Economy
Nigeria Records N6.45trn Trade Surplus in Q2 2024
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigeria recorded a trade surplus of N6.45 trillion in the second quarter of 2024, the latest data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) shows.
A trade surplus occurs when the value of a nation’s exports exceeds its imports. If the import outweighs the export, it is a deficit.
According to the Q2 2024 Foreign Trade in Good Statistics Q2 2024 report, the value of Nigeria’s total imports stood at N12.47 trillion during the period under review while the total exports were valued at N19.4 trillion.
The import data indicated a decrease of 10.71 per cent compared with the value of N13.97 trillion recorded in
Q1, 2024 and a rise of 97.93 per cent from the value recorded in the corresponding quarter of 2023, which was N6.3 trillion.
Export-wise, at N19.42 trillion, this reflected a 1.31 per cent increase compared to N19.18 trillion in Q1 2024 and a 201.76 per cent rise compared to N6,435.13 billion in Q2 2023.
In the second quarter of 2024, China remains Nigeria’s highest trading partner on the import side, followed by Belgium, India, the United States of America, and The Netherlands.
The most traded commodities during the quarter were Motor spirit ordinary, Gas oil, Durum wheat, Butanes and Cane sugar meant for sugar refineries while its top export destinations were Spain, the US, France, India, and The Netherlands.
The most exported commodities included crude oil, liquefied natural gas, and other petroleum gases in a gaseous state, superior-quality cocoa beans, and urea.
Between April and June, the value of agricultural goods imported in Q2 2024 was N893.25 billion, reflecting a decrease of 2.96 per cent when compared to N920.54 billion in Q1 2024, and an increase of 96.4 per cent compared to N454.85 billion in Q2 2023.
In Q2 2024, raw material imports were valued at N1,48 trillion, representing a 0.96 per cent increase from N1.47 trillion in Q1 2024 and a significant rise of 160.9 per cent from N567.80 billion in Q2 2023 and solid mineral imports were valued at N96.80 billion, a 35.6 per cent increase from N71.38 billion in the preceding quarter and a 206.1 per cent increase from N31.63 billion in Q2 2023.
In the reviewed quarter, the value of imported manufactured goods was N5.6. trillion, reflecting a 2.8 per cent decline from N5.7 trillion in Q1 2024 and an 84.7 per cent rise from N3.0 trillion in Q2 2023.
Meanwhile, the value of other oil products imports in Q2, 2024 stood at N4.4 trillion showing a decrease of 23.3 per cent from N5,772.35 billion in Q1 2024 and a 98.6 per cent rise from N2.2 trillion in Q2 2023.
For exports, the total value of agricultural goods that Nigeria sent to other countries in Q2 2024 amounted to N973.69 billion, a 5.9 per cent decrease from N1.04 trillion in the preceding quarter of the year and a 246.7 per cent rise from N280.87 billion in Q2 2023.
The value of raw material exports in Q2 2024 was N366.91 billion, a rise of 4.01 per cent from N352.75 billion in Q1 2024 and by 151.9 per cent from N145.62 billion in the same period last year while solid mineral exports were valued at N58.56 billion, a 7.7 per cent decrease from N63.41 billion in Q1 2024 and a 71.8 per cent rise from N34.09 billion in Q2 2023.
The value of manufactured goods exports in Q2 2024 was N480.82 billion, reflecting a 78.9 per cent increase versus N268.70 billion in Q1 2024 and a 126.7 per cent increase from N212.14 billion in Q2 2023 while crude oil exports in Q2 2024 were valued at N14.6 trillion, a decrease of 5.9 per cent compared to N15.5 trillion in Q1 2024 and increased by 190.9 per cent from N5.00 trillion in Q2 2023.
Other oil product exports in Q2 2024 stood at N2.9 trillion, showing an increase of 53.3 per cent from N1.9 trillion in Q1 2024 and a 293.5 per cent rise from N740.74 billion in Q2 2023.
Economy
Tinubu to Present 2025 Budget of N47.9trn to NASS December 17
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
On Tuesday, December 17, 2024, President Bola Tinubu will present the 2025 budget to a joint session of the National Assembly.
The size of the 2025 Appropriation Bill is about N47.9 trillion and would be presented to the parliament for approval.
Speaking at the plenary on Thursday, December 12, 2024, the President of the Senate, Mr Godswill Akpabio, said the presentation by Mr Tinubu would be at the chamber of the House of Representatives.
However, it is not certain if the lawmakers will pass the budget before December 31 to allow for a recent budget cycle of January to December.
Recall that on December 3, the senate approved the Medium Term Expenditure Framework and Fiscal Strategy Paper (MTEF/FSP) for 2025 to 2027.
