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Oil Prices Climb on Snag in Russia-Ukraine Peace Deal

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crude oil prices

By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil prices settled higher on Wednesday after the US and Russia failed to reach a deal to end the war in Ukraine that could have eased sanctions on Russia’s oil sector.

Brent crude gained 22 cents or 0.4 per cent to finish at $62.67 per barrel and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose by 31 cents or 0.5 per cent to $58.95 per barrel.

Russia and the US failed to reach a compromise after a five-hour meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and a US delegation led by special envoy Steve Witkoff, according to the Russian government.

On a day of intense diplomatic efforts to end Europe’s largest and deadliest conflict since World War II, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said there is a better chance “now than ever” to reach a deal. However, just before the talks, President Putin accused European governments of trying to block the peace process and warned if Europe wants to start a war with Russia, it was ready to fight.

The outcome of the talks could lead to the removal of sanctions on Russian companies, including major oil companies Rosneft and Lukoil, a deal that would free up restricted oil supply.

Meanwhile, US crude, gasoline and distillate stocks rose last week, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday, adding to fears of an oversupply.

Crude oil inventories in the US increased by 600,000 barrels during the week ending November 28, after adding 2.8 million barrels in the week prior. The increase brings commercial stockpiles to 427.5 million barrels according to government data, which is 3 per cent below the five-year average for this time of year.

For total motor gasoline, the EIA reported that inventories had increased by 4.5 million barrels, on top of the 2.5 million barrel gain in the week prior. The most recent figures showed average daily gasoline production increasing to 9.8 million barrels. For middle distillates, inventories increased by 2.1 million barrels, with production increasing by 53,000 barrels daily to an average of 5.1 million barrels daily. Distillate inventories are now 7% below the five-year average for this time of year.

Traders also leaned into the 2026 messaging by the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) and a softer Dollar.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Naira Firms to N1,380/$ as FX Market Rally Continues

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By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira appreciated against the US Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Friday, July 17, by N1.35 or 0.07 per cent to N1,380.18/$1 from N1,381.53/$1.

It also improved its value against the Pound Sterling in the same market segment during the session by N11.75 to trade at N1,854.42/£1 compared with the previous day’s N1,866.17/£1, and gained N5.69 against the Euro to sell at N1,576.99/€1 versus Thursday’s closing price of N1,582.68/€1.

In the same vein, the Naira chalked up N1 against the United States currency yesterday at the GTBank forex desk to quote at N1,388/$1, in contrast to the preceding day’s N1,389/$1, but closed flat at the black market at N1,405/$1.

The appreciation of the Nigerian currency on Friday came amid fresh signals that Nigeria is building its external reserves for protection against shocks and excessive currency volatility.

The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Mr Yemi Cardoso, said the country’s gross reserves had risen above approximately $52 billion by 15 July, while net reserves had increased from about $3 billion when the current CBN leadership took office to more than $40 billion.

Mr Cardoso linked the increase in reserves to reforms that had restored greater confidence in the foreign exchange system. He also pointed to efforts to diversify foreign currency inflows, including policies designed to increase remittances through official channels.

He noted that monthly diaspora remittances had risen above $600 million and the CBN expected them to reach approximately $1 billion by the end of 2026. The target is part of a broader effort to grow reserves through recurring inflows rather than temporary measures.

The improvement, he argued, had strengthened Nigeria’s capacity to respond when unexpected events threatened market stability.

The apex bank has also launched a new digital platform that will track every foreign exchange transaction involving Bureau De Change (BDC) operators, marking a major step in its efforts to improve transparency and strengthen oversight of Nigeria’s retail forex market.

As for the crypto market, prices were up as markets overlooked geopolitical developments and macro forces weighing on the whole market ecosystem rather than anything crypto-specific, with Cardano (ADA) up by 4.6 per cent to $0.1661.

Bitcoin (BTC) jumped by 1.8 per cent to $63,968.32, Ethereum (ETH) improved by 0.9 per cent to $1,843.88, Dogecoin (DOGE) also rose by 0.9 per cent to $0.0723, Solana (SOL) soared by 0.6 per cent to $74.90, Ripple (XRP) also appreciated by 0.6 per cent to $1.08, and Binance Coin (BNB) advanced by 0.1 per cent to $567.32.

However, TRON (TRX) depreciated by 0.2 per cent to close at $0.3218, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 each.

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Economy

Brent Climbs to $88 as Middle East Conflict Fuels Supply Fears

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By Adedapo Adesanya

The prices of the crude oil grades rose Friday, as fighting between the US and Iran continued in the Middle East, leading to further attacks in Bahrain, Jordan, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar and Syria.

