Economy
Oil Prices Rise on US Fuel Shortage Fears
By Adedapo Adesanya
Crude oil prices rose on Tuesday as a result of continued fears of fuel shortage in the United States due to an outage at the largest fuel pipeline system in the world’s largest oil consumer and producer.
At the market yesterday, the value of the Brent crude increased by 0.19 per cent or 13 cents to sell at $68.68 per barrel while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) moved up by 17 cents or 0.19 per cent to trade at $65.45 per barrel.
On Monday, Colonial Pipeline, which transports more than 2.5 million barrels per day of petroleum, diesel and jet fuel in the US, said it was working to restore much of its operations by the end of the week.
This led to a rise in the price of petrol in the country, a sign that if this continues, it may yet rise further.
According to reports, fuel supply disruption has driven prices at the pump to multi-year highs as well as a spike in demand in some areas served by the pipeline as motorists fill their tanks.
To arrest the development, authorities have stepped in to ensure that fuel distributors and truck drivers prevent shortages by using waivers.
On Tuesday, the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) raised its forecast for demand for its crude by 200,000 barrels per day and this supported the rise in prices. By doing so, the cartel stuck to its prediction of a strong recovery in global oil demand this year as growth in China and the United States counters the coronavirus crisis in India.
World oil demand is set to average 96.5 million barrels per day in 2021, OPEC said in its closely-watched Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR). This would be nearly 6 million barrel higher than the demand last year, with the acceleration expected in the second half of 2021.
The Vienna-based organization revised down its estimates for global oil demand for the second quarter by 300,000 barrels per day due to lower-than-expected demand in North America in the first quarter and the COVID-19 resurgence in India and Brazil.
However, the organization raised its outlook for oil demand for both the third and fourth quarters of 2021 by 150,000 barrels per day and 290,000 barrels per day, respectively.
Prices were also supported by expected draw in crude inventories. The American Petroleum Institute (API) on Tuesday reported a draw in crude oil inventories of 2.533 million barrels for the week ending May 7.
Analysts had predicted a draw of 2.817 million barrels for the week.
In the previous week, the API reported a massive draw in oil inventories of 7.688 million barrels after analysts had predicted a draw of 2.346 million barrels.
This can further lead to a bullish outcome if confirmed by the Energy Information Administration (EIA) in its report set to be released on Wednesday.
The market continues to monitor happenings in India, where rising coronavirus cases have clamped down on oil demand with imports set to drop due to call for a lockdown since cases showed no signs of subsiding.
Economy
Oyedele Eyes Fiscal Discipline, Investor-friendly Environment, Fair Taxation
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
Mr Taiwo Oyedele has set some goals he intends to achieve as Nigeria’s Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy.
While taking over from his predecessor, Mr Wale Edun, on Thursday, the tax expert assured that he has no plans to overturn some of the reforms already put in place by the former occupier of the seat.
In a message on Friday, he emphasised that, “Our immediate task is to consolidate these gains, deepen ongoing reforms, and ensure they translate into tangible benefits for all Nigerians.”
He promised to ensure fiscal discipline by embracing transparent and prudent management of public resources, while also harmonising revenue administration, broadening the tax base, reducing the burden on the vulnerable population, and supporting economic growth.
Mr Oyedele further said his other strategic priorities include creating a predictable and investor-friendly environment anchored on policy coherence, consistency, and clarity; and aligning efforts across all tiers and institutions to maximise policy impact.
He also said efforts would be made to deepen collaboration with the private sector and other key stakeholders for data-driven policy design, co-implementation, and feedback for continuous improvement.
According to him, “Good policy design alone is not enough; success will be defined by execution. We are committed to disciplined implementation, accountability, and measurable results.”
“I look forward to working with colleagues across government, the private sector, and all Nigerians as we move from reform to result, accelerate growth and build a more stable, inclusive, and prosperous economy,” he stated.
