Economy
Oil Prices Jump as Russia, Iran Sanctions Spur Supply Concerns
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil prices edged up on Tuesday, continuing their recovery as sanctions raised concerns about Russian and Iranian oil supplies, with Brent futures gaining $1.13 or 1.5 per cent to settle at $77.00 a barrel and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude appreciating by $1.00 or 1.4 per cent to $73.32 per barrel.
US sanctions targeting tankers, producers and insurers have significantly disrupted shipments of Russian oil to leading importers China and India.
Reuters reported that Russian oil in its top buyer, China, has stalled as a wide price gap between buyers and sellers emerged in the Asian country after costs for chartering tankers unaffected by US sanctions jumped.
The US government under the administration of former President Joe Biden imposed fresh sanctions on January 10 targeting Russia’s oil supply chain.
This has caused tanker freight rates to soar as some buyers and ports in China and India steered clear of sanctioned ships.
Petroleum companies in China and India now expect the number of cargoes offered for March to drop from January and December figures because associated prices have surged, creating supply constraints.
Meanwhile, President Donald Trump restored his maximum pressure on Iranian oil exports last week, adding to supply worries.
The American President on Monday also raised tariffs on steel and aluminium imports to the United States to 25 per cent and has received condemnation from the European Union, Canada, and Mexico.
The possibility of renewed fighting in the oil-rich Middle East also led to prices gaining.
The Prime Minister of Israel, Mr Benjamin Netanyahu said that if Hamas does not release Israeli hostages by Saturday, he will end the ceasefire in Gaza.
This development followed a demand by President Trump on Monday for Hamas to release all hostages or he would propose cancelling the Israel-Hamas ceasefire.
The American Petroleum Institute (API) estimated that crude oil inventories in the US rose by a massive 9.043 million barrels for the week ending January 31.
Official data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) will be released later on Wednesday.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited has announced the signing of six strategic agreements with key partners, ranging from Memorandum of Understanding (MoU), Gas Supply Agreement (GSA) and other gas transportation deals, marking a significant milestone in Nigeria’s journey towards industrial revitalisation and enhanced energy security.
The agreements, executed on the sidelines of the ongoing 25th NOG Energy Week in Abuja on Tuesday, include: an MoU with Ajaokuta Steel Company Limited, ASCL; a Gas Sale Aggregation Agreement with Ajaokuta Steel Company Limited; a GSA with UTM FLNG; a Network Entry Agreement with Chevron Nigeria Limited; a Network Entry Agreement with AGPC, and a Network Entry Agreement with NNPC Exploration & Production Limited.
According to the chief executive of the NNPC, Mr Bayo Ojulari, the agreements underscore the state oil company’s commitment to advancing the federal government’s gas-based industrialisation agenda, driving sustainable economic growth and enhancing Nigeria’s energy security.
“What we are witnessing today is not just about signing agreements. It is about igniting the engine of Nigeria’s industrialisation. Gas is the key. It is a source of revenue and profit. It is also the only product that can have that level of industrial impact on Nigeria, more than any other hydrocarbon,” Mr Ojulari stated.
He particularly described the agreements as a testament to NNPC’s shared commitment to transparency, efficiency, and a standardised framework for Nationwide gas utilisation, which will unlock new supply capacity for the domestic market and solidify the role of gas as a catalyst for economic transformation.
Mr Ojulari noted that the agreements signal a new era of strategic partnerships that will drive local content, enhance energy security and accelerate Nigeria’s journey towards becoming a global industrial powerhouse.
He described NNPC as the partner of choice. “We are on a journey, even as we look forward to greater collaboration with industry partners.”
A cornerstone of the signing ceremony was the agreement with Ajaokuta Steel Company Limited. In the MoU, NNPC and ASCL committed to extend collaboration beyond gas supply, aiming to catalyse the production of raw materials for oil and gas pipes, a critical enabler for major infrastructure projects such as the African- Atlantic Gas Pipeline and the Escravos -Lagos Pipeline System (ELPS).
The MoU is anchored on two major pillars: the revitalisation of the Ajaokuta Steel Complex and the expansion of domestic gas utilisation through the Nigerian Gas Transportation Network Code.
This was complemented by the execution of a 20-year Gas Sale and Aggregation Agreement between NNPC E&P Limited, Gas Aggregation Company of Nigeria Ltd/Gte and ASCL.
This agreement will see the supply of 3MMscf/d of Firm Contract Volumes and 47MMscf/d of Interruptible Contract Volumes to be used as feedstock for the power plant servicing the steel complex.
NNPC Ltd/Seplat JV also took a major step towards commercialising Nigeria’s vast natural gas resources by signing a 15-year Wet Gas Sale and Purchase Agreement WGSPA between the NNPC Ltd/Seplat Energy Producing Nigeria Unlimited Joint Venture and UTM FLNG Limited.
