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Economy

Nigerian Equities Grow 31.87% in 9 Months

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Nigerian Equities

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

In the first nine months of 2017, the Nigerian Stock Exchange All Share Index (NSE ASI) appreciated by 31.87 percent.

According to the latest report released by FSDH Research, this was attributed to improvements in the country’s economy since the beginning of this year.

FSDH Research’s historical analysis shows that there is a strong correlation between the movement in crude oil price and the Nigerian equity market.

The consensus on the short-term outlook for crude oil (Bonny Light) price is that it will remain above $50 per barrel.

The sustained high crude oil price coupled with improved oil production has led to a sustained accretion to the external reserves, which stood at $32.74 billion as at October 3, 2017.

The firm said it expects a continued boost to the external reserves in the short-to-medium term as oil price and production continue to strengthen because it is positive for the equity market.

Additionally, the introduction of the Investors’ and Exporters’ Foreign Exchange (FX) Window (I&E Window) has increased the supply of foreign exchange into the Nigerian economy and led to relative stability in the FX market. The I&E Window has also attracted more foreign investments into Nigeria. FSDH Research’s analysis of the capital importation data from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) between January and July 2017 shows that there was a growth in capital importation in 2017, compared with 2016.

The total capital importation between January and July 2017 stood at $3.76 billion, representing a growth of 85.32 percent over $2.03 billion recorded in the corresponding period of 2016.

Other Investments (OI) – Loans attracted the highest capital of $1.69 billion between January and July 2017, closely followed by Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPI) – Equity of $1.15 billion, and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) – Equity of $513.23 million.

FSDH Research said it expects continued foreign inflow into the equity market as the FX market remains stable.

It pointed out that this improved liquidity will boost the expected rally in the equity market. The drop in the yields on the fixed income securities should lead to portfolio realignments in favour of the equity market to take advantage of higher returns.

At the last auction on October 4, 2017, the yield on the 364-Day NTB stood at 18.65 percent, lower than the average yield of 22.71 percent recorded between January and September 2017.

Similarly, the yield on the 16.39 percent FGN January 2022 Bond stood at 15.83 percent as at the close of trading on October 4, 2017, lower than the average yield of 16.08 percent recorded between January and September 2017.

FSDH Research notes increased economic activities in most of the sectors of the Nigerian economy in September 2017.

A review of the latest Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) report that the CBN published for the month of September 2017 shows that economic activities in the manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors continue to strengthen.

The Composite Manufacturing Index (CMI) expanded for the sixth consecutive month in 2017 to stand at 55.3 points in September 2017, from 53.6 points in August 2017.

The Composite Non-Manufacturing Index (CNMI) also expanded for the fifth consecutive month to 54.9 points in September 2017 from 54.1 points in August 2017.

The report is an indication that the Q3 2017 earnings of quoted companies will be an improvement over previous quarters.

According to FSDH Research, its forecasts for the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Q3 and Q4 2017 show that the GDP should grow in excess of 2 percent.

The firm says it expects the equity market to respond positively to the strong Q3 2017 GDP figures that the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) will release on 22 November 2017.

Modupe Gbadeyanka is a fast-rising journalist with Business Post Nigeria. Her passion for journalism is amazing. She is willing to learn more with a view to becoming one of the best pen-pushers in Nigeria. Her role models are the duo of CNN's Richard Quest and Christiane Amanpour.

Economy

Weak Investor Participation Shrinks NAFEM Inflows to $2.86bn in April

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Total inflows into the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM) fell sharply in April 2026 as geopolitical tensions and weaker participation from both domestic and foreign investors impacted liquidity in the FX market.

Data from the FMDQ Securities Exchange showed that total foreign exchange inflows declined by 30.1 per cent month-on-month to $2.86 billion in April, down from $4.09 billion recorded in March.

