Economy
Property Experts to Brainstorm in Lagos at WAPI Summit
By Dipo Olowookere
November 15 and 16, 2018 have been fixed for this year’s West African Property Investment (WAPI) Summit, the region’s most prominent and largest real estate investment and development conference, slated for Eko Hotel and Suites, Lagos.
According to the summit’s host, API Events’ Kfir Rusin, this year’s theme: RE-Calibrating Supply and Demand for Sustainable Growth, is a natural evolution of the previous year’s theme, Changing the West African Narrative, which aided more than 400 delegates representing over 200 companies to reposition the sector in a region sparked to a growth footing by Nigeria’s exit from recession.
As Rusin expands, “The market has undergone a shift, which is most evident in the changing retail and office occupier market. To help our 500 delegates unpack these changes – we’re pleased to announce that we’ve secured more than 60 well-known regional and international thought leaders to speak at #WAPI2018. These include, Broll Nigeria’s CEO, Bolaji Edu, regional legal authority, Olasupo Shasore (SAN), Ali Djire, Fraym’s Country Manager and PwC Nigeria’s Chief Economist Andrew S Nevin.”
As the head of one of the region’s largest multi-disciplinary commercial property services providers, Broll’s Bolaji’s Edu, position provides him with a unique position to gauge how the market has re-calibrated post-recession.
As Bolaji says, “If we analyse the grade-A office market in Lagos and the overall retail mall market following the economy entering a deep recession in 2016; take up dropped by approximately 40% (offices) and 55% (retail) between 2016 and 2017. However, as the economic recovery strengthens, we have seen numbers flatten out, and we expect to see an increase over the whole of 2018 from the low point of 2017.”
And while Bolaji argues that the drop-off proved challenging it did enable the market to strike a balance, especially at the height of investment – with property values reaching sky high levels. This boom, he says can be attributed to the post 2007 global recession economy whereby investors fuelled by low interest rates entered emerging markets aggressively searching for high yields.
As Bolaji explains, “We don’t expect to see the same level from the institutional international investment community, which lead to emerging market currencies being too strong and artificially inflated the size of the economies and the size of the middle class in USD terms.”
A More Sustainable Market
Following this inflation and subsequent re-adjustment, Bolaji believes that the market is now on a more long-term stable footing. Commenting that: “The market has begun to rebase itself down from a level where rent levels and capital values in parts of Lagos were comparable to the wealthiest cities in the world such as New York and the out skirts of London.” For him, this is most evident in the reducing rates in the commercial and retail sectors, which are now at “more sustainable levels,” he says.
One of the most striking results of this re-calibration are the new strategies employed by developers to cater to demand and not “copy & paste” and a change in the demographic of international retailers drawn to the market’s demanding and aspirant middleclass.
“Developers and investors in the market are examining building size and design that better reflect the target market. It is important to entertain best practices and the latest trends from around the world, but we need to tailor our projects,” says Bolaji, adding that the region’s market size and growing demand from the middleclass means that retailers and companies still wish to establish a presence in Nigeria.
“However, they are looking at this more strategically taking into consideration both the potential risks in addition to the incredible upside opportunities. International investors and retailers are seeking more partnership opportunities.”
Market Trends
As the market continues to evolve, Broll has deduced several key trends emerging within the local retail space says Bolaji. “We see local retailers driving demand for retail space especially in secondary locations, while international retailer demand is predominantly driven by retailers from Europe and the Americas, whereas historically, Asian brands were the most aggressive,” pointing out that the biggest demand driver in existing malls is food and beverage.
As the market continues to evolve and re-calibrate in line with economic development – Bolaji has noted the demand continues to be driven by the high end and budget segments. “These are the two areas that we see most enquiries from both investors/developers and retailers and corporates.”
Rising Oil Prices
While the rising oil price continues to be of benefit to overall regional GDP growth, Bolaji believes that one market seeing un uptick from oil’s surge is the office sector with occupier demand being driven by the oil and gas sector. While this may not reach the highs of previous eras, especially as many of the new firms are local oil servicing firms. The trend he believes is driven by the fact these local companies can enjoy shorter timelines when closing transactions compared to their international counterparts.
Rusin concludes sharing Bolaji’s views, “We’ve witnessed continued development across Africa and Nigeria, and as an African bellwether economy – what happens in Nigeria sends ripples across the continent from an investment and trend perspective. I believe Bolaji’s presentation and together with other leading panellists will aid us in achieving our key objectives of: identifying the critical shifts in consumer, occupier and retailer demand, and how these changes will shape the future of the industry.”
Economy
Odu’a Investment Eyes N1trn Asset Base by 2030, Posts N23.58bn Pre-Tax Profit
By Adedapo Adesanya
Odu’a Investment Company Limited has unveiled an ambitious plan to grow its asset base to N1 trillion by 2030, following a record financial performance that saw the conglomerate post a N23.58 billion Profit Before Tax (PBT) for the 2025 financial year.
The target was announced at the company’s 44th Annual General Meeting (AGM), held on Friday at the newly redeveloped Premier Hotel in Ibadan, where shareholders, representatives of the six South-West states and other stakeholders also witnessed the conclusion of the four-year tenure of the chairman, Mr Bimbo Ashiru.
Presenting the 2025 financial results, Mr Ashiru said the group had been strategically repositioned despite a challenging macroeconomic environment, laying a solid foundation for its long-term growth ambitions.
According to the results, operating revenue increased by 78 per cent to N20.22 billion from N11.34 billion recorded in 2024, while profit before tax surged by 410 per cent to N23.58 billion from N4.62 billion in the previous year.
