Economy
Oil Prices Down on Escalating US-China Tensions, Supply Surplus
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil prices fell further on Wednesday, triggered by escalating US-China trade tensions and a prediction by the International Energy Agency (IEA) of a supply surplus in 2026.
Brent crude went down by 48 cents or 0.8 per cent to settle at $61.91 a barrel and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude declined by 43 cents or 0.7 per cent to $58.27 per barrel.
The US and China have renewed their trade war over the last week, with the world’s two largest oil consumers imposing additional port fees on ships carrying cargo between them, a move that could disrupt global freight flows.
Last week, China announced it would increase rare earth export controls and US President Donald Trump threatened to raise tariffs on Chinese goods to 100 per cent and tighten software export curbs from November 1.
On Wednesday, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent insisted that the US did not want to escalate the trade conflict, adding that President Trump is ready to meet Chinese President Xi Jinping in South Korea later this month.
On Tuesday, the IEA said the global oil market could face a surplus next year of up to 4 million barrels per day, wider than its previous forecast, as the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) raise output while demand remains sluggish.
Bank of America said Brent prices could slip below $50 a barrel if US-China trade tensions intensify while OPEC+ production ramps up. The bank warned that growing supply from OPEC+ members, particularly Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and the UAE, has created a “persistent surplus that could swell inventories to 2020 highs.”
Meanwhile, Britain on Wednesday targeted Russia’s two largest oil companies, Lukoil and Rosneft, and 51 shadow fleet tankers in what it described as a new bid to tighten energy sanctions and choke off revenues to the Russian government.
Russia was the second-biggest producer of crude oil in the world after the US in 2024, according to US energy data.
President Trump said that Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi had agreed to stop buying Russian crude, a development that could ease oversupply fears, and indicated that he would now attempt to make China do the same thing.
Economy
FG Notes Concerns Around Capital Gains Tax by Investors
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The federal government has promised to engage capital market stakeholders on the implementation of the controversial capital gains tax.
The Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister for the Economy, Mr Wale Edun, said the government was aware of the concerns raised by capital market investors on the policy.
Speaking at the closing gong ceremony to commemorate the listing of the Ministry of Finance Incorporated (MOFI) Real Estate Investment Fund (MREIF) Series 2 at the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited on Tuesday, the Minister assured of balanced capital gains tax outcomes.
“We have noted the concerns around capital gains tax and will continue to engage with the capital market to ensure any decisions deliver optimal outcomes for both Nigerians and the market,” he said.
His reaction was in response to a call by the chief executive of the NGX Group Plc, Mr Temi Popoola, for balanced outcomes in the implementation of the tax.
“The capital market is not only a platform for attracting investment but also a tool for creating wealth for Nigerians.
“Policies such as the capital gains tax must be carefully designed to balance government revenue objectives with investor confidence and market growth.
“NGX Group remains committed to supporting the Renewed Hope Agenda by channelling private capital into initiatives that deliver sustainable, long-term impact,” Mr Popoola stated.
Business Post reports that the MREIF Series 2 was listed on the exchange yesterday at N100 per unit, allowing low-income earners to participate in savings and investment, leveraging local resources to grow our economy, especially in the housing sector.
The listing took place against the backdrop of cautious trading in the equities market, as investors recalibrate portfolios in response to geopolitical tensions arising from the US–Nigeria diplomatic standoff, the proposed CGT, year-end portfolio rebalancing, and expectations of window-dressing by institutional players.
While liquidity remains robust, analysts emphasize that aligning fiscal policy with investor expectations is critical to sustaining confidence and deepening long-term market participation.
The chief executive of NGX Limited, Mr Jude Chiemeka, said MREIF demonstrates how the capital market can deliver practical solutions to national challenges:
“By channelling private capital into housing, we are creating opportunities for long-term investment and wealth creation while addressing Nigeria’s housing deficit,” he stated.
On his part, the chief executive of MOFI, Mr Armstrong Ume Takang, said, “MREIF provides long-term, low-cost mortgage financing to make homeownership a reality for millions of Nigerians, stimulating local economies across the housing value chain.”
Economy
Senate Okays Tinubu’s N1.15tn Domestic Loan for 2025 Budget Deficit
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Senate has approved President Bola Tinubu’s request to raise N1.15 trillion from the domestic debt market to cover the deficit in the country’s 2025 budget.
The approval followed the adoption of a report by the Senate Committee on Local and Foreign Debt during plenary on Wednesday.
