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Economy

Nigeria’s GDP Grows 3.11% in Q1 2022 Amid Lower Economic Activity

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GDP Nigeria growth

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Monday said the gross domestic product (GDP) of Nigeria in the first quarter of 2022 increased by 3.11 per cent on a year-to-year basis in real terms amid lower economic activity, according to the stats office.

In the same period of last year, the GDP stood at 2.60 per cent, 0.51 per cent lower than the figures in Q1 2022 and when compared with the preceding quarter, which was the fourth quarter of 2021 at 3.98 per cent, the current GDP is 0.88 per cent lower.

However, the country’s economy is recording positive growth for the sixth consecutive quarter since the recession witnessed in 2020 when negative growth rates were recorded in the second and third quarters.

In the quarter under review, aggregate GDP stood at N45,317,823.33 million in nominal terms, higher than the N40,014,482.74 million recorded in the first quarter of 2021, indicating a year-on-year nominal growth rate of 13.25 per cent.

According to the NBS, the nominal GDP growth rate in Q1 2022 was higher relative to the 12.25 per cent growth recorded in the first quarter of 2021 and higher compared to the 13.11 per cent growth recorded in the preceding quarter.

Further analysis indicated that the oil sector contributed 6.63 per cent to the total real GDP in Q1 2022, down from the figures recorded in the corresponding period of 2021 and up compared to the preceding quarter, where it contributed 9.25 per cent and 5.19 per cent respectively.

In the first three months of this year, the real growth of the sector was –26.04 per cent (year-on-year), a decrease of 23.83 per cent compared with the rate recorded in the corresponding quarter of 2021. Growth decreased by 17.99 per cent points when compared to Q4 2021 which was –8.06 per cent and on a quarter-on-quarter basis, it recorded a growth rate of 9.11 per cent in Q1 2022.

In the period under consideration, the average daily oil production of Nigeria was 1.49 million barrels per day (mbpd), lower than the daily average production of 1.72mbpd recorded in the same quarter of 2021 by 0.23mbpd and lower than the fourth quarter of 2021 production volume of 1.50mbpd by 0.01mbpd.

As for the non-oil sector, it contributed 93.37 per cent to the nation’s GDP in the first quarter of 2022, higher than the share recorded in the first quarter of 2021 which was 90.75 per cent and lower than the fourth quarter of 2021 recorded as 94.81 per cent.

In Q1 2022, the non-oil sector grew by 6.08 per cent in real terms, higher by 5.28 per cent points compared to the rate recorded same quarter of 2021 and 1.34 per cent points higher than the fourth quarter of 2021.

This sector was driven in the first quarter of 2022 mainly by Information and Communication (Telecommunication); Trade; Financial and Insurance (Financial Institutions); Agriculture (Crop Production); and Manufacturing (Food, Beverage & Tobacco).

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Economy

Nigerian Exchange Drops 0.21%

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Nigerian Exchange Limited

By Dipo Olowookere

A 0.21 per cent loss was suffered by the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited on Wednesday, as investor chew on the contraction in Nigeria’s June 2026 inflation rate to 15.91 per cent, according to data released during the session by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

It was observed that the consumer goods sector lost 1.24 per cent, the industrial goods space shed 0.23 per cent, and the energy index crashed by 0.10 per cent, with these losses offsetting the gains recorded by the financial services sector, as the banking segment rose by 4.53 per cent, and the insurance counter chalked up 1.23 per cent.

Consequently, the All-Share Index (ASI) retreated by 503.69 points to 242,366.75 points from 242,870.44 points, but the market capitalisation added N390 billion to close at N156.239 trillion compared with the previous session’s N155.849 trillion.

During the trading day, Trans-Nationwide Express shed 9.85 per cent to end at N3.02, International Breweries moderated by 6.12 per cent to N13.05, Haldane McCall slipped by 5.95 per cent to N3.32, DAAR Communications declined by 5.68 per cent to N1.66, and NGX Group lost 4.38 per cent to finish at N28.12.

On the flip side, First Holdco improved by 9.98 per cent to N79.35, Thomas Wyatt expanded by 9.29 per cent to N2.94, Legend Internet gained 8.99 per cent to settle at N4.85, Tripple Gee grew by 8.96 per cent to N3.89, and Coronation Insurance increased by 6.61 per cent to N2.42.

Yesterday, market participants transacted 476.3 million stocks worth N29.6 billion in 40,992 deals compared with the 634.8 million stocks valued at N53.3 billion traded in 42,494 deals, showing a decline in the trading volume, value, and number of deals by 24.97 per cent, 44.47 per cent, and 3.54 per cent, respectively.

First Holdco was the busiest equity with 78.7 million units sold for N6.2 billion, Sterling Holdings transacted 56.7 million units worth N439.2 million, Zenith Bank traded 30.0 million units valued at N3.3 billion, Fidelity Bank exchanged 27.3 million units for N563.9 million, and Stanbic IBTC traded 22.8 million units valued at N3.8 billion.

