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Economy

Nigeria’s Inflation Drops to 11.22% in June—NBS

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inflation rate Nigeria

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Monday released the inflation data for Nigeria for the month of June 2019.

In its report, the stats office said the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which measures inflation, went down by 0.18 percent to 11.22 percent year-on-year in June 2019 from 11.40 percent recorded in May 2019.

According to the data, increases were recorded in all COICOP divisions that yielded the headline index.

It said on month-on-month basis, the headline index increased by 1.07 percent in June 2019, 0.04 percent rate lower than the rate recorded in May 2019, which was 1.11 percent.

The percentage change in the average composite CPI for the 12 months period ending June 2019 over the average of the CPI for the previous twelve months period was 11.29 percent, similar to the 11.29 percent recorded in May 2019.

In addition, the urban inflation rate increased by 11.61 percent (year-on-year) in June 2019 from 11.76 percent recorded in May 2019, while the rural inflation rate increased by 10.87 percent in June 2019 from 11.08 percent in May 2019.

On a month-on-month basis, the urban index rose by 1.10 percent in June 2019, up by 0.05 from 1.15 percent recorded in May 2019, while the rural index also rose by 1.05 percent in June 2019, up by 0.02 from the rate recorded in May 2019, which stood at 1.07 percent.

The NBS said the corresponding 12-month year-on-year average percentage change for the urban index was 11.65 percent in June 2019, less than 11.66 percent reported in May 2019, while the corresponding rural inflation rate in June 2019 was 10.99 percent compared to 10.98 percent recorded in May 2019.

The stats office further said in its report that the composite food index stood at 13.56 percent in June 2019 compared to 13.79 percent in May 2019.

It attributed this rise in the food index to increases in prices of bread and cereals, meat, oils and fats, potatoes, yam and other tubers, fish, vegetables and fruits.

On month-on-month basis, the food sub-index increased by 1.36 percent in June 2019, down by 0.05 percent points from 1.41 percent recorded in May 2019.

The average annual rate of change of the Food sub-index for the 12-month period ending June 2019 over the previous twelve-month average was 13.42 percent, 0.05 percent points higher from the average annual rate of change recorded in May 2019, which was at 13.37 percent.

Modupe Gbadeyanka is a fast-rising journalist with Business Post Nigeria. Her passion for journalism is amazing. She is willing to learn more with a view to becoming one of the best pen-pushers in Nigeria. Her role models are the duo of CNN's Richard Quest and Christiane Amanpour.

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Economy

Nigerian Private Sector’s Stanbic IBTC PMI for July Eases to 52.5 Points

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Nigerian Private Sector Stanbic IBTC PMI

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The Stanbic IBTC Bank Nigeria Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for the Nigerian private sector in July 2026 contracted to 52.5 points from 53.4 points in June 2026, a statement made available to Business Post has shown.

This occurred despite the business environment sustaining its growth last month, with an increase in new orders experienced, as inflationary pressures softened, and output and employment modestly rising.

The Head of Equity Research West Africa at Stanbic IBTC Bank, Mr Muyiwa Oni, said the PMI indicated that the private sector recorded its slowest since March 2026, as businesses also increased their input purchasing activity to keep up with current demand requirements and prepare for future workloads.

“Nigerian businesses reported improved customer demand in July while better pricing and new product launches also helped them to capture new orders arising from the increase in demand. These factors helped to keep the private sector activity in an expansionary territory, although this moderated when compared to June,” he was quoted as saying.

It was stated that while input costs increased at their slowest pace in five months, panellists reported higher costs for fuel and raw materials. Selling prices also softened in line with the picture for input costs in July.

Headline inflation eased slightly to 15.91 per cent y/y in June from 15.93 per cent y/y in May, snapping three consecutive months of price increases.

Although July inflation is likely to be higher m/m, it is expected to print lower, likely at 15.72 per cent y/y, primarily driven by favourable base effects from the corresponding period of last year, because there are no expectations of the magnitude of m/m inflation witnessed in July 2025 (1.99 per cent) to materialise this year.

“We retain our 2026 growth forecasts at 4.1 per cent as we see the oil sector growing by 3.45 per cent y/y in 2026, from 8.50 per cent y/y in 2025, while the non-oil sector is likely to grow by 4.11 per cent y/y, from 3.71 per cent y/y in 2025.