The committee noted that the 2025 Appropriation Act provides for a total expenditure of N59.99 trillion, an increase of N5.25 trillion over the initial N54.74 trillion proposed by the Executive.
This expansion created a total budget deficit of N14.10 trillion, of which N12.95 trillion had already been approved for borrowing, leaving an unfunded deficit of approximately N1.15 trillion (N1,147,462,863,321).
Last week (November 4), President Tinubu formally wrote to the lawmakers requesting a fresh N1.15 trillion in borrowing for the 2025 fiscal year, with a month left for the year to end.
He stated that it would bridge the funding gap and ensure full implementation of government programs and projects under the 2025 fiscal plan.
In a related development, a motion by Mr Abdul Ningi was adopted, directing the Senate Committee on Appropriations to intensify oversight to ensure that the borrowed funds are properly implemented and used strictly for their intended purposes.
This follows approval by the Senate and the House of Representatives approved to obtain $2.347 billion in fresh foreign loans, including a $500 million debut Sovereign Sukuk, to finance part of the 2025 budget deficit and refinance Nigeria’s maturing Eurobonds.
Last week, the $2.25 billion Eurobond was oversubscribed by 470 per cent with investors taking advantage of positive signals in the Nigerian economy.
Regardless of this, there is mounting public concern over Nigeria’s rising debt stock, which has climbed to over N152.40 trillion ($99 billion) as of mid-2025, according to figures from the Debt Management Office (DMO).
The federal government alone accounts for over 92 per cent of Nigeria’s public debt at N141.08 trillion, with N64.49 trillion as external debt and N76.59 trillion as local debt. States account for 7.4 per cent at N11.32 trillion as per the debt office.
Economy
Senate Orders NNPC to Refund Unaccounted N210trn to Federation Account
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Senate has told the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited to return N210 trillion in outstanding payments to the Federation Account, as it rejected the explanations provided by the state oil firm.
The conclusion was reached on Wednesday as a committee investigating the issue noted that the money, which had not been accounted for, must be refunded to the Federation Account by the company.
The Senate Committee on Public Accounts chaired by Mr Aliyu Wadada, which has been on the probe for months, took the decision on Tuesday after the Group Chief Executive Officer (GCEO) of the NNPC, Mr Bashir Bayo Ojulari, failed to turn up at its resumed sitting at the National Assembly.
The session was called to give the NNPC Limited the opportunity to make clarifications on the answers the company provided to the 19 questions the panel asked the firm about the N210 trillion.
Following a review of the operations of the state owned oil firm from 2017-2023, the committee sighted the unexplained transaction, totaling N103 trillion (accrued expenses) and N107 trillion (receivables) in the audited financial statements of the firm, totalling N210 trillion thereby prompting it to raise the queries.
After weeks of back-and-forth between the committee and the NNPC, the NNPC eventually responded to the 19 questions.
However, at a resumed session, Mr Wadada frowned at the absence of Mr Ojulari, whom the committee said gave no reasons for staying away, consequently rejected the explanations.
The Chairman of the committee while speaking on the panel’s findings, said the responses were not only unsatisfactory, but were also contradictory.
“NNPC claimed N103 trillion as accrued expenses and N107 trillion as receivables -amounting to N210 trillion. On question eight, NNPC’s explanation on the N107 trillion receivables -equivalent to about $117 billion -contradicts available facts and evidence provided by NNPC itself. The committee is duty-bound to reject this,” he stated.
Mr Wadada further questioned how the firm could pay N103 trillion in Cash Calls to Joint Venture (JV) partners in 2023 alone, despite generating only N24 trillion in crude revenue between 2017 and 2022.
“Cash Call arrangements were abolished in 2016 under the President Muhammadu Buhari administration. How can NNPC claim to have paid N103 trillion in one year, when it only generated N24 trillion in revenue over five years? Where did NNPC get that money?
“As far as this committee is concerned, that figure is unjustifiable and unacceptable. The N103 trillion must be returned to the Treasury. This will be concluded when the NNPC appears before us,” he stated.
The committee said it would have been better for the current management of the NNPC to admit that it encountered challenges in explaining what happened to the funds than giving contradictory answers to the questions.
“If the present management of NNPC is finding it difficult to provide acceptable answers, it is better they say so. The committee will not hesitate to subpoena former officials of NNPC and NAPIMS,” Mr Wadada added.
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