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Nigeria’s GDP to Record 2.44% Growth in Q4 2018—FSDH

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By Dipo Olowookere

A Lagos-based investment firm, FSDH Research, has projected that the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of Nigeria will increase by 2.44 percent or N19.05 trillion in the fourth quarter of 2018.

In the third quarter of this year, according to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), grew by 1.81 percent.

In its report, FSDH Research said though the Q3 2018 GDP figures showed that the Nigerian economy gathered more momentum than in Q2 2018 and in the corresponding period of Q3 2017, the real GDP growth rate still remains sluggish, lower than the population growth rate in the country of about 2.75 percent (according to the figure from the International Monetary Fund).

It said the three largest sectors of the economy, which account for 56 percent of the total GDP, recorded positive growth rates in Q3 2018, while the other dominant sectors of the economy which contracted during the quarter recorded lower contractions than were recorded in Q2 2018.

‘Financial Institutions and Insurance’ is the only sector among the top ten biggest sectors that moved from growth in Q2 2018 to contraction in Q3 2018. The Q3 GDP numbers show that additional policies are required for the Nigerian economy to achieve and sustain strong growth that could create jobs.

The driver of the GDP growth rate in Q3 was the Non-Oil sector of the economy which expanded by 2.32 percent in Q3, higher than 2.05 percent in Q2 2018.

‘Information and Communication’ was the largest contributor to the GDP growth rate in Q3 2018 and despite the double-digit growth rate recorded in ‘Information and Communication,’ the World Economic Forum (WEF) rates Nigeria low in its Information and Communication Technology adoption in The Global Competitiveness Report 2018.

FSDH Research said it believes this is an indication of huge untapped opportunities within the sector, pointing out that policies are needed that could create an enabling environment for this sector to thrive.

The Oil sector of the Nigerian economy entered a recession in Q3 2018 following two consecutive quarters of contraction. FSDH Research notes, however, that the contraction in the sector moderated in Q3 2018 compared with the contraction recorded in Q2 2018.

Anecdotal evidence shows that Nigeria was not able to sell some of its crude oil in Q3 2018. Subsequently, crude oil production was reduced in addition to other technical challenges the industry faced. Nigerian economic managers need to engage in high-level international negotiations with crude oil buyers on a global scale to guarantee a market for Nigerian crude oil.

The fact that the Real Estate sector is still in economic depression is of concern to FSDH Research. Real Estate is a labour-intensive sector, which provides job opportunities for different categories of labour: unskilled, semi-skilled and highly skilled. Strong economic activities that propel growth in the Real Estate sector could employ many unemployed Nigerians, which would help to address the high unemployment level in the country.

In addition, the sector has a multiplier effect on other sectors of the economy such as manufacturing (cement production) and construction. Improved activities in the Real Estate sector could improve the standard of living through the provision of quality and affordable housing for Nigerians, which in itself should increase labour productivity.

FSDH Research recommends additional measures to stimulate economic activities in Nigeria, including the immediate abolition of additional income taxes that some state governments in Nigeria charge on employees of companies who obtain mortgage loans below market rates; the tax is a major hindrance to the growth of the real estate sector in Nigeria. Government at all levels should provide long-term guarantees for civil servants to access mortgage loans at low interest rates. Longterm funds, specifically for the development of affordable housing units, can be sourced from international development corporations.

It also suggested that government could donate land free of charge for such housing developments and that state governments should also reduce the time and costs involved in property registration.

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

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Economy

eTranzact, Others Top Stock Market’s Gainers’ Chart as Buying Pressure Persists

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By Dipo Olowookere

The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited kicked off the week on a positive note after it closed higher by 0.58 per cent on Monday amid sustained buying pressure.

The stock market was bullish as a result of bargain-hunting activities across the key sectors of the bourse, with the energy index growing by 1.49 per cent.

Further, the insurance space expanded by 0.88 per cent, the banking counter improved by 0.86 per cent, the industrial goods sector gained 0.81 per cent, the commodity segment soared by 0.79 per cent, and the consumer goods landscape advanced by 0.57 per cent.

Consequently, the All-Share Index (ASI) went up by 946.61 points to 163,244.69 points from 162,298.08 points and the market capitalisation surged by N745 billion to N104.521 trillion from N103.776 trillion.

The market breadth index of Customs Street was positive yesterday with 49 price gainers and 20 price losers, representing a strong investor sentiment.

The quintet of eTranzact, UPDC, McNichols, Red Star Express and RT Briscoe led the gainers’ chart during the session after chalking up 10.00 per cent each to sell for N16.50, N5.50, N6.05, N11.55, and N3.96, respectively.

However, Champion Breweries topped the losers’ table after it shed 8.51 per cent to quote at N15.05, Eunisell shrank by 8.01 per cent to N156.20, Ikeja Hotel crumbled by 8.00 per cent to N36.80, Guinea Insurance depreciated by 7.30 per cent to N1.27, and Omatek moderated by 3.13 per cent to N1.24.

