest foreign investment inflows of $3.59 million. The country’s investment attractiveness score of 63.0 is significantly lower than that of other top-ranked nations, reflecting its geographical isolation and smaller market size.

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Economy

NASD Market Falls 1.18% to Extend Losing Streak

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NASD OTC exchange

By Adedapo Adesanya

The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange extended its stay in the south for the fourth consecutive session after it shed 1.18 per cent on Friday, March 13.

The unlisted securities market recorded a loss despite closing without a price decliner, and ending with two price gainers led by Geo Fluids Plc, which gained 1o Kobo to sell at N3.10 per share compared with the previous day’s N3.00 per share. Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc appreciated during the session by 2 Kobo to trade at 54 Kobo per unit versus Thursday’s closing price of 52 Kobo per unit.

When the market closed for the day, the market capitalisation lost N29.83 billion to close at N2.489 trillion compared with the N2.519 trillion it finished a day earlier, and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) crashed by 49.84 points to 4,160.46 points from 4,210.31 points.

Market activity improved yesterday, as the volume of transactions rose 179.5 per cent to 10.4 million units from 3.7 million units, but the value of trades declined by 68.4 per cent to N29.9 million from N95.0 million, while the number of deals weakened by 11.5 per cent to 46 deals from 52 deals.

Central Securities Clearing Systems (CSCS) Plc remained the most active stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 38.4 million units worth N2.4 billion, Okitipupa Plc followed with 6.4 million units traded at N1.1 billion, and FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc transacted 6.3 million units for N584.3 million.

Resourcery Plc ended the trading session as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 1.1 billion units valued at N415.6 million, trailed by Geo-Fluids Plc with 130.8 million units valued at N504.5 million, and CSCS Plc with 38.4 million units worth N2.4 billion.

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Economy

Naira Trades N1,366/$1 at Official Market, N1,400/$1 at Black Market

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Black Market

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira continued to claw back some gains against the Dollar in the different segments of the foreign exchange (FX) market, as its value was strengthened on Friday.

In the black market, it gained N10 against the United States Dollar yesterday to close at N1,400/$1 compared with the preceding day’s rate of N1,410/$1, and at the GTBank forex counter, it chalked up N6 to close at N1,385/$1, in contrast to the N1,391/$1 it was traded a day earlier.

Similarly, in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX), it appreciated against the greenback during the session by N5.28 or 0.38 per cent to quote at N1,366.23/$1 versus Thursday’s closing price of N1,371.51/$1.

It also improved its value against the Pound Sterling in the official market on Friday by N21.81 to settle at N1,812.99/£1 compared with the previous day’s N1,834.80/£1, and gained N13.86 against the Euro to sell at N1,568.03/€1 versus N1,581.89/€1.

Pressure eased further on the FX market as the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) continued interventionist operations this week, selling Dollars to banks to boost liquidity after a $500 million boost last week.

This was complemented by inflows from foreign investors, exporters and non-bank corporates, among others, while Nigeria’s gross external reserves remained above $50 billion, the highest since 2009.

The Governor of the apex bank, Mr Yemi Cardoso, also eased fears of a Naira devaluation, saying the country’s financial system has been strengthened by reforms.

Regardless, external pressure looms as the US Dollar strengthened globally due to its war with Iran, now ongoing for three weeks.

Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market was largely down as traders and investors continue to align with current realities.

The market is adapting to the conflict in real time. Early in the war, every headline produced an outsized reaction because nobody could price the tail risk. Now, traders have a framework where strikes happen, oil spikes and bitcoin dips only to recover again.

Cardano (ADA) depreciated by 3.8 per cent to $0.2623, Dogecoin (DOGE) lost 1.7 per cent to finish at $0.0948, Ripple (XRP) slumped 1.5 per cent to $1.39, Solana (SOL) dropped 1.4 per cent to sell for $87.33, Binance Coin (BNB) went down by 1.3 per cent to $653.58, Bitcoin (BTC) declined by 1.1 per cent to $70,670.63, and Ethereum (ETH) decreased by 0.9 per cent to $2,078.78.

However, TRON (TRX) appreciated by 1.7 per cent to $0.2941, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 apiece.

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Economy

Oil Stays Above $100 as Strait of Hormuz Traffic Stalls

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Oil Prices fall

By Adedapo Adesanya

The price of the major crude oil grade, Brent crude oil, closed above $100 on Friday for the second consecutive session, as the Iran war heads toward its third week, with oil tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz still effectively at a standstill.

It gained 2.67 per cent or $2.68 during the trading day to close at $103.14 per barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil grade appreciated by 3.11 per cent or $2.98 to settle at $98.71 per barrel.

Brent futures were up about 10 per cent for the week following the 27 per cent rise seen last week, which marked the biggest weekly gain in oil prices since the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. WTI futures, which saw their best week since 1983 last week, ended the week more than 8 per cent higher.

US President Donald Trump said American forces launched a major bombing raid on Iran’s strategic Kharg Island, targeting military facilities on the key Persian Gulf outpost while warning Iran that its vital oil infrastructure could be destroyed if shipping in the Strait of Hormuz is disrupted.

The terminal accounts for roughly 90 per cent of Iranian crude shipments, loading millions of barrels per day onto tankers bound largely for Asian markets.

The US and Israel’s strikes in the conflict have largely targeted Iranian military and nuclear infrastructure. Oil facilities elsewhere in Iran have been hit, but Kharg’s massive storage tanks, jetties, and pipelines had remained untouched until the latest strike.

Iran’s new supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, vowed to keep fighting in a message delivered via state television.

There have been a number of attacks on foreign ships in or near the Strait, feeding into concerns that a prolonged war could translate to a global economic shock.

Prices are rising despite the US and its allies rolling out some measures to keep a lid on energy costs.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) has agreed to release 400 million stockpiled barrels, the largest such action in history.

The US has issued a 30-day waiver for India to purchase sanctioned oil from Russia. President Donald Trump is considering loosening rules under the Jones Act that require American ships to transport goods between domestic ports, including oil and gas, in an effort to lower costs.

Traders are continuing to monitor developments in the Middle East.

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