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Economy

Our Economic Reforms Have Stabilized Exchange Rate, Crashed Prices—Tinubu

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Bola Ahmed Tinubu1

By Dipo Olowookere

President Bola Tinubu has claimed that the economic reforms his administration undertook when he assumed office on May 29, 2025, have helped to keep the exchange rate of the Naira to Dollar stable at the foreign exchange (FX) market.

Speaking on Monday when he inaugurated the Planning Committee for the National Youth Conference at the State House in Abuja, the President expressed confidence that some professionals, who left Nigeria due to economic crisis, would begin to return as a result of improvement in the country’s economy.

He said the ongoing reforms are to the benefit of the youth, who he described as the future of Nigeria, charging them to be free to tell the truth to him.

“I want to reassure you that you are the hope of this country, and everything hangs on you. Every decision that I have taken is about you. It’s about the future.

“When we removed the fuel subsidy, it was because we wanted to protect your future. We have cleared the path for you to have a great future,” President Tinubu said.

“When you listen to most professionals leaving Nigeria, there’s a cause. If you grow prosperity back home and empower people, they will not bother leaving. They will stay home,” Mr Tinubu was quoted as saying in a statement issued by his spokesman, Mr Bayo Onanuga, on Monday.

“This is your opportunity to develop the nation and make it prosperous. The government of today is all about you. You can be critical of politicians and abuse them all the way you can, but politics is about development and the future of generations. You are the heartbeat of our nation, and I hope you take this responsibility seriously.

“I am glad you are here as a committee to inspire today, tomorrow and hereafter. I am with you,” President Tinubu told the 44-member planning committee.

He noted that the economic reforms had repositioned the economy for greater prosperity and empowerment. Most indicators showed a steady fall in the prices of goods, especially foodstuffs, and a stabilisation of the exchange rate.

“When we started, it looked so foggy, dicey and hopeless. We worked hard, and it was like drawing water out of a dry well.

“But today, the economy has turned the corner; prices are falling, confidence in our economy is improving, investors are looking this way, and technology is advancing.

“You have a great opportunity, and I am ready to listen to you. I have heard your spokesperson’s remarks. You have a great chance of advancing the development of this country. It is all in your hands.

“My position is to help navigate, push, and lift the heavy weight of problems so that I can clear the way for you. You have a great future before you, which is in your hands.

“Just look me in the face and tell me whatever you think is wrong and the way forward. Be frank. We will implement your suggestions so long as they are for the country’s prosperity,” he stated.

The Minister of Youth Development, Mr Ayodele Olawande, who was at the event, thanked the President for giving the youth a voice and assured that the committee represented various stakeholders fairly.

“We want to thank you for the futuristic ideas; more than 260,000 students have already benefited from the administration’s student loan schemes.

“We appreciate the renovation of the Third Mainland Bridge for us to use and clearing the passport backlog,” the Minister stated.

A member of the committee, Mr Samson Itodo, said the President’s convening of the conference will be a major milestone in involving youths in the country’s development, listing some of the areas of priority as political governance, economic transformation, skills for the future, such as Artificial Intelligence, climate change and energy transition, and social cohesion and security.

He said the framework will include virtual consultations, calls for memoranda, regional town hall meetings and the Abuja conference.

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Economy

Nigerian Private Sector’s Stanbic IBTC PMI for July Eases to 52.5 Points

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Nigerian Private Sector Stanbic IBTC PMI

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The Stanbic IBTC Bank Nigeria Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for the Nigerian private sector in July 2026 contracted to 52.5 points from 53.4 points in June 2026, a statement made available to Business Post has shown.

This occurred despite the business environment sustaining its growth last month, with an increase in new orders experienced, as inflationary pressures softened, and output and employment modestly rising.

The Head of Equity Research West Africa at Stanbic IBTC Bank, Mr Muyiwa Oni, said the PMI indicated that the private sector recorded its slowest since March 2026, as businesses also increased their input purchasing activity to keep up with current demand requirements and prepare for future workloads.

“Nigerian businesses reported improved customer demand in July while better pricing and new product launches also helped them to capture new orders arising from the increase in demand. These factors helped to keep the private sector activity in an expansionary territory, although this moderated when compared to June,” he was quoted as saying.

It was stated that while input costs increased at their slowest pace in five months, panellists reported higher costs for fuel and raw materials. Selling prices also softened in line with the picture for input costs in July.

Headline inflation eased slightly to 15.91 per cent y/y in June from 15.93 per cent y/y in May, snapping three consecutive months of price increases.

Although July inflation is likely to be higher m/m, it is expected to print lower, likely at 15.72 per cent y/y, primarily driven by favourable base effects from the corresponding period of last year, because there are no expectations of the magnitude of m/m inflation witnessed in July 2025 (1.99 per cent) to materialise this year.

