Economy
Oil Prices Down by 1% as US Fed Pauses Interest Rate Hike
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil prices fell by 1 per cent on Wednesday after the US Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged, as widely expected.
Brent futures fell 81 cents or 0.9 per cent to settle at $93.53 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) fell by 92 cents or 1.0 per cent to trade at $90.28 per barrel.
Wednesday’s decision means the benchmark short-term interest rate will remain at 5.25 per cent to 5.5 per cent, a 22-year high.
This is only the second time since March 2022 that the US central bank meetings have concluded without another rate hike.
The decision to hold interest rates steady for September indicates that next year may see fewer rate cuts than analysts had earlier anticipated.
However, the US Federal Reserve has signalled there may be another rate hike later this year as inflation remains elevated despite a fairly strong economy.
Interest rate hikes to tame inflation can slow economic growth and reduce oil demand.
The market largely ignored the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) weekly report, which said crude inventories fell by 2.1 million barrels last week.
On Tuesday, the American Petroleum Institute (API) reported a large 5.25-million-barrel draw in US crude inventories, offsetting last week’s 1.174-million-barrel build.
In the UK, data showed a surprise drop in inflation in August, as the consumer price index fell by 0.1 percentage point to 6.7 per cent, its lowest since February 2022.
Market analysts were concerned that soaring oil prices could reverse consumer price inflation that has been declining since February this year, with the Bank of English set to decide on interest rates on Thursday.
Expectations remain that Brent will trade in a range of $90-100 per barrel over the coming months, with a year-end target of $95 per barrel.
Recall that the market is strong following moves by members of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, OPEC+, particularly Saudi Arabia and Russia, extending combined supply cuts of 1.3 million barrels per day to the end of the year.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) has raised the natural gas price for power generation companies (GenCos) to $2.18 per million metric British thermal units (MMBTU).
This marks a $0.05/MMBTU hike from the earlier rate of $2.13 per MMBTU.
In a circular released on Tuesday, the regulator outlined the updated domestic base price (DBP) and wholesale natural gas prices for 2025.
The DBP represents the lowest price at which natural gas can be offered in the domestic market.
The document states that the adjustment will begin today (April 1, 2026).
“Taking into account the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) provisions, current market conditions, and the official Gas Pricing and Domestic Demand Regulations, the NMDPRA sets the new Domestic Base Price at USD 2.18/MMBtu, along with wholesale prices for the strategic sector, starting April 1, 2026,” the circular stated.
In the directive signed by NMDPRA CEO, Mr Saidu Mohammed, the regulator also indicates that commercial buyers will now pay $2.68 per MMBTU, up from $2.63 per MMBTU previously.
Additionally, the authority fixed prices for gas-based industries (such as ammonia, urea, methanol, and low-sulphur diesel) at a floor of $0.90 per MMBTU and a ceiling of $2.18 per MMBTU.
NMDPRA explained that the domestic base price at the marketable gas delivery point—per section 167(1) of the PIA—follows regulations based on key principles:
“a) A rate sufficient to encourage upstream producers to voluntarily supply enough gas to the domestic market.
“b) No higher than the average natural gas prices in major emerging producer nations.
“c) Based on the lowest supply costs under a three-tier framework.
“d) Aligned with market rates and international benchmarks.”
This change could affect the country’s power sector, already strained by massive debt and a lack of gas supply.
Last month, the Association of Power Generation Companies (APGC), an umbrella body for power generation companies, warned that gas suppliers might halt deliveries to thermal plants due to debt of around N6.5 trillion.
The federal government disclosed plans in December to raise N1.23 trillion by the first quarter (Q1) of 2026 to settle verified arrears owed to generation companies and gas suppliers. On January 27, the government said it had successfully issued a N501 billion inaugural bond under the presidential power sector debt reduction programme (PPSDRP).
However, the APGC has said that this is inadequate, comparing the debt to “garri soaked in water.”
