Economy
Oil Prices Weaken After Trump’s Victory Buoys Dollar
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil prices settled lower on Wednesday as investors weighed a strong US Dollar after Mr Donald Trump won the US presidential elections.
Brent crude futures lost 61 cents or 0.81 per cent to trade at $74.92 per barrel and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude depreciated by 30 cents or 0.42 per cent to $71.69 per barrel.
Mr Trump’s victory in the US presidential election unleashed a massive rally in the Dollar as expectations of tax cuts and tariffs on imports drove optimism about economic growth while fueling worries about inflation.
A stronger dollar makes greenback-denominated commodities such as oil more expensive for holders of other currencies, which tends to weigh on prices.
The election of the man who once held office from 2016 to 2020 means the renewal of sanctions on Iran and Venezuela, removing barrels from the market, which would be bullish.
Although Venezuela was largely affected, Iran – a member of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) – with a production of around 3.2 million barrels per day, or 3 per cent of global output was able to evade the sanctions.
Trump’s support for Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu could heighten instability in the Middle East and
could boost oil prices as investors price in a potential disruption to global oil supplies.
Trump is expected to continue arming Israel, according to his past foreign relations.
Market analysts note that after this, major decision-makers like OPEC and its allies, OPEC+ will continue to dictate the market.
Commodity experts at Standard Chartered have predicted that actions by OPEC+ are likely to determine the near-and mid-term oil price trajectory.
According to StanChart, much of the negative sentiment that has dominated oil markets over the past three months can be chalked up to misapprehensions about the tapering mechanism for the voluntary cuts made by eight OPEC+ countries.
Also, many traders are worried that the balance of oil demand growth and non-OPEC+ supply growth might not offset the scale of restored OPEC+output, leaving oil markets oversupplied.
OPEC recently announced that output increases would be postponed by a month until the start of 2025.
Prices were pressured after the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported an inventory build of 2.1 million barrels for the week to November 1.
This compared with a modest inventory draw of half a million barrels for the previous week and a crude oil inventory build for the week to November 1 as estimated by the American Petroleum Institute (API) on Tuesday.
Economy
ABCON Expects Boost in Naira Value After Access to NFEM
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Association of Bureau De Change Operators of Nigeria (ABCON) has commended the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) for lifting the suspension of sales of interbank foreign exchange to its members nationwide, saying the move will help the value of the local currency in the near term.
The president of the group, Mr Aminu Gwadabe, said this after the CBN allowed BDC operators to access the official forex market window from December 19 to January 30, 2025, with a weekly cap of $25,000.
The apex bank carried out the move to help meet expected seasonal demand for foreign exchange.
The CBN recently launched the Electronic Foreign Exchange Matching System (EFEMS) to build transparency in the system, but this excluded street forex hawkers. This initiative has fortified the value of the Naira against the US Dollar at the official market.
The platform, which became operational on December 2, 2024, has enhanced operational efficiency in Nigeria’s FX market, with banks mandated to be on the system to trade forex.
Mr Gwadabe expressed delight that CBN also considered its members’ accessibility to the new platform through the banks.
“This development is a testament to the CBN’s recognition of our third-level roles in the foreign exchange market architecture,” he said.
He listed benefits to be achieved in the implementation of the circular to include job creation, taming inflation, and boosting FX liquidity to the retail end, among others.
“To our members, it will revitalise our operations, making us functional and profitable.
“It will also improve our compliance obligations to security and monetary agencies.
“I therefore urge all our members to act within the directives in the circular and ensure the desired result of the appreciation of our local currency is sacrosanct,” he said.
According to him, BDCs should render their returns regularly, operate inside their offices and ensure seamless automation of their process.
“Finally, I plead with the banks to ensure transparency, level playing field in the discharge of their responsibilities to our members nationwide,” he said.
Economy
Nigerians Laud Dangote-MRS Petrol Price Slash to N935 Per Litre
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
Many Nigerians have continued to applaud the partnership between the Dangote Refinery and MRS Oil Nigeria that led to the slashing of the price of premium motor spirit (PMS), otherwise known as petrol, to N935 per litre.
