Economy
Oil Rises 1% as IEA Expects OPEC+ Rift to Tighten Market
By Adedapo Adesanya
Prices of crude oil jumped more than one per cent on Tuesday after the International Energy Agency (IEA) said the market should expect tighter supply.
In its monthly report, the Paris-based agency revealed that the market’s supply chain will tighten in the near time due to disagreements among major producers over how much additional crude to ship worldwide.
Prices would be volatile until differences were resolved among members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and other oil producers, it said.
“The OPEC+ stalemate means that until a compromise can be reached, production quotas will remain at July’s levels. In that case, oil markets will tighten significantly as demand rebounds from last year’s COVID-induced plunge,” an IEA report said.
When this information hit the market, it pushed the price of the Brent crude higher by $1.33 or 1.8 per cent to $76.49 per barrel and lifted the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude by $1.15 or 1.6 per cent to $75.25 per barrel.
Business Post reports that OPEC+ had been slowly unwinding record output curbs agreed on last year to cope with the pandemic.
However, at a meeting earlier this month, a dispute over policy between Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) meant plans to pump more oil by the end of 2021 were put on hold.
In its current form, this month’s OPEC+ production quota would get rolled into the next month unchanged, leaving markets even tighter than originally expected.
It was reiterated in the report that the overhang in global oil stocks built up last year has already been worked off, adding that preliminary data for the third quarter of the year suggests that there could be the largest crude oil stock draw in at least a decade.
It warned that there was the possibility of a market share battle by producers as the group could even abandon their pact, prompting them to open the taps.
This could see the hard work of trying to balance the market over the last two years wasted.
Rising coronavirus cases in some countries remained a key economic downside risk. France, the Netherlands and Spain announced new restrictions on Monday in a bid to curb surging cases of the highly transmissible Delta variant.
In the United Kingdom, the government in its bid to start living with the virus will lift its final phase of COVID-19 restrictions on July 19, despite rising cases.
In addition, the market may face new pressure as data showed that China’s first-half crude imports dropped.
China’s crude imports dropped by 3 per cent in the first half of the year for the first time since 2013, Due to the shortages in import quota, refinery maintenance, and rising global prices curbed buying.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Dangote Petroleum Refinery will not pursue an overseas listing until it has established at least three years of proven production and financial performance, its chief executive, Mr David Bird, has said.
Mr Bird said the decision would allow the refinery to build a stronger operational track record before seeking an international listing that could support a higher valuation.
London has been mentioned as a possible destination for the refinery’s eventual foreign listing, although Mr Bird said the company would focus on its planned Nigerian initial public offering (IPO) in the near term.
The refinery is preparing for an October IPO on the Nigerian Exchange that could become Africa’s largest, with the oil firm seeking to encourage broad participation from Nigerians.
“We really want to drive participation,” Mr Bird told Reuters. “The mandate of the IPO was to be the people’s IPO.”
The refinery has submitted an application to the Securities and Exchange Commission for a potential $5 billion IPO, according to a source cited by the publication, although the final size of the offer has not been determined.
However, Mr Bird declined to comment on the proposed IPO size or the refinery’s valuation.
The company raised $2.5 billion in a private placement in July, a transaction that valued the refinery at about $40 billion. Africa Finance Corporation, which led a group of strategic investors in the deal, said the placement was 3.7 times oversubscribed.
Mr Bird said investor interest in the IPO had been strong during pre-marketing and the private placement, while preparations remained on schedule.
The refinery, owned by Mr Aliko Dangote, is also planning to double its refining capacity to 1.4 million barrels per day within three years, with the expansion expected to be funded partly through the IPO and debt.
The organisation currently supplies most of Nigeria’s gasoline and diesel demand and all of the country’s jet fuel needs.
It is also planning to establish a similar structure in Kenya to serve the East African market.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Airtel Africa Plc is considering listing its mobile payments subsidiary, Airtel Money, in US Dollars when it debuts on the London Stock Exchange (LSE) later this year, in a move that could make it one of the few companies to pursue a Dollar-denominated listing in the UK market.
