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Economy

Oil Sinks Lower to $66 on Dampening Demand Expectations

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Crude Oil Prices

By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil dropped to $66 a barrel on Thursday, its lowest since May, pressured by concerns about weaker demand as COVID-19 cases rise coupled with a stronger US Dollar.

The circulation of the Delta variant in areas of low vaccination is driving transmission of COVID-19, the World Health Organization said, as coronavirus-related deaths have spiked in the United States over the past month.

China has had to restrict movement to curb the spread, further presenting an unfavourable outlook after it partially closed one of its biggest ports and major oil hub earlier this month, signalling that weaker oil imports are on the cards.

Both Brent and the American crude have declined for six days in a row, the longest losing streak since a six-day drop for both contracts that ended on February 28, 2020.

It was worse for both futures yesterday as the Brent crude went down by 36 cents or 0.6 per cent to $66.87 per barrel, while the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude fell by 42 cents or 0.63 per cent to $64.04 per barrel.

Market analysts pointed out that prices only reacted to the potential withdrawal of monetary support, the chaotic Taliban takeover of Afghanistan that threatens another migrant crisis and worries about the continuous spread of the virus keep the dollar in demand, which, in turn, acts as a brake on any attempted oil-price rally.

On the Dollar front, it hit a nine-month high, weighing on dollar-priced commodities. A strong dollar makes oil more expensive to other currency holders and tends to weigh on prices.

This is coming after it was suggested the US Federal Reserve is about to start winding down its bond-buying program that kept the world’s biggest economy going through the worst of the pandemic crisis.

Crude inventories fell by 3.2 million barrels in the week to August 13 to 435.5 million barrels, exceeding estimates for a 1.1 million-barrel drop, according to the Energy Information Administration (EIA).

In the bad news category, US fuel stocks rose by 696,000 barrels in the week to 228.2 million barrels, the EIA said, compared with analysts’ expectations for a 1.7 million-barrel drop.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) last week trimmed its oil demand outlook due to the spread of the Delta variant. The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), however, left its demand forecasts unchanged.

Traders may start to wonder when OPEC will lower its demand forecasts. Furthermore, some traders believe that OPEC and its allies, known as OPEC+, may leave current production levels unchanged in September or may even lower them to make up for any lost demand.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

Economy

Guinness Nigeria Shareholders to Pocket N4.38bn Interim Dividend for Q1’26

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Guinness Nigeria

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

Shareholders of Guinness Nigeria Plc will share about N4.38 billion as an interim dividend for the first quarter of 2026, the board has disclosed.

This cash reward amounts to N2.00 per share, as the company has shares outstanding of 2,190,382,819 on the floor of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited.

The brewer stated that the interim dividend would be paid to investors whose names appear on the register of members as of the close of business on April 20, 2026.

The dividend payout is being proposed following the sustained profitability reflected in the unaudited financial results of the company in the first three months of this year and its “strong performance in FY 2025.”

It would be “paid from distributable profits in accordance with Sections 426–428 of the Companies and Allied Matters Act (CAMA) 2020.”

Analysis of the performance of the brewery giant between January and March 2026 showed that revenue grew by 4 per cent on a year-on-year basis to N122.77 billion from N118.34 billion in the same period of last year, while the gross profit contracted to N43.48 billion from N44.52 billion due to prevailing cost pressures within the operating environment.

The company’s operating profit also shrank to N17.18 billion from N18.00 billion in the first quarter of 2025 due to elevated marketing & distribution costs and administrative expenses.

However, the reduction in net finance costs to N1.43 billion from N7.72 billion in Q1 of 2025 helped the organisation to grow its post-tax profit to N10.39 billion in the period under review versus the N7.03 billion recorded in the corresponding period of last year.

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Economy

Right Institutional Structures Critical to Unlocking Sustainable Growth—Kwairanga

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NGX BoI Unlocking Sustainable Growth

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The chairman of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Group Plc, Mr Umaru Kwairanga, says enabling entrepreneurship requires more than access to funding.

He said this at a workshop held in Kano under the theme Unlocking Growth – Harnessing the Capital Market for SME Growth.

The event was organisation by the NGX in partnership with the Bank of Industry (BoI) as part of their financing advocacy.

Mr Kwairanga noted that the right institutional structures and market platforms are critical to unlocking sustainable growth.