The activity chart had Sovereign Trust Insurance on top after a turnover of 307.5 million shares valued at N1.0 billion, Fidelity Bank followed with 158.4 million equities sold for N3.1 billion, Linkage Assurance traded 118.7 million stocks worth N213.9 million, Mutual Benefits exchanged 31.5 million shares for N130.4 million, and Lasaco Assurance transacted 31.0 million stocks valued at N79.6 million.

At the close of trades, a total of 1.2 billion equities worth N19.2 billion exchanged hands in 59,359 deals versus the 624.1 million equities valued at N18.5 billion traded in 43,816 deals last Friday, showing a spike in the trading volume, value and number of deals by 92.28 per cent, 3.78 per cent, and 35.47 per cent apiece.

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Economy

Oil Prices Jump on Iran Exports Worries

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil prices rose on Monday amid ​worries that Iran’s exports could decline as the sanctioned member of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) cracked down on anti-government demonstrations.

Brent futures increased by 53 cents or 0.8 per cent to $63.87 a barrel and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures expanded by 38 cents or 0.6 per cent to $59.50 per barrel.

Iran said it was communicating with the US government as President Donald Trump weighed responses to a deadly crackdown on nationwide protests, among the stiffest challenges to clerical rule since ‌the 1979 Islamic Revolution.

On Sunday, the US president said officials may meet Iranian officials. He also threatened possible military action over lethal violence against protesters.

Iran has the world’s fourth-largest proven oil reserves, with around 9 per cent of the global total, coming only behind Venezuela, Saudi Arabia, and Canada. It also has the second-largest proven natural gas reserves, with 17 per cent of the global share, and is the third-largest crude producer and fourth-largest exporter within OPEC.

In recent months, Iran has produced record levels of oil, even in the face of US sanctions on its energy exports and the bombings conducted by Israel on its capital.

Despite the ongoing sanctions, Iran has gradually built up its output once again, from around 2.9 million barrels per day in 2019 to between 3.2 and 4 million barrels per day in 2024, depending on estimates.

Capping gains were expectations ‌that supplies could rise from Venezuela, another sanctioned member of OPEC as it is expected to resume oil exports soon following the ouster of President Nicolas Maduro.

President Trump said last week the government in the South American country was set to hand over as much as 50 million barrels of sanctioned oil to the US.

Reuters reported that oil companies have been racing to find tankers and prepare operations to ship the crude safely.

Investors are also watching the risk of disruptions in supply in two other OPEC allies – Russia and Azerbaijan – as Ukraine’s attacks have targeted Russian energy facilities while the country faces prospects of tougher US sanctions. In Azerbaijan oil exports dropped to 23.1 million tonnes in 2025 from 24.4 million tonnes in 2024.

Market players are also looking at developments with US interest rates and the Federal Reserve after the Trump administration opened a criminal investigation into the head of the US central bank, Mr Jerome Powell.

The Federal Reserve chair ​called the move a “pretext” to influence interest rates, a point that the US president has always hammered upon.

Lower interest rates could boost economic growth and oil demand by reducing borrowing costs, but could hinder the central bank’s efforts to control inflation.

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Economy

Eterna Urges Shareholders to Buy N21.5bn Rights Issue Via NGX Invest Platform

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By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The N21.5 billion rights issue of Eterna Plc has commenced, with shareholders encouraged to participate in the exercise through the NGX Invest platform.

The rights issue began today, Monday, January 12, 2026, and is expected to close on Wednesday, February 18, 2026, a notice signed by the company secretary, Mr David Edet, disclosed.

Proceeds from the exercise will be deployed to support several strategic initiatives, including the expansion of Eterna’s retail network, upgrading of its lubricant blending plant, enhancement of LPG retail assets, acquisition of commercial delivery assets, expansion of aviation fuelling operations, and investments in ESG-related projects aligned with the company’s sustainability objectives.

Business Post reports that a total of 978,108,485 ordinary shares of 50 Kobo each are available for grabs at the price of N22.00 each.

The stocks are being offered to existing shareholders on the basis of three new ordinary shares for every four ordinary shares held as of November 27, 2025.

Apart from buying equities of the rights issue via the NGX Invest platform, shareholders can also purchase by completing the paper participation form.

However, completed participation forms, together with payment or evidence of payment for the full amount payable, must be submitted no later than Wednesday, February 18, 2026, to any of the issuing houses or receiving agents listed in the rights circular.

The rights issue provides existing shareholders with the opportunity to increase their equity holdings in the organisation, thereby reinforcing their participation in and support for Eterna’s long-term growth strategy.

The firm disclosed in the disclosure filed to the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited that the rights issue received the approval of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

It advised shareholders “to contact their stockbrokers and/or financial advisors for further information regarding the offer.”

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