Economy
Nigeria to Save $7bn FX Annually With Crude Sale in Naira Policy—Adedeji
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Chairman of the Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS), Mr Zacch Adedeji, has said Nigeria would save over $7 billion after President Bola Tinubu directed the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited to sell crude oil to Dangote Refinery and other local refineries in Naira.
Speaking on Monday at the State House, after the Federal Executive Council (FEC) meeting, Mr Adedeji said the decision aims to mitigate the heavy reliance on foreign exchange (FX) for crude oil imports, which currently accounts for roughly 30 to 40 per cent of Nigeria’s forex expenditure.
Mr Adedeji further explained that by denominating transactions in Naira, the federal government expects to significantly reduce its forex burden as well as estimated annual savings of around $7.3 billion.
He stressed that this shift will stabilize crude oil prices domestically by minimizing the impact of FX fluctuations.
Mr Adedeji said the new policy is anticipated to ease the pressure on Nigeria’s foreign exchange reserves, reducing monthly forex expenditure on petroleum products to $50 million from approximately $660 million.
He added that as part of the implementation, the Africa Export-Import Bank (Afreximbank) has been selected as the pilot settlement bank to facilitate these transactions.
“He (President Tinubu) has approved through the council that effective immediately, that NNPC get engaged with local refineries and we are starting that with Dangote Refinery. The sales of crude oil to Dangote Refinery are denominated in Naria and also the sales of byproducts from Dangote Refinery to distributors are conducted in naira.
“What does it mean to our economy? One, the pressure on foreign exchange will be reduced.
Mr Adedeji added that “monthly, we spend roughly $660 million in this exercise and if you analyse that will give us $7.92 billion annually.
“With this approval today through FEC, led by Mr President, this has reduced by a minimum of 90 per cent because what we have today, will mean transactions are now done in our local currency, not only with Dangote Refinery, but to all local refineries for all our local consumptions and this will actually stabilise the pump price.
“This will also make economic predictability a reality because we will no longer rely on the fluctuations that happen in forex. This is an innovation that solves our problems as a country today.
“Just to be specific, I’ll just read parts of the benefits. Number one, which is major, is the reduction in foreign exchange pressure, as the existing process that we have today utilises $660 million per month, a total of $7.92 billion annually.
“With the new approval that we have, this will reduce to a maximum of $50 million per month which is annualised to be only $600 million. This is a total reduction of 94 per cent and saving us $7.32 billion.
“This will also reduce finance costs, which today stand at $79 million when you consider the opening letter of credit between those local refineries and what happens.
“Also, as a pilot, Council has approved that a settlement bank, which in this instance is AFREXIM Bank, would be the lead arranger between NNPC and Dangote Refinery.
“So, this is a major innovation in solving Nigeria’s problem permanently. Not only will we have more employment, but we will definitely be in charge of one of the mainstays of our economy,” he stated.
Economy
NASD Market Falls 1.18% to Extend Losing Streak
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange extended its stay in the south for the fourth consecutive session after it shed 1.18 per cent on Friday, March 13.
The unlisted securities market recorded a loss despite closing without a price decliner, and ending with two price gainers led by Geo Fluids Plc, which gained 1o Kobo to sell at N3.10 per share compared with the previous day’s N3.00 per share. Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc appreciated during the session by 2 Kobo to trade at 54 Kobo per unit versus Thursday’s closing price of 52 Kobo per unit.
When the market closed for the day, the market capitalisation lost N29.83 billion to close at N2.489 trillion compared with the N2.519 trillion it finished a day earlier, and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) crashed by 49.84 points to 4,160.46 points from 4,210.31 points.
Market activity improved yesterday, as the volume of transactions rose 179.5 per cent to 10.4 million units from 3.7 million units, but the value of trades declined by 68.4 per cent to N29.9 million from N95.0 million, while the number of deals weakened by 11.5 per cent to 46 deals from 52 deals.
Central Securities Clearing Systems (CSCS) Plc remained the most active stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 38.4 million units worth N2.4 billion, Okitipupa Plc followed with 6.4 million units traded at N1.1 billion, and FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc transacted 6.3 million units for N584.3 million.
Resourcery Plc ended the trading session as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 1.1 billion units valued at N415.6 million, trailed by Geo-Fluids Plc with 130.8 million units valued at N504.5 million, and CSCS Plc with 38.4 million units worth N2.4 billion.
