Economy
Oil Edges Higher on Russia Crude Cut, US Inflation Fears
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil edged higher on Monday as investors weighed Russia’s plans to cut crude production and short-term demand concerns ahead of US inflation data.
Brent futures rose 30 cents or 0.4 per cent to $86.69 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose 58 cents or 0.7 per cent to $80.30 per barrel.
The world’s third-largest oil producer, Russia, last Friday said it would cut crude production in March by 500,000 barrels per day.
This is about 5 per cent of output, in retaliation against Western curbs imposed on its exports in response to the Ukraine conflict.
According to the Deputy Prime Minister, Alexander Novak, Russia is “fully selling the entire volume of oil produced, however, as stated earlier, we will not sell oil to those who directly or indirectly adhere to the principles of the price cap.”
“In this regard, Russia will voluntarily reduce production by 500,000 barrels per day in March. This will contribute to the restoration of market relations.”
The Russian government also said on Friday that it had held talks with some members of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, OPEC+, producers group regarding its decision to cut output.
The G7, the European Union and Australia agreed to ban the use of Western-supplied maritime insurance, finance and brokering for seaborne Russian oil priced above $60 per barrel from December 5 as part of Western sanctions on Russia over the conflict in Ukraine.
The EU also imposed a ban on purchases of Russian oil products and set price caps from February 5. In turn, Russia has banned deals involving any application of the price cap mechanisms.
Since the EU implemented its ban on Russian seaborne crude in early December, the country has been left without a reliable price-setting mechanism for Urals, its headline crude.
For now, Russia is using Rotterdam and Augusta ports prices for its flagship Urals. And as of last week, the price of Urals was set to be fixed at $20 below Brent for tax purposes.
Pressure came as traders await the latest inflation reading from the US.
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is releasing its consumer price index report for January on Thursday, but a revision of December figures released last Friday showed that CPI for the last month of 2022 actually increased instead of decreasing as initially reported by the BLS.
The January reading is seen by analysts at 0.4 per cent, according to a Reuters survey.
On top of worries about US inflation and its effect on oil demand, traders are also bracing for news from the US Federal Reserve this week, hoping this will ease fears that the US central bank may act even more aggressively to counter inflation.
Economy
Aradel, Red Star Express, Others Crash NGX by 0.69%
By Dipo Olowookere
The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) experienced a pullback of 0.69 per cent as a result of profit-taking by investors, with shares in the banking and energy sectors mostly affected.
Data harvested by Business Post showed that the energy index was down by 4.58 per cent during the session, and the banking space lost 2.14 per cent.
They brought down the All-Share Index (ASI) by 1,402.56 points to 201,156.85 points from 202,559.41 points and shrank the market capitalisation by N900 billion to N129.126 trillion from N130.026 trillion.
Customs Street ended in red at midweek despite three of the five key sectors finishing in green. The consumer goods counter expanded by 1.19 per cent, the industrial goods index improved by 0.46 per cent, and the insurance sector grew by 0.43 per cent.
Red Star Express declined by 9.98 per cent to N25.70, Aradel Holdings went down by 9.68 per cent to N1,210.30, Presco lost 9.30 per cent to trade at N1,701.10, Living Trust Mortgage Bank crashed by 8.40 per cent to N4.80, and DAAR Communications dropped 7.50 per cent to end at N1.85.
On the flip side, Secure Electronic Technology gained 10.00 per cent to settle at N1.32, Guinness Nigeria rose by 9.92 per cent to N423.20, John Holt increased by 9.72 per cent to N11.85, Sovereign Trust Insurance surged by 9.57 per cent to N2.06, and Linkage Assurance chalked up 9.33 per cent to trade at N1.64.
Investor sentiment was weak yesterday after the bourse registered 33 price gainers and 38 price losers, indicating a negative market breadth index.
Market participants bought and sold 6.1 billion stocks valued at N130.1 billion in 58,562 deals compared with the 1.8 billion stocks worth N88.1 billion traded in 62,654 deals on Tuesday, representing a shortfall in the number of deals by 6.53 per cent, and a spike in the trading volume and value by 238.89 per cent and 47.67 per cent apiece.
The most active equity on Wednesday was eTranzact with 5.2 billion units sold for N24.3 billion, Wema Bank exchanged 111.4 million units worth N3.1 billion, Coronation Insurance transacted 96.4 million units valued at N303.9 million, Dangote Cement traded 75.2 million units for N56.5 billion, and Access Holdings exchanged 61.5 million units valued at N1.6 billion.
