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Nigerian Equities Grow 31.87% in 9 Months

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Nigerian Equities

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

In the first nine months of 2017, the Nigerian Stock Exchange All Share Index (NSE ASI) appreciated by 31.87 percent.

According to the latest report released by FSDH Research, this was attributed to improvements in the country’s economy since the beginning of this year.

FSDH Research’s historical analysis shows that there is a strong correlation between the movement in crude oil price and the Nigerian equity market.

The consensus on the short-term outlook for crude oil (Bonny Light) price is that it will remain above $50 per barrel.

The sustained high crude oil price coupled with improved oil production has led to a sustained accretion to the external reserves, which stood at $32.74 billion as at October 3, 2017.

The firm said it expects a continued boost to the external reserves in the short-to-medium term as oil price and production continue to strengthen because it is positive for the equity market.

Additionally, the introduction of the Investors’ and Exporters’ Foreign Exchange (FX) Window (I&E Window) has increased the supply of foreign exchange into the Nigerian economy and led to relative stability in the FX market. The I&E Window has also attracted more foreign investments into Nigeria. FSDH Research’s analysis of the capital importation data from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) between January and July 2017 shows that there was a growth in capital importation in 2017, compared with 2016.

The total capital importation between January and July 2017 stood at $3.76 billion, representing a growth of 85.32 percent over $2.03 billion recorded in the corresponding period of 2016.

Other Investments (OI) – Loans attracted the highest capital of $1.69 billion between January and July 2017, closely followed by Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPI) – Equity of $1.15 billion, and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) – Equity of $513.23 million.

FSDH Research said it expects continued foreign inflow into the equity market as the FX market remains stable.

It pointed out that this improved liquidity will boost the expected rally in the equity market. The drop in the yields on the fixed income securities should lead to portfolio realignments in favour of the equity market to take advantage of higher returns.

At the last auction on October 4, 2017, the yield on the 364-Day NTB stood at 18.65 percent, lower than the average yield of 22.71 percent recorded between January and September 2017.

Similarly, the yield on the 16.39 percent FGN January 2022 Bond stood at 15.83 percent as at the close of trading on October 4, 2017, lower than the average yield of 16.08 percent recorded between January and September 2017.

FSDH Research notes increased economic activities in most of the sectors of the Nigerian economy in September 2017.

A review of the latest Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) report that the CBN published for the month of September 2017 shows that economic activities in the manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors continue to strengthen.

The Composite Manufacturing Index (CMI) expanded for the sixth consecutive month in 2017 to stand at 55.3 points in September 2017, from 53.6 points in August 2017.

The Composite Non-Manufacturing Index (CNMI) also expanded for the fifth consecutive month to 54.9 points in September 2017 from 54.1 points in August 2017.

The report is an indication that the Q3 2017 earnings of quoted companies will be an improvement over previous quarters.

According to FSDH Research, its forecasts for the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Q3 and Q4 2017 show that the GDP should grow in excess of 2 percent.

The firm says it expects the equity market to respond positively to the strong Q3 2017 GDP figures that the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) will release on 22 November 2017.

Modupe Gbadeyanka is a fast-rising journalist with Business Post Nigeria. Her passion for journalism is amazing. She is willing to learn more with a view to becoming one of the best pen-pushers in Nigeria. Her role models are the duo of CNN's Richard Quest and Christiane Amanpour.

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Economy

Senate Approves President Tinubu’s $6bn Loan Request

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Godswill akpabio Senate President

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Senate has approved President Bola Tinubu’s fresh request for a $6 billion external loan to support key national priorities.

The approval came on Tuesday, March 31, 2026, after the Senate considered a report presented by Senator Aliyu Wamakko, Chairman of the Senate Committee on Local and Foreign Debts.

The request was contained in two separate letters from the President, read during plenary.

According to Mr Tinubu, out of the $6 billion, the lion’s share of $5 billion is a  Structured Total Return Swap (TRS) external financing programme offered by the First Abu Dhabi Bank, to be released in tranches.

The remaining $1 billion  is an export finance facility from the United Kingdom, arranged by Citibank, specifically for the reconstruction and rehabilitation of the Lagos Port Complex and Tin Can Island Port.

The facilities are intended to support the implementation of the national budget, funding priority infrastructure projects, and refinancing existing domestic and external debts.

