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Nigerian Manufacturers Demand Urgent Slash in 27.5% Interest Rate

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interest rate hike

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has been asked to urgently cut the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR), currently at 27.5 per cent, because it is not helping the economy.

This call was made by the Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN) in a statement signed its Director General, Mr Segun Ajayi-Kadir.

On Tuesday, the Governor of the CBN, Mr Yemi Cardoso, after the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting in Abuja, announced that members agreed to retain the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) at 27.5 per cent after it was fixed at that rate in November 2024.

Reacting to this, Mr Ajayi-Kadir said the rigid stance of the MPC has continued to create unintended consequences that might deepen the parlous performance of the productive sector and earnestly, “beseech the CBN to urgently reconsider its monetary stance.”

He accused the central bank was to seeking to attract speculative foreign portfolio investors at the expense of Nigeria’s manufacturing base, which is now choked by unsustainable borrowing costs.

“A nation that woos foreign portfolio investors at the expense of its real sector may unwittingly be aspiring to build prosperity on the back of volatility.

“We are disturbed by the implicit prioritisation of short-term foreign capital inflows over the long-term health of domestic industries.

“While maintaining a high interest rate of 27.5 percent may temporarily attract speculative foreign portfolio investors, it is doing so at the expense of Nigeria’s manufacturing base, which is now choked by unsustainable borrowing costs,” he said.

Mr Ajayi-Kadir pointed out that what was evident now in the Nigerian economy was the contrast between the widening profitability of the banking sector buoyed by elevated interest margins and manufacturers’ shrinking margins, rising debts, and declining productivity, declaring that this was an economic paradox that must be urgently addressed.

“The current monetary policy trajectory risks turning banks into vaults of idle wealth, while the real economy—where jobs are created and value is added—faces suffocation,” said Mr Ajayi-Kadir, who warned that “a society that rewards intermediaries over producers invites long-term decline,” describing access to affordable credit as “the oxygen that sustains industrial growth,” adding that no economy has ever grown by starving its manufacturers of oxygen.

He further argued that recent disinflationary trends provided justification for the CBN to cut rates as the improvement in the real interest rates has given financial investors higher inflation-adjusted returns.

“Maintaining a high nominal interest rate under current inflation conditions is neither necessary nor justifiable, and will only prolong the pain for manufacturers and consumers alike,” he stated.

“A nation cannot industrialise on the back of prohibitively expensive credit. With the benchmark interest rate held at 27.5 per cent, Nigeria has become the 6th most expensive country to source credit as local manufacturers grapple with an average lending rate of over 37 per cent.

“This policy posture is not only inflationary, but is suffocating the capacity of the manufacturing sector.

“Compounded by other limiting factors, our members—small, medium and even large-scale—are finding it increasingly difficult to stay afloat, expand production lines, or even meet basic operational costs,” Mr Ajayi-Kadir disclosed.

He stated that domestic production would fall with highly-priced credit, which he said could constrain the country to “imports poverty” by relying on extensive importation of manufactured goods.

“Our concerns go beyond the debilitating impact on our numbers business. The ‘Nigeria First Policy,’ which seeks to strengthen local industry and reduce import dependence, may be under severe threat.

“At the heart of its successful implementation lies access to affordable financing to boost capacity utilisation. Unfortunately, the current interest rate regime constrains finance costs for our members, surging by over 44 per cent from N1.43 trillion in 2023 to N2.06 trillion in 2024 and rising.

“This represents a sharp increase that has directly depressed productivity and led to underutilisation of industrial capacity,” the DG stated, noting that high cost of credit has not only diminished the flow of investments into the manufacturing sector but has also dulled the return on existing investments, with Small and Medium Industries hit the hardest.

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Economy

Nigeria’s Headline Inflation Eases to 15.06%

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Nigeria’s Headline Inflation

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria’s headline inflation rate moderated marginally by 0.04 per cent to 15.06 per cent in February 2026 from 15.10 per cent in January 2026.

This information was contained in the latest data of the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Monday.

It was revealed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which measures changes in the average price level of goods and services, rose to 130.0 in February from 127.4 in the preceding month, representing a 2.6-point increase.

On a month-on-month basis, however, inflationary pressures accelerated.

The headline inflation rate stood at 2.01 per cent in February 2026, marking a sharp increase of 4.89 percentage points compared to the -2.88 per cent recorded in January 2026.

At 15.06 per cent, the print is higher than analysts’ expectations. Coronation Research projected over the weekend that the inflation rate for the month under review would moderate by 0.98 per cent to 14.12 per cent.

“Our projection is supported by favourable base effects, easing food price pressures, and slight appreciation of the Naira,” a part of the report said.