The impressive earnings were largely driven by N18.81 billion in fair value gains on investment properties and strong gains from the bullish performance of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX), where it trades its stock.
Mr Ashiru described the year as one of significant strategic milestones that have permanently repositioned the investment group.
Among the highlights was the completion of the extensive redevelopment of the historic Premier Hotel, Ibadan, which was commissioned on the eve of the AGM and is expected to commence full operations in the fourth quarter of 2026.
The organisation also marked the 60th anniversary of Cocoa House in July 2025, reinforcing its commitment to preserving iconic assets while unlocking greater commercial value.
In another milestone, Agusto & Co. upgraded Odu’a Investment’s credit rating from A+ to Aa- with a stable outlook, reflecting the company’s improved financial discipline and treasury management.
Speaking at the AGM, the Managing Director, Mr Abdulrahman Yinusa, disclosed that the company has commenced the process of obtaining its first international credit rating from a leading global rating agency, adding that the move would enhance access to international debt capital markets and attract foreign direct investment as part of the group’s long-term growth strategy.
The company also presented its first fully consolidated financial statements, providing shareholders with a comprehensive view of the financial position of the holding company and all its subsidiaries.
The AGM also marked a leadership transition as Mr Ashiru completed his four-year tenure as Group Chairman.
In his valedictory address, he reflected on the transformation achieved between 2022 and 2026, noting that Odu’a Investment had evolved from being “asset rich, cash poor” into a strategy-driven organisation that is both asset and cash-rich.
He thanked the governors of the six South-West states, members of the Board, past and present Group Managing Directors, subsidiary boards and management, and staff for their support throughout his tenure.
Although stepping down as chairman, Mr Ashiru will remain on the board as a director until 2028, providing continuity as the group pursues its vision of building a N1 trillion asset portfolio by 2030.
Economy
Nigeria Accesses $1.5bn from UAE Lender’s $5bn Swap Deal
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigeria has received the first tranche of its $5 billion derivatives financing arrangement with the First Abu Dhabi Bank (FAB), the United Arab Emirates’ largest lender.
According to a Bloomberg report published on Friday, the federal government drew about $1.5 billion over the past two weeks through a Total Return Swap (TRS) transaction with the lender.
The report stated that Nigeria will provide naira-denominated securities valued at 133.3 per cent of the loan amount as collateral for the transaction, while international financial institutions continue to express concerns about the risks associated with such derivative-based financing structures.
The financing is expected to support the government’s debt management strategy by replacing more expensive borrowings while helping finance the country’s fiscal deficit.
The first tranche is priced at 395 basis points above the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR), rising to SOFR plus 400 basis points thereafter.
The transaction further expands Nigeria’s financial relationship with First Abu Dhabi Bank, which had earlier provided about $1.2 billion to support the construction of a section of the ongoing Lagos-Calabar Coastal Highway.
The swap deal has come with much scrutiny from critics and international organisations. Recall that the International Monetary Fund (IMF), after a consultation visit, warned Nigeria against the deal, noting that such transactions are often opaque and complex.
“Our view is that the transactions in these types of structures carry risks. Usually they are opaque, so the terms are not always very transparent when we reviewed these instruments across countries,” according to the IMF’s mission chief in Nigeria, Mr Christian Ebeke.
Mr Ebeke said Nigeria could instead issue eurobonds to finance its deficits or other means to raise funding, including on concessional terms.
The Senate in April gave its approval to the agreement put forward by President Bola Tinubu, who said his administration intends to use proceeds from the total return swap to refinance expensive debt and pay for infrastructure.
Economy
Nigeria Needs More Taxpayers, Not Higher Taxes—Oyedele
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Mr Taiwo Oyedele, yesterday clarified that the federal government is not increasing taxes but making efforts to raise the tax net.
Mr Oyedele made this remark on Thursday while receiving a delegation from the Chartered Institute of Taxation of Nigeria (CITN) at his office in Abuja.
He hailed the institute for introducing a National Tax Awareness Day and for supporting the current tax reforms of the federal government.
The minister charged the institute to double its effort in public enlightenment, stressing that many Nigerians still view taxation as a means for the government to take money from citizens.
He reiterated that the priority of the government is not to increase tax rates but to broaden the tax base by ensuring that all eligible taxpayers meet their obligations.
“We are still not getting enough revenue from taxes.
“It is not about increasing taxes but making sure that those who are supposed to pay taxes. We want to promote fairness in tax administration,” he said.
Nigeria is challenged by the inability to generate adequate revenue from taxation despite ongoing reforms, stressing that a significant number of eligible taxpayers have yet to fulfil their civic obligations.
He said the challenge facing the country was not necessarily about raising tax rates but ensuring that individuals and businesses that ought to pay taxes do so in a fair and transparent system.
The minister also commended the institute for supporting the federal government’s tax reform agenda and promoting public understanding of taxation, but urged it to intensify its advocacy efforts, noting that many Nigerians still harbour misconceptions about taxation.
According to him, many citizens continue to view taxation merely as a tool for the government to take money from the people rather than as a critical instrument for national development.
“We are still not getting enough revenue from taxes. It is not about increasing taxes, but making sure that those who are supposed to pay taxes. We want to promote fairness in tax administration,” he added.
Mr Oyedele stressed that if Nigeria succeeds in building an efficient and equitable tax system, the impact on infrastructure, public services and economic development would be transformative, challenging the institute to introduce annual awards for the country’s most tax-compliant individuals and organisations as a means of encouraging voluntary compliance and recognising responsible taxpayers.
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