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Economy

Oil Soars on Geopolitical Tensions, Chinese Fiscal Moves

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Crude Oil Loan Facility

By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil gained on Friday amid geopolitical tensions and fresh stimulus from top crude importer China, with Brent crude futures up by 38 cents or 0.53 per cent at $71.89 per barrel and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures up by 51 cents or 0.75 per cent at $68.18 per barrel.

However, on a week-on-week basis, Brent went down by 3 per cent and the WTI fell by around 5 per cent.

The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, together known as OPEC+, will go ahead with plans to increase production by 180,000 barrels per day each month starting from December, Reuters reported citing sources.

This follows a Financial Times report on Wednesday, which said the planned increase is due to Saudi Arabia’s decision to abandon a $100 oil price target and gain market share although Saudi Arabia has repeatedly denied targeting a certain oil price.

More barrels can be expected to enter the global market after rival factions staking claims for control of the Central Bank of Libya signed an agreement to end their dispute on Thursday.

The rift had seen crude exports fall to 400,000 barrels per day this month from more than 1 million barrels per day last.

Support also came as China’s central bank on Friday lowered interest rates and injected liquidity into the banking system, aiming to pull economic growth back toward this year’s target of roughly 5 per cent just as more fiscal measures are expected to be announced.

On the geopolitical front, escalating tensions in the Middle East, particularly the intensifying conflict between Israel and Hezbollah is prompting fears of further disruptions to oil supply and maritime routes.

Israel recently launched an airstrike on Hezbollah’s key headquarters in Beirut, the deadliest attack in nearly a year of conflict. The bombings have since raised geopolitical concerns.

Hezbollah retaliated with rocket fire and marine security warnings issued for vessels entering Israeli ports, the conflict poses a direct threat to regional commercial lines.

Meanwhile, the Houthis in Yemen have also upped their attacks on US ships and Israeli targets, further complicating the region.

This development has resulted in increased risk evaluations for ships and oil transfer. Insurance costs are projected to climb as the threat of collateral damage to Israeli and neighbouring maritime infrastructure looms.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Senate Passes Bill to Rename NAICOM as Insurance Regulatory Commission

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Nigerian insurance industry

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Senate has passed a bill to repeal and re-enact the law establishing the National Insurance Commission (NAICOM), paving the way for the regulatory agency to be renamed the Insurance Regulatory Commission (IRC).

The legislation, titled the Insurance Regulatory Commission (Establishment) Bill, 2026, was passed after the Senate considered and adopted the report of its committee on banking, insurance and other financial institutions.

The Chairman of the committee, Mr Adetokunbo Abiru, the senator representing Lagos East, who presented the report, stated that the proposed legislation was necessary because the existing National Insurance Commission Act of 1997 had become outdated and no longer reflected the realities of Nigeria’s evolving insurance industry or global regulatory standards.

According to the Senate, the decision to change the Commission’s name was informed by the need to eliminate confusion associated with the existing designation and to better reflect the institution’s regulatory mandate within Nigeria’s insurance industry.

The bill also provides legal protection for the commission and its officers against adverse claims arising from the lawful execution of their statutory duties.

However, he noted that the commission’s enabling law had become obsolete, exposing significant regulatory gaps that required urgent legislative intervention.

‘The current National Insurance Commission Act 1997 is outdated and does not adequately address the emerging economic growth, needs and development of the insurance business,” the lawmaker said.

He explained that the new legislation seeks to strengthen the independence of the commission by empowering it to make regulatory decisions without undue influence in the country’s insurance sector.

According to him, the bill also enhances the commission’s authority to exchange information and collaborate with domestic and international regulatory bodies, issue regulations, guidelines, standards and directives on insurance-related matters, and intervene more effectively in financially distressed insurance companies to protect policyholders and preserve financial stability.

This marks yet another move to strengthen the country’s insurance sector following the enactment of the Nigerian Insurance Industry Reform Act (NIIRA) of 2025 and the industry-wide recapitalisation exercise, which will wrap up by July 31.

