Economy
Oil Sheds 2% on Possible Delays in US Interest Rate Cuts
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil fell by more than 2 per cent on Friday on a possible interest rate cut delay in the US, as Brent crude futures lost $2.05 or 2.5 per cent to trade at $81.62 a barrel, and the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures declined by $2.12 or 2.7 per cent to $76.49 per barrel.
According to US Federal Reserve Governor, Mr Christopher Waller, the central bank policymakers should delay the country’s interest rate cuts by at least another couple of months.
The market reacted negatively as this could slow economic growth and curb oil demand.
The US Federal Reserve has held its policy rate steady in a 5.25 per cent to 5.5 per cent range since last July.
This is coming as most central bankers were worried about moving too quickly to ease policy.
Some analysts, however, say demand has remained largely healthy despite the impact of high interest rates, including in the US.
For the week, Brent declined by about 2 per cent and WTI fell more than 3 per cent. However, indications of healthy fuel demand and supply concerns could revive prices in the coming days.
Also, talks of a truce in Gaza were underway in Paris in what appears to be the most serious push in weeks to halt the conflict in Palestine and see Israeli and foreign hostages released.
Ceasefire talks could prompt the market to anticipate an easing of geopolitical tensions, making prices weaker.
However, tensions in the Red Sea continued, with attacks by Iran-backed Houthi militants near Yemen on Thursday forcing more shipping vessels to divert from the trade route.
The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, OPEC+ group has not announced its official Q2 plans, but analysts are betting on the group extending its oil production cuts beyond the first quarter of 2024 into the next quarter.
A new Bloomberg survey revealed on Friday that OPEC+ will be forced to extend the cuts into Q2 2024.
While most of those surveyed feel that OPEC+ is likely to extend their cuts into the next quarter, others feel that OPEC+ may increase their production cuts, after some of its members—including Iraq and Kazakhstan—continued to overproduce in January.
US energy firms this week added the most oil rigs since November, and the most in a month since October 2022, energy services firm Baker Hughes said, adding that the oil rig count, an early indicator of future output, rose by six to 503 this week, and increased by four this month.
Economy
SEC Raises Fraud Alert on Voya Investment Management
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has accused an investment online platform, Investment Management (VIM), of operating illegally in the Nigerian capital market.
In a notice obtained from the website of capital market regulator by Business Post, Voya Investment was accused of deceiving unsuspecting members of the public with fake certificate of identity verification, purportedly issued by SEC.
The agency emphasised that Voya Investment is not authorised to operate in the nation’s capital market because it is not registered to do so.
“The operators of this platform claim to offer investment services in Nigerian stocks and other financial instruments purportedly under the supervision of the Commission. Voya Investment Management is also parading a certificate of identity verification purportedly issued by the commission.
“The commission hereby informs the public that Voya Investment Management (VIM) is NOT REGISTERED or licensed by the commission to carry out any activity in the Nigerian capital market,” parts of the statement stressed.
The organisation further declared that, “The certificate being paraded by Voya Investment Management was neither issued nor endorsed by SEC Nigeria as the commission does not issue certificates of identity verification.
“Furthermore, claims by VIM that it is supervised, licensed, or approved by the commission to undertake operations in the capital market are false, misleading and fraudulent.”
It added that, “Complaints received by the commission regarding the fraudulent activities of VIM and the misleading information by the company to the investing public that it is licensed by the commission, bear clear characteristics of illegal investment schemes designed to defraud unsuspecting members of the public.”
“Accordingly, the public is advised to refrain from dealing with Voya Investment Management (VIM) , as any person who engages with the entity or its representatives does so at his/her own risk.
“The commission hereby reiterates that transacting in the Nigerian capital market with unregistered entities exposes investors to financial risks including fraud and potential loss of investments.
“The investing public is therefore reminded to VERIFY the status of companies and entities purporting to offer investment opportunities in the capital market on the commission’s dedicated portal – www.sec.gov.ng/cmos, prior to transacting with such companies and entities.”
Economy
PwC Projects 4.3% GDP Growth for Nigeria in 2026
By Adedapo Adesanya
PwC Nigeria has projected that Nigeria’s real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) would grow at about 4.3 per cent this year, supported by higher crude oil production and stronger performance in dominant sectors.
