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Economy

Nigerian Equities Grow 31.87% in 9 Months

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Nigerian Equities

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

In the first nine months of 2017, the Nigerian Stock Exchange All Share Index (NSE ASI) appreciated by 31.87 percent.

According to the latest report released by FSDH Research, this was attributed to improvements in the country’s economy since the beginning of this year.

FSDH Research’s historical analysis shows that there is a strong correlation between the movement in crude oil price and the Nigerian equity market.

The consensus on the short-term outlook for crude oil (Bonny Light) price is that it will remain above $50 per barrel.

The sustained high crude oil price coupled with improved oil production has led to a sustained accretion to the external reserves, which stood at $32.74 billion as at October 3, 2017.

The firm said it expects a continued boost to the external reserves in the short-to-medium term as oil price and production continue to strengthen because it is positive for the equity market.

Additionally, the introduction of the Investors’ and Exporters’ Foreign Exchange (FX) Window (I&E Window) has increased the supply of foreign exchange into the Nigerian economy and led to relative stability in the FX market. The I&E Window has also attracted more foreign investments into Nigeria. FSDH Research’s analysis of the capital importation data from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) between January and July 2017 shows that there was a growth in capital importation in 2017, compared with 2016.

The total capital importation between January and July 2017 stood at $3.76 billion, representing a growth of 85.32 percent over $2.03 billion recorded in the corresponding period of 2016.

Other Investments (OI) – Loans attracted the highest capital of $1.69 billion between January and July 2017, closely followed by Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPI) – Equity of $1.15 billion, and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) – Equity of $513.23 million.

FSDH Research said it expects continued foreign inflow into the equity market as the FX market remains stable.

It pointed out that this improved liquidity will boost the expected rally in the equity market. The drop in the yields on the fixed income securities should lead to portfolio realignments in favour of the equity market to take advantage of higher returns.

At the last auction on October 4, 2017, the yield on the 364-Day NTB stood at 18.65 percent, lower than the average yield of 22.71 percent recorded between January and September 2017.

Similarly, the yield on the 16.39 percent FGN January 2022 Bond stood at 15.83 percent as at the close of trading on October 4, 2017, lower than the average yield of 16.08 percent recorded between January and September 2017.

FSDH Research notes increased economic activities in most of the sectors of the Nigerian economy in September 2017.

A review of the latest Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) report that the CBN published for the month of September 2017 shows that economic activities in the manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors continue to strengthen.

The Composite Manufacturing Index (CMI) expanded for the sixth consecutive month in 2017 to stand at 55.3 points in September 2017, from 53.6 points in August 2017.

The Composite Non-Manufacturing Index (CNMI) also expanded for the fifth consecutive month to 54.9 points in September 2017 from 54.1 points in August 2017.

The report is an indication that the Q3 2017 earnings of quoted companies will be an improvement over previous quarters.

According to FSDH Research, its forecasts for the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Q3 and Q4 2017 show that the GDP should grow in excess of 2 percent.

The firm says it expects the equity market to respond positively to the strong Q3 2017 GDP figures that the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) will release on 22 November 2017.

Modupe Gbadeyanka is a fast-rising journalist with Business Post Nigeria. Her passion for journalism is amazing. She is willing to learn more with a view to becoming one of the best pen-pushers in Nigeria. Her role models are the duo of CNN's Richard Quest and Christiane Amanpour.

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Economy

Oil Leaps Nearly 5% as Middle East Conflict Escalates, Supply Risks Mount

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crude oil market

By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil gained almost 5 per cent on Tuesday as the United States and Israel’s ​battle with Iran intensified, disrupting energy shipments from the Middle East and stoking fears of a longer conflict.

Brent futures chalked up $3.66 ‌or up 4.7 per cent to trade at $81.40 a barrel, its highest settlement since January 2025, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures appreciated by $3.33 or 4.7 per cent to at $74.56 per barrel.

Israeli and US forces attacked targets across Iran on Tuesday, prompting Iranian retaliatory strikes around the Gulf as the conflict spread to Lebanon.

Iran has responded with strikes against regional energy infrastructure and tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, through which a fifth of the world’s ​oil and liquefied natural gas typically passes.

Also, Iraq, which is the second largest crude producer ​in the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) behind Saudi Arabia, cut production by nearly 1.5 million barrels a day.

The Iraqi government said that disrupted navigation and a shortage of available tankers have pushed storage tanks in southern export terminals toward critical levels, forcing production reductions.

The cuts could ​more than double within days as the country runs out of storage space for crude it cannot export due ⁠to the crisis.

Separately, a drone attack targeted the port of Fujairah in the United Arab Emirates (UAE), the country’s largest oil export hub outside the Strait of Hormuz. The incident adds to mounting security risks for Gulf energy infrastructure.

​Concerns increased after Iranian media reported on Monday that Iran will fire on any ship trying to pass through the Strait.

Now, tankers and container ships are avoiding the Strait, with insurers cancelling coverage for vessels and global oil and gas shipping rates soared. Any sustained disruption materially tightens the seaborne crude market, particularly for Middle Eastern barrels bound for Asia.

US President Donald Trump said US and Israeli air attacks ​were projected to last four to five weeks, but could go on longer.

Analysts warn that beyond roughly three weeks of disruption, producers may have no choice but to curb output.

The market is debating how long the supply risk will last, and whether $100 oil is a floor rather than a ceiling if Hormuz does not normalise.

The American Petroleum Institute (API) estimated that crude oil inventories in the United States rose by 5.6 million barrels in the week ending February 27, after adding 11.4 million barrels in the week prior. Official data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) will be released later on Wednesday.

