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Economy

Oil Futures Tumble Over Fresh Lockdowns, US-China Spat

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crude oil futures

By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil prices reversed by 1 per cent on Monday on the back of surging coronavirus cases and heightened tensions between the United States and China.

During the session, the price of the Brent crude reduced by 1.24 per cent or 62 cents to sell at $48.63 per barrel while the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude tumbled by 1.38 per cent or 64 cents to trade at $45.60 per barrel.

A surge in coronavirus cases in some key economies has forced a series of renewed lockdowns, including strict new measures in the US state of California, Germany and South Korea.

Most parts of California are under a new strict lockdown as the virus continues to surge across the country.

The stay-at-home order affects around 85 per cent of the state’s 40 million people. It will be in place for at least three weeks and cover the Christmas holiday.

The country has seen a sharp rise in cases and COVID-19-related deaths in recent weeks, a surge that could be partly due to last month’s Thanksgiving holiday where millions of Americans travelled around the US.

Also in Germany, its Bavaria region announced tougher coronavirus rules, including local curfews and partial closure of schools on Sunday as case numbers remained high across the country despite five weeks of national restrictions while in South Korea, the Asian country raised its COVID-19 alert as there are concerns about rising numbers in hospitals.

These, coupled with a fresh spat between the US and China, also contributed to the bearish mood at the market on Monday.

Fresh reports indicated that the US was preparing to impose sanctions on at least a dozen Chinese officials over their alleged role in Beijing’s disqualification of elected opposition legislators in Hong Kong.

In recent months, the US-China relations have been out of the headlines, allowing investors to focus on other factors like the US presidential election and coronavirus.

If the American government imposes additional sanctions on Chinese officials before Mr Joe Biden, the president-elect, takes office, his options on stabilizing relations with the world’s second economy will be even more limited.

Analysts noted that the negative impact from new sanctions may be limited as vaccine optimism continues to support markets.

Last Wednesday, the UK became the first country in the world to approve the Pfizer/BioNtech COVID-19 vaccine and will be available from this week.

Other optimism included OPEC+, comprising of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, agreeing to increase output slightly from January but continue the bulk of existing supply curbs.

Business Post had reported last week that the 23 country alliance agreed to taper the cuts by 500,000 barrels per day in January and then decide the future trajectory on a monthly basis.

Countries that overproduced in previous months were given until the end of March to make compensatory cuts, which equates to an extension of three months.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Unlisted Securities Close Flat at Midweek

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unlisted securities exchange

By Adedapo Adesanya

The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange closed flat on Wednesday, August 5, as the market witnessed weaker trading activity with only two deals executed.

In the midweek session, the volume of securities exchanged by investors dropped 99.9 per cent to 802 units from the 1.6 million units recorded on Tuesday. The value of securities further decreased by 99.6 per cent to N208,240 from the preceding session’s N47.6 million, and the number of deals significantly went down by 93.9 per cent to two deals from the 33 deals recorded a day earlier.

Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc remained the most traded stock by value on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units worth N8.4 billion, followed by Infrastructure Credit Guarantee (Infracredit) Plc with 2.3 billion units sold for N6.5 billion, and Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc with 76.9 million units transacted for N5.5 billion.

GNI Plc was also the most active stock by volume on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units exchanged for N8.4 billion, followed by Infracredit Plc with 2.3 billion units traded for N6.5 billion, and Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units valued at N415.7 million.

There were no price gainers or losers yesterday.

As a result, the market capitalisation stood unmoving at N2.739 trillion, while the NASD Security Index (NSI) remained unchanged at 4,563.96 points.

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Economy

Naira Crashes to N1,363/$1 at Official Market

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naira official market

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira slid against the US Dollar by N2.28 or 0.17 per cent in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Wednesday, August 5, to N1,363.85/$1 from N1,362.55/$1.

The local currency also declined against the Pound Sterling in the official market during the session by N5.97 to close at N1,837.38/£1 compared with Tuesday’s closing rate of N1,831.41/£1, and against the Euro, it crashed by N6.54 to quote at N1,575.25/€1 versus the preceding session’s N1,568.71/€1.

