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Economy

Oil Prices Slide 2% on Sluggish European Data Trigger

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil prices fell by 2 per cent on Tuesday, for the third straight session, after slow economic data from Europe weighed on the outlook for energy demand, with Brent crude futures shedding $1.76 or 2 per cent to settle at $88.07 per barrel and the US West Texas Intermediate crude futures dropping $1.75 or 2.1 per cent to close at $83.74 a barrel.

Euro zone business activity data released on Tuesday took a surprise downward turn this month, suggesting the bloc may slip into recession.

HCOB’s flash Euro zone Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), compiled by S&P Global and seen as a good guide to overall economic health, fell to 46.5 in October from September’s 47.2 and its lowest since November 2020.

The purchasing managers’ survey will likely make disappointing reading for the European Central Bank (ECB) which meets on Thursday.

In the continent’s largest economy, Germany, data also suggested a recession in that country is underway.

Also, Britain’s businesses reported another monthly decline in activity, highlighting recession risks ahead of the Bank of England’s interest rate decision next week.

While Europe was bearish, the US was positive as S&P Global on Tuesday said its flash Composite Purchasing Managers Index tracking both the manufacturing and service sectors rose to 51.0 in October – one point above the 50 level that separates expansion and contraction – from a final September reading of 50.2. It was the highest level since July.

It was the latest sign the US economy is withstanding the surge in interest rates spurred by the Federal Reserve’s campaign to beat back inflation.

However, the relative strength of the US economy helped lift the dollar, making Dollar-denominated oil more expensive for holders of other currencies.

The market also got ease from the development in the Middle East as the release of hostages from Gaza and intensifying diplomatic efforts to contain the conflict between Israel and Hamas have reduced worries.

Also on Tuesday, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said it expects oil demand to peak by 2030 based on governments’ current policies.

Crude oil inventories in the US fell by 2.668 million barrels for the week ending October 20, according to the American Petroleum Institute (API), after a 4.383-million-barrel dip in crude inventories in the week prior, API data showed.

Analysts were expecting a build of 1.550 million barrels for the week. API data shows a net draw in crude oil inventories in the world’s largest oil producer of 2.679 million barrels so far this year.

The official data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) will be released later on Wednesday.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

Economy

Naira Crashes to N1,629/$1 at Official Market, N1,625/$1 at Black Market

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By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira witnessed a depreciation of 1.05 per cent or N16.97 against the US Dollar at the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Thursday, April 10, exchanging at N1,629.94/$1 compared with the previous day’s rate of N1,612.99/$1.

In the same official market, the Nigerian currency, however, traded flat against the Pound Sterling and the Euro during the session at N2,085.01/£1 and N1,805.64/€1, respectively.

As for the black market, the domestic currency depreciated against the greenback yesterday by N5 to sell for N1,620/$1, in contrast to the N1,615/$1 it was exchanged at midweek.

The Naira had stabilise on Wednesday in the spot market after President Donald Trump of the United States announced a 90-day pause on tariffs for more than 75 nations, including Nigeria, that did not retaliate to his sweeping duties announced a week ago.

However, China, which recently placed steeped retaliatory tariffs on US goods, did not get any relief, as Mr Trump hiked the total levy on Chinese goods to 125 per cent.

Market analysts raise worries about a secondary effect of a trade war between the US and China, and how it can have effected on other nations’ economies.

Even as the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) continued to prop up the local currency, in the last week, the Naira has exchanged between the N1,570 and N1,620 mark.

Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market was mixed on Thursday after exchange-traded funds (ETFs) saw outflows even as prices surged after President Trump announced a 90-day pause in tariffs on most countries, excluding China.

The dwindling demand can be attributed to the macroeconomic uncertainty caused by the US-China trade tensions that has led to macro investors selling every asset, including crypto ETFs, for cash.

Litecoin (LTC) gained 1.9 per cent to trade at $75.88, Cardano (ADA) jumped by 1.4 per cent to $0.6321, Dogecoin (DOGE) appreciated by 0.3 per cent to $0.1575, and Solana (SOL) rose by 0.2 per cent to $116.94.