The organisation revealed that ongoing government interventions in the agricultural sector to improve food supply conditions were beginning to ease pressures within the food component of the consumer basket.

It further stated that “appreciation of the Naira to N1,363.40/1$ from N1,386.55/1$ in January is expected to reduce the cost of imported food items.”

However, it stressed that the ongoing US/Israel-Iran war was capable of reversing the deflationary trends because of the rising global energy prices.

The marginal moderation further lends credence to the 50-basis-point cut in interest rate at the 304th Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to 26.50 per cent from 27 per cent.

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Economy

Afreximbank’s Gamble on Dangote Refinery Paid Off—Elombi

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Dangote Refinery Crude Supply to Local Refineries

By Adedapo Adesanya

The President of the African Export-Import Bank (Afreximbank), Mr George Elombi, said the lender’s gamble on the soon-to-be expanded 650,000-barrel-per-day Dangote Refinery has paid off amid rising energy needs following the United States and Israel’s war on Iran.

Speaking recently on the sidelines of last Monday’s formal signing event to host the bank’s Intra-African Trade Fair 2027 in Lagos, a continental commerce event designed to boost trade across Africa, Mr Elombi said the fears that its involvement in the $20 billion infrastructure “could break Afreximbank” have proven to be a win for the company and the continent.

The $20 billion Dangote Refinery, which was largely financed by Afreximbank, has been described as a transformative project for Nigeria’s energy landscape. It has disrupted local markets as well as foreign markets.

In October 2025, Mr Elombi revealed in Cairo that Mr Aliko Dangote was seeking an additional $5 billion to expand his refinery in Lagos. This came after Afreximbank announced a $1.35 billion facility for Dangote Industries Limited as part of a $4 billion syndicated financing deal to refinance the construction of the complex, the largest single-train refinery in the world, in August. The bank contributed the largest share.

Mr Elombi, who took over the presidency of the lender in October, stated at the time that Mr Aliko Dangote had personally disclosed the plan earlier and assured the bank would explore all possible financing options.

In his latest comment regarding the relationship, he said, “We looked around, and we said, if we didn’t do it, then who else was going to come and take the risk later. Still, the risk is a gamble, but on this occasion we were lucky because it turned out to be a very positive gamble.”

“You gamble on someone like Mr Aliko Dangote, every type of gamble will be on the winning side. So we went along with the gamble, and you can see what the impact is; it is that he can now refine domestically and sell at the domestic rate. We can now use Dangote as an instrument for dealing with our refined product challenges across the Gulf of Guinea and further in some countries,” he added.

He described the refinery as “a development instrument” for African countries in light of the disruptions, saying “he (Dangote) has to use it for that purpose and we will be using it all the way down the Atlantic Coast, Namibia, Botswana, where we intend to put storage facilities so that when crises happens like this, long as is further away from the African coast.”

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Nigeria’s Crude Output Falls 145,000bpd in February

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria’s crude production dropped 145,000 barrels per day in February 2026, reversing the small gains made in January 2026.

The country averaged 1.314 million barrels of crude per day, a 9.94 per cent slide from the 1.459 million barrels of crude per day averaged in January 2026, according to data published in the March 2026 issue of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR).

The main contributor to the decrease was the ongoing turnaround maintenance of the Bonga field, the country’s largest single producing accumulation. The TAM runs from February 1 to March 18, 2026.

February 2026 data from the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) had not been released as of March 13, 2026, so it’s unclear what the volume of condensate produced in the month was since OPEC doesn’t publish condensate volumes produced by its members.

However, the crude oil figures published in the MOMR for every country are cleared with the regulatory agencies of those countries, so the 1.314 million barrels of crude per day figure is expected to be confirmed when NUPRC data for February 2026 is published on its website.

Despite the plunge, Nigeria remained Africa’s largest crude oil producer in the month, with second-place Libya also dropping from 1. 378 million barrels of crude per day in January to 1 287 million barrels of crude per day in February 2026.

The drop in production may affect Nigeria’s gains from the expected oil windfall, as skyrocketing oil prices are heightened by Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

The closure of the Strait, which connects the Gulf to the world market, has triggered the biggest oil supply disruption in history. The narrow waterway is a critical energy choke point that typically carries roughly 20 per cent of the world’s oil.

The international benchmark Brent crude futures traded 1.9 per cent higher at $105.00 per barrel.

The Paris-based International Energy Agency (IEA) spearheaded more than 30 countries to release 400 million barrels of stockpiled oil to address the supply disruption. Asian nations will start releasing emergency oil supplies immediately, while countries in the Americas and Europe will start releasing their stockpiles by the end of March.

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