Under the agreement, the Joint Venture will supply 200 million standard cubic feet of gas per day (MMscf/d) to the UTM Floating LNG project, providing the long-term feedgas certainty required to support financing and position the project for a Final Investment Decision (FID) in the fourth quarter of 2026.
Further demonstrating its commitment to a regulated and efficient gas market, NNPC announced the successful migration of legacy interconnection agreements to the new Nigerian Gas Transportation Network Code. This involved the signing of Network Entry Agreements with three major gas producers.
These agreements, signed with Chevron Nigeria Limited, CNL, AGPC, and NEPL, will inject up to 800MMscf/d of natural gas into the domestic transportation network. This will serve Nigeria’s power plants, Gas-Based Industries (GBIs), and industrial clusters, significantly enhancing network connectivity and operational flexibility while improving the security of gas supply.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has retained Nigeria’s economic growth projections at 4.1 per cent for 2026 and 4.3 per cent for 2027, expressing confidence that ongoing macroeconomic reforms will continue to support the country’s recovery.
The projections, contained in the IMF’s July 2026 World Economic Outlook (WEO) Update titled “Global Economy in Crosscurrents of War and Technology”, remain unchanged from the forecasts released in April, despite mounting global uncertainties stemming from the conflict in the Middle East.
According to the report released yesterday, Nigeria’s growth outlook is being supported by improved macroeconomic stability and favourable terms of trade arising from its status as an oil-exporting nation.
However, the Bretton Woods institution warned that rising prices of essential goods could offset part of these gains by worsening poverty and food insecurity across the country.
The report stated that, “Nigeria is supported by improved macroeconomic stability and favourable terms of trade effects, though higher prices for essentials are expected to further aggravate poverty and food insecurity.”
Speaking during the IMF’s virtual briefing on the July 2026 World Economic Outlook Update for Sub-Saharan Africa and Nigeria, Division Chief in the IMF’s Research Department, Ms Deniz Igan, described Nigeria as one of the region’s stronger-performing large economies, noting that policy reforms have strengthened macroeconomic stability.
“Just to give you a sense, the two largest economies in the region, Nigeria is expected to grow at 4.1 per cent, quite stable, and this is supported by improved macroeconomic stability and favourable terms of trade, with Nigeria being an oil exporter,” Ms Igan said.
She, however, cautioned that inflationary pressures on essential commodities remain a major concern.
“At the same time, tighter prices, so there is some offset to that positive terms of trade effect because higher prices for essentials are expected to aggravate poverty and food insecurity,” she added.
The lender also retained Nigeria’s 2027 growth forecast at 4.3 per cent, as it noted that recent economic reforms are laying the foundation for sustained expansion despite persistent global headwinds.
For the global economy, the IMF projected growth to moderate to 3.0 per cent in 2026 from 3.5 per cent recorded in 2025, attributing the slowdown largely to the economic impact of the Middle East conflict, which is expected to offset part of the gains from the accelerating artificial intelligence-driven technology cycle.
For Sub-Saharan Africa, the IMF projected economic growth of 4.3 per cent in 2026 before improving to 4.5 per cent in 2027. The latest forecast represents a 0.1 percentage point upward revision from the Fund’s April outlook.
Ms Igan noted that the region had experienced broad-based economic recovery in 2025 before the outbreak of the Middle East conflict altered the growth trajectory.
“Let me start by noting that we actually had seen a broad-based pickup in growth in 2025 in the region. We had an acceleration of growth to 4.5 per cent.
“Now, the war obviously has clouded the outlook for 2026, and we are now projecting a softening of growth to 4.3 per cent in the region as a whole,” she said.
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
Presco Plc has concluded plans to establish operations in Ogun State as part of efforts to expand its footprint, boost earnings, and deliver more value to shareholders.
The news of the operations was announced by the Governor of Ogun State, Mr Dapo Abiodun, after he received a delegation from the company.
Presco is one of the leading integrated oil palm firms in Nigeria. It is listed on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited.
The Governor expressed his joy over the decision of Presco to situate its factory in the Gateway State.
He disclosed that the organisation has promised to have an initial investment of about $100 million in Ogun State, noting that this “validates the confidence investors continue to place in our administration’s deliberate policies aimed at creating an enabling business environment.”
According to him, beyond strengthening the state government’s agricultural transformation agenda, the project is expected to generate thousands of direct and indirect jobs, enhance food security, stimulate economic growth, and increase the state’s revenue.
“As we continue to implement our Building Our Future Together agenda, we remain committed to attracting strategic investments that will diversify our economy, create sustainable opportunities for our people, and reinforce Ogun State’s position as Nigeria’s preferred investment destination,” Mr Abiodun stated.
