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Oil Prices Rise as Gulf States Cut Supply By 1.18mbpd

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Crude oil futures pulled a positive outcome on Tuesday as the market reacted well to additional cut from Gulf countries; Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), and Kuwait, which agreed to reduce supply by 1.18 million in June.

Brent crude futures climbed 27 cents or 0.91 percent to settle at $29.90 per barrel after falling 4.3 percent on Monday.

The United States’ West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures climbed $1.57 or 6.5 percent to settle at $25.71 per barrel.

On Monday, the world’s top oil exporter and de-facto leader of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Saudi Arabia, said it would cut oil production by an additional 1 million barrels per day in June, different from its earlier agreement in April 2020.

Under the deal which started this month, Saudi Arabia pledged to cut its oil production to 8.5 million barrels per day. With the additional voluntary reduction in June, the Saudis would produce 7.492 million barrel per day next month.

This announcement could, however, not hold the market which was overpowered by fears of a second wave of COVID-19 infections with relaxed lockdowns in place.

Apart from Saudi, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) also pledged to cut even more oil production in June, and so did Kuwait.

UAE Minister of Energy and Industry, Mr Suhail bin Mohammed Faraj Faris Al Mazrouei, announced that the country will increase cut by another 100,000 bpd next month, after already reducing its oil production under the same deal.

Kuwait announced that it would cut its oil production even more than the OPEC+ agreement called for by an additional 80,000 barrels per day in June.

Inventory data this week will be key to extending the recent rally in oil prices, analysts said.

According to available projections, crude inventories likely rose by about 4.3 million barrels in the week to May 8, but this will be confirmed by the American Petroleum Institute (API) industry group on Wednesday and the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) later on Wednesday.

Even with this, the problem of oversupply and storage problems still persists, although not as high as previously, waiting to worry any good news the market might have in the near future.

In some critical locations, such as India and South Korea, storage has already been strained to its limits. Also, space at the US crude hub in Cushing, Oklahoma, became so scare that crude prices briefly dropped below zero last month for the first time on record.

However, the accumulation of oil inventories around the world is slowing down and with additional cuts and return to normalcy, the gap between demand and supply will begin to tighten up.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Equity Market Gains 0.75% as Investors Mop up MTN, Others

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MTN Subscribers

By Dipo Olowookere

Transactions on the floor of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited rallied on Tuesday by 0.75 per cent after investors intensified their demand for local stocks.

It was a tough battle between the bulls and the bears during the session, but the former overcame by a whisker after the bourse recorded 29 appreciating equities and 28 depreciating equities, indicating a positive market breadth index and strong investor sentiment.

The growth posted by Customs Street yesterday could be attributed to the appetite for MTN Nigeria shares, which chalked up 10.00 per cent to settle at N256.30.

SCOA Nigeria appreciated by 9.93 per cent to N2.99, Omatek grew by 9.88 per cent to 89 Kobo, Universal Insurance rose by 8.70 per cent to 75 Kobo, and CAP gained 8.52 per cent to trade at N47.75.

Conversely, Secure Electronic Technology lost 9.88 per cent to quote at 73 Kobo, Abbey Mortgage Bank declined by 9.09 per cent to N3.30, Sunu Assurances tumbled by 8.21 per cent to N6.15, Deap Capital slumped by 7.08 per cent to N1.05, and C&I Leasing depreciated by 6.82 per cent to N4.10.

A total of 440.3 million equities valued at N12.0 billion exchanged hands in 13,087 deals compared with the 1.3 billion equities worth N17.7 billion transacted in 13,891 deals on Monday, representing a decline in the trading volume, value and number of deals by 66.79 per cent, 32.20 per cent and 5.79 per cent, respectively.

Lasaco Assurance ended the session as the most traded stock after it sold 108.1 million units valued at N338.7 million, Access Holdings traded 44.0 million units for N1.1 billion, UBA exchanged 27.9 million units worth N945.7 million, Zenith Bank transacted 26.7 million units for N1.3 billion, and Universal Insurance traded 22.7 million units valued at N16.7 million.

