By Adedapo Adesanya

The value of Brent crude shrank by 2.16 per cent or $1.39 to $62.82 per barrel on Tuesday as investors smell an increasing likelihood of a recession due to the escalating trade war between the United States and China, the world’s two biggest economies.

Also, the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures went down by 1.85 per cent or $1.12 to $59.58 per barrel as the American government plans to impose a 104 per cent tariff on China from Wednesday, a White House official said.

This is an addition of 50 per cent more to tariffs after China failed to lift its retaliatory tariffs on US goods by a noon deadline on Tuesday set by President Donald Trump.

China vowed not to bow to what it called US blackmail after President Trump threatened the additional 50 per cent tariff on Chinese goods if the country did not lift its 34 per cent retaliatory tariff.

China’s Commerce Ministry said the country would fight to the end, boosting fears about a contraction of the global economy and likely recession.

Meanwhile, the US Trade Representative said that China has not indicated it wants to work toward trade reciprocity.

The European Union, too, is readying a full spectrum of countermeasures, including potentially taxing Silicon Valley giants.

Other major American trading partners are exacting pressure in other ways as Canada matched US auto tariffs and launched an advertising campaign across the border against President Trump’s trade policy.

This has led analysts to reduce their price forecasts with Goldman Sachs forecasting that Brent and WTI crude prices would be at $62 and $58 a barrel, respectively, by December 2025, and at $55 and $51, respectively, a year after that, under different scenarios.

Meanwhile, US crude and distillate inventories fell while gasoline (petrol) stocks rose last week, according to the American Petroleum Institute (API) figures on Tuesday.

Crude stocks fell by 1.1 million barrels in the week ended April 4, gasoline inventories rose by 210,000 barrels and distillate stocks fell by 1.8 million barrels, the API said.

Official weekly oil inventory data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) is due later on Wednesday.

By Adedapo Adesanya

The United States has lamented Nigeria’s import ban on 25 different products, particularly in agriculture, pharmaceuticals, beverages, and consumer goods, as it rationalised the recent decision to slap a 14 per cent retaliatory tariff.

The United States Trade Representative, in a statement on Monday posted on its X platform, said Nigeria’s restrictions on items like beef, pork, poultry, fruit juices, medicaments, and spirits limit US market access and reduce export opportunities.

“These policies create significant trade barriers that lead to lost revenue for US businesses looking to expand in the Nigerian market,” it wrote.

Last week, the administration of President Donald Trump imposed various tariffs ranging between 10 per cent and 65 per cent on different countries across the world, including Nigeria which got a 14 per cent tariff on its exports to the US.

In response, the Nigerian Minister of Trade, Industry, and Investment, Mrs Jumoke Oduwole, said Nigeria would take a pragmatic approach and will boost non-oil exports to deal with the drawbacks from the US move.

She also said Nigeria will be willing to negotiate and will be speaking with the World Trade Organisation (WTO) on the way forward.

On his part, the Minister of Finance, Mr Wale Edun, said that the Economic Management Team (EMT) would meet to assess the likely impact of the 14 per cent tariff on goods exported from Nigeria to the US.

He said the EMT will afterwards, make recommendations to cushion its impact on the nation’s economy.

The Minister also said the federal government will boost non-revenue as a means of cushioning the adverse effects to trade tariffs imposed on countries by President Trump.

Mr Edun also assured that while the adverse effect on Nigeria will be through an oil price plunge, the government is intensifying efforts to ramp up oil production and boost non-oil revenues.

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria and Japan have launched a strategic venture capital initiative that will channel Naira-denominated investments into high-growth startups, shielding them from currency risks while unlocking access to long-term concessional financing.

The Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Mr Wale Edun, met with officials from the Nigeria Sovereign Investment Authority (NSIA) and the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) to finalise the framework of the fund, which has now received formal approval from the Japanese government.

Speaking on the development, Mr Edun welcomed the development, calling it a timely response to Nigeria’s youthful demography.

He said this fund provides critical financial backing across the capital structure—from equity to debt—and is aligned with President Bola Tinubu’s Renewed Hope Agenda for inclusive economic growth, he stated.

On his part, NSIA CEO, Mr Aminu Umar-Sadiq confirmed that the initiative satisfies two key conditions set by the Minister: mitigating foreign exchange volatility by investing in Naira and securing first-loss or grant capital to de-risk private investment.

“With JICA’s support, this is not just a proposed solution—it’s a fully approved, ready-to-launch initiative,” Mr Umar-Sadiq said.

By combining international concessional financing with domestic currency stability, the fund marks a new model for venture capital in Africa, aimed squarely at empowering the next generation of Nigerian innovators.