But at the black market, the Nigerian Naira traded flat against the greenback yesterday at N1,400/$1, and also remained unchanged at the GTBank FX desk at N1,373/$1.

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) says rates have narrowed to below two per cent, while the country’s external reserves have risen above $52.5 billion, reflecting the impact of its ongoing monetary and foreign exchange reforms.

CBN Governor Yemi Cardoso, represented by the Acting Director of Corporate Communications and Investor Relations, Mrs Hakama Sidi-Ali, disclosed this on Tuesday during the CBN Fair in Gombe. He noted that reforms introduced since 2023 had significantly reduced the disparity between the official FX market and the parallel market.

“The Naira continues to strengthen, with the spread between official and Bureau de Change rates now below two per cent,” he said, adding that reserves at $52.5 billion were supported by sustained inflows and renewed investor confidence in the economy.

Interbank FX transactions slid as weaker market activities dropped total Dollar volume exchanged to $75.35 million, a 51.8 per cent decline from $156.23 million in turnover quoted at the previous close.

The deals at the NFEM window also fell as data from the central bank put Wednesday’s quote at 82 from 139.

In the cryptocurrency market, major were down as global risk sentiment softened as a key world equity index slipped and chipmakers fell.

The MSCI All Country World Index snapped a five-day run to fall 0.2 per cent as chipmakers retreated on both sides of the Pacific. South Korea’s Kospi, a bellwether for the AI trade, dropped 4.4 per cent.

Ripple (XRP) depleted by 1.7 per cent to $1.05, Binance Coin (BNB) decreased by 1.0 per cent to $594.87, Cardano (ADA) depreciated by 0.9 per cent to $0.1884, TRON (TRX) shrank by 0.2 per cent to $0.3261, Solana (SOL) crumbled by 0.1 per cent to $74.00, and Dogecoin (DOGE) went down by 0.1 per cent to $0.0697.

On the flip side, Ethereum (ETH) gained 2.3 per cent to trade at $1,911.41, and Bitcoin (BTC) rose by 0.8 per cent to $64,759.28, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 apiece.

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Economy

Stock Exchange Gains N71bn on Renewed Bargain-hunting

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nigerian stock exchange

By Dipo Olowookere

The domestic stock exchange rebounded by 0.05 per cent on Wednesday on the back of renewed bargain-hunting by investors, though the level of activity waned.

After bleeding for a few days, the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited heaved a sigh of relief yesterday, as the All-Share Index (ASI) gained 109.41 points to close at 244,912.24 points compared with the previous day’s 244,802.83 points, and the market capitalisation garnered N71 billion to settle at N158.087 trillion versus Tuesday’s N158.016 trillion.

Business Post reports that despite the rebound recorded by Customs Street at midweek, the market breadth index remained negative, as there were 20 price advancers and 29 price decliners, implying bearish investor sentiment.

Linkage Assurance appreciated by 9.94 per cent to N1.77, AVA Capital rose by 9.55 per cent to N10.90, Fortis Global Insurance advanced by 7.69 per cent to N2.80, McNichols gained 7.34 per cent to finish at N5.85, and Coronation Insurance surged by 5.51 per cent to N2.49.

Conversely, Honeywell Flour depreciated by 9.94 per cent to N16.30, PZ Cussons gave up 9.94 per cent to trade at N74.75, Zichis crashed by 9.74 per cent to N20.76, Learn Africa slipped by 9.62 per cent to N9.40, and Neimeth tumbled by 8.33 per cent to N8.25.

The busiest equity was FCMB, with a turnover of 369.2 million units valued at N4.1 billion. Chams transacted 46.7 million units worth N201.8 million, First Holdco transacted 43.5 million units for N5.7 billion, Access Holdings sold 29.8 million units worth N778.0 million, and Linkage Assurance exchanged 19.6 million units valued at N33.5 million.

At the close of transactions, market participants bought and sold 824.1 million units worth N25.5 billion in 48,114 deals, in contrast to the 1.6 billion units sold for N28.7 billion in 54,160 deals a day earlier, showing a shortfall in the trading volume, value, and number of deals by 48.49 per cent, 11.15 per cent, and 11.16 per cent, respectively.

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