Economy
Oil Prices Rise on US Fuel Shortage Fears
By Adedapo Adesanya
Crude oil prices rose on Tuesday as a result of continued fears of fuel shortage in the United States due to an outage at the largest fuel pipeline system in the world’s largest oil consumer and producer.
At the market yesterday, the value of the Brent crude increased by 0.19 per cent or 13 cents to sell at $68.68 per barrel while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) moved up by 17 cents or 0.19 per cent to trade at $65.45 per barrel.
On Monday, Colonial Pipeline, which transports more than 2.5 million barrels per day of petroleum, diesel and jet fuel in the US, said it was working to restore much of its operations by the end of the week.
This led to a rise in the price of petrol in the country, a sign that if this continues, it may yet rise further.
According to reports, fuel supply disruption has driven prices at the pump to multi-year highs as well as a spike in demand in some areas served by the pipeline as motorists fill their tanks.
To arrest the development, authorities have stepped in to ensure that fuel distributors and truck drivers prevent shortages by using waivers.
On Tuesday, the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) raised its forecast for demand for its crude by 200,000 barrels per day and this supported the rise in prices. By doing so, the cartel stuck to its prediction of a strong recovery in global oil demand this year as growth in China and the United States counters the coronavirus crisis in India.
World oil demand is set to average 96.5 million barrels per day in 2021, OPEC said in its closely-watched Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR). This would be nearly 6 million barrel higher than the demand last year, with the acceleration expected in the second half of 2021.
The Vienna-based organization revised down its estimates for global oil demand for the second quarter by 300,000 barrels per day due to lower-than-expected demand in North America in the first quarter and the COVID-19 resurgence in India and Brazil.
However, the organization raised its outlook for oil demand for both the third and fourth quarters of 2021 by 150,000 barrels per day and 290,000 barrels per day, respectively.
Prices were also supported by expected draw in crude inventories. The American Petroleum Institute (API) on Tuesday reported a draw in crude oil inventories of 2.533 million barrels for the week ending May 7.
Analysts had predicted a draw of 2.817 million barrels for the week.
In the previous week, the API reported a massive draw in oil inventories of 7.688 million barrels after analysts had predicted a draw of 2.346 million barrels.
This can further lead to a bullish outcome if confirmed by the Energy Information Administration (EIA) in its report set to be released on Wednesday.
The market continues to monitor happenings in India, where rising coronavirus cases have clamped down on oil demand with imports set to drop due to call for a lockdown since cases showed no signs of subsiding.
Economy
PenCom Assures Strong Risk Controls for PFA Investments in Custodians’ Parent Companies
By Adedapo Adesanya
The National Pension Commission (PenCom) has defended its decision to allow Pension Fund Administrators (PFAs) to invest in the parent companies of their custodians, insisting that adequate safeguards are in place to protect contributors’ funds.
The director-general of the pension regulator, Ms Omolola Oloworaran, speaking on Tuesday during the Meet the Press Briefing at the Presidential Villa, Abuja, said the commission’s decision to relax the investment restriction followed a comprehensive risk assessment that found minimal conflict of interest.
She explained that under PenCom’s investment regulations, PFAs are only permitted to invest pension assets in carefully selected instruments that meet stringent criteria, including profitability, strong credit ratings and proven track records.
According to her, the commission regularly reviews its investment regulations, conducts routine examinations and spot checks on PFAs to ensure strict compliance with established risk management guidelines.
“PFAs cannot just go into the stock market and buy any kind of stock. There are strict guidelines. Companies must demonstrate profitability, have a proven track record and satisfy other criteria before pension funds can invest,” she said.
Ms Oloworaran noted that each PFA also operates under the oversight of a board, an investment committee and a risk management committee, providing additional layers of governance to safeguard contributors’ funds.
She said PenCom recently issued a circular allowing PFAs to invest in the parent companies of their custodians after determining that the potential conflict of interest was negligible.
