Economy
Nigeria’s Positive Trade Balance Grows 43.6% in Q3 2024
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigeria recorded another positive trade balance in the third quarter of 2024, growing 43.6 per cent as the country’s total merchandise trade stood at N35.2 trillion.
A positive trade balance (surplus) occurs when there is a higher export value than import as it stood at N5.8 trillion, in the period under review.
This represents an increase of 81.4 per cent compared to the value recorded in the corresponding period of 2023 and a rise of 13.3 per cent over the value recorded in the preceding quarter.
In the quarter under review, exports accounted for 58.3 per cent of total trade with a value of N20.5 trillion, showing an increase of 98 per cent over the value recorded in the third quarter of 2023 at N10.4 trillion and 16.8 per cent compared to the value recorded in Q2 2024 at N17.5 trillion.
Nigeria’s export trade continued to be dominated by crude oil exports.
In the third quarter of 2024, crude oil export was valued at N13.4 trillion representing 65.4 per cent of total exports while the value of non-crude oil exports stood at N7.1 trillion accounting for 34.6 per cent of total exports; of which non-oil products contributed N2.5 trillion or 12.2 per cent of total exports.
On the other hand, the share of imports accounted for 41.7 per cent of total trade in the third quarter of 2024 with the value of imports amounting to N14.5 trillion in Q3, 2024.
This value indicates an increase of 62.3 per cent compared to the value recorded in Q3 2023 (N9.0 trillion) and 8.7 per cent over the value recorded in Q2 2024 (N13.5 trillion).
China remains Nigeria’s highest trading partner on the import side in the third quarter of 2024, followed by India, Belgium, United States of America, and Malta.
The most traded commodities imported during the quarter were Motor spirit ordinary, Gas oil, Durum wheat, Cane sugar meant for sugar refinery and used vehicles, with diesel or semidiesel engines, of cylinder capacity >2500cc.
The top five trading export partners were Spain, the United States of America, France, the Netherlands and Italy.
The most exported commodities included crude oil, liquefied natural gas, other petroleum gases in a gaseous state, Floating or submersible drilling or production platforms, and superior-quality Cocoa beans.
Economy
Nigeria’s Crude Oil Production Hits 1.5 million Barrels Per Day
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigeria raised its crude oil production by 50,000 barrels per day to around 1.5 million barrels per day in December 2024, according to the latest output survey by Reuters.
The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) had said the country’s oil output rose to 1.48 million barrels per day in November from 1.33 million barrels per day in the previous month.
With the latest addition, this has brought the output count of Africa’s largest oil producer to 1.5 million barrels per day.
The Reuters survey – based on flows data from financial group LSEG, Kpler, OPEC and other sources – found that Nigeria exceeded its target by the largest amount.
It added that the production boost in the final month of last year came as a result of higher domestic usage in refineries such as Dangote and higher exports.
Business Post reports that about 395,000 barrels per day of crude oil were delivered to the Dangote Refinery in December under the crude-for-Naira deal with the federal government.
Also, Nigeria said in December it had resumed some operations at its Warri refinery after years of shutdowns.
The general OPEC basket pumped 26.46 million barrels per day last month, down 50,000 barrels per day from November, the survey showed on Tuesday, with the United Arab Emirates (UAE) providing the biggest drop (90,000 barrels per day) because of field maintenance followed by Iran which fell by 70,000 barrels per day.
The modest decline in output came as the wider OPEC+ group kept production cuts in place in December due to global demand concerns and rising output outside the group.
OPEC’s top two producers, Saudi Arabia and Iraq, kept output steady and the group pumped below its implied target for the nine members covered by supply agreements. Libya and Venezuela are exempted.
OPEC+ decided last month to postpone its plan to start raising output until April 2025.
Economy
Aggregate Forex Inflows into Nigeria Soar 41% to $79.8bn
By Modupe Gbadeyanka
In the first 10 months of 2024, the aggregate foreign exchange (FX) inflows into Nigeria increased by 41 per cent on a year-on-year basis to $79.8 billion from $55.6 billion in the same period of the preceding year.
This information was revealed by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) through its Economic Report for October 2024.
The apex bank disclosed that in the period under consideration, the nation recorded a 1.4 per cent decline in aggregated FX outflows to $29.84 billion from the $30.29 billion posted in the first 10 months of 2023.
As for the net forex inflows, it rose by 65.7 per cent to $46.92 billion from $28.31 billion in the corresponding period of 2023, with inflows from autonomous sources growing by 0.06 per cent to $35.82 billion from $34.4 billion, outflows from autonomous sources expanding by 195 per cent to $7.08 billion from $2.4 billion, and the net forex inflows from autonomous sources jumped by 73 per cent to $39.7 billion from $22.93 billion.
“Foreign exchange flows through the economy amounted to a net inflow of $4.86 billion, relative to $6.35 billion in September 2024. Aggregate foreign exchange inflow increased to $9.15 billion, from $8.59 billion in the preceding month.
“Similarly, foreign exchange outflow increased to $4.29 billion, from $2.24 billion in the preceding month.
“Foreign exchange inflow through the bank declined to $4.48 billion, from $5.22 billion in the preceding month, while autonomous inflow increased to $4.67 billion, from $3.37 billion in the preceding month.
“Outflow through the bank rose to $3.73 billion, from $1.84 billion, while autonomous outflow fell to $0.56 billion, from $0.40 billion in September 2024.
“Consequently, a net inflow of $4.11 billion was recorded through autonomous sources compared with $2.97 billion in September 2024, while the bank recorded a net inflow of $0.75 billion, relative to $3.38 billion in the preceding month,” parts of the report said.
It was also revealed that the CBN inflows soared by 55 per cent between January 2024 and October 2024 to $32.94 billion from $21.25 billion in the same period of the previous year, as outflows through the central bank shrank by 1.11 per cent to $25.74 billion from $26.03 billion, leaving the net FX inflow up by 556.8 per cent to $7.16 billion from -$1.09 billion.
Economy
CSCS Buoys Unlisted Securities Exchange With 0.07% Gain
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange extended its presence in the green territory with a 0.07 per cent growth on Tuesday, January 7, spurred by a gain recorded by Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc.
At the close of business yesterday, the Nigerian securities depository company increased its share price by 15 Kobo to end at N23.20 per unit compared with the previous day’s N23.05 per unit.
As a result of this, the market capitalisation of the bourse went up by N750 million to finish at N1.056 trillion like the preceding session, and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) expanded by 2.18 points to wrap the session at 3,080.29 points compared with 3,080.47 points recorded at the previous session.
The market was relatively quiet on Tuesday as investors reconsidered their exposure to unlisted securities, with the volume of transactions declining by 96.8 per cent to 59,432 units from the 1.8 million units achieved a day earlier.
In the same vein, the value of trades recorded yesterday decreased by 89.9 per cent to N2.1 million from N20.7 million, and the number of deals slumped by 79.3 per cent to six deals from 29 deals.
FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc ended the session as the most active stock by value (year-to-date) with 1.9 million units worth N74.2 million, trailed by 11 Plc with 12,963 units valued at N3.2 million, and Industrial and General Insurance (IGI )Plc with 10.7 million units sold for N2.1 million.
IGI Plc finished the trading session as the most active stock by volume (year-to-date) with 10.6 million units valued at N2.1 million, followed by FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc with 1.9 million units sold for at N74.2 million, and Acorn Petroleum Plc with 1.2 million units worth N1.9 million.
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