“Kano provides a fitting backdrop for this engagement, not only as a historic commercial hub but as a gateway to significant untapped potential. The priority is to connect that potential to capital and the frameworks required for long-term growth,” he stated.

The programme was put together to integrate small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) into Nigeria’s formal capital market.

The Kano workshop follows the inaugural edition held in Lagos last year, signalling a more structured push by both institutions to bridge the gap between Nigeria’s SME ecosystem and long-term capital.

Participants were equipped with insights on financing pathways, governance structures, and long-term growth strategies within the capital market.

On his part, the chief executive of NGX Limited, Mr Jude Chiemeka, emphasised the central role of SMEs in strengthening market depth and resilience, noting that recent market performance continues to reflect investor confidence despite macroeconomic pressures.

“Through initiatives like this, we are demystifying the capital market and demonstrating that with the right structure and governance, SMEs can access capital to scale sustainably,” he said.

An Executive Director for MSME at BOI, Mr Oluwatoyin Ahmed Edu, said the bank remains focused on bridging financing gaps for businesses that may not yet meet listing requirements.

“Where viable enterprises require capacity building before accessing the market, BOI is positioned to provide the necessary support to prepare them for that transition,” he noted.

Delivering remarks on behalf of the Emir of Kano, Mr Shehu Muhammed Dankade highlighted the region’s strong entrepreneurial base, particularly the growing participation of women-led businesses, describing it as a signal of resilience and economic potential.

The workshop featured detailed presentations from NGX on listing requirements, corporate governance, and the use of the NGX Growth Board as a platform for raising long-term capital.

It also created space for direct engagement with SME operators across Northern Nigeria, offering insights into their challenges, growth ambitions, and readiness to access structured financing.

The initiative aligns with NGX Group’s broader strategy to position SMEs as a critical engine of economic growth, while strengthening the institutional pathways that enable businesses to transition from informal operations to investment-ready enterprises.

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Economy

Spike in Energy Prices Raises Nigeria’s Inflation to 15.38% in March

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Nigeria's inflation

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria’s inflation rate increased in March 2026 to 15.38 per cent from 15.1o per cent in February, data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed on Wednesday.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased to 135.4 in March 2026, higher than the 130.0 in the preceding month by 5.4 points. The spike was likely stoked by the US-Israeli war on Iran, that’s pushed up the cost of fuel and has had a ripple effect in other areas.

At 15.38 per cent, the inflation numbers beat expectations of analysts at Meristem Research, which projected that the inflation rate in Nigeria for the month should come in at 13.59 per cent, after the price of crude oil on the global market soared as a result of the war in Iran, with prices of items growing in Nigeria.

The March 2026 headline inflation rate showed an increase of 0.32 per cent compared to the February 2026 headline inflation rate. However, on a month-on-month basis, the headline inflation rate in March 2026 was 4.18 per cent, which was 2.17 per cent higher than the rate recorded in February 2026 at 2.01 per cent.

This means that last month, the rate of increase in the average price level was higher than the rate of increase in the average price level a month earlier.

Food inflation rate in the review month stood at 14.31 per cent on a year-on-year basis versus 25.22 per cent in the same month of last year. However, on a month-on-month basis, the food inflation rate in March 2026 was 4.17 per cent, which is 0.52 per cent lower than the 4.69 per cent achieved in February 2026.

According to the stats office, “This can be attributed to the rate of change in the average prices of the following products: Yam, Ginger (Fresh), Cassava Tuber, Groundnuts (Shelled), Irish Potatoes, Avenger (Ogbono/Apon) – Dried Ungrinded, Tomatoes (fresh), Cassava Flour sold loose, etc.”

The average annual rate of food inflation for the twelve months ending March 2026 over the previous twelve-month average was 18.21 per cent, which was 17.81 per cent lower than the average annual rate of change recorded in March 2025 at 36.02 per cent.

On a year-on-year basis, in March 2026, the urban inflation rate was 14.64 per cent, and 3.16 per cent on a month-on-month basis, which is 0.61 per cent higher than the 2.55 per cent in February 2026.

As for the rural inflation rate, it was 17.22 per cent in the month under consideration and on a month-on-month basis, it stood at 6.73 per cent versus 0.71 per cent a month earlier.

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