Economy
Are Nigerian Mutual Fund Investors Too Risk Averse?
By Quantitative Financial Analytics
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) just released its latest compilation of mutual funds NAV.
As projected by analysts at Quantitative Financial Analytics, the combined net asset value of Nigerian mutual funds has crossed the N400 billion mark. How the NAV got so big is a discuss of another article, however, fund type analysis of the mutual funds’ assets points to one troubling indication.
That analysis, which was based on the NAV Summary report as at November 24th, 2017, indicates that slightly over 67 percent of mutual fund assets is invested in money market funds, 11.33 percent in Real Estate Funds, 8.7 percent in Fixed Income funds while 7.34 percent is invested in Equity based mutual funds. With 2.63 percent invested in Balanced funds, only 1.57 percent is invested in Exchange traded funds with Ethical funds having only 1.35 percent of the NAV.
The same analysis carried out as at December 31, 2016, shows that 48.6 percent of mutual funds NAV was in money market funds, 20.35 percent in Real Estate Funds, 12.25 percent in Equity based funds, 11.24 percent in Fixed Income funds and 3.93 percent in Balanced or mixed funds. Ethical and Exchange traded funds had 2.12 percent and 1.62 percent respectively.
By the end of the second quarter of the year, mutual funds’ assets invested in money market funds had gone up to 54.48 percent, while those in Real Estate funds increased to 16.77 percent, Fixed income funds’ share also increased to 10.72 percent while investment in Equity mutual funds decreased to 10.68 percent. That trend has continued through the last quarter of the year but it does look like it is a trend against the run of play.
Yield curve has been falling since February 2017, although it witnessed some recovery in August but has since resumed and continued its downward move.
One would have expected that investors would reallocate their assets away from yield curve dependent investments, but it does not seem that they did.
On the other hand, the equity market has been aiming at the sky. By the end of Q1, the All Share Index was down 5.05 percent on a YTD basis, but by the end of Q2, it had recovered and gone up by 23.23 percent, and by end of Q3 it had recorded a YTD performance of 31.87 percent which now stands at 39.04 percent (as at November 24, 2017). Equities are by far out performing fixed income securities.
Specifically speaking, FBN money market fund is currently yielding about 18.6 percent while Stanbic IBTC money market fund is yielding about 17.77 percent and ARM Money market fund yields about 17.08 percent.
On the other hand, most equity based funds are yielding much more in YTD returns.
With the performance of the equity market so high and yield curve sloping downward, one could not but wonder why investors will divest from equity funds to money market funds. The only reason that comes to mind is that investors are risk averse preferring the little return being offered by money market funds for their known risk to the high equity returns with their unknown risk.
It has been said that one of the greatest risks in investment is to remain risk averse for too long.


Economy
World Bank’s MIGA Targets $6.4bn Annual Guarantees for Africa
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA), a World Bank financer, is ramping up efforts to unlock private capital for Africa, with plans to more than double its annual guarantee issuance on the continent to $6.4 billion over the next three and a half years.
The move is expected to catalyse as much as $23 billion in private sector investment across key sectors, including energy infrastructure, food security, trade finance, digital connectivity and sovereign debt restructuring.
The expansion underscores a growing shift among development finance institutions toward deploying guarantees as a primary tool for de-risking investments in frontier markets and attracting private capital flows into economies often viewed as high-risk.
MIGA’s Managing Director, Mr Tsutomu Yamamoto, said the scaled-up programme would play a critical role in mobilising investment, creating jobs and strengthening economic resilience across African countries.
He noted that the agency’s instruments, ranging from political risk insurance to credit enhancement, debt swaps and portfolio guarantees, are designed to reduce investor exposure and improve project bankability.
The guarantee push will continue to focus on strategic sectors such as power grids, local banking systems, agriculture and food supply chains, as well as digital infrastructure, all of which are seen as foundational to long-term economic growth across the continent.
Although the agency did not disclose specific projects in its pipeline, it said the expansion reflects rising demand for risk-sharing mechanisms in emerging markets, particularly as governments grapple with tight fiscal conditions and limited access to affordable financing.
The development follows a broader restructuring within the World Bank Group nearly two years ago, which consolidated guarantee operations to scale up private sector investment mobilisation globally.
MIGA has already played a role in pioneering debt swap transactions in the Ivory Coast and Angola, while also supporting food security initiatives in Kenya and backing more than 100 energy projects across emerging markets. Its guarantees have further underpinned lending operations in countries such as Ghana and Zambia, helping to stabilise financial systems and sustain credit flows.
