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Nigeria Rejects Moody’s Rating Downgrade

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By Modupe Gbadeyanka

Federal Government has strongly rejected the downgrading of Nigeria from a B1 stable to a B2 stable rating by Moody’s Investors Service Research.

In a statement dated Wednesday, November 8, 2017, the Nigerian authorities said the downgrade was not a true reflection of the current state of the country’s economy, which government said has improved.

“The attention of the Federal Ministry of Finance (FMF), Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and the Debt Management Office (DMO) has been drawn to today’s announcement of the decision by Moody’s to downgrade Nigeria from a B1 stable to a B2 stable rating.

“This is equivalent to Nigeria’s existing B/Stable Outlook rating from S&P and slightly lower than Nigeria’s B+/Negative Outlook rating from Fitch.

“While we respect the right of Moody’s to make this decision, we strongly disagree with the premise and must address some of the conclusions upon which the decision rests,” the statement said.

It said further that, Since Nigeria was last rated by Moody’s (as B1 stable) in December 2016, Nigeria has successfully emerged from a protracted recession and recorded important improvements across a broad range of indices, including A return to economic growth of 0.55% in Q2 2017, and returning business confidence, as evidenced by a PMI index of 55.0; a stable foreign exchange window for importers and exporters, with improving liquidity and convergence of the parallel and official rates; significantly improved foreign exchange reserves, now totalling $34 billion; increased oil production, combined with stable and now improving oil prices; a slowly improving revenue profile, with non-oil revenue (principally taxes) up 10%; month  on  month  improvements  in  inflation  levels  since  January  2017,  with  inflation continuing to trend downwards; strong year on year improvement on the World Bank Ease of Doing Business Rankings from 169th to 145th place, a 24 place move in one year; and in 2016, the highest capital expenditure deployment since 2013, making investments in critical infrastructure to support further growth.

“At the heart of Moody’s rationale is the need for Nigeria to improve non-oil revenue aggressively. This is absolutely and directly aligned to the government’s priorities. This is critical to our economic development and is the basis for the establishment of a stable and inclusive economy, which can withstand global shocks and has the resources to increase investments in our infrastructure.

“We have put in place a number of measures to improve our collection and FIRS has made good progress in increasing revenues, particularly when considering that the economy is still recovering from the oil price shock.

“Examples include introduction of a Tax Amnesty (the on-going Voluntary Assets and Income Declaration Scheme (VAIDS)), which is showing positive results; plugging leakages and deployment of technology driven revenue management strategies. An example is Health Pay, a pilot cashless revenue project in the health sector, which has recorded material increases in revenue.

“We have seen improvements in revenue in 2017. Fiscal revenues are linked directly to both the performance of the economy and the number of tax payers contributing. As a result of the foundation that has been established in 2017, we expect, similar positive trends in 2018.

“Our revenue initiatives are changing the mix of revenue sources available to government from the traditional oil or debt to a combination of oil, debt and domestic revenue. For example, the 2018 budget includes N710 billion proceeds from the restructuring of the Government’s equity in the JV oil assets. The reform is aimed at increasing private sector equity participation to improve efficiencies in the sector and also provides revenue to the government which will be deployed solely and exclusively for creating new assets in Nigeria.

“Moody’s highlights that while our debt levels remain low, interest is consuming a larger portion of revenue.

“It should be noted we are implementing a very prudent fiscal and debt management strategy to reduce the cost of our debt. Given the relatively higher domestic interest rates, we are focusing on longer term external borrowing with an aim to re-balance our domestic and international debt portfolio to a 60:40 split over the coming years.

“Our existing proposal to refinance $3 billion of treasury bills through external borrowing is expected to reduce Nigeria’s debt servicing costs, further improving our fiscal position.

“We also expect this strategy to help to reduce the ‘crowding out’ effect of government borrowing in the domestic markets.

“The challenges that are highlighted in the Moody’s rating are clear, and are being addressed by the government, with the environment having improved significantly since the last period of assessment.”

Modupe Gbadeyanka is a fast-rising journalist with Business Post Nigeria. Her passion for journalism is amazing. She is willing to learn more with a view to becoming one of the best pen-pushers in Nigeria. Her role models are the duo of CNN's Richard Quest and Christiane Amanpour.