The two energy firms recently sealed a deal for the sale of petrol from Dangote Refinery in Lagos at the retail stations of MRS Oil across the nation.
“Petrol is now being sold at N935 at MRS Filling Stations nationwide. If you find any station not following this price, please report it. Call 08009447853 or email: [email protected],” MRS Oil said in a statement.
“We call on all petrol station owners to join MRS Oil Nigeria Plc in improving the supply chain of our beloved country, ensuring product quality and availability in every corner of Nigeria for the benefit of all Nigerians,” it added.
Business Post reports that MRS Oil struck this deal with Dangote Refinery after the crude oil refiner brought down its ex-depot price from N970 to N899.50 per litre.
Checks showed that the new price had been implemented at all MRS Oil retail outlets nationwide.
In Lagos, commuters were seen queuing at MRS filling stations to purchase petrol. Many expressed their gratitude to Dangote Petroleum Refinery and MRS Oil and Gas, urging other marketers to support the indigenous refinery rather than import off-spec products into the country.
Mrs Ibukun Phillips, a commuter at the MRS station at Alapere on the Lagos Ibadan Expressway, could not hide her joy as her husband filled up their car.
“I am very happy today. This is a victory for Nigeria,” she said. “The price reduction is the best gift of the season. But beyond just the reduction, we are buying standard, eco-friendly petrol at a lower rate.
“My husband and I have decided we will only be using MRS from now on because we are confident in the quality of the product and supporting the economy,” she stated.
A commercial bus driver, Mr Adio Ajibade, described the price reduction as a great relief, especially during the festive season, saying, “The reduction is a great relief. It will reduce transportation costs and benefit Nigerians. God will continue to bless Aliko Dangote.”
A public affairs analyst and university lecturer, Dr Tunde Akanni, said the collaboration between Dangote Petroleum Refinery and MRS Oil represents a significant step towards improving the affordability, quality, and sustainability of petroleum products in Nigeria.
According to Dr Akanni, “This move will not only help ease the financial burden on Nigerians but also promote a more environmentally conscious approach to fuel consumption, benefitting both the economy and public health in the long term.”
Economy
NASD Index Adds 0.37% as Market Cap Dips N19bn in Week 51
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange appreciated by 0.37 per cent in the 51st trading week of 2024, with the Unlisted Security Index (USI) growing in the five-day trading week by 11.11 points to settle at 3,043.27 points, in contrast to the preceding week’s 3,032.16 points.
However, the market capitalisation of the bourse went down by N19.45 million to N1.043 trillion from the N1.062 trillion recorded in the preceding week, which was Week 50.
Business Post reports that there were price four gainers and three price losers, indicating a positive market breadth index.
The gainers were led by Okitipupa Plc with a price appreciation of 10 per cent to close at N32.72 per unit versus the previous week’s N29.74 per unit, UBN Property jumped by 5.00 per cent to end at N1.89 per unit compared with the preceding trading value of N1.8 per unit, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc rose by 2.3 per cent to sell at N43.84 per share versus the preceding week’s N42.85 per share, and Nipco Plc gained 2.1 per cent to quote at N150.10 per share against the former value of N147.00 per share.
On the flip side, Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc depreciated by 5.6 per cent to close at 17 Kobo per unit versus 18 Kobo per unit, Afriland Properties Plc recorded a 1.9 per cent slide to end at N15.99 per share versus N16.30 per share, and Geo-Fluids Plc lost 0.8 per cent to end at N3.88 per share against the N3.91 per share it was transacted a week earlier.
There was a 79.4 per cent slide in the volume of equities transacted in Week 51 to 2.29 million units from 11.12 million units in the previous week, the value of trades went up by 136.9 per cent to N89.8 million from N37.9 million, and the number of deals stood at 93 deals.
FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc was the most active stock by value last week with N53.1 million, Nipco Plc recorded N30.1 million, Afriland Properties Plc posted N2.6 million, Geo-Fluids Plc traded N1.5 million, and 11 Plc achieved N0.96 million.
Also, FrieslandCampina Wamco Plc was also the most traded stock by volume in the week with 1.22 million units, UBN Property Plc transacted 0.2 million units, and Afriland Plc traded 0.16 million units.
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