Economy
Oil Market Reacts to Latest OPEC Demand Growth Forecast
By Adedapo Adesanya
The latest downward review of demand growth forecast by the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), a stronger US Dollar, and disappointment over China’s latest stimulus plan pushed the prices of crude oil grades higher on Tuesday.
Data showed that Brent futures were up 6 cents or 0.1 per cent to $71.89 a barrel and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures appreciated by 8 cents or 0.1 per cent to settle at $68.12 per barrel.
OPEC cut its forecast for global oil demand growth in 2024 and lowered its projection for next year, marking the producer group’s fourth consecutive downward revision.
The group said world oil demand would rise by 1.82 million barrels per day in 2024, down from growth of 1.93 million barrels per day forecast last month.
Until August, OPEC had kept the outlook unchanged since its first forecast in July 2023.
In the report, the oil cartel also cut its 2025 global demand growth estimate to 1.54 million barrels per day from 1.64 million barrels per day.
China accounted for the bulk of the 2024 downgrade. OPEC trimmed its Chinese growth forecast to 450,000 barrels per day from 580,000 barrels per day and said diesel use in September fell year-on-year for a seventh consecutive month.
The group was to start unwinding the most recent layer of cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day from December but said on November 3 it would delay the plan for a month, as weak demand and rising supply outside the group maintain downward pressure on the market.
OPEC’s output is also rising, the report showed, with Libyan production rebounding after being cut by unrest. OPEC+ pumped 40.34 million barrels per day in October, up 215,000 barrels per day from September.
The International Energy Agency (IEA), which represents industrialised countries, sees demand growth of 860,000 barrels per day in 2024. The agency is scheduled to update its figures on Thursday.
The market still continues to look at China after it unveiled a $1.4 trillion debt package to ease local government financing strains but analysts said the plan fell short of the amount needed to boost economic growth.
Also, US President-elect Mr Donald Trump, who won the November 5 election, remains a factor for oil.
The former US president has threatened more tariffs on Chinese goods, showing a constant policy direction like during his first stint in power.
Also weighing on oil prices, the US Dollar rose to a four-month high versus a basket of currencies as investors kept piling into trades seen benefiting from Trump’s victory. A stronger greenback makes oil more expensive in other countries, which can reduce demand.
Economy
NUPRC, NRS to Strengthen Oil Revenue Collection
By Modupe Gbadeyanka
Efforts are being made to deepen collaboration to promote transparency and accountability in the collection of oil and gas revenue in Nigeria.
Two key organisations involved in this, the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) and the Nigeria Revenue Service (NRS), recently held a strategic meeting to further work on ways to achieve this goal.
The chief executive of NUPRC, Mrs Oritsemeyiwa Eyesan, was at the headquarters of the tax-collecting agency in Abuja on Wednesday.
In discussions with the chairman of NRS, Mr Zacch Adedeji, she praised him for driving reforms that culminated in the enactment of the NRS Act.
Speaking on the transfer of revenue collection responsibilities, Mrs Eyesan said the process had been seamless, highlighting her organisation’s efforts to create an enabling environment for operators in the oil and gas industry.
She further revealed that Nigeria had the potential to produce 1.9 million barrels per day, having hit a peak production of 1.86 million barrels per day in May.
In his response, the NRS chairman praised NUPRC for its dynamism, professionalism and transparency, promising continued collaboration with the commission, particularly on matters relating to the transfer of revenue collection functions under the new Act.
“I collect revenue. I don’t generate revenue. Wherever revenue is, I work on it and keep an account for you. So, I’m helping you to collect your royalties,” Mr Adedeji said.
He pledged that the NRS would continue to support the commission to achieve its shared objective of increasing government revenues in a fair, transparent and sustainable manner.
Economy
NASD OTC Exchange Gains N26.99bn as Investors Drive 1.04% Rally
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange jumped 1.04 per cent on Wednesday, June 17, with the market capitalisation adding N26.99 billion to settle at N2.619 trillion compared with the previous session’s N2.592 trillion, and the Unlisted Security Index (NSI) rising by 45.1 points to close at 4,378.45 points, in contrast to the preceding day’s 4,333.35 points.
The rally was driven by the gains reported by two securities, which outweighed the losses posted by three securities, led by FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc, which dipped by N1.95 to N178.19 per unit from N180.14 per unit. Geo-Fluids Plc lost 19 Kobo to close at N2.61 per share compared with Tuesday’s closing price of N2.80 per share, and Food Concepts Plc slid by 1 Kobo to N1.77 per unit from N1.78 per unit.
On the flip side, Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc recorded a N6.33 appreciation to trade at N86.57 per share versus the previous day’s N80.24 per share, and Light House Financial Services Plc grew by 10 Kobo to N1.13 per unit from the N1.03 per unit it closed a day earlier.
In the midweek session, the value of stocks traded by investors surged by 181.0 per cent to N128.3 million from the preceding session’s N45.6 million, the volume of securities increased by 305.6 per cent to 2.8 million units from Tuesday’s 688,290 units, and the number of deals executed jumped by 6.5 per cent to 33 deals from 31 deals.
At the close of trades, Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc remained the most active stock on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units valued at N8.4 billion, followed by Infrastructure Credit Guarantee (Infracredit) Plc with 2.3 billion units sold for N6.5 billion, and CSCS Plc with 67.3 million units exchanged for N4.6 billion.
GNI Plc also ended as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units worth N8.4 billion, followed by Infracredit Plc with 2.3 billion units sold for N6.5 billion, and Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units traded for N415.7 million.
Economy
Ayobo-Ipaja LCDA Explores Commercial Ostrich, Crocodile Farming
By Dipo Olowookere
As part of moves to boost its internally generated revenue (IGR) and increase its streams of income, Ayobo-Ipaja Local Council Development Area (LCDA) is considering commercial ostrich and crocodile farming.
The council recently held a sensitisation programme, where agribusiness experts engaged stakeholders, including residents and entrepreneurs, on the viability of this.
The programme provided participants with the knowledge on investment requirements, training opportunities, startup funding, and regulatory frameworks guiding ostrich and crocodile farming in Nigeria.
The chairman of Ayobo-Ipaja LCDA, Mr Lukmon Agbaje, commended the initiative, reiterating his administration’s commitment to promoting innovative agricultural practices as a pathway to sustainable development.
He described agriculture as a critical driver of economic transformation, stressing that modern farming has evolved into a profitable business venture with immense potential for youth empowerment and enterprise development.
Mr Agbaje further assured participants of the council’s readiness to partner with investors, agricultural institutions, and other relevant stakeholders to facilitate training, capacity building, and access to opportunities across the agricultural value chain.
On his part, the council’s Head of Department of Agriculture, Mr Wale Atepe, emphasised the growing market demand for products such as leather, meat, feathers, and other valuable by-products, adding that strategic investment in the sector could unlock significant opportunities for employment, wealth creation, and export earnings.
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