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Economy

Oil Market Dips Below $100 as Trump Signals De-escalation

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global oil market

By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil prices fell in the later session of Monday after initially crossing the $100 per barrel mark as the escalating Iran war by the United States and Israel squeezed world energy supplies, boosted the Dollar, and dampened hopes of interest-rate cuts.

Earlier, Brent crude futures climbed to a high of $119.50 per barrel, ‌and the US ⁠West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $117.48 a barrel. However, it dropped later after US President Donald Trump suggested that the US conflict with Iran could soon wind down.

Data gathered by Business Post showed that the price of the Brent crude grade dropped 5.4 per cent to $87.68 per barrel, and the US WTI lost 7.4 per cent to trade at $84.21 a barrel.

President Trump is expected to review a set ​of options to tame oil prices, reflecting White House worries that the surge in oil prices will hurt US businesses and consumers ahead of the November midterm elections, when the ruling Republicans are hoping to retain control of Congress.

Reuters reported that the US is discussing with counterparts from the Group of Seven major economies a possible joint release of crude oil ​from strategic reserves. It also reported they are weighing other options, including restricting US exports, intervening in oil futures markets, ​waiving some federal taxes and lifting requirements under a US law called the Jones Act that domestic fuel must move ⁠only on US-flagged ships.

The Trump administration officials are also exercising diplomatic pressure on Gulf allies to help restore ​production and shipping of oil.

Market analysts have warned that Gulf producers are only able to sustain normal production for roughly 25 days if the Strait is completely blocked.

The expanding US-Israeli war with Iran led some major Middle Eastern oil producers to cut supplies due to fears of prolonged disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz chokepoint.

Oil-driven inflation fears and delayed rate-cut expectations likely strengthened US yields and the Dollar, outweighing safe-haven demand.

The recent 10-day conflict in Iran is beginning to ripple through the global aviation industry, threatening what had been a strong outlook for aircraft demand.

JP Morgan has warned that Iran’s oil production could be slashed in half and oil exports could virtually stall if the US-Israel seize Iran’s Kharg Island, worsening the ongoing global oil shock. The island is regarded as the backbone of Iran’s oil infrastructure, handling approximately 90 per cent of its crude exports.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Brent Rises to $80 as Israel, Hezbollah Agree Ceasefire

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Brent crude oil price

By Adedapo Adesanya

Brent crude gained 66 cents or 0.53 per cent to sell for $80.38 per barrel ​on Friday after Israel and Hezbollah agreed on a ceasefire in Lebanon, though Iran set conditions for using the vital Strait of Hormuz.

Also, the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was up 94 cents or 1.23 per cent to $77.54 per barrel, amid light trading volumes due to the US Juneteenth holiday.

In spite of Friday’s gains, Brent was down about 8 per cent week-over-week, ​reflecting a significant easing of supply concerns in the wake of the US-Iran deal to end the war.

Gulf producers were preparing to raise exports after Israel and Hezbollah agreed to a ceasefire, ​which began on Friday.

Israel and Hezbollah agreed to halt fighting in southern Lebanon after days of escalating clashes threatened to derail the fragile US-Iran peace process, reducing the risk that the first major test of the agreement would turn into its first major failure.

At least four tankers carrying crude, oil products and liquefied petroleum gas (LNG) entered the ​Strait of Hormuz on Friday, heading for Iraqi Gulf ports. However, despite the uptick in activity, Iran signalled ⁠tighter control over shipping.

Iran’s Persian Gulf Strait Authority said “no vessel is permitted to pass through the Strait of Hormuz without a valid ​passage permit issued by the PGSA”.

Concerns also remain as a planned meeting between Iranian and American officials in Switzerland on Friday was postponed, with arrangements underway for talks in the coming days.

Iran’s Foreign Ministry said the meeting was no longer urgent because a memorandum of understanding on ending the war had already been signed digitally between the two sides.

Analysts expect ​the deal to release more than 85 million ​barrels of oil stranded in the ⁠Middle East Gulf into global markets. The agreement also includes the lifting of US sanctions on Iranian oil, which would add more supply.

However, recovery in flows of supply that transits Hormuz and production after the US-Iran ​deal could take several months.

On the demand front, the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) said in its 2026 World Oil Outlook that world ​demand will rise to 113.3 million barrels per day in 2030 from 105.1 million barrels per day in 2025.

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Economy

Nigeria’s Gross Foreign Reserves Hit 17-Year High of $51.04bn

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Reserves

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The gross foreign reserves of Nigeria reached a 17-year high of $51.04 billion, data from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) shows.

Business Post gathered from the apex bank’s website that this new feat was achieved on Thursday, June 18, 2026.

A day earlier, which was Wednesday, June 17, 2026, the amount in the country’s external reserves stood at $50.96 billion, indicating accretion of 0.16 per cent.

This latest development is expected to strengthen the value of the Nigerian Naira in the foreign exchange (FX) market.

It was observed that since the beginning of this month, the amount in the forex reserves has been building up gradually after an initial scare.

It is believed that inflows from crude oil sales have been boosting the reserves, though prices are expected to trend downward as a result of the ceasefire deals between the United States and Iran on Friday.

The price of crude oil has cooled to around $80 per barrel. It should further moderate to its level before February 28, 2026, when the bombardment of Iran started, which led to the death of the country’s 86-year-old Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

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Economy

DBN, EIB Seal €200m Financial Partnership for Nigerian MSMEs

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€200m Financial Partnership

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

A €200 million financial partnership to support the development of small-scale investments of Nigerian enterprises contributing to the country’s green and digital economy has been signed by the Development Bank of Nigeria (DBN) and the development arm of the European Investment Bank (EIB) Group, EIB Global.

The funds would be disbursed to Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) in Nigeria, with a focus on agriculture, renewable energy, digitalisation and innovation.

The collaboration aligns with EIB Global’s strategy to support sustainable, inclusive, and resilient economic growth in Nigeria under the Global Gateway Initiative.

The investment programme will boost private sector development in Nigeria and support entrepreneurs and job creation by easing access to suitable finance for MSMEs and Midcaps.

It will also strengthen Nigeria’s green transition by expanding financing opportunities for companies in the renewable energy and agribusiness sectors.

In agriculture, it will help improve productivity, develop local supply chains, and strengthen food security for a country that hosts the largest population in Africa.

On the energy side, improved financing for renewable energy businesses will support clean energy access, reduce carbon emissions, and help build climate resilience in underserved communities.

“This partnership with DBN will strengthen the competitiveness of Nigeria’s private sector, especially for SMEs in the green and digital sectors.

“In supporting green projects and women entrepreneurs, we are also fostering inclusive growth and climate action.

“This is a powerful example of EIB’s real impact on the ground,” EIB Vice-President, Mr Ambroise Fayolle, said at a signature ceremony on Thursday, June 18, 2026, at the Lagos office of the DBN.

Also commenting, the chief executive of DBN, Mr Tony Okpanachi, described the investment as a significant milestone in efforts to drive Nigeria’s economic growth and sustainability.

“The €200 million investment from EIB Global is a significant milestone in our mission to drive Nigeria’s economic growth and sustainability. By supporting local financial institutions and MSMEs in key sectors like agriculture, renewable energy, digitalisation, and innovation, we’re empowering entrepreneurs and fostering a culture of sustainable innovation,” he stated.

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