Economy
Naira Trades N1,366/$1 at Official Market, N1,400/$1 at Black Market
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira continued to claw back some gains against the Dollar in the different segments of the foreign exchange (FX) market, as its value was strengthened on Friday.
In the black market, it gained N10 against the United States Dollar yesterday to close at N1,400/$1 compared with the preceding day’s rate of N1,410/$1, and at the GTBank forex counter, it chalked up N6 to close at N1,385/$1, in contrast to the N1,391/$1 it was traded a day earlier.
Similarly, in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX), it appreciated against the greenback during the session by N5.28 or 0.38 per cent to quote at N1,366.23/$1 versus Thursday’s closing price of N1,371.51/$1.
It also improved its value against the Pound Sterling in the official market on Friday by N21.81 to settle at N1,812.99/£1 compared with the previous day’s N1,834.80/£1, and gained N13.86 against the Euro to sell at N1,568.03/€1 versus N1,581.89/€1.
Pressure eased further on the FX market as the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) continued interventionist operations this week, selling Dollars to banks to boost liquidity after a $500 million boost last week.
This was complemented by inflows from foreign investors, exporters and non-bank corporates, among others, while Nigeria’s gross external reserves remained above $50 billion, the highest since 2009.
The Governor of the apex bank, Mr Yemi Cardoso, also eased fears of a Naira devaluation, saying the country’s financial system has been strengthened by reforms.
Regardless, external pressure looms as the US Dollar strengthened globally due to its war with Iran, now ongoing for three weeks.
Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market was largely down as traders and investors continue to align with current realities.
The market is adapting to the conflict in real time. Early in the war, every headline produced an outsized reaction because nobody could price the tail risk. Now, traders have a framework where strikes happen, oil spikes and bitcoin dips only to recover again.
Cardano (ADA) depreciated by 3.8 per cent to $0.2623, Dogecoin (DOGE) lost 1.7 per cent to finish at $0.0948, Ripple (XRP) slumped 1.5 per cent to $1.39, Solana (SOL) dropped 1.4 per cent to sell for $87.33, Binance Coin (BNB) went down by 1.3 per cent to $653.58, Bitcoin (BTC) declined by 1.1 per cent to $70,670.63, and Ethereum (ETH) decreased by 0.9 per cent to $2,078.78.
However, TRON (TRX) appreciated by 1.7 per cent to $0.2941, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 apiece.
Economy
Oil Stays Above $100 as Strait of Hormuz Traffic Stalls
By Adedapo Adesanya
The price of the major crude oil grade, Brent crude oil, closed above $100 on Friday for the second consecutive session, as the Iran war heads toward its third week, with oil tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz still effectively at a standstill.
It gained 2.67 per cent or $2.68 during the trading day to close at $103.14 per barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil grade appreciated by 3.11 per cent or $2.98 to settle at $98.71 per barrel.
Brent futures were up about 10 per cent for the week following the 27 per cent rise seen last week, which marked the biggest weekly gain in oil prices since the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. WTI futures, which saw their best week since 1983 last week, ended the week more than 8 per cent higher.
US President Donald Trump said American forces launched a major bombing raid on Iran’s strategic Kharg Island, targeting military facilities on the key Persian Gulf outpost while warning Iran that its vital oil infrastructure could be destroyed if shipping in the Strait of Hormuz is disrupted.
The terminal accounts for roughly 90 per cent of Iranian crude shipments, loading millions of barrels per day onto tankers bound largely for Asian markets.
The US and Israel’s strikes in the conflict have largely targeted Iranian military and nuclear infrastructure. Oil facilities elsewhere in Iran have been hit, but Kharg’s massive storage tanks, jetties, and pipelines had remained untouched until the latest strike.
Iran’s new supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, vowed to keep fighting in a message delivered via state television.
There have been a number of attacks on foreign ships in or near the Strait, feeding into concerns that a prolonged war could translate to a global economic shock.
Prices are rising despite the US and its allies rolling out some measures to keep a lid on energy costs.
The International Energy Agency (IEA) has agreed to release 400 million stockpiled barrels, the largest such action in history.
The US has issued a 30-day waiver for India to purchase sanctioned oil from Russia. President Donald Trump is considering loosening rules under the Jones Act that require American ships to transport goods between domestic ports, including oil and gas, in an effort to lower costs.
Traders are continuing to monitor developments in the Middle East.
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