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Oil Prices Down on Russia-Ukraine War Development, US Inventories Build

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Crude Oil Prices

By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil prices trended south on Wednesday as investors weighed the intensifying war between Russia and Ukraine, and a rise in crude stocks in the United States.

Brent crude was down by 46 cents or 0.63 per cent to settle at $72.85 a barrel and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude depreciated by 29 cents or 0.42 per cent to $69.10 per barrel.

The conflict between Russia and Ukraine and subsequent concern around potential oil supply disruptions have helped shape the market so far this week.

Ukraine fired a volley of British Storm Shadow cruise missiles into Russia on Wednesday, the latest new Western weapon it has been permitted to use on Russian targets a day after it fired US ATACMS missiles.

Russia has said the use of Western weapons to strike into its territory far from the border would be a major escalation in the conflict.

Meanwhile, Ukraine says it needs the capability to defend itself by hitting Russian rear bases used to support the invasion, which entered its thousandth day this week.

Market analysts say this has put geopolitical risk back in the market.

Adding to the geopolitical tensions, the US vetoed a UN Security Council resolution for a ceasefire in Gaza on Wednesday.

The 15-member council voted on a resolution put forward by 10 non-permanent members that called for an “immediate, unconditional and permanent ceasefire” in the 13-month conflict and separately demanded the release of hostages.

This has created criticism for the Biden administration for once again blocking international action aimed at halting Israel’s war with Hamas.

The development could buoy oil prices’ war risk premium on investors’ concerns around potential disruptions to global oil supplies as war in the Middle East continues.

There are also expectations that global supply could be further squeezed, with the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, OPEC+ potentially set to push back output increases again when it meets on December 1 due to weak global oil demand.

Pressure came after the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported an inventory build of 500,000 barrels for the week to November 15.

The change compared with a build of 2.1 million barrels for the previous week, and another one, of 4.75 million barrels, estimated by the American Petroleum Institute (API) for the week. However, both last week’s EIA report and this week’s API report saw declines in fuel inventories.

Norway’s Equinor said it had restored full output capacity at the Johan Sverdrup oilfield in the North Sea following a power outage.

Meanwhile, the US Federal Reserve will likely trim interest rates next month but make smaller cuts in 2025 due to the risk of higher inflation from President-elect Donald Trump’s proposed policies.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

Economy

Stock Investors Recover N93bn after Previous Day’s Loss

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Attract Stock Investors

By Dipo Olowookere

The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited returned to green territory on Tuesday after it chalked up 0.09 per cent on the back of renewed buying pressure.

The market regained strength yesterday despite profit-taking in the banking space, which caused its index to close lower by 0.69 per cent.

Business Post reports that insurance counter was up by 2.80 per cent, the energy sector appreciated by 2.40 per cent, the commodity segment grew by 1.22 per cent, and the consumer goods industry improved by 0.03 per cent, while the industrial goods counter closed flat.

At the close of transactions, the All-Share Index (ASI) went up by 144.32 points to 166,256.82 points from 166,112.50 points and the market capitalisation gained N93 billion to finish at N106.436 trillion compared with the N106.343 trillion it settled on Monday.

During the session, investors transacted 795.5 million equities valued at N20.0 billion in 45,410 deals versus the 629.6 million equities worth N14.8 billion executed in 57,858 deals a day earlier, indicating a rise in the trading volume and value by 26.35 per cent and 35.14 per cent apiece and a decline in the number of deals by 21.52 per cent.

Tantalizers was the busiest stock yesterday with a turnover of 87.0 million units valued at N300.9 million, Secure Electronic Technology traded 74.2 million units worth N87.6 million, a new member of the NGX, Zichis Agro Allied Industries, transacted 69.6 million units for N138.5 million, Zenith Bank sold 49.1 million units valued at N3.5 billion, and GTCO exchanged 39.1 million units worth N3.8 billion.

On Tuesday, the market breadth index was positive after Customs Street ended with 39 appreciating shares and 25 depreciating shares, representing a bullish investor sentiment.

Deap Capital, NPF Microfinance Bank, and Red Star Express gained 10.00 per cent each to sell for N5.39, N4.73, and N15.95 apiece, as NCR Nigeria soared by 9.97 per cent to N155.50, and Morison Industries also increased by 9.97 per cent to N6.84.

