Economy
OPEC Basket Falls Despite Notice of Iraqi Output Cuts
By Adedapo Adesanya
Crude prices belonging to members of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) did not react positively to the announcement that the second-largest producer, Iraq, was promising additional cuts of around 400,000 barrels per day this month in order to compensate for the lack of compliance with the OPEC+ agreement in the previous months.
The average price of the basket of 13 crudes stood at $44.87 per barrel on Friday, August 7 compared with $45.17 the previous day, according to the latest OPEC Secretariat calculations.
Iraq has been the least compliant member of the OPEC+ production cut pact since it was first launched in January 2017.
The oil-dependent nation has been promising for months that it would reduce its oil production and fall in line with its quota—something it hasn’t done since 2017.
The OPEC Reference Basket of Crudes (ORB) is made up of the following: Saharan Blend (Algeria), Girassol (Angola), Djeno (Congo), Zafiro (Equatorial Guinea), Rabi Light (Gabon), Iran Heavy (Iran), Basra Light (Iraq), Kuwait Export (Kuwait), Es Sider (Libya), Bonny Light (Nigeria), Arab Light (Saudi Arabia), Murban (UAE) and Merey (Venezuela).
When OPEC+ extended the record production cuts of 9.7 million barrel by one month through the end of July, the coalition agreed that all countries in the pact should comply 100 per cent with their quotas, and those who have not, should be compensating for lack of compliance by overachieving in the cuts in July, August, and September.
Iraq promised in June it was committed to the voluntary oil production adjustments of June and July 2020, as well as the voluntary adjustments for the period following the end of July, despite the economic and financial challenges but latest surveys showed that it did not make progress through July.
The producer alongside Nigeria didn’t make much progress on moving toward higher compliance in July which saw an increase in output following the halt of additional cuts by the Gulf states producers, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Kuwait.
In other OPEC related news, China and India, which have always been the most dependable and by far the biggest outlet for OPEC+ producers, may disappoint the suppliers in the second half of 2020 as demand looks to weaken further.
India, one of the fasting growing oil markets in Asia in recent years, is expected to end 2020 with its oil demand slipping into the red, a trend not seen for nearly two decades. India’s oil demand is expected to be down 115,000 barrels per day year-on-year in H2 2020, and whole-year demand will be down by 405,000 barrels per day, year-on-year.
In China, crude oil imports surged 34.4 per cent year on year to hit a record high of 12.99 million barrels per day in June and is set to remain high in July. However, plagued by high crude stockpiles and weak domestic refining margins, China’s crude shopping spree is about to come to a halt from August.
This may hit price differentials for various OPEC+ export crude grades in the coming months.
Economy
Nigeria Imports 61.7 million Barrels of US Crude in Two Years
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigeria imported about 61.7 million barrels of crude oil from the United States between January 2024 and January 2026, according to data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA).
This came even as the country continued to export significantly larger volumes within the same period, exposing a growing imbalance in the country’s oil supply chain.
Data from the US agency showed a sharp shift in trade flows, with American crude now flowing steadily into Nigeria after nearly a decade of negligible transactions. Before 2024, the only notable supply came in 2016, when exports averaged just 19,000 barrels per day.
The trend changed in 2024 with the start of operations at the Dangote refinery, which industry players say has increasingly turned to foreign crude to bridge gaps in domestic supply.
Within the first six months of that year alone, Nigeria imported 15.7 million barrels from the US, with June recording the highest inflow at 3.96 million barrels.
Imports accelerated further in 2025, accounting for the bulk of the two-year volume. Between February and December, inflows reached 41.06 million barrels, peaking in June at 305,000 barrels per day, equivalent to 9.15 million barrels in one month.
However, volumes dropped sharply towards the end of the year, reflecting fluctuating supply dynamics.
In January 2026, imports rose again to 159,000 barrels per day, translating to 4.93 million barrels, bringing the total volume over the two-year period to 61.7 million barrels.
The figures stand in contrast to Nigeria’s export profile.
According to data from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), the country exported about 306.7 million barrels of crude between January and October 2025, representing roughly 69 per cent of total production during the period. In the first two months of 2026 alone, exports reached 55.39 million barrels.