According to Bloomberg, the group is evaluating whether to price Airtel Money’s shares in US Dollars rather than British Pounds Sterling to align with its reporting currency, citing people familiar with the matter.
The publication also reported that more banks have been invited to work on the deal, including lenders based in Africa and the Middle East.
The business is reportedly targeting a valuation of about $10 billion, which would make it the largest new flotation in London since July 2021, when British fintech Wise was valued at nearly £9 billion in a landmark direct listing.
Earlier this month, Mr Gopal Vittal, executive vice-chair of Bharti Airtel, said the company’s finance business has “achieved meaningful scale”, with quarterly revenue now exceeding $400 million.
He said the business has been growing by 25 per cent annually on a constant-currency basis. The opportunity remains significant, as nearly 65 per cent of adults across Airtel’s African markets still do not have access to formal bank accounts.
Airtel Money has a wide presence in Africa, including Kenya, Nigeria and Tanzania. Unlike in India, where Airtel operates its finance business as a payments bank, Airtel Money in Africa operates independently of the banking system. In Nigeria, Airtel Money operates through its licensed subsidiary known as SmartCash Payment Service Bank Limited
The service allows customers to transfer money through the mobile network, pay bills, and make international payments through virtual cards.
Airtel believes a London listing would give Airtel Money access to a broader base of investors than a listing in India or other places previously considered, including the United Arab Emirates (UAE).
Airtel Africa, which operates in 14 countries and is dual-listed in London and Lagos, is majority-owned by Indian billionaire, Mr Sunil Mittal, through Bharti Enterprises.
The company is also expanding its financial services business in India. In February, it secured a licence from the Reserve Bank of India to operate as a non-banking finance company (NBFC).
The licence allows the business to expand its operations, disburse loans, offer microcredit products and develop other financial solutions. Airtel also has access to digital data from its telecoms business, which it can use to improve its financial products.
Following the NBFC licence, Airtel announced a $2.2 billion (Rs200 billion) capitalisation plan for its finance arm.
A London listing would therefore mark a major step for Airtel Money, transforming it from a small unit within the telecoms business into a separately valued company with room to expand across Africa and India.
The UK is also strategically important to Mr Mittal, who is now the largest shareholder in British Telecom with a 24.95 per cent stake. Airtel Money’s planned listing would give the billionaire a second major footprint in the London market.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The duo of 11 Plc and Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc helped flip the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange from a three-day losing streak to a 0.27 per cent gain on Thursday, August 13.
11 Plc, which used to be known as Mobil Nigeria, garnered N22.28 to close at N245.03 per unit compared with the preceding day’s N222.75 per unit, and CSCS Plc appreciated by N3.76 to N109.76 per share from N106.00 per share.
The gains offset the N10.00 loss recorded by FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc, closing at N160.00 per unit compared with N170.00 per unit it finished at midweek.
When the bourse closed for the day, the market capitalisation increased by N7.31 billion to N2.727 trillion from N2.720 trillion, and the NASD Security Index (NSI) went up by 12.17 points to 4,544.20 points from 4,532.03 points.
Yesterday, the volume of securities exchanged by investors skyrocketed by 1,173.8 per cent to 1.9 million units from 150,340 units, the value of securities jumped by 1,029.5 per cent to N210.8 million from N18.7 million, and the number of deals soared by 6.3 per cent to 34 deals from 32 deals.
Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc remained the most active stock by value on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units worth N8.4 billion, followed by Infrastructure Credit Guarantee (Infracredit) Plc with 2.3 billion units valued at N6.5 billion, and CSCS Plc with 79.1 million units exchanged for N5.7 billion.
GNI Plc also closed the day as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units sold for N8.4 billion, followed by Infracredit Plc with 2.3 billion units transacted for N6.5 billion, and Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units traded for N415.7 million.