Economy
Naira Reverses Gains at NAFEX, Sheds N8.96 to Quote N1,353/$1
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira stumbled against the Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Wednesday, March 18, by N8.96 or 0.67 per cent to trade at N1,353.00/$1, in contrast to the previous day’s rate of N1,344.04/$1.
Also, the local currency weakened against the Pound Sterling in the spot market at midweek by N6.06 to sell for N1,801.93/£1 compared with Tuesday’s value of N1,795.87/£1, and lost N4.75 against the Euro to quote at N1,556.22/€1 versus the preceding day’s N1,551.46/€1.
However, the Nigerian currency gained N2 against the greenback yesterday at the GTBank forex desk to close at N1,363/$1 versus the N1,365/$1 it was exchanged for a day earlier, and traded flat in the parallel market at N1,395/$1.
Nigeria’s external reserves fell by $178 million over three consecutive international payments recorded by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), settling at $49.83 billion from $50.008 billion, indicating that there have been some interventions in the FX market for stability and liquidity.
While the wider outlook for the Naira is positive, potential disruptions to global oil supply have increased volatility in energy markets and could spike inflation with higher oil prices.
In the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin (BTC) slipped below $71,000 on Wednesday as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell flagged rising oil prices amid the war in Iran as a new inflation risk. It sold at $70,538.58.
The US central bank held interest rates steady as expected, but during his post-meeting press conference, Mr Powell acknowledged that the recent surge in energy prices is already feeding into the central bank’s outlook.
He said rising oil prices “for sure showed up” in policymakers’ higher inflation outlook for this year, lifting their forecast to 2.7 per cent from 2.4 per cent.
Further, Ethereum (ETH) lost 6.3 per cent to trade at $2,178.56, Cardano (ADA) fell by 6.1 per cent to $0.2714, Dogecoin (DOGE) dropped 5.7 per cent to close at $0.0096, Solana (SOL) dipped 4.8 per cent to $89.83, Ripple (XRP) slumped by 3.8 per cent to $1.46, and Binance Coin (BNB) declined by 3.7 per cent to $648.61.
However, TRON (TRX) appreciated by 0.4 per cent to $0.3037, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) closed flat at $1.00 each.
Economy
Brent Hits $112 as Iran Escalates Attacks on Middle East Energy Facilities
By Adedapo Adesanya
Brent crude moved higher by 4.27 per cent to $112.00 per barrel on Wednesday as Iran attacked several energy facilities across the Middle East, creating a major escalation in its war with the United States and Israel.
Also, the US West Texas Intermediate grew by 2.73 per cent to $98.95, as the Middle East conflict continues to escalate, and energy infrastructure is targeted across the Gulf, as Iran hit energy infrastructure across the Middle East in retaliation for earlier strikes on its South Pars gas field.
Qatar confirmed that Iranian missile strikes had caused “extensive damage” around the Ras Laffan industrial complex, the world’s largest liquefied natural gas (LNG) facility and a cornerstone of global gas supply.
Meanwhile, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) suspended operations at its Habshan gas facility after missile-related incidents, with debris from intercepted projectiles reportedly affecting additional energy infrastructure, including the Bab oil field.
Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Iraq, and Bahrain continue to be targeted by Iran, with Saudi Arabia reporting that air defences had destroyed a total of 19 drones in the Eastern Province and four missiles launched toward Riyadh.
Earlier on Wednesday, Iran issued an evacuation warning for several energy facilities across Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Qatar, saying they would be targeted by strikes “in the coming hours.”
Shipping also remained under threat, with the UK’s maritime security agency reporting that a vessel east of the Strait of Hormuz caught fire after being struck by an “unknown projectile.”
The war has halted shipments via the Strait of Hormuz, which handles 20 per cent of global oil and LNG supply. Total oil output cuts in the Middle East are estimated at 7 million to 10 million barrels per day, or 7 per cent to 10 per cent of global demand.
To ease worries, the administration of US President Donald Trump on Wednesday announced a 60-day waiver of the Jones Act shipping law, temporarily allowing foreign-flagged vessels to move fuel, fertiliser, and other goods between US ports.
It is also working on measures that could help slow the surge in fuel prices in the US, but are unlikely to have much of an effect on global energy prices.
In Iraq, the North Oil Company said crude exports from Iraq’s Kirkuk fields to Turkey’s Ceyhan port have resumed via pipeline, after Iraq and the Kurdistan Regional Government agreed to restart flows. The company said exports would resume with an initial capacity of 250,000 barrels per day.
The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) said crude inventories rose by 6.2 million barrels to 449.3 million barrels in the week ended March 13.
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