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Economy

143 Firms Jostle for 50 Oil, Gas Blocks at NUPRC Commercial Bid Conference

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seven offshore oil blocks

By Adedapo Adesanya

About 143 companies that successfully passed the technical and prequalification stages of the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission’s (NUPRC) 2025 Licensing Round will, today, compete for 50 oil and gas blocks at the commercial bid conference in Abuja, the final stage in the allocation process for the assets.

The commission said only the prequalified companies have been invited to attend the event, which will hold at the Conference Centre of the Transcorp Hilton Hotel, Abuja, stressing that participation is strictly by invitation.

The commercial bid conference will determine the successful bidders for oil and gas assets located across Nigeria’s producing and frontier basins.

The 50 blocks comprise 16 onshore blocks and 18 shallow water blocks in the Niger Delta, one deep offshore block, three onshore blocks in the Benin Basin, four in the Anambra Basin, four in the Chad Basin, and four in the Benue Trough.

According to the commission, the winning bids will be determined through a transparent evaluation process based on clearly defined commercial parameters. These include the signature bonus offered by bidders, the proposed work programme commitment and the level of performance security provided. The final selection will be based on a weighted technical and commercial score.

The licensing round is being conducted under the provisions of the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) 2021, which requires a transparent and competitive process for the award of petroleum assets.

NUPRC had announced the commencement of the 2025 Licensing Round on November 11, 2025, before opening the online bid portal on December 1, 2025, to enable interested companies to register and participate in the exercise.

To ensure prospective investors fully understood the requirements, the commission organised a pre-bid conference on January 14, 2026, at Eko Hotels and Suites, Lagos. The event provided detailed explanations on the licensing guidelines and bidding procedures to registered participants and other stakeholders.

Registration and submission of prequalification documents closed on February 27, 2026, while the prequalification evaluation was completed on March 16, 2026.

NUPRC disclosed that 286 companies initially submitted applications for prequalification.

Following the evaluation process, 196 companies were cleared to participate in the technical and commercial bid stages.

The prequalified 143 companies eventually submitted a total of 200 bids for the available oil and gas blocks. These companies are now set to compete at the commercial bid conference, where the financial offers will be opened and evaluated to determine the eventual winners.

The licensing round is expected to attract fresh investment into Nigeria’s upstream petroleum sector, boost exploration activities across both producing and frontier basins, increase crude oil and gas reserves, and support the country’s drive to grow production and government revenue.

It also underscores the regulator’s commitment to implementing a transparent, competitive and investor-friendly licensing regime under the Petroleum Industry Act.

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Economy

CBN Retains Interest Rate at 26.5% as MPC Holds All Policy Parameters

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Interest Rates

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has retained all key monetary policy parameters following the conclusion of its two-day meeting on July 21, 2026, on Tuesday, maintaining its tight monetary policy stance to curb inflation and support macroeconomic stability.

According to the Governor of the apex bank, Mr Yemi Cardoso, who chaired the committee, the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR), which serves as the benchmark interest rate, remains at 26.50 per cent. The MPC also retained the asymmetric corridor around the MPR at +50 basis points and -450 basis points.

In addition, the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) for commercial banks was left unchanged at 45.00 per cent, while the CRR for merchant banks remains at 16.00 per cent. The committee also retained the CRR on non-Treasury Single Account (Non-TSA) public sector deposits at 75.00 per cent, with the liquidity ratio at 30.00 per cent.

The decision reflects the apex bank’s continued commitment to containing inflationary pressures through a restrictive monetary policy while safeguarding the resilience of Nigeria’s financial system amid ongoing macroeconomic adjustments.

By keeping all policy tools unchanged, the MPC signalled its intention to continue managing excess liquidity in the banking sector and maintain stability in financial markets.

The move is also expected to provide greater policy certainty for investors and businesses monitoring the country’s monetary policy direction.

The latest decision also means borrowing costs are likely to remain elevated in the near term as the central bank continues to prioritise price stability over monetary easing.

Analysts had expected the CBN committee to retain the rate after Nigeria’s headline inflation came in at 15.91 per cent as of June 2026, marking a slight decline from 15.93 per cent in May.

However, even as overall price growth has moderated significantly compared to previous periods, food inflation remains a persistent challenge, accelerating to 17.52 per cent in June.

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