Economy
NASD Bourse Edges Up 0.23% as NSI Nears 3,970 Points
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange further appreciated by 0.23 per cent on Thursday, April 23, with the Unlisted Security Index (NSI) adding 8.99 points to close at 3,969.96 points against the previous day’s 3,968 points.
The rise in the share price of Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc by N2.86 to N69.34 per unit from N66.48 per unit raised the market capitalisation of the NASD bourse by N5.38 billion to N2.380 trillion from N2.375 trillion.
Yesterday, there were two price losers, led by Food Concepts Plc, which lost 29 Kobo to sell at N2.65 per share versus N2.94 per share, while UBN Property Plc dipped by 22 Kobo to N2.03 per unit from N2.25 per unit.
During the session, the volume of securities traded declined by 97.9 per cent to 451,522 units from 21.5 million units on Wednesday, the value of securities depreciated by 52.32 per cent to N23.6 million from N49.5 million, and the number of deals depreciated by 3.6 per cent to 27 deals from 28 deals.
At the close of business, Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc remained the most active stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 3.4 billion units valued at N8.4 billion, followed by CSCS Plc with 59.5 million units exchanged for N4.0 billion, and Okitipupa Plc with 27.8 million units traded for N1.9 billion.
GNI Plc also closed the day as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 3.4 billion units worth N8.4 billion, trailed by Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units transacted for N415.7 million, and Infrastructure Guarantee Credit Plc with 400 million units sold for N1.2 billion.
Economy
Naira Weakens to N1,353/$ at Official Market
By Adedapo Adesanya
Fresh foreign exchange (forex) demand pressure saw the Naira depreciate against the United States Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Thursday, April 22, by N5.46 or 0.4 per cent to trade at N1,353.91/$1 compared with the preceding day’s value of N1,348.45/$1.
It was the same outcome for the local currency in the official market after it depreciated against the Pound Sterling by N4.13 to close at N1,825.88/£1, in contrast to the preceding session’s N1,821.75/£1, and against the Euro, it dropped 72 Kobo to finish at N1,582.72/€1 versus N1,582.00/€1.
But the Nigerian Naira appreciated against the US Dollar at the GTBank FX desk by N2 during the session to quote at N1,361/$1 compared with Wednesday’s closing price of N1,361/$1, and at the parallel market, it closed flat at N1,375/$1.
FX Pressure came as data showed that NFEM interbank turnover was N28.117 million, lower than the N66.084 million recorded the previous day.
Concerns over liquidity pressures, policy transparency, and confidence in Nigeria’s FX market continue to grip the market while the country’s foreign reserve declines further, even as the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) recently said that the recent decline in Nigeria’s external reserves should not be a cause for concern.
Global developments also played a significant role, as rising geopolitical tensions boosted demand for the US Dollar, further weakening emerging market currencies, including the Naira.
As for the cryptocurrency market, there was a mixed outcome as traders reacted to rising geopolitical tensions from the Iran war and fresh inflation data from Japan.
Japanese inflation ticked higher in March, stoking expectations that the Bank of Japan may soon signal rate hikes, which could strengthen the yen and unsettle global risk assets.
The Iran conflict has disrupted oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, raising energy costs and inflation risks worldwide and potentially complicating efforts by the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates.
Ethereum (ETH) declined by 1.8 per cent to $2,316.53, Bitcoin (BTC) lost 0.6 per cent to sell at $77,935.53, Solana (SOL) fell by 0.5 per cent to $85.67, and Binance Coin (BNB) dropped 0.4 per cent to sell for $634.85.
However, Dogecoin (DOGE) appreciated by 1.4 per cent to $0.0976, Ripple (XRP) grew by 0.7 per cent to $1.43, Cardano (ADA) expanded by 0.6 per cent to $0.2493, and TRON (TRX) improved by 0.2 per cent to $0.3279, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) traded flat at $1.00 each.
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