Conversely, Aluminium Extrusion lost 9.95 per cent to settle at N17.20, Jaiz Bank declined by 9.88 per cent to N7.21, FTN Cocoa shrank by 8.44 per cent to N7.05, UPDC decreased by 8.06 per cent to N5.70, and Caverton slumped by 5.59 per cent to N7.60.

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Economy

Kazakh Supply Disruptions, Positive Economic Data Buoy Oil Prices

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Kazakh Supply

By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil prices rose on Tuesday on the temporary suspension of output at Kazakhstan’s oil fields and expectations of firmer global economic growth that could drive fuel demand.

Brent futures chalked up 98 cents or 1.53 per cent to trade at $64.92 a barrel and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude contract for February, which expired on Tuesday, gained 90 cents or 1.51 per cent to close at $60.34 per barrel.

Kazakh oil producer Tengizchevroil said on Monday it had temporarily halted production at the Tengiz and Korolev oilfields after an issue affected power distribution systems.

The Chevron-operated joint venture operating the supergiant 700,000 barrels per day Tengiz field onshore Kazakhstan stated that it had suspended production as a “precautionary measure” after a fire broke out at the field’s power distribution systems.

Tengiz could be halted for another seven to 10 days, cutting crude exports via the Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC).

Market analysts noted that Tengiz is amongst the largest fields in the world and so the outage is certainly disruptive for crude flows.

The oil market also drew support from better-than-expected fourth-quarter Chinese gross domestic product data released on Monday as data showed that the economy of the world’s largest oil producer grew by 5 per cent last year and the country’s refinery throughput in 2025 climbed 4.1 per cent on a year-over-year basis, data showed on Monday. China’s crude oil output also grew 1.5 per cent.

Prices also gained on an upward revision of this year’s global economic growth estimate by the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

The IMF in its World Economic Outlook update forecast global GDP growth at 3.3 per cent in 2026, up ‌0.2 percentage point from its last estimate in October. That’s even with 3.3 per cent growth in 2025, which will also beat the October estimate by 0.1 percentage point.

The lender said that globally, inflation was forecast to continue to decline, ​from 4.1 per cent in 2025 to 3.8 per cent in 2026 and 3.4 per cent in 2027.

Investors continued to monitor US President Donald Trump’s tariff threats against European states that oppose his push to acquire Greenland.

The American president said he would impose additional 10 per cent levies from February 1 on goods imported from EU members Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Sweden and the Netherlands, as well as Britain and Norway, rising to 25 per cent on June 1 if no deal on Greenland was reached.

President Trump’s tariff threats have a negative bearing on crude prices as the levies could lead to lower global economic growth and therefore reduce oil demand growth.

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Economy

Eyesan Targets Shut-in Barrels to Optimise Nigeria’s Oil Production

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oritsemeyiwa Eyesan nuprc

By Adedapo Adesanya

The chief executive of the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC), Mrs Oritsemeyiwa Eyesan, has identified the recovery of shut-in oil and gas volumes as a central strategy for optimising Nigeria’s upstream production and stabilising revenue.

She said the oil and gas sector remains critical to Nigeria’s economic stability, stressing that effective regulation must be anchored on a strong, efficiently run upstream industry.

According to Mrs Eyesan, the commission’s agenda for the sector under her leadership, is built on three core pillars, with production and revenue optimisation taking priority.

“Our agenda rests on optimising production and revenue by recovering shut-in volumes,” she said. Shut-in volumes refer to the amount of oil or gas that is currently capable of being produced but is not being extracted because the wells have been deliberately closed off.

The NUPRC head explained that unlocking idle production requires closer collaboration between regulators and operators, supported by transparent and accountable industry practices.

Mrs Eyesan added that regulatory efficiency is another key enabler of production optimisation, noting that speed and predictability in approvals are essential to sustaining upstream operations.

“We are focused on ensuring regulatory speed and predictability through clear rules and digital processes,” she said.

The NUPRC chief further said that optimising output must go hand-in-hand with safe and sustainable operations, including effective governance of assets and improved host community outcomes.

“Strengthening safe, governed and sustainable operations, including host community outcomes and decarbonisation, is part of our broader objective,” Mrs Eyesan said.

She noted that a stable regulatory environment, combined with production recovery efforts, would support industry confidence and improve Nigeria’s ability to maximise value from its hydrocarbon resources.

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