“We retain our 2026 growth forecasts at 4.1 per cent as we see the oil sector growing by 3.45 per cent y/y in 2026, from 8.50 per cent y/y in 2025, while the non-oil sector is likely to grow by 4.11 per cent y/y, from 3.71 per cent y/y in 2025.

“The risks to our outlook include country-wide insecurity which may constrain food production, exchange rate pressures resurfacing, extreme-weather related conditions and higher fertiliser prices impacting crop yield, and a volatile global environment which may affect sentiment and constrain capital flows,” Mr Oni noted.

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Economy

Sahara Upstream Ramps Up OML 18 Exports with New Tanker

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Sahara Upstream

By Adedapo Adesanya

Sahara Upstream, a Nigeria-focused crude producer, has deployed a new 380,000-barrel tanker to boost exports from the OML 18 block as part of a wider push by domestic operators to invest in infrastructure and lift output and exports for Africa’s biggest oil producer.

The MT D ​Adesanya, which can hold more than 62,000 ​cubic metres of crude, will operate alongside ⁠the MT D Bayero, receiving crude from ​shuttle vessels at Bonny Anchorage, one of Nigeria’s main ​crude export hubs, before transferring it to the FSO Cawthorne storage facility.

Sahara said the tanker would help cut turnaround ​times, currently about 30 to 48 hours, ​and support a planned 50 per cent increase in exports from the ‌block’s current level of about 950,000 barrels per month.

The block currently produces about 36,000 barrels per day, according to data from the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC), ​with Sahara targeting ​output of ⁠60,000 barrels per day.

OML 18 is one of the Niger Delta’s oldest producing assets. ​It began production in 1970 and ​contains ⁠an estimated 1.5 billion barrels of oil equivalent in reserves.

Shell, Total and Eni sold their combined ⁠interests ​to Eroton in 2015 as ​part of a broader shift toward domestic ownership in Nigeria’s ​upstream sector.

This development comes as Sahara Upstream is deepening its exploration and production footprint through Asharami Energy Limited (AEL), its upstream E&P business, which says it is targeting 350,000 barrels of oil per day by 2030 through its subsidiary, Enageed Resources Limited (ERL).

The growth target comes as AEL also marks a major safety milestone, achieving 6 million Lost Time Injury (LTI)-free man-hours in its OML-148 operations — reinforcing the company’s commitment to operational excellence and safety leadership.

According to Asharami Energy, the milestone reflects its ability to execute complex operations safely, in line with Sahara’s Beyond XXX vision, which builds on the group’s 30-year legacy of responsible enterprise while marking its next chapter of impact, innovation, and sustainable growth.

The developments position Sahara Upstream and its subsidiaries among the domestic operators driving increased investment in Nigeria’s oil and gas infrastructure, as the group works to scale up production and exports for Africa’s biggest oil producer.

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Economy

Aradel Grows H1 2026 Earnings by 577%, Eyes Better Operational Efficiency in H2

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Aradel

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

One of the leading energy firms in Nigeria, Aradel Holdings Plc, has expressed its desire to optimise its enlarged portfolio and improve operational efficiency in the second half of 2026.

The company is planning to build on the success it recorded in the first half of the year, where it grew its revenue by 577 per cent to N2.5 trillion from N368.1 billion in H1 2025.

The significant rise in earnings was driven by higher production volumes together with stronger realised crude oil and gas prices, with the average at $90.4/bbl and $2.08/mmscf, respectively.

In the period under review, the Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (EBITDA) increased by 688 per cent to N1.4 trillion from N176.4 billion in the corresponding period of last year, while the operating profit surged by 789 per cent to N1.1 trillion from N118.6 billion due to higher revenue and crude handling income at N149.8 billion, partly offset by underlift cost and general and administrative costs.

The net cash generated from operations was N975.6 billion between January and June 2026 versus N140.8 billion in the same period of 2025, reflecting the cash generation of the enlarged organisation.

The net debt contracted by 70 per cent on a year-to-date basis to N46.5 billion from N475.1 billion as of December 31, 2025.

Aradel, in the period under consideration, improved its post-tax profit by 30 per cent to N191.0 billion from N146.4 billion, a development that impressed its chief executive, Mr Adegbite Falade, who said, “A firmer price environment supported performance, generating net cash from operating activities of N975.6 billion and a closing cash balance of N1.7 trillion.”

“Our enlarged portfolio provides more opportunities to generate stronger cash flow and returns for shareholders and unlocking that potential is our main focus.

“We reaffirm our full year production guidance of 110 – 140 kboepd and remain committed to operating responsibly in a changing energy landscape and to delivering lasting value for our stakeholders,” he stated.

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