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Economy

Right Institutional Structures Critical to Unlocking Sustainable Growth—Kwairanga

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NGX BoI Unlocking Sustainable Growth

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The chairman of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Group Plc, Mr Umaru Kwairanga, says enabling entrepreneurship requires more than access to funding.

He said this at a workshop held in Kano under the theme Unlocking Growth – Harnessing the Capital Market for SME Growth.

The event was organisation by the NGX in partnership with the Bank of Industry (BoI) as part of their financing advocacy.

Mr Kwairanga noted that the right institutional structures and market platforms are critical to unlocking sustainable growth.

“Kano provides a fitting backdrop for this engagement, not only as a historic commercial hub but as a gateway to significant untapped potential. The priority is to connect that potential to capital and the frameworks required for long-term growth,” he stated.

The programme was put together to integrate small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) into Nigeria’s formal capital market.

The Kano workshop follows the inaugural edition held in Lagos last year, signalling a more structured push by both institutions to bridge the gap between Nigeria’s SME ecosystem and long-term capital.

Participants were equipped with insights on financing pathways, governance structures, and long-term growth strategies within the capital market.

On his part, the chief executive of NGX Limited, Mr Jude Chiemeka, emphasised the central role of SMEs in strengthening market depth and resilience, noting that recent market performance continues to reflect investor confidence despite macroeconomic pressures.

“Through initiatives like this, we are demystifying the capital market and demonstrating that with the right structure and governance, SMEs can access capital to scale sustainably,” he said.

An Executive Director for MSME at BOI, Mr Oluwatoyin Ahmed Edu, said the bank remains focused on bridging financing gaps for businesses that may not yet meet listing requirements.

“Where viable enterprises require capacity building before accessing the market, BOI is positioned to provide the necessary support to prepare them for that transition,” he noted.

Delivering remarks on behalf of the Emir of Kano, Mr Shehu Muhammed Dankade highlighted the region’s strong entrepreneurial base, particularly the growing participation of women-led businesses, describing it as a signal of resilience and economic potential.

The workshop featured detailed presentations from NGX on listing requirements, corporate governance, and the use of the NGX Growth Board as a platform for raising long-term capital.

It also created space for direct engagement with SME operators across Northern Nigeria, offering insights into their challenges, growth ambitions, and readiness to access structured financing.

The initiative aligns with NGX Group’s broader strategy to position SMEs as a critical engine of economic growth, while strengthening the institutional pathways that enable businesses to transition from informal operations to investment-ready enterprises.

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Economy

Spike in Energy Prices Raises Nigeria’s Inflation to 15.38% in March

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Nigeria's inflation

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria’s inflation rate increased in March 2026 to 15.38 per cent from 15.1o per cent in February, data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed on Wednesday.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased to 135.4 in March 2026, higher than the 130.0 in the preceding month by 5.4 points. The spike was likely stoked by the US-Israeli war on Iran, that’s pushed up the cost of fuel and has had a ripple effect in other areas.

At 15.38 per cent, the inflation numbers beat expectations of analysts at Meristem Research, which projected that the inflation rate in Nigeria for the month should come in at 13.59 per cent, after the price of crude oil on the global market soared as a result of the war in Iran, with prices of items growing in Nigeria.

The March 2026 headline inflation rate showed an increase of 0.32 per cent compared to the February 2026 headline inflation rate. However, on a month-on-month basis, the headline inflation rate in March 2026 was 4.18 per cent, which was 2.17 per cent higher than the rate recorded in February 2026 at 2.01 per cent.

This means that last month, the rate of increase in the average price level was higher than the rate of increase in the average price level a month earlier.

Food inflation rate in the review month stood at 14.31 per cent on a year-on-year basis versus 25.22 per cent in the same month of last year. However, on a month-on-month basis, the food inflation rate in March 2026 was 4.17 per cent, which is 0.52 per cent lower than the 4.69 per cent achieved in February 2026.

According to the stats office, “This can be attributed to the rate of change in the average prices of the following products: Yam, Ginger (Fresh), Cassava Tuber, Groundnuts (Shelled), Irish Potatoes, Avenger (Ogbono/Apon) – Dried Ungrinded, Tomatoes (fresh), Cassava Flour sold loose, etc.”