The President also said the loan will help the country to meet urgent financial obligations, noting that the phased drawdown of the borrowing will help ease pressure on debt servicing.

The Senate also approved the issuance of Naira-denominated federal government securities as collateral and the payment of margin obligations in US Dollars.

Earlier, it was reported that President Tinubu sought the red chamber’s approval for a significant upward review of the 2026 budget, proposing an additional N9 trillion to the Appropriation Bill.

The request, conveyed in a letter read on the Senate floor during Tuesday’s plenary by the Senate President, Mr Godswill Akpabio, would increase the budget size from the initial N58.47 trillion to N67.47 trillion.

According to the President, the proposed adjustment is aimed at strengthening fiscal transparency and ensuring more effective implementation of priority national programmes.

The development raises fresh worries about Nigeria’s debt portfolio, which has risen considerably within the three years of the Tinubu-led administration.

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Economy

Oando Seals Block KON 13 Production Sharing Deal in Angola

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oando stocks

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

A production sharing contract (PSC) for Block KON 13 has been signed between Oando Plc and the Angolan National Agency for Petroleum, Gas and Biofuels (ANPG).

With a 45 per cent participating interest, Oando’s wholly owned subsidiary, Oando Exploration and Production Angola Ltd, will serve as operator of the block.

The other partners in the consortium are Effimax Energy – Serviços, Lda (30 per cent), Sonangol Exploração & Produção (15 per cent), and Walcot Ltd (10 per cent).

Block KON 13 is located in the onshore Kwanza Basin, Angola. It has two exploration wells previously drilled to a total depth of 3,000m, with oil shows encountered in one well across various depths.

The addition of Block KON 13 further bolsters the energy firm’s upstream portfolio and underscores its commitment to driving regional growth and energy security.

Recall that before now, Oando acquired the assets of Nigerian Agip Oil Company Limited as part of its expansion strategy.

The latest addition solidifies the company’s strategic entry into the Angolan oil and gas sector and represents a significant step in its long-term vision to grow its upstream operations across Africa. It also represents its first operated international upstream joint venture and further strengthens its position as a prominent player in the continent’s energy landscape.

“The execution of this PSC advances our geographic footprint across Africa and reaffirms the commitment to excellence and execution we have repeatedly demonstrated on the continent.

“We bring proven technical expertise to this asset and a clear mandate to create value for our partners and advance Angola’s energy ambitions for the benefit of the continent.

“We look forward to working with ANPG, our co-venturers, and key stakeholders in moving from agreement to action,” the chief executive of Oando, Mr Wale Tinubu, said.

Oando, through its upstream businesses, holds interests in 14 oil and gas assets spanning exploration, development, and production activities, both onshore and offshore, in Nigeria and São Tomé and Príncipe.

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Economy

Tinubu Seeks Senate Approval to Raise 2026 Budget by N9trn

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By Adedapo Adesanya

President Bola Tinubu is seeking Senate approval for a significant upward review of the 2026 budget, proposing an additional N9 trillion to the Appropriation Bill.

The request, conveyed in a letter read on the Senate floor during plenary by the Senate President, Mr Godswill Akpabio, would increase the budget size from N58.47 trillion to N67.47 trillion.

According to the President, the proposed adjustment is aimed at strengthening fiscal transparency and ensuring more effective implementation of priority national programmes.

He said the increase will first address outstanding legal commitments carried over from previous appropriation cycles, preventing them from affecting the execution of the 2026 budget.

The proposal also seeks to consolidate existing government debt within the fiscal framework, while making provisions for a limited number of strategic and priority projects.

President Tinubu added that the revised financing plan is designed to preserve macro-fiscal stability and ease pressure on the domestic financial market.

The Senate is expected to consider the request in the coming days.

In December, the President presented the N58.47 trillion 2026 budget proposal to a joint session of the National Assembly, outlining the government’s priorities anchored on economic stability, infrastructure expansion, security and social investment.

The budget was hinged on assumptions including oil production of 1.84 million barrels per day, an oil price benchmark of $64.85 per barrel, and an exchange rate assumption of N1,400 to the Dollar.

Following the presentation, the Senate passed the appropriation bill for first and second readings, paving the way for detailed consideration by relevant committees.

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