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Oil Gains on US Bill, Plan to Address Rising Prices

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oil prices cancel iran deal

By Adedapo Adesanya

Crude oil closed higher on Monday as the market tapped into signals that global economic growth supported the outlook for energy demand just as the United States said it was weighing options to address rising prices after the passage of a bill that is bullish for the commodity.

Brent crude rose 57 cents or 0.69 per cent to settle at $83.31 per barrel, while the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude grew by 44 cents or 0.54 per cent to $81.71 per barrel.

The market reacted when US President Joe Biden welcomed congressional passage of a long-delayed $1 trillion infrastructure bill, which may boost growth and demand for fuel.

The infrastructure bill will create “blue-collar” jobs, modernise roads and bridges, and transform the transportation system. The vast majority of the jobs created will not require a college degree, according to the American President.

He added that Americans will see the effects of this bill probably starting within the next two to three months.

Adding to bullish sentiment, China’s export growth slowed in October but beat forecasts, buoyed by rising global demand ahead of the winter holiday season and improvements in coronavirus-hit supply chains.

Further supporting prices was a decision by the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies such as Russia, together known as OPEC+, not to speed up their planned production increases last week.

The alliance once again retained its monthly oil output of 400,000 barrels per day in December. This is occurring despite the White House’s appeal to increase supply.

Prior to this, the oil cartel had, in July, agreed to gradually ramp up oil production on a monthly basis by 400,000 barrels per day starting from August 2021 until the 5.8 million barrels per day production adjustment is phased out.

As Mr Biden’s calls to OPEC+ to produce more crude to dampen rising prices fell on deaf ears, he said his administration had “other tools” to deal with the higher price of oil.

US Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm said on Monday that Washington was weighing its options to address high gasoline and heating prices in the United States, which some analysts say could involve tapping the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve.

Global demand for jet fuel also looks set to take off as more governments make air travel easier with reduced restrictions for coronavirus.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Crude Oil Slips 2% on Weak Demand, Rising US Stockpiles

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crude oil supply disruption

By Adedapo Adesanya

Crude oil declined by more than ​2 per cent on Thursday as investors focused on signs of weaker global demand and a sharp build ‌in inventories in the United States.

Brent futures finished $1.91 or 2.15 per cent lower to $87.07 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude lost $2.02 or 2.4 per cent to close at $81.25 a barrel.

Investors weighed data from the US Energy Information Administration on Wednesday that showed commercial crude oil inventories in the world’s largest oil producer made their largest weekly gain since January 2023 ​as exports slumped. Crude inventories rose by 17.4 million barrels to 424.4 million in the week ended August 7, their highest ⁠since June 5, the EIA said.

This comes as the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) lowered its world oil demand growth forecast for 2026 to 580,000 barrels per day in its monthly oil market report.

The International Energy ​Agency (IEA) also said it expected a contraction of 1.6 million barrels per day in consumption this year, versus a drop of 1 million barrels per day forecast last month, with demand curtailed by higher prices and restricted ​supply due to the US-Israeli war with Iran.

Pressure came after a report that Yemen’s Houthi militant group attacked an Aramco refinery in Saudi Arabia’s Jazan with two drones on Thursday. News of the attacks sent diesel cracks to an all-time high as the Jazan refinery has the capacity to produce 250,000 barrels per day of ultra-low sulfur diesel.

Despite the recent decline, supply disruptions in the Middle East and the Black Sea region continued to support oil prices, with the US and ‌Iran making competing ⁠claims over the Strait of Hormuz, through which about 20 per cent of global oil supply passed before the start of the Iran war.

Iran said once again that the strait is under its control on Thursday, a day after President Donald Trump said the US had “total control” of the waterway.

Prices have spiked and crashed so many times due to negotiations, threats, Iranian attacks on tankers, American blockades on Iran’s oil exports, and numerous pledges of “strong responses” from both sides.

Adding to market tightness, Russia’s seaborne oil product exports fell sharply in ⁠July after Ukrainian ​drone attacks led to unplanned maintenance at key domestic refineries. In ​the Russian city of Orsk, an oil refinery that was hit by a Ukrainian drone strike two days ago has been forced to shut down, and repairs could take up to six months.