The average annual rate of food inflation for the twelve months ending March 2026 over the previous twelve-month average was 18.21 per cent, which was 17.81 per cent lower than the average annual rate of change recorded in March 2025 at 36.02 per cent.

On a year-on-year basis, in March 2026, the urban inflation rate was 14.64 per cent, and 3.16 per cent on a month-on-month basis, which is 0.61 per cent higher than the 2.55 per cent in February 2026.

As for the rural inflation rate, it was 17.22 per cent in the month under consideration and on a month-on-month basis, it stood at 6.73 per cent versus 0.71 per cent a month earlier.

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Economy

Nigeria Inks $1bn Steel Investment Deal with India’s Rashmi Metaliks

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Rashmi Metaliks Nigeria

By Adedapo Adesanya

The federal government has signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with an Indian conglomerate, Rashmi Metaliks Group, to boost Nigeria’s steel production.

The agreement, signed by the Minister of Steel Development, Mr Shuaibu Abubakar Audu, on Tuesday in Kolkata, India, was for a projected investment of $1 billion over three years.

This followed the Minister’s tour of the steel plant in Kolkata, where he commended the scale of the operations and advanced technology deployed at the facility.

He also lauded the company’s integrated operations — spanning Direct Reduced Iron (DRI), pig iron, billets, and finished ductile iron pipes — describing them as a strong example of industrial efficiency and excellence in modern steel production.

According to the Minister, Nigeria’s proactive investment drive is already attracting significant global capital.

He noted that the MoU signed with the company represents a major milestone in Nigeria’s efforts to reposition the steel sector, reaffirming President Bola Tinubu’s commitment to revitalising the industry, creating employment opportunities, and conserving foreign exchange through strategic import substitution.

He added that the efficiency of the facility underscored the importance of value addition, innovation, and sustainability in modern steel production, emphasising that the visit further reflected the strengthening economic ties between Nigeria and India in the areas of steel, mining, and manufacturing.

In signing the MoU, Audu highlighted Nigeria’s vast steel potential, noting that the country is transitioning from a raw minerals exporter to a value-adding industrial economy.

He disclosed that Nigeria possesses well over 3 billion tonnes of iron ore reserves, with some deposits grading as high as approximately 67 per cent iron content (Fe), while domestic steel consumption is estimated at about $10 billion annually.

He said that Nigeria aims to become a leading steel hub in Africa under President Tinubu’s Renewed Hope Agenda, which targets crude steel production of approximately 10 million tonnes per annum by 2030.

This is evidenced by recent Foreign Direct Investments in the sector, including a $400 million Stellar Steel plant in Ewekoro, Ogun State and a Chinese-Nigerian joint venture for a modern hot-rolled coil steel plant scheduled to commence operations by November 2026.

Also, African Industries Group (AIG) is completing a fully integrated iron-and-steel plant at Gujeni in Kaduna State. The company has invested $300 million in the Direct Reduced Iron (DRI) and steel unit of the project, and the galvanising and fabrication plant in Ikorodu, Lagos, which was recently commissioned by the Minister.

Energy infrastructure is also being developed to support the growth of the industry. The Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited, the Ministry of Steel Development, and their partners recently broke ground on five mini-LNG plants in Ajaokuta, Kogi State — a $500 million project aimed at boosting gas supply to the steel industry, with a combined capacity of approximately 97 million standard cubic feet per day.

Mr Audu used the visit to invite additional Indian investors to explore opportunities within Nigeria’s steel sector.

He highlighted prospects for establishing integrated steel plants in Nigeria, deploying Direct Reduced Iron and electric-arc furnace technologies, and developing full value chains for automotive, construction, and infrastructure steel.

He further assured prospective investors that the Nigerian Government remains committed to providing an enabling environment through policy stability, fiscal incentives, and ongoing ease-of-doing-business reforms aimed at protecting investments.

“We are open to credible investors willing to partner with us for mutual growth,” the Minister said.

On his part, the Vice Chairman of Rashmi Metaliks Group, Mr Sunil Kumar Patwari, on behalf of the company, expressed appreciation to the Nigerian delegation for the successful visit to their facilities in Kolkata.

He emphasised that the visit reflects the priority placed on the partnership by the Nigerian Government and assured that, with the necessary support from the Nigerian government, Rashmi Group is committed to delivering on the projects envisioned in the MoU.

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