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange further declined by 0.23 per cent, with the Unlisted Security Index (NSI) down by 9.63 points on Tuesday, March 31, to 4,100.11 points from 4,109.74 points.
In the same vein, the market capitalisation went down by N5.76 billion to finish at N2.453 trillion from the N2.458 trillion it closed a day earlier.
The mood of the market was flat yesterday as there were three price losers and three price gainers, led by Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc, which gained N1.51 to sell at N78.68 per unit compared with the previous day’s N77.17 per unit. UBN Property Plc appreciated by 15 Kobo to N2.20 per share from N2.05 per share, and Geo-Fluids Plc improved by 3 Kobo to N3.25 per unit from N3.22 per unit.
On the flip side, 11 Plc lost N31.05 to close at N285.00 per share versus Monday’s closing price of N316.50 per share, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc dropped 95 Kobo to trade at N98.05 per unit versus N99.00 per unit, and Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc went down by 2 Kobo to 52 Kobo per share from 57 Kobo per share.
During the trading day, the volume of securities jumped by 137.9 per cent to 50.8 million units from 21.3 million units, the number of deals rose 28.9 per cent to 49 deals from the preceding session’s 38 deals, while the value of securities went down by 65.2 per cent to N226.9 million from N651.1 million.
CSCS Plc remained the most traded stock by value (year-to-date) with 56.8 million units worth N3.8 billion, followed by Okitipupa Plc with 27.5 million units valued at N1.8 billion, and Infrastructure Guarantee Credit Plc with 400 million units traded for N1.2 billion.
Resourcery Plc was the most traded stock by volume (year-to-date) with 1.1 billion units sold for N415.7 million, followed by Infrastructure Guarantee Credit Plc with 400 million units transacted for N1.2 billion, and Geo-Fluids Plc with 183.0 million units exchanged for N673.8 million.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira weakened against the US Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Tuesday, March 31, by 0.23 per cent or N3.14 to N1,386.72/$1 from the N1,383.58/$1 it was traded on Monday.
Similarly, the Nigerian currency depreciated against the Pound Sterling in the same market window by N14.40 to close at N1,839.34/£1 compared with the previous day’s N1,824.94/£1, and against the Euro, it lost N12.88 to settle at N1,599.16/€1 versus N1,586.28/€1.
In the same vein, the Naira stumbled against the Dollar yesterday by N1 to quote at N1,395/$1 versus N1,394/$1, and in the black market, it remained unchanged at N1,410/$1.
The Naira remains under pressure as FX liquidity shrank, as evidenced by the number of interbank FX deals published by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).
Last week, forex intervention operations saw the apex bank inject $95 million into the supply side, but as high demand for the Dollar as a safe-haven asset continues, it strengthened the Dollar index, while the Euro, British Pound and other major trading partners weakened.
The country’s external reserves recorded a marginal decline, falling by 0.7 per cent to $49.48 billion, reflecting a depletion of about $350 million and signalling continued pressure on Nigeria’s FX buffer.
In the cryptocurrency market, reports of comments by Iran’s President Masoud Pezeshkian hinted at eased geopolitical tensions, which triggered gains across some assets.
Mr Pezeshkian reportedly signalled Iran would be willing to end the conflict in exchange for security guarantees, raising hopes for a diplomatic off-ramp and reducing fears of a wider regional war.
Ethereum (ETH) gained 4.4 per cent to trade at $2,150.11, Ripple (XRP) jumped 2.8 per cent to $1.36, Bitcoin (BTC) added 2.5 per cent to sell at $69,079.14, Cardano (ADA) which also rose by 2.5 per cent to $0.2518, Dogecoin (DOGE) improved by 2.4 per cent to $0.0941, Solana (SOL) grew by 1.3 per cent to $84.43, and Binance Coin (BNB) increased by 1.2 per cent to $618.86, while TRON (TRX) dipped 1.8 per cent to $0.3153, with the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) flat at $1.00 apiece.
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