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Oil Prices Surge on Last Day of Black April

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil prices ended the month known as Black April on a brighter note, recording more than 20 percent gains on Thursday, April 30.

This was helped by major oil producers putting plans to cut oil production in motion.

The market, which had pulled a positive performance on Wednesday, sustained the growth with the Brent crude jumping by 12.11 percent or $2.73 to $25 per barrel. Also, the American West Texas Intermediate (WTI) went up by $4.08 or 27.09 percent to sell for $19.14 per barrel.

With this, crude futures were able to cutback a little on their losses for the month known as Black April – the worst for oil since 1995.

Oil prices have experienced swings of both downward and upward volatility during the  month of April to the extent that the US oil prices turned negative for the first time in history, while Brent dropped to a new low in 20 years and fuel demand worldwide slumped about 30 percent.

On Wednesday, hope of treatments for COVID-19 and the anticipation that major world economies will eventually restart helped to stabilize expectations for greater appetite for crude in the future.

On Thursday, the market swung upward as market awaited the commencement of the oil supply reduction deal starting today.

The agreement reached earlier in April is that oil producers will cut their overall crude oil production by nearly 10 million barrels per day for an initial period of two months, May 1 to June 30, 2020.

For the subsequent period of 6 months, from  July 1, 2020 to December 31, 2020, the total adjustment agreed will be 8 million barrels per day. It will be followed by a 6 million barrels per day adjustment for a period of 16 months, from January 1, 2021 to April 30, 2022.

Oil producers like Saudi Arabia, Russia, Kuwait, Nigeria, among others have already started implementation of the cuts and outside members that joined the deal like Norway announced its first cut with production in 18 years on Thursday.

The country would reduce output by 250,000 barrels per day in June and 134,000 barrels per day during the second half of the year.

Prices also rallied on signs that demand for storage of oil is coming off recent highs. A report from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed that inventories of oil rising by 9 million barrels last week, significantly lower than the 10.6 million barrel increase forecast by analysts.

This built on news that many large economies are moving to lift the most stringent of coronavirus lockdown measures, which should boost demand for oil as more people can move around now.

Despite the likely rebound in oil demand, there is still a massive global glut of oil to be cleared before there can be any meaningful price recovery. The global oil demand might take a while to recover.

Oil has been hit by worries about oversupply by major producers due to the COVID-19 pandemic which has wrecked crude demand, while storage problems for the commodity has served to further spelled trouble.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Nigeria Accesses $1.5bn from UAE Lender’s $5bn Swap Deal

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria has received the first tranche of its $5 billion derivatives financing arrangement with the First Abu Dhabi Bank (FAB), the United Arab Emirates’ largest lender.

According to a Bloomberg report published on Friday, the federal government drew about $1.5 billion over the past two weeks through a Total Return Swap (TRS) transaction with the lender.

The report stated that Nigeria will provide naira-denominated securities valued at 133.3 per cent of the loan amount as collateral for the transaction, while international financial institutions continue to express concerns about the risks associated with such derivative-based financing structures.

The financing is expected to support the government’s debt management strategy by replacing more expensive borrowings while helping finance the country’s fiscal deficit.

The first tranche is priced at 395 basis points above the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR), rising to SOFR plus 400 basis points thereafter.

The transaction further expands Nigeria’s financial relationship with First Abu Dhabi Bank, which had earlier provided about $1.2 billion to support the construction of a section of the ongoing Lagos-Calabar Coastal Highway.

The swap deal has come with much scrutiny from critics and international organisations. Recall that the International Monetary Fund (IMF), after a consultation visit, warned Nigeria against the deal, noting that such transactions are ‌often opaque and complex.

“Our view is that the transactions in these types of structures carry risks. Usually they are opaque, so the terms are not always ⁠very transparent when we reviewed these instruments across countries,” according to the IMF’s mission chief in Nigeria, Mr Christian Ebeke.

Mr Ebeke said Nigeria could instead issue eurobonds to finance its deficits or other means to raise funding, including on concessional terms.

The Senate in April gave its approval to the agreement put forward by President Bola Tinubu, who said his administration intends to use proceeds from the total return swap to refinance expensive debt and pay for infrastructure.

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Economy

Nigeria Needs More Taxpayers, Not Higher Taxes—Oyedele

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By Adedapo Adesanya

The Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Mr Taiwo Oyedele, yesterday clarified that the federal government is not increasing taxes but making efforts to raise the tax net.

Mr Oyedele made this remark on Thursday while receiving a delegation from the Chartered Institute of Taxation of Nigeria (CITN) at his office in Abuja.

He hailed the institute for introducing a National Tax Awareness Day and for supporting the current tax reforms of the federal government.

The minister charged the institute to double its effort in public enlightenment, stressing that many Nigerians still view taxation as a means for the government to take money from citizens.

He reiterated that the priority of the government is not to increase tax rates but to broaden the tax base by ensuring that all eligible taxpayers meet their obligations.

“We are still not getting enough revenue from taxes.

“It is not about increasing taxes but making sure that those who are supposed to pay taxes. We want to promote fairness in tax administration,” he said.

Nigeria is challenged by the inability to generate adequate revenue from taxation despite ongoing reforms, stressing that a significant number of eligible taxpayers have yet to fulfil their civic obligations.

He said the challenge facing the country was not necessarily about raising tax rates but ensuring that individuals and businesses that ought to pay taxes do so in a fair and transparent system.

The minister also commended the institute for supporting the federal government’s tax reform agenda and promoting public understanding of taxation, but urged it to intensify its advocacy efforts, noting that many Nigerians still harbour misconceptions about taxation.

According to him, many citizens continue to view taxation merely as a tool for the government to take money from the people rather than as a critical instrument for national development.

“We are still not getting enough revenue from taxes. It is not about increasing taxes, but making sure that those who are supposed to pay taxes. We want to promote fairness in tax administration,” he added.

Mr Oyedele stressed that if Nigeria succeeds in building an efficient and equitable tax system, the impact on infrastructure, public services and economic development would be transformative, challenging the institute to introduce annual awards for the country’s most tax-compliant individuals and organisations as a means of encouraging voluntary compliance and recognising responsible taxpayers.

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Akara, Kulikuli, Roasted Corn Business Not Capital Intensive—Remi Tinubu

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​By Modupe Gbadeyanka

Nigeria’s First Lady, Mrs Oluremi Tinubu, has given Nigerians business advice that may not involve a lot of money to start.

Speaking with newsmen recently, the wife of President Bola Tinubu said businesses like akara (fried bean cake), kulikuli (a crunchy snack from roasted peanuts or groundnuts) and roasted corn can be set up without breaking the bank.

She disclosed that to support her husband’s Renewed Hope agenda, she has provided funding packages to traders and others to the tune of N3.5 billion.

“To start akara business doesn’t take a lot of money. To start roasting corn and kuli-kuli doesn’t take much. We didn’t give them a loan; we gave it to them as a grant,” she stated.

She further said, “We’ve encouraged Nigerians as best as we could, what is within our hands, I have given, and I keep giving. Those are the things we’ve done.”

“I remember giving for TB (tuberculosis) when I heard of many TB cases; I gave N2 billion, to breast cancer, I gave N1 billion, and to [tackle] malnutrition, I gave N500 million.

“These are the things we’ve been doing to assist the government. So, we’ve had impact in agriculture, social investment, education (as scholarship and ICT training) and others. We are still open to doing more,” she disclosed.

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