The consultancy firm gave this projection in its Economic Outlook 2026 released on Wednesday.
It also said the Naira is expected to remain broadly stable through 2026, underpinned by ongoing reforms by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and improved portfolio inflows.
Headline inflation is also projected to moderately ease, supported by the CBN’s tight monetary policy stance, rebasing effects, and improved stability in the foreign exchange market.
With regards to interest rate, the PwC report said with inflation trending down, the apex bank may cautiously ease its monetary policy stance this year.
The report, however, said fiscal sustainability risks are expected to persist, driven by low revenue to GDP, fiscal leakages, higher spending and elevated debt service obligations.
PwC Nigeria said with fiscal constraints persisting, they reinforce the importance of capital efficiency and balance-sheet discipline.
Against this backdrop, PwC Nigeria highlights practical imperatives for business leaders in 2026: making selective investment bets in attractive sectors and regions, and scenario-planning for macroeconomic and geopolitical shocks.
Other imperatives for business leaders include adapting business models and cost structures for resilience, accelerating digital transformation and responsible AI adoption, and strengthening regulatory and tax compliance as reforms move from design to execution.
The firm noted that Nigeria recorded improvements in macroeconomic stability in 2025 following key monetary and foreign-exchange reforms, with inflation easing, exchange-rate conditions stabilising, and external reserves strengthening.
Speaking on this, the Country Senior Partner, PwC Nigeria, Mr Sam Abu, said: “PwC Nigeria’s Economic Outlook 2026 provides forward-looking analysis of key macroeconomic indicators and what they signal for the economy and for business leaders.
“Nigeria has achieved improved macroeconomic stability over the past year. The focus now is how that stability is translated into sustainable economic growth, and how businesses position for 2026. For companies, this stability provides a more predictable operating environment for planning, investment, and growth decisions.”
On his part, the Partner and Chief Economist, PwC Nigeria, Mr Olusegun Zaccheaus, said, “Globally, growth is projected at around 3.1 per cent, while merchandise trade growth slows to about 0.5 per cent, keeping oil prices, capital flows, and access to foreign inflows as key channels influencing Nigeria’s growth and FX liquidity.
“Domestically, improved monetary effectiveness has reduced volatility and clarified pricing, cost, and funding signals, even as fiscal pressures, security challenges, and weak household purchasing power continue to shape sector outcomes.”
According to Mr Zaccheaus, “growth is more likely to remain concentrated in services and selected capital-intensive sectors, placing a premium on disciplined capital allocation and sector selection.”
Economy
NASD OTC Exchange Capitalisation Climbs to N2.185trn
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange further appreciated by 1.08 per cent on Wednesday, January 7, pushing the market capitalisation higher by N23.38 billion to N2.185 trillion from the preceding session’s closing value of N2.162 trillion.
Also during the trading session, NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) further went up by 39.08 points to close at 3,653.04 points compared with the 3,613.96 points recorded on Tuesday.
The midweek session witnessed a rise in the share prices of three securities on the unlisted securities market, with Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc adding N3.40 to close at N42.14 per share versus the preceding day’s N38.74 per share.
Further, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc expanded by N3.05 to finish at N59.92 per unit compared with the N56.87 per unit it ended a day earlier, and Geo-Fluids Plc jumped by 10 Kobo to end at N6.88 per share versus N6.78 per share.
Yesterday, the volume of securities rose by 39.0 per cent to 1.9 million units from the previous day’s 1.4 million units, the value of securities surged by 29.5 per cent to N36.3 million from N28.0 million, while the number of deals slid by 19.6 per cent to 45 deals from 56 deals.
The most active stock by value on a year-to-date basis was CSCS Plc with 1.1 million units exchanged for N41.6 million, followed by Geo-Fluids Plc with 2.9 million units valued at N19.4 million, and Okitipupa Plc with 49,424 units worth N11.0 million.
In terms of volume, Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc led with 2.9 million units traded for N1.9 million, trailed by Geo-Fluids Plc with 2.9 million units sold for N2.9 million, and CSCS Plc with 1.1 million units traded for N41.6 million.
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