Economy

NSE: What Investors Should Expect in 2019

Published

7 years ago

04/01/2019

By Dipo Olowookere

The Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) performed woefully in 2018 thanks to the anxiety caused by political happenings in the country ahead of the general elections in 2019.

Several events shaped the state of the stock market last year including the trial of the Senate President, Mr Bukola Saraki; the defections of politician, especially from the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) to the main opposition party, the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP); the warning by a foreign media platform that a second term for President Muhammadu Buhari could spell doom for Nigeria’s economy from 2019; the raising of rates by the United States; the China-US trade tensions; the drop in oil price; and others.

The local bourse, which ended 2017 as the second best in the world with over 40 percent growth, closed 2018 with a decline of over 17 percent.

After the January 2018 bull run, the market struggled thereafter as a result of fears by investors, especially the foreign portfolio investors, who were exiting in droves.

Already in this year, the nation’s bourse is yet to record its first gain, with the year-to-date loss at 2.10 percent as at the close of business on Thursday (yesterday).

In their market expectations report for 2019, analysts at Financial Derivatives Company (FDC) said investors should prepare for the worst this year.

However, they opined that things might get better if the nation record violence-free general elections taking place in few months’ time, adding that earnings season in the third quarter of 2019 will drive valuation of stocks at the market.

The company’s analysts said in the first quarter of this year, investors should expect the persistence of the bearish market as political fracas intensifies, forcing FPI outflow to further push NSE All-Share Index (ASI) south.

They said that in the second quarter, the market index will reach a low point, but will pick up on the back of a violence free handover.

In the third quarter of the year, there would be a gradual restoration of investor confidence, increasing market activities, increasing FPI inflows and drive in the valuation of stocks on the back of earnings season.

In the fourth quarter of the year, there would be further increased investors confidence, positive market performance driven by increasing demand, while MTN likely to have completed listing process.

However, it was stressed that the local stock market would reverse negative trend after the elections, while more companies will approach the debt market to raise fresh funds to boost their operations.

Already, Access Bank is planning to raise fresh capital in the first quarter of 2019 through rights issue as its hopes to complete the acquisition of Diamond Bank by the end of the first half of 2019.

Concluding, FDC analysts said 2019 will be an interesting year with four distinct parts: H1’19 would be solely concentrated on the election and its fallouts; election outcome could swing in any direction like a boycott, run off or conflicts; focus on economic policies and initiatives would begin by H2’19; and currency adjustment is likely to occur by 2019-end.

Economy

Dangote Values Refinery at $39bn, Seeks $1bn in Private Placement

Published

20 hours ago

11/06/2026

Adedapo Adesanya

By Adedapo Adesanya

Dangote Petroleum Refinery is seeking to raise about $1 billion through a private placement that values the company at $39.1 billion.

According to reports, the refinery is offering 3 billion ordinary shares at $0.35 per share. Investors must subscribe for at least 1 million shares, equal to $350,000, with additional subscriptions accepted in multiples of 500,000 shares. The shares will be subject to a 365-day lock-up period from allotment.

It was reported that demand for the offer has already exceeded $2 billion, suggesting that the placement may be oversubscribed.

The operation is already attracting the interest of local investors. Recall that Nigerian billionaire, Mr Femi Otedola, has committed $100 million, while Afrobeats superstar, Mr David Adeleke, popularly known as Davido, also announced he would participate.

The proceeds will be used for expansion projects and general corporate purposes as the refinery deepens its role in Nigeria’s fuel supply market.

The facility has a nameplate capacity of 650,000 barrels per day and began fuel production in 2024. It produces diesel, aviation fuel, naphtha and premium motor spirit.

Standard Bank Group has also said it plans to play a leading role in the refinery’s future public listing, after the facility completed test runs at 700,000 barrels per day. It aims to reach 1.4 million barrels per day by 2028.

The fundraising is likely to renew expectations of a future public listing with a major stakeholder, Mr Aliko Dangote, saying the refinery could be listed, though no timeline was disclosed in the memorandum.

The current placement is seen as an early step that could expand ownership ahead of any future initial public offering (IPO).

Mr Dangote plans to sell between 5 and 10 per cent of the refinery on five major African exchanges: the Nigerian Exchange (NGX), the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE), the BRVM, the Nairobi Securities Exchange (NSE) and the Ghana Stock Exchange (GSE).

It has appointed Stanbic IBTC Capital, Vetiva Capital Management and FirstCap to lead the planned initial public offering of its refinery business on the Nigerian Exchange.