The decline was driven by reduced inflows from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), exporters, importers, foreign portfolio investors and non-bank corporates, reflecting growing investor caution amid rising tensions in the Middle East and uncertainty surrounding the US-Iran conflict.

Local inflows, which accounted for 42.8 per cent of total market inflows, dropped by 38.7 per cent to $1.22 billion from $2.00 billion in March.

The steepest decline came from the CBN, whose interventions in the market fell by 83 per cent month-on-month. Inflows from exporters and importers declined by 19.3 per cent, non-bank corporates by 18.2 per cent, while inflows from individuals fell by 33.3 per cent.

Foreign inflows, which contributed 57.2 per cent of the total, also weakened by 21.9 per cent to $1.63 billion compared to $2.09 billion in March.

A breakdown of the foreign component showed that foreign portfolio investment (FPI) inflows dropped by 17.8 per cent, foreign direct investment (FDI) plunged by 78.9 per cent, while inflows from other corporates declined by 54.6 per cent.

Despite the drop in inflows, the local currency posted a modest gain against the US Dollar during the week, appreciating by 1.2 per cent to close at N1,360/$1, supported largely by offshore investor inflows that helped offset domestic demand pressures.

However, the local currency ended the week slightly weaker at the official market, depreciating by 0.22 per cent to N,361.40 per Dollar while gaining 44 basis points at the parallel market to close at N1,363.15/$1.

In the forwards market, the Naira strengthened across all tenors, with the one-month contract appreciating by 1.2 per cent to N1,384.53 to the Dollar, the three-month contract by 1.2 per cent to N1,424.08/$1, the six-month contract by 1.3 per cent to N1,478.39/$1, and the one-year contract by 1.5 per cent to N1,586.56/$1.

Nigeria’s gross external reserves continued their downward trend, declining by $40 million to $48.33 billion as of May 7, 2026. This marked the eighth consecutive week of decline, attributed to sustained CBN interventions, debt service obligations, subdued oil receipts and foreign capital outflows.

Meanwhile, crude oil prices rose in the international market as renewed hostilities between the US and Iran in the Strait of Hormuz raised concerns over potential supply disruptions.

Brent Crude gained 1.2 per cent to $101.30 per barrel while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) rose 0.5 per cent to $95.28 per barrel.

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Economy

Renaissance Targets 500,000bpd Crude Oil Output by 2030

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Renaissance Africa Energy Company Limited has unveiled plans to increase crude oil production to 500,000 barrels per day by 2030, while simultaneously expanding healthcare investments across its host communities in Rivers State.

The company, which operates the NNPC/Renaissance/TotalEnergies/AENR Joint Venture, disclosed this during the launch of its four-day Vision First Plus healthcare outreach programme in B-Dere community, Gokana Local Government Area in Rivers State, where thousands of residents received free eye surgeries, cancer screening, dental care, and treatment for chronic ailments.

Vice President, Relations and Sustainable Development, Renaissance Africa Energy Company Limited, Mr Igo Weli, said the company’s growth strategy combines energy production with sustained investment in community wellbeing.

“Renaissance is helping Nigeria reclaim production momentum, boosting national crude output by over 200,000 barrels per day and delivering 1.9 billion cubic feet of gas daily to Bonny NLNG within our first year of operations,” Weli stated.

“Our ambition to reach 500,000 barrels per day by 2030 is anchored not just in volume but in value; value for the economy, value for people, and value for the planet.”

Last year, Renaissance acquired the joint venture onshore assets under Shell Petroleum Development Company (SPDC), making it Nigeria’s biggest upstream operator by asset portfolio and installed capacity.

Mr Weli, represented by the General Manager, Health Renaissance, Mr Akinwumi Fajola, noted that the healthcare outreach reflects Renaissance’s commitment to sustainable development in host communities, stressing that access to quality healthcare should not be treated as a privilege.

“At Renaissance, our purpose is clear; to stand with our communities, invest in people, and create opportunities for healthy and thriving lives,” he said.