Despite producing over 443 million barrels within the first 10 months of 2025, only about 137 million barrels were retained for domestic use, leaving local refineries struggling to secure adequate feedstock.
Operators say the Dangote Refinery requires over 19 million barrels monthly to run at optimal capacity, a demand that local supply has failed to meet consistently. This shortfall has forced the facility to source crude not only from the US but also from Ghana and other African producers.
Imports became necessary to stabilise the 650,000 barrels per day refinery operations amid inconsistent domestic allocations, despite the introduction of the Naira-for-crude arrangement. According to the management of the company, only about four to five cargoes were distributed, but this has since changed.
Alongside Dangote Refinery, other smaller operators were also affected, since the country’s crude allocation is tied to joint ventures with International Oil Companies (IOCs).
The development underscores a persistent structural challenge in Nigeria’s oil sector, exporting large volumes of crude while struggling to supply domestic refineries, raising fresh concerns about policy coordination, upstream allocation, and the long-term viability of local refining.
Economy
Edun Thanks Tinubu, Expresses Optimism About Nigeria’s Trajectory
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The outgoing Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Mr Wale Edun, has thanked President Bola Tinubu for giving him the opportunity to serve in his administration.
In a statement personally signed by him on Tuesday, Mr Edun said it was an honour to be called by the President to help put the Nigerian economy on the path of recovery after facing difficult economic circumstances.
“It has been an honour to contribute to the implementation of the administration’s economic agenda at a pivotal moment in Nigeria’s journey,” a part of the statement made available to Business Post read.
The Minister noted that he was “proud of what we achieved alongside colleagues in the Federal Executive Council (FEC), State Governors, our partners in the public and private sectors, and the many dedicated professionals whose work continues to support the nation’s economic transformation. While much remains to be done, the direction is clear, and the foundations are firmly in place.”
While reaffirming his commitment to the service of the nation and to supporting Mr President, he declared that, “The work of economic reform is, by its nature, a continuous process,” expressing optimism about Nigeria’s trajectory.
“I wish my successor and the entire government the very best as they continue the work of improving the lives of Nigerians,” he stated.
In 2023, Mr Edun first served as the head of the Presidential Transition Committee, and later became the Special Adviser to the President on Monetary Policy, before his appointment as Finance Minister.
During his time as Minister, he worked to advance critical reforms that stabilised the macroeconomic environment, strengthened fiscal sustainability, and laid the foundation for inclusive and long-term growth.
Key results of these efforts included growth improving from a rate of 2 per cent to over 4 per cent, and inflation falling from 35 per cent to 15 per cent.
These outcomes were driven by a shared commitment to restoring public trust and enabling faster and inclusive growth through greater investor confidence and improved economic coordination.
Economy
CSCS Improves NASD Securities Exchange by 0.56%
By Adedapo Adesanya
A price appreciation recorded by Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc lifted the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange by 0.56 per cent on Tuesday, April 21.
Data showed that the Nigerian depository company gained N4.13 during the trading day to close at N63.15 per share compared with the preceding session’s N59.02 per share.
As a result, the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) added 21.81 points to close at 3,935.27 points compared with Monday’s closing value of 3,913.46 points, and the market capitalisation expanded by N12.99 billion to finish at N2.354 trillion, in contrast to the previous day’s N2.341 trillion.
Yesterday, the price of 11 Plc went down by N21.08 to settle at N191.00 per unit versus N212.08 per unit.
There was a 48.9 per cent decline in the value of transactions on Tuesday to N5.7 million from N11.1 million, as the volume of transactions dipped by 48.9 per cent to 185,420 units from 245,830 units, while the number of deals shrank by 4.2 per cent to 23 deals from 24 deals.
Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc remained the most active stock by value on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units worth N8.4 billion, followed by CSCS Plc with 58.9 million units exchanged for N4.0 billion, and Okitipupa Plc with 27.8 million units traded at N1.9 billion.
GNI Plc was also the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 3.4 billion units valued at N8.4 billion, followed by Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units sold for N415.7 million, and Infrastructure Guarantee Credit Plc with 400 million units transacted for N1.2 billion.
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