Economy
Positive Chinese Import Data Lifts Crude Oil Prices
By Adedapo Adesanya
The positive data on Chinese crude imports helped to boost the prices of the commodity at the international oil market on Tuesday, October 13.
During the trading day, the price of the Brent crude went up by 68 cents or 1.63 per cent to $42.40 per barrel while the value of the United States’ benchmark, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude, went up by 77 cents or 1.95 per cent to close at $40.60 per barrel.
China’s crude oil imports rose 2.1 per cent in September from the previous month as some delayed cargoes finally cleared customs after months-long port congestion eased, while onshore storage capacity was expanded.
The world’s top crude oil importer took in 48.48 million tonnes of oil last month, equivalent to 11.8 million barrels per day, according to data from the General Administration of Customs on Tuesday.
In August 2020, a total of 11.18 million barrels per day was imported by the Asian giant and September 2019, the volume was 10.04 million barrels per day. The volume of oil imported by the country last month, according to the data, was still lower than the record high level of 12.94 million barrels a day recorded in June 2020.
The import data from China was the only driver for prices on Tuesday as market analysts believe that a lot of bearish factors will make it difficult to sustain present levels.
Leading this is Libyan crude production which has come back online in its largest oil field, Sahara. This could double the country’s crude production to 650,000 barrels a day within a few weeks.
Also, the return of production after the end of a Norwegian oil strike and the return of production in the Gulf of Mexico would further depress prices.
In addition, the uncertain state of global the economy as a result of renewed restrictions caused by the second wave of coronavirus pandemic may become more severe and this isn’t a good outlook for the market.
Demand is also showing no signs of improvement as the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) on Tuesday left its outlook for 2020 oil demand relatively unchanged, noting a decline of 9.5 million barrels a day, year on year, to reach 90.3 million barrels a day.
For 2021, however, OPEC revised demand lower by 80,000 barrels a day, forecasting growth of 6.5 million barrels a day to reach 96.8 million barrels per day.
This cut largely reflects a lower growth outlook for both developed and emerging market regions compared to the September forecast.
In another forecast, the annual World Energy Outlook report from the International Energy Agency (IEA) released Tuesday said global energy demand is expected to rebound to its pre-crisis level in early 2023, under a scenario in which COVID-19 is brought under control in 2021 and the global economy returns to pre-crisis levels that year.
Weekly data on US crude inventories will be released by the Energy Information Administration (EIA) on Thursday, a day later than usual, because of a federal holiday on Monday in the US. There are expectations of a decline of more than 2 million barrels to the week ended October 9.
Economy
Nigerian Stock Market Rebounds 2.30% Amid Cautious Trading
By Dipo Olowookere
The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited returned to winning ways on Tuesday after it closed higher by 2.30 per cent amid cautious trading.
Yesterday, investor sentiment at the Nigerian stock market was weak after finishing with 37 price gainers and 40 price losers, indicating a negative market breadth index.
It was observed that the industrial goods sector rose by 4.86 per cent, the energy index appreciated by 4.66 per cent, and the consumer goods segment soared by 2.74 per cent. They offset the 1.38 per cent loss recorded by the banking counter and the 0.20 per cent decline printed by the insurance sector.
At the close of business, the All-Share Index (ASI) was up by 5,137.90 points to 228,740.19 points from 223,602.29 points, and the market capitalisation went up by N3.308 trillion to N147.278 trillion from N143.970 trillion.
The trio of FTN Cocoa, Industrial and Medical Gases, and Lafarge Africa gained 10.00 per cent each to sell for N5.50, N39.60, and N324.50, respectively, while Austin Laz grew by 9.71 per cent to N3.73, and Aradel Holdings jumped 9.52 per cent to N1,840.00.
On the flip side, UBA lost 10.00 per cent trade at N44.55, Trans-Nationwide Express slipped by 9.99 per cent to N6.40, NASCON crashed by 9.18 per cent to N187.90, Jaiz Bank depreciated by 8.93 per cent to N8.01, and Berger Paints crumbled by 8.66 per cent to N68.00.