Economy

Investors Lose N3.1bn as NASD Exchange Remains Red

Published

24 hours ago

11/06/2026

Adedapo Adesanya

By Adedapo Adesanya

The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange entered a third straight day of losses after it fell by 0.12 per cent on Wednesday, June 10.

The depletion trimmed the market capitalisation further by N3.1 billion to N2.590 trillion from N2.593 trillion, and cut the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) by 5.19 points to 4330.12 points from 4,335.31 points.

11 Plc lost N22.21 during the session to finish at N221.00 per share versus the previous day’s N243.21 per share, MRS Oil Plc depreciated by N6.90 to N158.10 per unit from N165.00 per unit, and Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc decreased by N2.81 to N78.32 per share from N81.13 per share.

On the flip side, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc went up by N9.27 to N183.08 per unit from N173.81 per unit, Nitrox Industrial Gases Plc added N1.92 to its value to close at N23.80 per share compared with the preceding day’s N21.88 per share, and Food Concepts Plc gained 10 Kobo to exchange at N2.58 per unit, in contrast to Tuesday’s closing price of N2.48 per unit.

At the close of business, the volume of securities traded by investors contracted by 92.6 per cent to 117,374 units from 1.6 million units, and the value of securities moderated by 80.5 per cent to N12.2 million from N62.3 million, while the number of deals increased by 4.9 per cent to 43 deals from 41 deals.

Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc finished the day as the most traded stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 3.4 billion units worth N8.4 billion, followed by Infrastructure Credit Guarantee (Infracredit) Plc with 2.3 billion units traded for N6.5 billion, and CSCS Plc with 65.2 million units exchanged for N4.4 billion.

GNI Plc also closed the session as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 3.4 billion units valued at N8.4 billion, followed by Infracredit Plc with 2.3 billion units transacted for N6.5 billion, and Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units sold for N415.7 million

Economy

Naira Crashes to N1,362.05/$1 at Official Window After N1.50 Loss

Published

1 day ago

11/06/2026

Adedapo Adesanya

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira fell against the United States Dollar by N1.50 or 0.11 per cent in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) to sell at N1,362.05/$1 on Wednesday, June 10, compared with the N1,360.55/$1 it traded on Tuesday.

Also, the local currency lost N4.33 against the Pound Sterling in the official window yesterday to trade at N1,827.33/£1 versus the preceding day’s N1,823.00/£1, and depreciated against the Euro by N1.74 to quote at N1,575.35/€1, in contrast to N1,573.61/€1 of the previous session.

However, at the GTBank forex desk, the Naira gained N3 against the US Dollar to sell at N1,370/$1 versus N1,373/$1, and at the parallel market, it remained unchanged at N1,380/$1.

Updated data from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) showed that foreign reserves surged further due to additional inflows from various sources. Nigeria’s gross external reserves increased to $50.439 billion, its highest level since March 2026, reflecting sustained inflows from oil revenue and other FX sources.

Also, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has said increased confidence in the Naira, supported by lower and more stable inflation, would encourage households, businesses and investors to hold more local currency assets and reduce reliance on foreign currencies.

The global lender, in a recent assessment, stressed the importance of strengthening the CBN’s operational framework and aligning liquidity management operations more closely with monetary policy objectives.

In the cryptocurrency market, there were recoveries from recent losses as US headline inflation rose an expected 0.5 per cent in May, but the beat on the core rate — which cuts out food and energy costs — pleased markets. The core rate, though, rose just 0.2 per cent in May against forecasts for 0.3 per cent.

The print reinforces the view that the US Federal Reserve will keep interest rates at 350-375 basis points at its June 17 meeting, but is likely to increase rates by 25 basis points by the end of the year.

Cardano (ADA) went up by 2.4 per cent to $0.1647, Bitcoin (BTC) rose by 2.3 per cent to $62,794.09, Binance Coin (BNB) jumped 1.8 per cent to $596.23, Ethereum (ETH) grew by 1.7 per cent to $1,658.12, and Solana (SOL) also soared by 1.7 per cent to $65.23.

Further, Dogecoin (DOGE) appreciated by 1.5 per cent to $0.0849, Ripple (XRP) expanded by 0.4 per cent to $1.11, and TRON (TRX) increased by 0.05 per cent to $0.3218, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) lost 0.10 per cent to close at $0.9989, and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) declined by 0.01 per cent to $0.9997.