Brent crude futures advanced by about 4.6 per cent to $88.10 per barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures gained about 4.5 per cent to settle at $82.49 per barrel.

US forces stepped up attacks on Iranian sites, reportedly striking key bridges, railways, and an airport, prompting retaliatory action by Iran.

US Central Command said that it had completed its sixth consecutive night of strikes against Iran, hitting dozens of military targets such as military logistics infrastructure and maritime capabilities.

Centcom said more than 50,000 service members were operating across the Middle East, adding that they “remain vigilant, lethal, and ready.”

Iran said it attacked the US targets in Bahrain, Jordan, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar and Syria in retaliation for the latest round of strikes by the Americans.

Kuwait said Iran attacked a power and water desalination plant as fighting escalated in the Persian Gulf, saying that the attack damaged the facility that sparked a fire that affected a large number of its electricity-generating units, according to The Kuwait Times.

Kuwait is heavily dependent on desalination plants for potable water. Analysts have long feared that Iran would strike infrastructure that is critical to supporting civilian life in the Middle East.

A tanker was hit by a projectile off the coast of Oman, causing minor damage, the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations Centre said in an incident report Friday. Iran has repeatedly attacked tankers over the past week as it tries to force civilian ships to transit the Strait of Hormuz through its waters.

The escalating fighting comes as the fragile truce reached last month has collapsed, once again disrupting energy flows through the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz, which typically handles around 20% of the world’s oil traffic.

Earlier in the week, President Donald Trump said American forces would target Iran’s infrastructure next week unless the two sides reached a diplomatic breakthrough.

Iran has asked Yemen’s Houthis to close the Red Sea oil route if the US targets Iranian power infrastructure.

Market analysts noted that Iran and the US still have strong economic incentives to avoid a complete breakdown in talks, with the US seeking lower oil prices ahead of the November midterm elections and Iran reluctant to forgo economic incentives.

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Economy

Rising Food Prices Not Good for Nigeria’s Inflation Gains—CPPE

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Prices of Food

By Adedapo Adesanya

Despite signs that Nigeria’s headline inflation is easing, rising food prices continue to threaten the country’s inflation outlook, the chief executive of the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise (CPPE), Mr Muda Yusuf, has warned.

He noted that structural inflationary pressures in the real economy remain pronounced despite improving macroeconomic stability.

In a policy brief released following the inflation report, he noted that headline inflation eased marginally, while month-on-month change moderated from 1.75 per cent to 1.66 per cent, indicating that headline inflation has largely plateaued.

According to him, the dominant concern in the latest inflation report is the renewed acceleration in food inflation.

This growth, he said, suggested that food prices have resumed an upward trajectory after a brief period of moderation.

Warning that a renewed increase in food inflation has significant economic and social implications, he stressed that food inflation remained the biggest driver of Nigeria’s cost-of-living crisis, stressing that rising food prices continue to erode household purchasing power, worsen poverty and food insecurity while weakening the inclusiveness of the current reform programme.

He maintained that sustained moderation in food prices is critical to improving citizens’ welfare and strengthening public confidence in the ongoing economic reforms.

Acknowledging the easing of core inflation as encouraging, he drew attention to the persistence of urban inflation.

At 16.08 per cent, urban inflation exceeded the national headline inflation rate of 15.91 per cent, while month-on-month urban inflation increased from 1.99 per cent to 2.13 per cent.

According to Mr Yusuf, the figures indicated that inflationary pressures remained particularly intense across urban centres.

He attributed the rising urban inflation partly to increasing population displacement from rural communities affected by insecurity, expressing worry that as more households migrate to urban areas, demand for housing, transportation, utilities and other essential services would increase, adding to inflationary pressures and creating additional urbanisation challenges.

Addressing insecurity in farming communities, he said, was important not only for protecting lives and property and boosting agricultural output but also for easing cost pressures in urban centres, adding that the June CPI data reinforced the view that Nigeria’s inflation challenge is predominantly structural rather than monetary.

On the monetary policy outlook, he said the data do not justify further monetary tightening, arguing that headline inflation has largely stabilised.

The CPPE chief expected the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to retain the current monetary policy rate at its next meeting, adding that the priority is for monetary and fiscal authorities to work together to accelerate structural reforms to expand food supply, improve logistics, reduce energy and production costs, lower debt service costs, as well as strengthen domestic value chains.

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