Economy
Oil Trades Mixed as Demand Worries Shadow US Inventory Data
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil futures were mixed on Wednesday, September 30 as demand worries overpowered positive data from the United States government which showed a third consecutive weekly decline in domestic crude supplies.
The international benchmark futures, Brent crude, fell by 0.19 per cent or 8 cents to trade at $40.95 per barrel while the US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures rose 0.22 per cent or 13 cents to $40.08 per barrel.
The Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported Wednesday that U.S. crude inventories fell for a third straight week, down by 2 million barrels for the week ended September 25. That compared with an average climb of 1.9 million barrels expected by analysts.
However, despite this, the premise for oil prices is not positive with another wave of the coronavirus impacting demand as the market goes through the fourth quarter.
Coincidentally, Brent prices were down 9.6 per cent for the month of September while the US benchmark saw a monthly fall of 5.6 per cent. This is the first monthly drop for oil prices since the black month of April.
According to market analysts, as long as there is no working vaccine against the coronavirus, oil remains threatened by negative demand-side factors.
The global tally for confirmed cases of the coronavirus that causes COVID-19 climbed to 33.8 million on Wednesday, according to the latest data while the death toll rose to 1.01 million. The largest oil-consuming nation, the US, has the highest case tally at 7.2 million, and the highest death toll at 206,494.
Not on just on the demand side, the supply side of the market also appears to be facing renewed worries despite efforts to close the gap.
Libya’s Sarir oilfield, which was producing more than 300,000 barrels per day last year, restarted output after eastern forces lifted an eight-month blockade on energy facilities.
Also weighing heavily on markets is the continued depressed demand for jet fuel, with air travel still not getting patronage due to coronavirus restrictions and a general fear of people to travel.
Refineries have been trying to find ways to blend their product but an oversupply remains and some plants will be forced to shut down.
To counter the fall in demand, it has been noted that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) may not increase oil production as planned from January next year. The oil cartel had reduced supply by a record 10 per cent for three months to help stabilise the market and has now tapered it to about 8 per cent.
Also keeping traders and investors on the seat is the November US presidential election, which may remain undetermined on election night, with both candidates contesting the results.
President Donald Trump and Democratic contender Joe Biden on Thursday morning ended the first debate as more are expected to follow.
Economy
NERC Orders Transparent Reporting of Transmission Loss Factors
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC) has issued a directive to ensure transparency in reporting the Regional Electricity Transmission Loss Factor, as it remains above the 7 per cent threshold.
In a public notice posted on its official X (formerly Twitter) on Monday, the order, contained in No. NERC/2026/026 is aimed at improving transparency and efficiency in Nigeria’s power grid through enhanced reporting of Regional Transmission Loss Factors (TLF).
The regulator disclosed that the order is backed by the provisions of the Electricity Act 2023, which enables the commission to regulate, monitor, and ensure efficiency in the power sector.
According to the statement, the Data from the Nigerian Independent System Operator (NISO) indicate that the national average TLF was 8.71 per cent in 2024 but was reduced to 7.24 per cent in 2025.
The statement added that the report exceeds the 7 per cent benchmark approved by NERC in the Multi-Year Tariff Order (MYTO).
The statement reads, “The Order dated 8 April 2026 establishes a formal framework for reporting transmission losses across regions operated by the Transmission Company of Nigeria (TCN).
“Taking effect from 13 April 2026, the Order is backed by provisions of the Electricity Act 2023, which empower NERC to regulate, monitor, and ensure efficiency in the electricity market.”
The directive reads, “NISO to install smart meters at all boundary regional interconnection points by December 2026 to accurately measure energy flows for each region of the transmission network.
“NISO to measure and document all energy flow of power transformers at transmission substations.
“NISO to file quarterly reports on TLF to NERC on a regional basis.”
It added, “TCN to file an action plan by July 2026 on the reduction of TLF to a value within the 7 per cent approved benchmarks in the regions.
“TCN to ensure that TLF across transmission regions shall not exceed 6.5 per cent by December 2026.”
NERC concluded that the order is designed to strengthen accountability in transmission operations and support better grid performance through structured loss reporting.
Economy
Dangote Refinery Plans Cross-border Listing of Shares
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigerian businessman, Mr Aliko Dangote, is planning to list shares of his $20 billion oil refinery on multiple African stock exchanges.
The landmark cross-border public offering on the continent was disclosed by the chief executive of the Nairobi Securities Exchange (NSE), Mr Frank Mwiti, following a meeting held last week in Lagos between Mr Dangote and several heads of African exchanges.
Last year, Mr Dangote unveiled plans to list a 10 per cent stake in his Lagos-based refinery on the Nigerian Exchange this year.
According to a Bloomberg report, citing an email from the chief executive of FirstCap, Mr Ukandu Ukandu, Stanbic IBTC Capital Limited, Vetiva Advisory Services Limited, and FirstCap Limited have been appointed as advisers for the initial public offering of Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals FZE.
Mr Mwiti said the proposed listing is designed to cut across multiple markets and deepen investor participation across the continent.
“The plan is to structure a pan-African IPO,” he said.
Bloomberg also reported that a spokesman for the Dangote Group confirmed that discussions had taken place between Mr Dangote and exchange officials but declined to provide further details.
In February 2026, Mr Dangote said that the IPO could be launched within the next five months.
“But individually Nigerians too will have an opportunity in the next maximum four or five months, they will actually be able to buy their shares,” he said at the time.
He added that investors would have flexibility in how they receive returns.
“People will have a choice either to get their dividends in naira or to get their dividends in dollars because we earn in Dollars.”
Economy
Ellah Lakes Eyes Greater Efficiency Across Operations, Better Processing Throughput
By Dipo Olowookere
Efforts are being made to ensure the throughput of Ellah Lakes Plc is increased to deliver long-term value for shareholders, the chief executive of the organisation, Mr Chuka Mordi, has said.
Mr Mordi was reacting to the audited 17-month financial statements of the firm ended December 31, 2025, as it transitions to a December financial year-end to enhance comparability with industry peers.
This action is also to strengthen reporting discipline and align financial reporting with the agricultural operating cycle, from planting through harvest and processing, providing a more accurate reflection of the company’s operational performance.
In the period under review, Ellah Lakes recorded N146.66 million in revenue, driven by initial harvests and sales of Fresh Fruit Bunches (FFBs), with the cash flows supporting operational stability as larger assets continue to mature.
However, the company suffered an operating loss of N3.84 billion, as the earnings per share (EPS) closed with a N1 loss.
Between July 2024 and December 2025, the organisation achieved a key operational milestone, with the commissioning of its upgraded 5-tonnes-per-hour crude palm oil mill in July 2025, strengthening its ability to process output internally and capture more value across its palm oil value chain as plantation maturity improves.
Also, it planted 17,000 seedlings and maintained 47,000 seedlings in the nursery, as part of a broader planting programme, supporting Ellah Lakes’ medium-term production pipeline and providing a stronger foundation for future output as more hectares move into productive phases.
“The 17-month period marks an important transition for Ellah Lakes as we progress from asset development into early-stage commercial operations.
“During the period, we commissioned our upgraded crude palm oil mill, advanced plantation development, and commenced pig farming activities, marking the beginning of revenue generation across our core value chains.
“While our reported results reflect the cost of expansion, start-up activities and non-recurring transaction-related expenses, they also establish the operational foundation required to scale the business.
“Our focus now is on improving yields from maturing plantations, increasing processing throughput, and driving greater efficiency across our operations. We remain committed to disciplined execution and capital stewardship as we work towards translating our asset base into stronger operating performance and long-term value for shareholders,” Mr Mordi stated.
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