On Tuesday, the insurance, banking and industrial goods sectors jumped by 1.03 per cent, 0.30 per cent, and 0.03 per cent, respectively, and the consumer goods and energy counters lost 0.38 per cent and 0.36 per cent apiece.

The All-Share Index (ASI) went up yesterday by 767.63 points to 103,137.99 points from 102,370.36 points and the market capitalisation increased by N472 billion to N63.333 trillion from N62.861 trillion.

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Economy

Nigeria Led Africa’s Upstream Oil, Gas Investments in 2024

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OPEC Global Oil Demand

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria ranked as Africa’s leading destination for upstream oil and gas investment in 2024, new research from market intelligence firm, Wood Mackenzie, has shown, accounting for three out of four Final Investment Decisions (FIDs) announced by global oil and gas majors, totaling $13.5 billion.

The FIDs announced within the Nigerian market included Shell’s $122 million investment in the Iseni Gas Project, TotalEnergies’ $566 million commitment to the Ubeta Gas Project and Shell’s approval of the Bonga North Tranche 1 project valued at around $5 billion.

According to the Special Adviser to President Bola Tinubu on Energy, Ms Olu Verheijen, these investments reflected Nigeria’s ongoing efforts to unlock its hydrocarbon potential through investor-friendly policies and strategic global partnerships.

Last year, Nigeria introduced several initiatives to create a conducive environment for oil and gas investors, including new tax incentives aimed at attracting up to $10 billion in natural gas investments.

Nigeria, which is Africa’s largest oil producer, also offered tax relief for gas investors, reducing corporate income tax and extending capital allowance benefits – for deepwater gas projects.

Other policies include the Presidential Directive on Local Content Compliance Requirements 2024 to address the reduction in oil and gas investments caused by high operating costs compared to global markets.

Also, the Presidential Directive on Reduction of Petroleum Sector Contracting Costs and Timelines 2024 reduces the time spent to award contracts for oil and gas projects.

In addition to the directives, Nigeria also launched its 2024 oil and gas licensing round, offering 19 blocks for exploration, demonstrating its commitment to continued collaboration with local, regional and international partners.

Market analysts note that with this momentum, further FIDs are anticipated, including TotalEnergies’ expected $750 million commitment to the Ima Shallow Gas Project in 2025.

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Economy

UBN Property Triggers 0.22% Loss at NASD OTC Exchange

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UBN Property

By Adedapo Adesanya

The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange recorded a 0.22 per cent decline on Monday, January 20, with the market capitalisation shedding N2.35 billion to close at N1.073 trillion compared with the preceding session’s N1.075 trillion and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) going down by 6.79 points to wrap the session at 3,105.12 points compared with 3,111.91 points recorded in the previous session.

It was observed that the loss recorded on the first trading day of the week was triggered by UBN Property Plc, which crashed by 20 Kobo to trade at N2.00 per share versus last Friday’s N2.20 per share.

However, the share price of Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc went up by 4 Kobo to 40 Kobo per unit from 36 Kobo per unit, it could not stop the bourse from going down at the close of transactions.

The activity chart showed that on Monday, the volume of securities traded by investors increased by 57.9 per cent to 767,610 units from the 486,215 units traded in the preceding session, while the value of shares traded yesterday slumped by 17.7 per cent to N2.3 million from the N2.8 million recorded in the preceding trading day, as the number of deals declined by 14.3 per cent to 12 deals from the 14 deals carried out in the previous trading day.

At the close of transactions, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc remained the most active stock by value on a year-to-date basis with the sale of 4.1 million units worth N162.9 million, followed by Geo-Fluids Plc with a turnover of 9.1 million units valued at N44.0 million, and 11 Plc with the sale of 55,358 for N14.5 million.

Also, Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc closed the day as the most active stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 25.3 million units sold for N5.9 million, Geo-Fluids Plc came next with 9.1 million units valued at N44.0 million, and FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc with 4.1 million units worth N162.9 million.

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