Yesterday, market participants traded 908.0 million equities valued at N68.2 billion in 72,886 deals compared with the 678.2 million equities worth N44.1 billion transacted in 82,838 deals on Monday, showing a drop in the number of deals by 12.01 per cent, and a spike in the trading volume and value by 33.88 per cent and 54.65 per cent, respectively.
Economy
Nigeria Records Five-Year Peak in Oil Output at 1.71mbpd
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigeria’s oil production recorded a five-year high of 1.71 million barrels per day, marking a significant rebound for the country’s upstream sector amid renewed efforts to restore output and improve operational stability.
The latest figure, released by Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited, covers the period from April 2025 to April 2026 and underscores a steady recovery in crude production after years of disruptions caused by theft, pipeline vandalism and underinvestment.
According to the chief executive of the national oil company, Mr Bayo Ojulari, the performance reflects measurable progress across the company’s upstream, gas and downstream operations, with production gains supported by improved asset management and stronger field performance.
Within its exploration and production business, NNPC recorded a peak daily output of 365,000 barrels in December 2025, the highest level ever achieved by its upstream subsidiary. The company also advanced key contractual reforms, including revised production-sharing terms for deepwater assets aimed at unlocking additional gas reserves.
Nigeria’s gas ambitions are also gaining traction. Gas supply rose to 7.5 billion standard cubic feet per day in 2025, driven by major infrastructure milestones such as the River Niger crossing on the Ajaokuta-Kaduna-Kano pipeline and the commissioning of the Assa North-Ohaji South gas processing plant.
These investments are beginning to strengthen domestic gas utilisation. New supply agreements with major industrial consumers, including Dangote Refinery, Dangote Fertiliser and Dangote Cement, are expected to deepen gas penetration across manufacturing and power generation.
On the downstream front, NNPC has continued crude supply to Dangote Refinery under the crude-for-naira arrangement, a policy designed to reduce foreign exchange demand, support local refining and improve fuel market stability. The company also reaffirmed its 7.25 per cent equity stake in the refinery as part of its long-term energy security strategy.
Financially, the national oil company said it has resumed full monthly remittances to the Federation Account since July 2025. It has also reinstated regular performance reporting and held its first earnings call, moves widely seen as part of a broader push towards greater transparency and corporate accountability.
Despite the progress, challenges remain. Crude theft, pipeline outages and infrastructure bottlenecks continue to threaten production stability. Sustaining this recovery will depend on stronger security, reliable infrastructure and policy consistency as Nigeria seeks to maximise the benefits of rising domestic refining capacity.
Economy
UAE to Leave OPEC May 1
By Adedapo Adesanya
The United Arab Emirates has announced its decision to quit the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) to focus on national interests.
This dealt a heavy blow to the oil-exporting group at a time when the US-Israel war on Iran had caused a historic energy shock and rattled the global economy.
The move, which will take effect on May 1, 2026, reflects “the UAE’s long-term strategic and economic vision and evolving energy profile”, a statement carried by state media said on Tuesday.
“During our time in the organisation, we made significant contributions and even greater sacrifices for the benefit of all,” it added. “However, the time has come to focus our efforts on what our national interest dictates.”
The loss of the UAE, a longstanding OPEC member, could create disarray and weaken the oil cartel, which has usually sought to show a united front despite internal disagreements over a range of issues from geopolitics to production quotas.
UAE Energy Minister Suhail Mohamed al-Mazrouei said the decision was taken after a careful look at the regional power’s energy strategies.
“This is a policy decision. It has been done after a careful look at current and future policies related to the level of production,” the minister said.
OPEC’s Gulf producers have already been struggling to ship exports through the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow chokepoint between Iran and Oman through which a fifth of the world’s crude oil and liquefied natural gas supplies normally pass, because of threats and attacks against vessels during the war.
The UAE had been a member of OPEC first through its emirate of Abu Dhabi in 1967 and later when it became its own country in 1971.
The oil cartel, based in Vienna, has seen some of its market power wane as the US has increased its production of crude oil in recent years.
Additionally, the UAE and Saudi Arabia have increasingly competed over economic issues and regional politics, particularly in the Red Sea area.
The two countries had joined a coalition to fight against Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthis in 2015. However, that coalition broke down into recriminations in late December when Saudi Arabia bombed what it described as a weapons shipment bound for Yemeni separatists backed by the UAE.
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