“The risks to our outlook include country-wide insecurity which may constrain food production, exchange rate pressures resurfacing, extreme-weather related conditions and higher fertiliser prices impacting crop yield, and a volatile global environment which may affect sentiment and constrain capital flows,” Mr Oni noted.

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Economy

Sahara Upstream Ramps Up OML 18 Exports with New Tanker

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Sahara Upstream

By Adedapo Adesanya

Sahara Upstream, a Nigeria-focused crude producer, has deployed a new 380,000-barrel tanker to boost exports from the OML 18 block as part of a wider push by domestic operators to invest in infrastructure and lift output and exports for Africa’s biggest oil producer.

The MT D ​Adesanya, which can hold more than 62,000 ​cubic metres of crude, will operate alongside ⁠the MT D Bayero, receiving crude from ​shuttle vessels at Bonny Anchorage, one of Nigeria’s main ​crude export hubs, before transferring it to the FSO Cawthorne storage facility.

Sahara said the tanker would help cut turnaround ​times, currently about 30 to 48 hours, ​and support a planned 50 per cent increase in exports from the ‌block’s current level of about 950,000 barrels per month.

The block currently produces about 36,000 barrels per day, according to data from the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC), ​with Sahara targeting ​output of ⁠60,000 barrels per day.

OML 18 is one of the Niger Delta’s oldest producing assets. ​It began production in 1970 and ​contains ⁠an estimated 1.5 billion barrels of oil equivalent in reserves.

Shell, Total and Eni sold their combined ⁠interests ​to Eroton in 2015 as ​part of a broader shift toward domestic ownership in Nigeria’s ​upstream sector.

This development comes as Sahara Upstream is deepening its exploration and production footprint through Asharami Energy Limited (AEL), its upstream E&P business, which says it is targeting 350,000 barrels of oil per day by 2030 through its subsidiary, Enageed Resources Limited (ERL).

The growth target comes as AEL also marks a major safety milestone, achieving 6 million Lost Time Injury (LTI)-free man-hours in its OML-148 operations — reinforcing the company’s commitment to operational excellence and safety leadership.

According to Asharami Energy, the milestone reflects its ability to execute complex operations safely, in line with Sahara’s Beyond XXX vision, which builds on the group’s 30-year legacy of responsible enterprise while marking its next chapter of impact, innovation, and sustainable growth.

The developments position Sahara Upstream and its subsidiaries among the domestic operators driving increased investment in Nigeria’s oil and gas infrastructure, as the group works to scale up production and exports for Africa’s biggest oil producer.

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Economy

Aradel Grows H1 2026 Earnings by 577%, Eyes Better Operational Efficiency in H2

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Aradel

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

One of the leading energy firms in Nigeria, Aradel Holdings Plc, has expressed its desire to optimise its enlarged portfolio and improve operational efficiency in the second half of 2026.

The company is planning to build on the success it recorded in the first half of the year, where it grew its revenue by 577 per cent to N2.5 trillion from N368.1 billion in H1 2025.

The significant rise in earnings was driven by higher production volumes together with stronger realised crude oil and gas prices, with the average at $90.4/bbl and $2.08/mmscf, respectively.

In the period under review, the Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (EBITDA) increased by 688 per cent to N1.4 trillion from N176.4 billion in the corresponding period of last year, while the operating profit surged by 789 per cent to N1.1 trillion from N118.6 billion due to higher revenue and crude handling income at N149.8 billion, partly offset by underlift cost and general and administrative costs.

The net cash generated from operations was N975.6 billion between January and June 2026 versus N140.8 billion in the same period of 2025, reflecting the cash generation of the enlarged organisation.

The net debt contracted by 70 per cent on a year-to-date basis to N46.5 billion from N475.1 billion as of December 31, 2025.

Aradel, in the period under consideration, improved its post-tax profit by 30 per cent to N191.0 billion from N146.4 billion, a development that impressed its chief executive, Mr Adegbite Falade, who said, “A firmer price environment supported performance, generating net cash from operating activities of N975.6 billion and a closing cash balance of N1.7 trillion.”

“Our enlarged portfolio provides more opportunities to generate stronger cash flow and returns for shareholders and unlocking that potential is our main focus.

“We reaffirm our full year production guidance of 110 – 140 kboepd and remain committed to operating responsibly in a changing energy landscape and to delivering lasting value for our stakeholders,” he stated.

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