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Economy

Deloitte Africa Lauds Nigeria’s Ongoing Financial, Fiscal Reforms

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Deloitte Africa Tinubu

**Tinubu Says Economy on Steady Growth

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

President Bola Tinubu has been praised for the ongoing financial and fiscal reforms in the country and encouraged to pursue a stronger partnership that supports investments, youth training, and employment.

The chief executive of Deloitte Africa, Ms Ruwayda Redfearn, who led a delegation to visit Mr Tinubu in Abuja on Wednesday, said the global organisation is primarily focused on digital and business transformation, with over 500,000 employees worldwide working across various roles and locations, including over 6,000 in Africa, adding that her accountancy firm’s revenue was $74 billion in 2025.

“We are here before you to say that we want to serve. We have a local team on the ground that is ready, as well as the global firm, to support you and support your administration as you lead the country,” she said.

Also, the chief executive of Deloitte West Africa, Mr Yomi Olugbenro, assured President Tinubu of the firm’s support for the reforms.

“We do what we do because of the philosophy that our African CEOs talk about – making an impact that matters. Where we are at the moment, we believe that the ground has been solidly laid. There is a need to truly extract more value and deliver the dividends of democracy to ordinary Nigerians on the street. The bigger work is really about how to cascade some of those big reforms further down.

“We do believe that with the capabilities that the firm has all over the world, with the half a million people that our CEO spoke about, we have use cases, examples, and experiences of how we supported nations all around the world, so Nigeria will definitely benefit from those experiences.

“So, that is why we are here, and we welcome the invitation that you may grant us as to where exactly you want us to support you,” he stated.

In his remarks, Mr Tinubu informed his guests that his administration’s reforms have steadily stabilised the economy over three years, with growing plaudits for positive development and growth indicators.

“We are following the example of Deloitte’s greatness to change things from the foundation, building the necessary future for our people.

“Yes, reforms are difficult. It has not been a McDonald’s customer relationship but a harvester of good things, if implemented well, and that is what we are about.

“Thank you for your partnership in paying attention to what we are doing here, as we have heard from the Minister of Finance about the fiscal, revenue and tax reforms that have taken place and are moving the nation forward.

“The reforms on revenue will continue to stimulate growth. And the effect of the reform? Yes, some issues are difficult to take the bitter medicine, but it is working well. For the economy, Nigeria is making serious foundational progress,” he stated.

The President said the reforms had stimulated the economy, strengthened the fiscal and revenue sectors, repositioned financial institutions, and prepared the country to be more globally relevant and competitive, urging Deloitte Africa to improve its impact on the Nigerian economy by training and recruiting the dynamic youth population.

“The family of Deloitte; you just reminded me of my cradle years in accountancy and where I cut my childhood accounting teeth in Chicago. Deloitte has a good training programme, and I believe you will continue to reflect that,” he added.

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Economy

Oil Prices Slip Despite Rising Tensions in Strait of Hormuz

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oil prices fall

By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil prices fell on Wednesday after the United States’ attacks against Iranian military installations that aimed to limit its ability to strike shipping in the ‌Strait of Hormuz.

Brent futures declined by $1.11 or 1.31 per cent to $83.62 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures lost 81 cents or 1.02 per cent to close at $78.53 a barrel.

Attacks ​worsened a supply disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, through which about a fifth of the world’s oil and liquefied natural gas passed prior to the war’s outbreak.

The US military said it ​had hit dozens of military targets near the strategic waterway and Iranian coastal areas in strikes lasting seven hours. In response, Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary ​Guard Corps (IRGC) said on Wednesday it had struck American military targets in the region, including in Bahrain, Kuwait and Jordan.

The US military said its fresh strikes on ‌Wednesday against ⁠Iran’s coastal defence systems and cruise missile storage and launch sites were “designed to further degrade military capabilities Iranian forces have used to attack commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.”

The US alleged that said Iran had “intentionally” targeted civilians and attacked seven commercial vessels over the previous week, leaving roughly a dozen crew members dead, missing or injured.

The hostilities between Iran and the US reignited last week, breaking an already fragile truce reached in June after several months of fighting. The collapsed ceasefire precipitated a new crisis in the waterway, and Iran threatened to close all other export corridors that benefit the US and its allies.

The US Energy Information Administration reported a 1.7 million-barrel drop in US crude inventory last week. The American Petroleum Institute (API) had estimated that crude oil inventories in the US fell by 564,000 barrels in the week ending July 10.

Goldman Sachs estimated in a note that Gulf exports recovered to more than ​80 per cent of pre-war levels after the US-Iran memorandum of understanding in June but slipped back below 50 per cent, or ​about 11 million ⁠barrels per day, over the last week.

The bank said Brent could exceed $110 in the fourth quarter this year if the Gulf export recovery continues to stall.

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