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NNPC Sees Deep Offshore Incentive Order Accelerating Investment, Production Growth

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By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The Deep Offshore Oil and Gas Projects Incentives (Tax Remission) Order, 2026, approved recently by President Bola Tinubu, has been described as a landmark reform that significantly enhances Nigeria’s competitiveness for deep offshore investment and strengthens the nation’s pathway towards achieving its 3 million barrels of oil per day (MMbopd) production ambition by 2030.

The chief executive of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited, Mr Bayo Ojulari, in a statement signed by the Chief Corporate Communications Officer of NNPC, Mr Andy Odeh, said the development is one of the most significant policy interventions for the upstream sector in recent years.

He thanked Mr Tinubu for his relentless leadership and unwavering commitment to creating an enabling environment for investment and sustainable growth in Nigeria’s energy sector through several Presidential Executive Orders which have strengthened the nation’s oil and gas sector.

“This is a transformative reform that sends a strong signal to global investors that Nigeria is committed to providing a stable, competitive and investment-friendly environment for deep offshore development. Fiscal certainty is a critical driver of investment decisions, and this framework provides the additional clarity the industry has long sought,” he said.

“For NNPC, the order aligns directly with our strategy of protecting our existing production base, accelerating near-term growth, and attracting new investment into high-value assets. It strengthens our confidence in achieving our strategic production ambition of 3 MMbopd while creating greater value for our shareholders and the Nigerian economy,” the NNPC chief added.

Mr Ojulari noted that recent reforms across the petroleum sector have already stimulated more than $34 billion in new investment commitments, stating that the Deep Offshore Incentives Order is expected to build on that momentum by enabling timely FIDs on strategic offshore developments.

The new order establishes a transparent, predictable and globally competitive fiscal framework for qualifying greenfield deep offshore developments. It provides the certainty required to unlock long-term capital, accelerate Final Investment Decisions (FIDs), and maximise value from Nigeria’s offshore resources.

The framework, which reinforces Nigeria’s position as one of the world’s attractive destinations for deep offshore oil and gas development, is expected to unlock over $50 billion in new investments, including major projects starting with Bonga South-West, which was approved in March 2026, and the Zabazaba and Owowo Deep Offshore projects. Bonga South West is expected to be the first FID on a Nigeria deepwater Production Sharing Contract asset since 2008.

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Economy

Geregu Acknowledges Concerns Over N40bn Bond Repayment Default

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Geregu Power

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The board of Geregu Power Plc has acknowledged the concerns raised by shareholders, stakeholders, as well as regulators over the inability of the company to pay bondholders for their investment in its N40 billion bond sale.

There were reports that the power-generating organisation defaulted in repaying investors who bought its debt instrument.

In 2022, the company issued a seven-year paper to investors at a coupon of 14.5 per cent to be paid semi-annually. The note is expected to mature in July 2029. But data from the FMDQ Securities Exchange showed that there have been defaults in the 8th coupon payment and the 4th bullet principal repayment.

Reacting to the issue on Thursday, Geregu said it is actively having talks with advisers and others on ways to iron things out.

“Geregu remains actively engaged with relevant stakeholders and advisers regarding the resolution of the various challenges and is committed to achieving an orderly and mutually beneficial outcome.

“Discussions and engagements are ongoing, and the Company will continue to act in good faith in fulfilling its responsibilities,” part of the statement signed by its scribe, The Structure HQ, stated.

The firm explained that since assuming responsibility for its affairs, the current board and management have undertaken a comprehensive review and reconciliation of its transactions, liabilities, operational commitments, financing arrangements, financial obligations and related corporate documentation.

It stressed that this action was to ensure transparency, accuracy and prudent financial management, adding that it remains committed to transparency, responsible corporate governance and constructive engagement with all stakeholders.

The majority stake of Geregu Power was controlled by Mr Femi Otedola. He divested his stake in the energy firm in 2025, with the sale of 95 per cent of his shares in Amperion to MA”AM Energy.

Earlier in 2023, he sold N399 million shares of Geregu to another investor. Before then, he sold his stake in Forte Oil to invest in Geregu Power, which now has the former Governor of Zamfara State, Mr Abdulaziz Yari, as its chairman.

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