On the flip side, Ethereum (ETH) dropped 3.6 per cent to settle at $1,533.42, Bitcoin (BTC) shed 1.2 per cent to end at $81,017.23, Ripple (XRP) slumped by 0.2 per cent to $1.99, and Binance Coin (BNB) went south by 0.1 per cent to $579.45, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 each.

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Economy

Caverton Leads Others to Rescue Customs Street from Bears by 0.58%

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By Dipo Olowookere

The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited was rescued from the claws of the bears on Thursday by 0.58 per cent in an operation led by Caverton and other price gainers.

This was triggered by renewed bargain-hunting in the financial services sector during the trading session, with the insurance counter expanding by 2.69 per cent.

Further, the banking index grew by 2.65 per cent, the consumer goods sector appreciated by 0.59 per cent, and the energy counter rose by 0.08 per cent, while the industrial goods industry depreciated by 0.03 per cent, with the commodity index closing flat.

At the close of business, the All-Share Index (ASI) went up by 601.24 points to 104,788.25 points from 104,187.00 points and the market capitalisation increased by N378 billion to N65.848 trillion from N65.470 trillion.

Investor sentiment was strong on Thursday as there were 45 price gainers and 11 price losers, representing a positive market breadth index.

Caverton flew higher by 10.00 per cent to N2.31, Neimeth leapt by 9.92 per cent to N2.88, Japaul gained 9.52 per cent to close at N1.84, Union Dicon soared by 9.45 per cent to N6.95, and Mutual Benefits improved by 9.30 per cent to 94 Kobo.

On the flip side, ABC Transport crashed by 10.00 per cent to N1.26, Eterna slipped by 9.90 per cent to N32.30, CAP depreciated by 7.45 per cent to N43.50, Regency Alliance crumbled by 3.64 per cent to 53 Kobo, and NGX Group lost 3.23 per cent to trade at N34.50.

A total of 432.6 million shares valued at N9.7 billion exchanged hands in 12,027 deals at Customs Street yesterday, in contrast to the 376.6 million shares worth N11.9 billion transacted in 11,576 deals at midweek, indicating a shortfall in the value of trades by 18.49 per cent, and a rise in the volume of transactions and number of deals by 14.87 per cent and 3.90 per cent, respectively.

The most active equity was Access Holdings after it traded 77.9 million units for N1.6 billion, Ellah Lakes exchanged 44.2 million units worth N132.8 million, Fidelity Bank sold 32.5 million units valued at N614.8 million, Zenith Bank transacted 30.2 million units worth N1.5 billion, and UBA traded 20.5 million units valued at N719.0 million.

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Economy

Crude Oil Down as US-China Escalating Trade War Worries Investors

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Crude oil was down by about 3 per cent on Thursday as investors reassessed the planned pause in US tariffs and shifted focus to the escalating trade war between the US and China.

Yesterday, Brent crude futures fell by $2.15 or 3.3 per cent to $63.33 a barrel and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures depreciated by $2.28 or 3.7 per cent to settle at $60.07 per barrel.

Prices had risen on Wednesday after US President Donald Trump paused the heavy tariffs he had announced against dozens of trading partners a week ago, marking an abrupt U-turn less than 24 hours after the levies took effect.

At the same time, however, President Trump also raised tariffs against China bringing US tariffs on Chinese imports to a total of 145 per cent.

China announced an additional import levy on US goods, imposing an 84 per cent tariff.

Since returning to the White House in January, Mr Trump has repeatedly threatened an array of measures on trading partners, only to revoke some of them at the last minute.

The on-again, off-again approach has baffled world leaders and spooked markets, including the oil markets.

Higher tariffs against China are likely to prompt lower US crude imports by China, backing up supply and raising US storage levels.

Early signs from Kpler data show that US crude oil exports to China fell to 112,000 barrels per day  in March, nearly half of last year’s 190,000 barrels per day.

The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) on Thursday lowered its global economic growth forecasts and warned that tariffs could weigh heavily on oil prices, as it slashed its US and global oil demand forecasts for this year and 2026.

The EIA data had showed that US crude stockpiles rose by 2.6 million barrels last week on Wednesday.

There are high expectations that they will be another build this week.

Market analysts noted that the tariff-driven expectation of reduced demand amid the continued possibility of a US recession will remain front and center of trader concerns in likely keeping a lid on near-term price gains.

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