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Economy

Nigeria in Talks with China to Expand Yuan–Naira Swap Deal to $10bn

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yuan-naira $10bn

By Adedapo Adesanya

The federal government is in advanced talks with China to expand its existing Yuan–Naira currency swap to as much as $10 billion, a move aimed at easing pressure on the US dollar and narrowing the trade imbalance that heavily favours the Asian country.

The director general and Global Liaison for the Nigeria–China Strategic Partnership (NSCP), Mr Joseph Tegbe, said in Abuja that the government was seeking to renew and scale up the current $2.5 billion swap arrangement to allow businesses transact directly in yuan, reducing reliance on the dollar for bilateral trade.

According to him, the existing swap line, though initially underutilised, is being renewed and expanded, with proposals to increase it to $10 billion.

Mr Tegbe said Nigeria was also fast-tracking export protocols to take full advantage of China’s zero-tariff policy for African countries, set to take effect in May 2026.

“Products like hides, skins, cashew, and aquatic products such as crabs and shrimps, which are often exported informally, will now enter China legally under zero duty,” he stated.

The DG highlighted that beyond trade, Nigeria is pursuing equity-based partnerships with Chinese firms. Notable initiatives. These include China Harbour Engineering Company’s $1 billion investment in the Lekki Deep Sea Port and large-scale developmental projects in agriculture, steel, and poultry.

Nigerian businesses to transact directly in Yuan, avoiding the current need to convert Naira to dollars and then to Yuan, which places additional strain on dollar demand.

“We are in discussions with China to establish a truly workable Yuan–Naira swap arrangement. We already have about a $2.5 billion swap line, and although progress slowed toward the end of last year, we are now looking to renew and expand it.

“What this means for the economy is simple: a Nigerian business should be able to pay in naira into his local bank account here and receive Yuan in China directly to do his/her business. Currently, traders convert Naira to Dollars, and then Dollars to Yuan, which increases demand for the US Dollar.

“But someone trading with China does not need Dollars — they need Yuan. If transactions move directly between naira and yuan, it will significantly reduce pressure on the Dollar–Naira exchange rate,” he said.

He noted that for the swap to be effective, Nigeria’s foreign exchange reserves must be at a comfortable level, a goal being addressed by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) as part of broader efforts to stabilise the currency and facilitate smoother bilateral trade.

“Our foreign exchange reserves must also be at a comfortable level for the swap to function effectively. Without sufficient reserves, the arrangement cannot deliver its full benefits. That is why we are strengthening our FX position and renewing the agreement.

“Businesses have told us the current threshold is insufficient, so we are working to increase it to the equivalent of $10 billion,” Mr Tegbe said.

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Economy

Spike in Demand for Salt, Seasoning Products Raise NASCON Revenue by 27%

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NASCON Factory

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

One of the leading salt refiners in Nigeria, Nascon Allied Industries Plc, a subsidiary of Dangote Group, has recorded a 27 per cent spike in revenue for the 2025 financial year.

The financial statements of the company disclosed that earnings stood at N152.7 billion compared with the N120.4 billion achieved in 2024, driven by a robust demand for its salt and seasoning products and improved production stability.

This helped the firm to raise its gross profit by 33 per cent to N73.9 billion from N55.5 billion, as the profit after tax went up by 115 per cent to N33.5 billion from N15.6 billion, and the earnings per share grew by 115 per cent at N12.41, inspiring the board to jack up the dividend payout by 200 per cent at N6.00.

“It is a privilege to present the audited results of Nascon Allied Industries Plc for the year ended December 31, 2025,” the Managing Director, Mr Aderemi Saka, said.

“This year’s performance stands as a testament to our collective resilience and strategic discipline in navigating a demanding macroeconomic environment.

“Our commitment to operational excellence delivered the strongest bottom-line performance in our company’s recent history.

“Revenue grew by 27 per cent to N152.7 billion, reinforced by a robust demand for our salt and seasoning products and improved production stability, while gross profit rose by 33 per cent to N73.9 billion.

“Profit After Tax surged by 115 per cent to N33.5 billion, and this exceptional earnings growth translated into a 115 per cent increase in Earnings Per Share, now at N12.41.

“Reflecting this solid performance, the board is pleased to propose a dividend of N6.00 per share, representing a 200 per cent increase,” he added.

Mr Saka attributed the success of last year to “the 72 per cent expansion of our asset base to N135.3 billion, enabled largely by our strategic investment in new Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) trucks.

“This transition serves a dual purpose: protecting our operations from the volatility of diesel prices while significantly reducing our carbon footprint.

“By strengthening our logistics capabilities, we have enhanced operational independence and secured greater supply chain control, deepening the sustainability of our business model.”

“We concluded the year with a strong liquidity position, as cash and cash equivalents rose by 69 per cent to N41.6 billion, supported by operating cash flows of N43.9 billion.

“This financial strength gives us the capacity to continue investing in technology, infrastructure, and operational efficiency initiatives that will reinforce our market leadership,” he further stated.

“As we look ahead, we remain focused on increasing our market presence, strengthening operational resilience, and executing the long-term strategic initiatives that support sustainable growth.

“With a solid balance sheet and a committed workforce, we are well-positioned to continue delivering value to our shareholders and all stakeholders.

“I extend my sincere appreciation to our shareholders, customers, and employees for their unwavering support. As we move forward, I am optimistic about carrying this momentum into 2026 and beyond,” the MD disclosed.

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