This was after the President presented this the National Assembly on November 19 ahead of the consideration of the 2025 budget proposal.
In the MTEF/FSP, the government said it planned to borrow about N9.22 trillion from local and foreign sources to finance the budget deficit.
It pegged the crude oil benchmark at $75 per barrel and a daily oil production of 2.06 million barrels at an exchange rate of N1,400 to $1, and a targeted gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate of 6.4 percent.
At the plenary today, Mr Akpabio informed his colleagues that, “The President has made his intention known to the National Assembly to present the 2025 budget to the joint session of the National Assembly on December 17, 2024.”
Economy
Nigeria Adds 150,000 b/d Crude Production in November 2024
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigeria added 150,000 barrels per day to its crude production in November 2024 as it continues to pursue an ambitious 2 million barrels per day target.
According to the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Nigeria’s oil production rose to 1.48 million barrels per day in November, up from 1.33 million barrels per day the previous month.
In its Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR), OPEC revealed that at 1.48 million barrels per day, it is the continent’s leading oil producer, surpassing Algeria’s 908,000 barrels per day and Congo’s 268,000 barrels per day.
Business Post reports that OPEC doesn’t account for condensates, which Nigeria’s accounts for in its broader 2 million barrels per day target.
Despite the surge in production levels, Nigeria is still under producing its 1.5 million barrels per day output quota under a deal involving OPEC and 10 other producers known as OPEC+.
OPEC said it relied on primary data gotten through direct communication, noting that secondary sources reported 1.417 million barrels per day as Nigeria’s crude production in November — up from 1.4 million barrels per day in October.
The data also shows that OPEC’s total oil production among its 12 members rose by 104,000 barrels per day in the month under review.
According to secondary sources, the total of the 12 OPEC countries’ crude oil production averaged 26.66 million barrels per day in November 2024.
“Crude oil output increased mainly in Libya, Iran, and Nigeria, while production in Iraq, Venezuela, and Kuwait decreased”, OPEC said.
“At the same time, total non-OPEC DoC crude oil production averaged 14.01 mb/d in November 2024, which is 219 tb/d higher, m-o-m. Crude oil output increased mainly in Kazakhstan and Malaysia,” the organisation added.
In a related development, OPEC trimmed its 2024 and 2025 oil demand growth forecasts for the fifth time this year.
Now, the cartel expects the world’s oil demand growth at 1.61 million barrels per day from the previously 1.82 million barrels per day.
For 2025, OPEC says the world oil demand growth forecast is now at 1.45 million barrels per day, a 900,000 barrels per day cut from the previously expected 1.54 million barrels per day.
On the changes, OPEC says that the downgrade for this year owes to more bearish data received in the third quarter of 2024 while the projections for next year relate to the potential impact that will arise from US tariffs.
Economy
Afriland Properties, Geo-Fluids Shrink OTC Securities Exchange by 0.06%
By Adedapo Adesanya
The duo of Afriland Properties Plc and Geo-Fluids Plc crashed the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange by a marginal 0.06 per cent on Wednesday, December 11 due to profit-taking activities.
The OTC securities exchange experienced a downfall at midweek despite UBN Property Plc posting a price appreciation of 17 Kobo to close at N1.96 per share, in contrast to Tuesday’s closing price of N1.79.
Business Post reports that Afriland Properties Plc slid by N1.14 to finish at N15.80 per unit versus the preceding day’s N16.94 per unit, and Geo-Fluids Plc declined by 1 Kobo to trade at N3.92 per share compared with the N3.93 it ended a day earlier.
At the close of transactions, the market capitalisation of the bourse, which measures the total value of securities on the platform, shrank by N650 million to finish at N1.055 trillion compared with the previous day’s N1.056 trillion and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) went down by 1.86 points to wrap the session at 3,012.50 points compared with 3,014.36 points recorded in the previous session.
The alternative stock market was busy yesterday as the volume of securities traded by investors soared by 146.9 per cent to 5.9 million units from 2.4 million units, as the value of shares transacted by the market participants jumped by 360.9 per cent to N22.5 million from N4.9 million, and the number of deals increased by 50 per cent to 21 deals from 14 deals.
When the bourse closed for the day, Geo-Fluids Plc remained the most active stock by volume (year-to-date) with 1.7 billion units valued at N3.9 billion, followed by Okitipupa Plc with 752.2 million units worth N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc 297.5 million units sold for N5.3 million.
Also, Aradel Holdings Plc, which is now listed on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited after its exit from NASD, remained the most active stock by value (year-to-date) with 108.7 million units sold for N89.2 billion, trailed by Okitipupa Plc with 752.2 million units valued at N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc with 297.5 million units worth N5.3 billion.
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