The PenCom boss explained that the parent companies involved are largely Tier-1 banks, including First Bank, United Bank for Africa (UBA) and Zenith Bank, which she described as A-rated institutions with strong financial foundations.
She said the policy was intended to widen investment opportunities for pension funds without compromising safety.
Using Stanbic IBTC as an example, Ms Oloworaran explained that if its custodian is Zenith Bank, the previous restriction prevented the pension administrator from investing in Zenith Bank shares despite the bank’s strong performance.
“We reviewed the risks and any potential conflict of interest and found the risks to be very low. That is why we opened that investment window,” she said.
Economy
Meristem Forecasts 15.95% Inflation Rate for June 2026
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
Analysts at Meristem Research have predicted that the inflation rate for June 2026 in Nigeria should marginally rise to 15.95 per cent on a year-on-year basis from the 15.93 per cent reported in May 2026.
The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) is expected to release inflation numbers for last month later today, Wednesday, July 15, 2026.
In its report sighted by Business Post, Meristem Research said it expects inflationary pressures to re-emerge across key economies in the near term, as the re-escalation of the US-Iran conflict has reignited upward pressure on global oil prices.
It disclosed that this marks a sharp reversal from most of June, when the ceasefire between the two countries helped drive oil prices lower, raising expectations of some relief on the inflation front.
With conflicts now flaring up again, oil prices are likely to increase again, and the anticipated easing in energy-driven inflation may not materialise as broadly as earlier envisaged.
“Nonetheless, some relief is likely from the food segment, where robust supply conditions across major producing regions and softening demand should continue to ease food price pressures,” it stated.
The team also explained that it projected a 15.95 per cent inflation rate because of the lingering effects of persistent food price pressures.
“However, we expect core inflation to moderate as the sharp reversal in energy prices begins to filter through to transportation, distribution, and other energy-related costs, easing underlying price pressures.
“On a month-on-month basis, the combined effect of lower petrol prices, a relatively stable Naira, and the gradual pass-through of reduced energy costs across the supply chain should exert further downward pressure on inflation.
“Based on our assessment, food inflation is expected to remain the key swing factor, as seasonal pre-harvest supply constraints are likely to offset some of the gains from lower logistics costs,” it said.
Economy
NASD Index Drops 1.61%
By Adedapo Adesanya
The duo of Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc and Afriland Properties Plc weakened the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange by 1.61 per cent on Tuesday, July 14.
CSCS Plc saw its stock value drop N9.08 to close at N82.40 per share compared with the preceding session’s N91.48 per share, and Afriland Properties Plc slid by 17 Kobo to sell at N15.00 per unit versus N15.70 per unit.
The losses recorded by the two securities pulled back the market capitalisation by N41.64 billion to N2.546 trillion from N2.587 trillion, and cracked the NASD Security Index (NSI) by 69.36 points to 4,242.31 points from 4,311.67 points.
It was observed that the exchange witnessed two price advancers during the session, led by FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc, which gained N1.37 to end at N151.37 per share compared with the previous day’s N150.00 per share, and Food Concepts Plc chalked up 5 Kobo to settle at N2.50 per unit versus N2.45 per unit.
The volume of securities traded by market participants surged by 50.7 per cent to 13.7 million units from the previous 9.1 million units, while the value of securities went down by 79.7 per cent to N65.2 million from N320.4 million, and the number of deals crashed by 3.6 per cent to 27 deals from the previous session’s 28 deals.
At the close of transactions, Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc remained the most traded stock by value on a year-to-date basis, with the sale of 3.4 billion units for N8.4 billion, trailed by Infrastructure Credit Guarantee (Infracredit) Plc, which exchanged 2.3 billion units valued at N6.5 billion, and CSCS Plc with 73.9 million units transacted for N5.2 billion.
GNI Plc also closed the trading day as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units worth N8.4 billion, followed by Infracredit Plc with 2.3 billion units traded for N6.5 billion, and Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units valued at N415.7 million.