The agency’s latest push reflects a wider evolution in development finance strategy, where guarantees are increasingly used to stretch limited public funds and crowd in private investors. By lowering perceived risks, these instruments make large-scale infrastructure and development projects more attractive to commercial financiers who would otherwise stay on the sidelines.
This shift is gaining urgency as many advanced economies scale back aid budgets while simultaneously seeking stronger economic ties and resource access in Africa.
In response, multilateral lenders are leaning more heavily on innovative financial tools like guarantees to bridge funding gaps and sustain development momentum.
MIGA’s broader ambition is to help lift the World Bank Group’s global guarantee issuance to $20 billion annually by 2030, positioning guarantees as a central pillar in financing sustainable development across emerging markets.
Economy
NASD Index Appreciates by 0.58% Amid Robust Turnover
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange further appreciated by 0.58 per cent on Tuesday, May 19, buoyed by strong investor appetite for unlisted securities.
Data from the bourse showed that the volume of securities traded during the session ballooned by 365,661.8 per cent to 1.9 billion units compared with the previous day’s 514,142 units, as the value of transactions surged by 30,433.9 per cent to N5.3 billion from the preceding session’s N17.4 million, and the number of deals increased by 22.2 per cent, as these trades were executed in 60 deals versus the 27 deals recorded a day earlier.
Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc ended the trading session as the most traded stock by value on a year-to-date basis, with the sale of 3.4 billion units valued at N8.4 billion, followed by Infrastructure Credit Guarantee (Infracredit) Plc with 2.3 billion units transacted for N6.5 billion, and Central Securities and Clearing System (CSCS) Plc with 60.9 million units exchanged for N4.1 billion.
GNI Plc was also the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units worth N8.4 billion, followed by Infracredit Plc with 2.3 billion units sold for N6.5 billion, and Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units traded for N415.7 million.
During the session, there were three price gainers and one price loser, led by Afriland Properties Plc, which went down by 5 Kobo to trade at N16.90 per share versus the previous day’s N16.95 per share.
But FrieslandCampina Wamco Plc appreciated by N12.45 to N151.79 per unit from N146.55 per unit, CSCS Plc expanded by 62 Kobo to N70.62 per share from N70.00 per share, and UBN Property Plc added 20 Kobo to close at N2.24 per unit versus N2.04 per unit.
At the close of business, the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) rose by 24.05 points to 4,157.75 points from 4,133.70 points, and the market capitalisation chalked up N14.39 billion to close at N2.487 trillion compared with Monday’s N2.473 trillion.
Economy
Naira Further Loses 17 Kobo at NAFEX
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira further depreciated against the United States Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Tuesday, May 19, by 17 Kobo or 0.01 per cent to trade at N1,373.87/$1 compared to the previous day’s N1,373.70/$1.
However, the domestic currency appreciated against the Pound Sterling in the same market window by 5 Kobo to close at N1,839.61/£1 versus Monday’s rate of N1,839.66/£1, and gained N5.97 against the Euro to settle at N1,594.52/€1, in contrast to the preceding session’s N1,600.49/€1.
Data from GTBank FX bench showed that the Naira appreciated against the US Dollar yesterday by N2 to sell at N1,381/$1 versus N1,383, and at the parallel market, it remained unchanged at N1,390/$1.
The outcome across the board came as Nigeria’s external reserves have shown signs of improvement in recent weeks, which may provide some support for FX market interventions by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and broader macroeconomic stability efforts.
Currency traders and investors are expected to continue monitoring CBN policy direction, foreign portfolio inflows, crude oil earnings, and external reserve performance as key indicators influencing the naira’s trajectory in the coming months.
The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting began on Tuesday with announcements of decisions expected later on Wednesday after inflation ticked up in April.
In the cryptocurrency market, major digital coins were down as traders focused on macro data, oil prices, and inflation, while the US Senate advanced a measure that could force President Donald Trump to seek congressional approval for the Iran war.
Ripple (XRP) went down by 1.3 per cent to $1.36, Dogecoin (DOGE) slid by 0.9 per cent to $0.1034, Cardano (ADA) dropped by 0.7 per cent to $0.2499, Ethereum (ETH) declined by 0.5 per cent to $2,124.02, Solana (SOL) depreciated by 0.5 per cent to $84.67, TRON (TRX) dipped by 0.4 per cent to $0.3551, and Binance Coin (BNB) slumped 0.1 per cent to $641.39.
On the flip side, Bitcoin (BTC) appreciated by 0.3 per cent to $77,114.20, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 each.
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