“Vision First Plus reflects our belief that access to quality and affordable healthcare is not a privilege, but a shared responsibility.”

According to Mr Weli, the programme was designed to take healthcare directly to underserved communities rather than waiting for residents to visit hospitals and clinics.

“We have designed Health in Motion to take essential healthcare services beyond the walls of hospitals and clinics, delivering care directly to the communities where and when it is most needed,” he said.

The outreach includes eye surgeries, eye screening and consultation, distribution of reading glasses, dental services, mammography, cryotherapy for cancer screening, cardiovascular checks, laboratory services, treatment of chronic and minor ailments, deworming, and insecticide-treated mosquito nets.

Mr Weli disclosed that the company also trained community-based health volunteers known as “Vision Finders” to identify people suffering from visual impairments and connect them to treatment.

“This is not just a health intervention. It is an act of empowerment; investing in people, building local capacity, and ensuring that the work we started together does not end when we leave,” he added.

Representing the Chief Upstream Investment Officer of NNPC Upstream Investment Management Services (NUIMS), Mrs Nkechi Anaedobe, said the joint venture remained focused on improving living conditions in host communities.

“Even though we do exploration and production, it’s important for us as companies that we work on the sustainability path of our lives in the host community,” she said.

Mrs Anaedobe revealed that the programme is expected to exceed its initial target of 5,000 beneficiaries.

“We had over 5,000 as our target, and we’re on track to not only meet that but surpass it as well,” she added.

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Economy

Investors Transacted 7.075 billion Shares Worth N324.4bn in One Week

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By Dipo Olowookere

A total of 7.075 billion shares worth N324.351 billion were transacted in 474,436 deals on the floor of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited last week, in contrast to the 4.842 billion shares valued at N287.756 billion traded in 332,453 deals in the preceding week.

Further analysis showed that the financial sector led the activity chart with 4.260 billion stocks sold for N131.483 billion in 179,609 deals, contributing 60.22 per cent and 40.54 per cent to the total trading volume and value, respectively.

The ICT industry recorded a turnover of 769.239 million equities worth N45.315 billion in 61,820 deals, and the investment segment traded 544.809 million shares valued at N5.776 billion in 2,243 deals.

The trio of Access Holdings, VFD Group, and CWG accounted for 1.589 billion units sold for N30.098 billion in 24,954 deals, contributing 22.46 per cent and 9.28 per cent to the total trading volume and value, respectively.

Bargain-hunting persisted on Customs Street in the week, with the All-Share Index (ASI) and the market capitalisation up by 0.71 per cent each to 244,775.83 points and N157.094 trillion, respectively.

Also, all other indices finished higher except the CG, premium, pension, AFR Bank Value, MERI Growth, MERI Value, energy, and commodity indices, which depreciated by 0.26 per cent, 1.69 per cent, 0.60 per cent, 2.12 per cent, 0.16 per cent, 2.80 per cent, 3.27 per cent and 2.26 per cent, respectively, while the sovereign bond index remained unchanged.

In the five-day trading week, 69 equities gained weight versus 52 equities of the previous week, 36 shares lost weight versus 53 shares a week earlier, and 41 stocks closed flat versus 41 stocks of the preceding week.

CAP led the gainers’ group after it chalked up 60.95 per cent to trade at N233.70, Zichis gained 53.17 per cent to close at N33.36, FTN Cocoa rose by 50.91 per cent to N8.30, RT Briscoe expanded by 40.98 per cent to N15.00, and Dangote Sugar grew by 33.43 per cent to N93.00.

Conversely, NAHCO shed 20.95 per cent to settle at N203.95, Guinness Nigeria shrank by 18.99 per cent to N402.60, Access Holdings depreciated by 12.59 per cent to N23.60, MTN Nigeria declined by 12.45 per cent to N801.10, and UPDC slipped by 12.24 per cent to N4.30.

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